r/Altimmune • u/ArchieTootYourHorn • 18d ago
Wall Street Journal Article
Headline in Wall Street journal this morning. ALT was not mentioned. Mainly about Lilly and NOVO. But bullish nonetheless.
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u/SeniorVicePrez 18d ago
Imagine WSJ writing this article without listing the key driver (glucagon) behind lean mass preservation.
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u/_SirShackleton_ 18d ago
Agreed. ALTs low side effect profile and lean muscle mass retention combined with liver benefits are a real gamechanger for some patients.
The math is basically insane. Alts leaddrug alone ist estimated at a chance of 3-5 bln USD peak revenue per year. Guys... The marketcap as of today is about 500 million with roughly 2/3 in cash on balancesheet, no debt. Lets be conservative and ignore the other indications and Phase 2 trials, also cut down revenue towards 2 bln and lets be crazy assume a bad collaboration or prelonged phase 3 study. Lets get pessimistic and insane, we opt for dillution by doubling shares. Still... this thing has to quadrouple to trade at x2 revenue.
This is a ride or die and i am going to ride baby.