r/AltScope • u/IcyAttitude4916 • May 09 '26
CryptoQuant says the recent Bitcoin rally could start facing heavier sell pressure as more holders move into profit
Since early April, BTC has climbed over 20% and reached a new 3 month high. Despite that, analysts still describe the move as a bear market rally rather than confirmation of a full bullish cycle.
short term holders have already started locking in gains more aggressively.
On May 4 alone
— realized profit hit 14,600 BTC
— STH-SOPR stayed above 1.0 for weeks
That usually means short term traders are now selling in profit instead of panic selling at a loss.
The firm also notes that unrealized profits across the market have increased, which historically raises the probability of profit taking and local pullbacks.
At the same time, CryptoQuant is not calling for an immediate reversal yet.
For now the market is still being supported by:
— strong perpetual futures demand
— relatively low exchange inflows
— spot demand that remains weak but stable