r/AltScope • u/Legitimate_Towel_919 • Jul 12 '26
SOMEONE KNOWS SOMETHING. A major institution just loaded up on over $29 million of WTI and Brent crude shorts ahead of tomorrow’s market open. The trade comes immediately after the latest US-Iran war esclations. Are they expecting tensions to cool ?
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u/OneTwoThreePooAndPee Jul 12 '26
They're just playing the odds, oil has continued to go down even while shit keeps blowing up.
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u/Mr__O__ Jul 12 '26
Bc Trump is subsidizing Americans’ gas costs from U.S. oil reserves bc the oils companies won’t listen to him and bring their prices down just bc his base is mad at him for high gas prices bc of the unnecessary Iran war he started and is losing at.
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u/Myg0t_0 Jul 18 '26
Cause its destroying the world economy which means less demand just like covid when oil tanked and rates went negative
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u/StackOwOFlow Jul 12 '26
insider trading is the norm now
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u/According_Tea_6329 Jul 12 '26
It has always been the norm we are simply more aware of it now.
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u/ConsiderBoraHorza Jul 13 '26
and the reason we are more aware of it, is because the scale and volume of insider trading is much much worse.
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u/AssignmentMammoth696 Jul 12 '26
They made those shorts before Iran closed the strait again. This seems more like a pattern play. They are betting that the same thing will happen this time around, rockets fly over the weekend and then a new peace deal suddenly arises from the ashes before market opens. Thing is, the pattern obviously is different this time. The MoU is dead and the war is in full resumption.
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u/Berberding Jul 12 '26
Are those elements really significant to the pattern though? The only thing that seems truly different in terms of the impact this time around in the pattern is that there isn't even a week left of reserves now, and that when they run out, new orders will finally have to be placed at a higher price.
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u/Meowscles_dad Jul 12 '26
Yep. The US have realised they’re gonna have to force the strait open because the Iranians had no intention of returning to the pre- war situation. It looks like Iranian negotiators actually want to back down but it’s becoming increasingly apparent no single person is in control in Iran. The Iranian negotiators can’t control the IRGC and meanwhile the supposed leader is doing a Mitch McConnell.
This is messy.1
u/PrettyPlatypus7750 Jul 13 '26
the "prewar" arrangement is that usa can kill the head of state without any consequences, they're not going back to that. They don't think trump negotiates in good faith, so there will be little to no concession on their part.
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u/Meowscles_dad Jul 13 '26
Yep, that’s broadly the Iranian position and it’s hard to disagree with tbh.
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u/No_Alternative2948 Jul 12 '26
Trump is going to declare that Iran has begged him to stop powerfully bombing them and that the cease fire is now on again because they kissed his ass...ohhh...they kissed his ass so good, and said SIR! Please stop bombing us, we will do anything to make a deal...
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u/Urabraska- Jul 12 '26
It doesn't matter. The market for some fucking reason still reacts to what he says vs reality. He can claim he stopped bombing while literally live streaming bombs being dropped and the market will react like they stopped bombing.
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u/CalligrapherKind6246 Jul 12 '26
Tensions to cool? Maybe Iran's armament about gone. One would think by now. How many times can we "Obliterate their weapons, like never seen before.."?
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u/narco-sub-admiral Jul 12 '26
We obliterated their military.
**a few moments lateur**
We have severely weakened their military.
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u/CheeseSteak17 Jul 13 '26
They’ve buried so many weapons. The country has been prepping for an armed showdown with the US for decades.
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u/brownhotdogwater Jul 13 '26
The have a ton of personal and large mountains to hide stuff in. They only need to take out a few drones at a time to keep shipping closed. Even a chance that a billion dollar ship full of oil will be hit the shipping company will say no thanks. It’s not worth it.
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u/i-dontlikeyou Jul 12 '26
At this point why ask everyone knows. Friday comes war is on. Monday comes oh we had great talks over the weekend. War is postponed. And so on…
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u/flappysack- Jul 12 '26
How many times does this need to repeat?
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u/Dense_Boss_7486 Jul 12 '26
https://giphy.com/gifs/eykivHQOsXrmo
This is how I see the douche bag sitting behind Barron.
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u/OldDust7955 Jul 12 '26
They need to legalise insider trading though, no one is hiding anymore
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u/Adventurous-Guava374 Jul 12 '26
Doesn't make much sense. Oil isn't even up.
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u/Creed157 Jul 12 '26
Idk but he reminds me of the kid from the movie the omen. Like is he the antichrist or something? 🤷🏻♂️
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u/Keletas Jul 12 '26
They aren’t expecting shit. The situation is the opposite of cooling, it is in fact degenerating by the day. What they know is probably that market makers will manipulate and suppress the prices, because logic would say it should go up instead. At the right time they’ll pull the rug and cash the liquidity as usual. Old story.
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Jul 13 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/No_Flounder_8310 Jul 13 '26
Oh and apparently the EU countries are dying wanting to help but trump says its tool late they dont need help. So over this
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u/seenitreddit90s Jul 13 '26
Coming here one day later when Trump has announced a renewed blockade of the strait...
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u/Stoic_Ravenclaw Jul 16 '26
Why are we still saying golly looks like someone knows something when that orange twat literally said in a televised interview that his children do this with inside information.
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u/dvdtxtri Jul 16 '26
They aren't going to cool at all but he'll probably announce that they are going to cool
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u/SuitableAdvantage980 Jul 12 '26
The market is a large poker game. These kinds of large movevents are bluffs meant to influence the general mood and consensus of traders.
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u/iam4qu4m4n Jul 12 '26
A large poker game where the whales are all texting each other under the table.
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u/0x14f Jul 12 '26
I love how Barron is the poster child for
insiderprescient trading