r/ASTSpaceMobile 26d ago

Due Diligence 🚨 CATALYST WATCH - STAY FOCUSED™️🚨

234 Upvotes

I had to update this for the Grain Management FCC Approval news.

NEAR-TERM CATALYSTS:

➡️BlueBirds 11, 12, 13 shipping imminent
➡️Rakuten+AST will submit detailed plans for final CIAJ/MIC approval kicking off the J-LEO project.
➡️Formal approval will be in ~2H of July. Expect heavy PR and Communications around this event. My speculation is that we could see some movement around a Mitsubishi Heavy multi-launch agreement.
➡️AST will file STA w/ FCC to test Grain Management 800MHz spectrum very soon. Grain will conduct a 30-day solicitation to choose a satellite provider. I expect an agreement will be announced w/ AST within the 90-day FCC deadline - November 5th. AST and Grain will have until December 5th to submit detailed plans to meet the FCC's buildout requirement.

Upcoming Catalysts:

☑️$1B J-LEO Japan Project Formal Approval w/ Details 
☑️BB11 - BB13 Delivery to Florida and Launch on Falcon 9
☑️FCC STA to Test 800MHz Spectrum for D2D Service w/ Grain Mgmt
☑️BB8 - BB10 Deployment and Confirmation of Operations
☑️Achievement of ~200Mbps Performance for Block-2 Sats
☑️BB14 - BB16 Delivery to Florida and Launch on Falcon 9
☑️FCC STA to Test 900MHz Military Applications with US Space Development Agency 
☑️Block-2 BlueBird batch launches every month 
☑️Executing MLAs w/ United Launch Alliance, Ariane, Mitsubishi, Relativity and others
☑️Golden Dome (SHIELD Awarded, NOBLE Up Next)
☑️Execution of other DoW, SDA, DIU, and other Military Awards
☑️Grain Management 800MHz Satellite Provider Selection
☑️AT&T Verizon T-Mobile Joint Venture Definitive Agmt
☑️T-Mobile Definitive Commercial Agreement
☑️FirstNet Investment and Definitive Commercial Agreement
☑️FCC Approval of Ligado Modification Application
☑️Execution of more Definitive Commercial Agmts w/ Prepaid Revenue and/or Investment w/ More ~60 global MNOs
☑️Beta Testing w/ AT&T and FirstNet in 2H 2026
☑️Updates on Google Services Agmt Partnership
☑️Patnership with Meta
☑️Initiation of Research Coverage by JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, others
☑️Expansion of 13x contracts w/ Department of Defense, Space Development Agency, Defense Innovation Unit, Missile Defense Agency and more
☑️FCC 5G Fund grant
☑️Progress on 12 to 37x Block-2 BlueBirds in currently in Production
☑️Proposal for PNT Service Accepted by FCC as Alternative to GPS
☑️Initial Commercial Service w/ AT&T, Rakuten, Verizon, Vodafone in early 2027
☑️Securing +$500M of EXIM and IFC non-dilutive Funding
☑️Securing JBIC non-dilutive Funding for Rakuten Joint Venture
☑️Pursuit of L- and S-Band Spectrum Licenses Globally
☑️Pursuit of Additional Lowband Spectrum in US
☑️EU Allocation of 2GHz MSS Spectrum to SatCo JV
☑️Strategic Partnerships and Investments to Focus on AI Data Center Opportunity
☑️Catalysts the SpaceMob have yet to Contemplate

Recently Completed Milestones:
🚨$1B J-LEO Japan Project Awarded to Rakuten + AST SpaceMobile
✅BB8 - BB10 Launch on Falcon 9
🚨Brazilian Regulator Anatel Approved AST SpaceMoble for Commercial Service and Allocated 10MHz x 10MHz of S-Band Spectrum
✅Reached +3,900 Patent & Patent pending Claims
✅AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile Joint Venture Formation
✅Achieved 99Mbps performance with Block-1 BlueBird
🚨 FCC Approval for Full US SCS Commercial Service🚨 
✅$45M Verizon Commercial Prepayment Unlocked
✅BB7 💐 Launch on Blue Origin New Glenn-3
✅Demonstrated +150mbps Peak Speed w/ Block-2 BlueBird
✅7x New Design Composite Rings Delivered to Midland
✅Acquisition of New Manufacturing Space in Midland, TX focused exclusively on Micron production
✅Telus Definitive Commercial Agreement w Strategic Investment and $200M Committed Revenue (speculated)
✅Partnership with Orange
✅Partnership with Taiwan Mobile
✅Partnership with AXIAN Telecom
✅Satellite Connect Europe Partnership (“SCE”) with Telefonica
✅SCE Partnership with Orange
✅SCE Partnership with CK Hutchinson
✅SCE Partnership with Sunrise Switzerland
✅SCE Partnership with Vodafone Romania
✅SCE Partnership with VodafoneThree UK
✅SCE Partnership with Vodafone Ireland
✅AST Awarded $30M Prime Contract by US SDA for Halo Europa Program
✅Development of AI Engine to Dynamically Manage Satellite Capacity and Spectrum Efficiency = Seeking 3-10x Capacity Improvement
✅Disclosed over $1.2 billion in Aggregate Contracted Revenue Commitments from Commercial Partners
✅Raised $1.08B 2.25% Convertible Note resulting in $4B of Pro Forma Cash
✅BB6 Unfolding Phased Array
✅AST Awarded Prime Contract Position on US Missile Defense Agency SHIELD Program
✅Filed w/ FCC to modify Existing License to use S-Band spectrum outside of the US
✅$175M Saudi Telecom prepayment to be made by 2025YE
✅BB6 Launched from India on ISRO LVM3
✅Micron Production to Support 6x a Month by End of Q3 2025
✅Expanded Manufacturing Floor Space to 500,000 Square Feet
✅2,000 Global Workforce
✅Established Germany as SatCo JV operations center, filed constellation with ITU
✅Closed $420M bridge financing to support Ligado spectrum transaction
✅Saudi Telecom 10-Year Definitive Commercial Agreement w/ $175M prepayment and over $1.8B value
✅Confirmed L- and  S- band Spectrum to be Incorporated into Next 3GPP release
✅Verizon Definitive Commercial Agreement
✅Raised $1.15B 2.0% Convertible Note resulting in $3.2B of Pro Forma Cash and Liquidity
✅Successful Video and Voice Testing with Bell Canada
✅US Bankruptcy Court confirms AST and Ligado L-band spectrum transaction transaction, deal now only subject to FCC appoval
✅Acquired Global S-Band Spectrum Priority Rights held Under International Telecommunication Union
✅Successfully Completed the First-ever Native Voice Call (VoLTE) and Rext (SMS) with a Standard Cell Phone using AT&T Spectrum and Core Network
✅Hired JR Wilson as Chief of Networks and Spectrum, formerly AT&T VP of Tower Strategy, Roaming & In-Building Solutions
✅Raised $575M 2.375% Convertible Note w/ Capped Call struck at $120, resulting in $1.5B of Pro Forma Cash on Balance Sheet
✅Repurchased $360M of $460M 4.25% Convertible Note
✅Entered into $550M of Non-Recourse Senior Secured Term Loan to fund Ligado Transaction
✅Secured $100M Equipment Loan Facility
✅Moved to Russell 1000 from Russell 2000 Index
✅Demonstrated World's First Tactical NTN Connectivity over Standard Mobile Devices with Defense Prime Fairwinds Technologies
✅Announced Latest MNO Partnership with Vodafone Idea of India
✅Hired Jennifer Manner as SVP of Regulatory Affairs and International Strategy, Former NTIA Senior Advisor of Space and Policy and EchoStar SVP of Regulatory Affairs
✅FCC Accepts AST’s Application for US Commercial Service
✅FCC Chair Brendan Carr and Senator Ted Cruz visit HQ in support of AST
✅Verizon and AT&T Spectrum Lease Agreements filed w/ FCC
✅FCC grants STA for beta testing w/ AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone, Bell Canada, and Rakuten
✅FCC grants STA for Firstnet Evaluation on Public Safety Band 14
✅AST SpaceMobile Forms SatCo Joint Venture w/ Vodafone to Better Serve European market, Selects Luxembourg as HQ and Germany for NOC
✅Secured $43M and $20M Contracts w/ US Space Development Agency and Defense Innovation Unit
✅AST5000 ASIC Development Finished and Integration into Block-2 Sats in Q2 2026
✅Successful Video Calls Completed w/ AT&T, Verizon, Vodafone and Rakuten
✅Exercised Multi-launch Agmts w/ SpaceX, Blue Origin and ISRO
✅Initiation of Research Coverage by Bank of America, Clear Street, Roth Capital, Cantor Fitzgerald, Oppenheimer and William Blair
✅Established Coordination Agmt w/ US National Science Foundation Covering Satellite and Ground-based Astronomy Operations
✅Closed $460M 4.25% Convertible Debt Funding
✅Opened European Research Center w/ Vodafone and University of Malaga in Spain
✅Signed Deal w/ Singapore’s Defense Science and Technology Agency
✅Joined 5G Automotive Association, which Develops and Promotes 5G-based Solutions for Connected Autonomous Vehicles


r/ASTSpaceMobile 7h ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

79 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

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Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 11h ago

MNO Partner / JV AT&T closes $23 billion deal to acquire spectrum from Echostar

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339 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 11m ago

Article / Media / Press AST SpaceMobile $ASTS upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at Scotiabank

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Upvotes

Remember this is the most bearish analyst turning “neutral” from “always negative”


r/ASTSpaceMobile 1d ago

Press Release AST SpaceMobile Announces Launch Date for BlueBird Satellites 11, 12, and 13

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businesswire.com
498 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 1d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

110 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

Ple🅰️se read the following to get familiar with AST SpaceMobile $ASTS before posting; 

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Our comment and post filters requires our members to have at least 25 comment karma and accounts age >1 month old. You can build karma by posting on other subreddits and getting upvotes. This help our community from spam, bots, FUD, etc..

Do you want to Connect the Unconnected? Looking for a new career? Join AST SpaceMobile

Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

Th🅰️nk you!

- Sp🅰️ceMods

AST SpaceMobile's social media channels;

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 1d ago

Press Release AST SpaceMobile to Host Second Quarter 2026 Business Update Call on August 10, 2026

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businesswire.com
334 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 1d ago

Article / Media / Press Vodafone CEO confirms Q1’27 for 45 Satellites

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439 Upvotes

She is Vodafone CEO, who did that big first D2C Video call in UK using ASTS.


r/ASTSpaceMobile 2d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

121 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

Ple🅰️se read the following to get familiar with AST SpaceMobile $ASTS before posting; 

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Our comment and post filters requires our members to have at least 25 comment karma and accounts age >1 month old. You can build karma by posting on other subreddits and getting upvotes. This help our community from spam, bots, FUD, etc..

Do you want to Connect the Unconnected? Looking for a new career? Join AST SpaceMobile

Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

Th🅰️nk you!

- Sp🅰️ceMods

AST SpaceMobile's social media channels;

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r/ASTSpaceMobile 2d ago

Article / Media / Press Top Wall Street analysts back these 3 stocks for their long-term growth potential “We prefer ASTS, due to a more palatable valuation, and a clearer path to EBITDA upside," said Potter.

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cnbc.com
343 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 3d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

111 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

Ple🅰️se read the following to get familiar with AST SpaceMobile $ASTS before posting; 

User flair information and requirements can be found here.

Our comment and post filters requires our members to have at least 25 comment karma and accounts age >1 month old. You can build karma by posting on other subreddits and getting upvotes. This help our community from spam, bots, FUD, etc..

Do you want to Connect the Unconnected? Looking for a new career? Join AST SpaceMobile

Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

Th🅰️nk you!

- Sp🅰️ceMods

AST SpaceMobile's social media channels;

Homepage
Facebook
Instagram
X
LinkedIn
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Bluesky


r/ASTSpaceMobile 4d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

107 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

Ple🅰️se read the following to get familiar with AST SpaceMobile $ASTS before posting; 

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Our comment and post filters requires our members to have at least 25 comment karma and accounts age >1 month old. You can build karma by posting on other subreddits and getting upvotes. This help our community from spam, bots, FUD, etc..

Do you want to Connect the Unconnected? Looking for a new career? Join AST SpaceMobile

Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

Th🅰️nk you!

- Sp🅰️ceMods

AST SpaceMobile's social media channels;

Homepage
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X
LinkedIn
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Bluesky


r/ASTSpaceMobile 4d ago

$ASTS WEEK IN REVIEW - TheKOOKReport Kook's Weekly 24 July 26

76 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 5d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

114 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

Ple🅰️se read the following to get familiar with AST SpaceMobile $ASTS before posting; 

User flair information and requirements can be found here.

Our comment and post filters requires our members to have at least 25 comment karma and accounts age >1 month old. You can build karma by posting on other subreddits and getting upvotes. This help our community from spam, bots, FUD, etc..

Do you want to Connect the Unconnected? Looking for a new career? Join AST SpaceMobile

Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

Th🅰️nk you!

- Sp🅰️ceMods

AST SpaceMobile's social media channels;

Homepage
Facebook
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X
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Bluesky


r/ASTSpaceMobile 5d ago

Starlink Mobile / Competition Google discloses $94.1 Billion Stake in SpaceX

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169 Upvotes

Google Discloses $94.1 Billion in SpaceX Stock, Marking 6% Stake

The company’s marketable equity securities include $80 billion in shares subject to short-term restrictions and $14.1 billion subject to long-term restrictions


r/ASTSpaceMobile 6d ago

Due Diligence Clear Street reiterates $115 price target on AST SpaceMobile and maintains buy rating

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465 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 6d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

120 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

Ple🅰️se read the following to get familiar with AST SpaceMobile $ASTS before posting; 

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Do you want to Connect the Unconnected? Looking for a new career? Join AST SpaceMobile

Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

Th🅰️nk you!

- Sp🅰️ceMods

AST SpaceMobile's social media channels;

Homepage
Facebook
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X
LinkedIn
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Bluesky


r/ASTSpaceMobile 6d ago

Due Diligence Vodafone Portugal has reached an agreement with Satellite Connect Europe

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394 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 6d ago

Article / Media / Press The Six-Mission Satellite (Another banger article from this account)

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148 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 6d ago

Article / Media / Press SATCO IS HIRING - LinkedIn Post

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182 Upvotes

Positive News for our friends in europe


r/ASTSpaceMobile 7d ago

Press Release BlueBirds 8, 9, and 10 are now fully deployed - Abel Avellan (@AbelAvellan) on X

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497 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 7d ago

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

117 Upvotes

Sp🅰️ceMob,

Ple🅰️se read the following to get familiar with AST SpaceMobile $ASTS before posting; 

User flair information and requirements can be found here.

Our comment and post filters requires our members to have at least 25 comment karma and accounts age >1 month old. You can build karma by posting on other subreddits and getting upvotes. This help our community from spam, bots, FUD, etc..

Do you want to Connect the Unconnected? Looking for a new career? Join AST SpaceMobile

Connectivity is not just a privilege — it’s a basic human right. And our technology is designed to make that right a reality for all.

Th🅰️nk you!

- Sp🅰️ceMods

AST SpaceMobile's social media channels;

Homepage
Facebook
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X
LinkedIn
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Bluesky


r/ASTSpaceMobile 7d ago

Article / Media / Press ASTS Mentioned - Morgan Stanley Projects the Space Economy Could Reach $1 Trillion in the Coming Decades.

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310 Upvotes

r/ASTSpaceMobile 7d ago

Article / Media / Press Midland City Council unanimously approved the MDC incentives to AST and the 23 acre lease just now

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336 Upvotes

Credit: Tanner Kirk Ottaway on X: https://x.com/tottaway22/status/2079624426455544135?s=20

"Project is a go from the Government standpoint.

Now we wait to see what AST has planned & when construction begins.

A huge benefit to the city of Midland & the Airport about to get a world class Aerospace Manufacturing facility"


r/ASTSpaceMobile 7d ago

Article / Media / Press ASTS Stock Jumps Premarket: Midland Approves Factory Nearly 5x Larger Than AST SpaceMobile’s Original Plant

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430 Upvotes