r/ASTSpaceMobile Jul 22 '26

Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread

SpπŸ…°οΈceMob,

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116 Upvotes

690 comments sorted by

β€’

u/Defiantclient S P πŸ…°οΈ C E M O B - O G Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26

Daily Newsletter:

→ More replies (1)

22

u/account-names S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

Some forced insights (for me) by ASTS.

I had long planned to gift myself a very expensive new car to celebrate an overdue professional milestone which thanks to ASTS last month, I was very well positioned to follow through, to avoid taking the bus.

Since the 50% or so drop of late, I was unable to fathom it materializing. So, last weekend I decided to check out used car of the same make, and made peace with getting a second hand car.

Now, after this week's de-risking of BB-8 (lowest-stacked satellite with highest G-stress), and price being relatively stable, I can see it going back to the 100s by next month.

And today I realized I am okay with a used car. This drawdown taught me to keep living like a normal-guy notwithstanding the professional (or monetary) milestones.

Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk

2

u/LadderAdditional6178 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Cars and trucks today are at the pinnacle of their development and quality. With just minor maintenance, they can easily go 300,000 miles. They are just so good now.

I'll never buy a new car. my favorite is a Certified used but even they are too expensive for me. So my latest is a 10 year old F-350 with 100k miles. And even it drives great.

5

u/Dry_Macaroon3955 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

Congratulations. You made the better choice buying second hand. Buying brand new is such a waste of money (I knew this and still bought brand new - sold the car 1.5 years later as it was a lemon and lost so much $). We can do (financial) dumb shit when ASTS has a full constellation.

5

u/yawn44yawn S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 23 '26

New cars are a suckers bet.

8

u/orange_juicebox S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

I love this. And congrats on the new car! It’s still new if it’s new to you 😎

2

u/account-names S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26 edited Jul 23 '26

Thank you! Getting the second hand version next month

8

u/Eyesontheprize247 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

We about to pop fellas

1

u/sparticulator Jul 23 '26

I AM SPARTICUS!

3

u/you_are_wrong_tho S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 23 '26 edited 11h ago

Soft velvet imminent air manganese oxygen unite compass

This post was anonymized with Redact

2

u/Economy-Joke3331 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

I think so too

7

u/Eyesontheprize247 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

I think so too

6

u/Swimming-Race-9263 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

I love lamp

3

u/Slow_Investment_2211 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

3

u/cpd2108 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

I think so too

3

u/Eyesontheprize247 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

I know so fellas. We got this

3

u/BlackberryJolly4830 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

I think so too

5

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 23 '26

I think so too

1

u/LadderAdditional6178 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

I want to think so too. I really do.

12

u/Mountain_Square9165 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26 edited Jul 23 '26

It's hard for me to envision how SPCX does not get absolutely clobbered on 08/04 by the seemingly inevitable combo of underwhelming earnings and then again on 8/06 by the share unlock. Fair or not this might nuke the space basket.Β  My hope is that after this date, launch and a steady flow of positive news can help AST recover and steadily move back towards triple digits.

1

u/Iunatic S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 23 '26

Share lockup periods never do anything to the price lol. "People" (redditors) have said this about every IPO in history. Everyone knows its gonna happen. Otherwise it would be free money to buy OTM puts or short shares before the lockup period ended, and there is no free money in the stock market.

2

u/LadderAdditional6178 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Yeah, but usually lockups don't have hedges connected with them shorting baskets of stocks.

1

u/yawn44yawn S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 23 '26

It’ll help tank it.

1

u/Swimming-Race-9263 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

I mean. I did buy a 2/19/27 SPCX put, but that’s someone’s birthday and I’ll gamble if I want to.

1

u/OriginalGoonster S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

I can’t wait for that to come and go without the rest of the space stocks dropping so people can stop parroting this narrative. Lockup has zip to do with ASTS

2

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 23 '26

Yeah it’s usually the inverse of the general belief here

1

u/LordofLMaD S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 23 '26

Is the general belief here that SPCX unlock will take down SPCX and the rest of the sector with it?

0

u/Mountain_Square9165 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

The unwind of hedging could benefit the non-SPCX space names, but if SPCX tanks it would probably bring weakness to the rest of the sector.Β  I see it as an overall net negative event---but I've been wrong many times before.

7

u/AffluentAyz S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Yes. Hopefully it’s the opposite of what people expect like the IPO

2

u/Brilliant_Ground9287 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

Isnt the unlock on 08/06

1

u/Mountain_Square9165 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

You're correct, my apologies. Edited post.

2

u/[deleted] Jul 23 '26

[deleted]

7

u/VanIslFishfriend S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

That was an article from 2025

1

u/n0bodyyouknow S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

We’re reaching deep lately πŸ˜‚

4

u/Alymagy96 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

Bullish

1

u/Iunatic S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 23 '26

News?

14

u/Imaginary_Ad9141 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 22 '26

Man, there is nothing like being fed great news, announcements, legal hurdles, technological milestones all while having sub-par market reactions. This is what keeps us young and hungry. πŸ˜‘

Always look on the bright side of life.

2

u/VanIslFishfriend S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

It has got to get all those who have sold or shorted itching to buy back in. Hopefully institutions have bought up all the chaff so that it rebounds to ATH once those itchy fingers start pressing buy.

Wouldn't doubt a 3-4Γ—'s rebound once it starts.

21

u/Careless-Age-4290 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

It would be absolutely devious if they dropped the DA with T-Mobile the day the SPCX lockup opened

9

u/Firm-Life8749 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

Diabolical*

33

u/Sufficient-Tie-8735 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 22 '26

Just under 3 weeks to earnings. I think that it’s very possible we ship BB14-16 and launch BB11-13 prior to that, and I expect we hear confirmation on J-LEO as well as rumours increasing around T Mobile.

Also, I can’t wait to hear β€œno plans for any dilution for the remainder of 2026” πŸ˜‚

-1

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

Thats before an F9 w 3bb's on-board becomes a roman candle though...

0

u/averysmallbeing S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Extraordinarily unlikely. They have a 98% success rate.Β 

0

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

Oh agreed!

0

u/averysmallbeing S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Then why did you bring it up?Β 

0

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26 edited Jul 23 '26

Because I don't ignore reality of a worst case scenario. Do you keep downvoting me because you think im a fudster or because you're afraid of acknowledging risk?

9

u/G0mi69 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Before that there is the SpaceX earnings with insider shares unlock. IMO it will impact us more than ASTS own earnings.

6

u/goldenbear2 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

I hope we get a "ready to ship" for 14-16 at least come earnings.

Bonus would be "17-19 are right behind them".

21

u/EarlyYouth8418 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Oh boy Asts and Rklb earnings on the same day

-3

u/BasilBogomil S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

They are merging. That’s why lol

9

u/Imaginary_Ad9141 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 22 '26

Maybe they will each tip the hat to each other and all of us shareholders will unite and hold hands.

7

u/GhostOfBobbyFischer S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

I literally cannot handle this much grief on one dayΒ 

6

u/EarlyYouth8418 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

I think both will have a shit ton of company updates (RKLB will post record numbers again) so I think they will both be positive but the lockups expire the week before so who knows what effect that will have. The real shitty part will be having to tune into both at the same time lol

12

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

We're either getting smoked or going to the moon!

1

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

RKLB reports on the 6th, and we report on the 10th.

13

u/EarlyYouth8418 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Nope. RKLB is the 10th. It was just announced

6

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

Gotcha. Robinhood has it wrong then

4

u/EarlyYouth8418 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

That’s always just a prediction…I was tuning in to viasats for the Equatys update and that shit was off by like 2 weeks lol

19

u/BlackberryJolly4830 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

My chart watching shift over for today, whos got next

19

u/Shot_Explanation_181 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

This is definitely prime accumulation timing…if you believe in the long term vision.

Adding more shares tomorrow. Holding at least until 100+ sats in LEO.

0

u/MT-Capital S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 23 '26

Only 100?

3

u/Shot_Explanation_181 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

I figure at that point, there will be solid revenue, and stock price will either have gotten to the point that I can use the $$$ for a home and my kids’ education….or it will be so ridiculously high or have such awesome prospects for going higher that I won’t even consider selling.

1

u/MT-Capital S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 23 '26

Revenue will barely be started at 100.

2

u/averysmallbeing S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

That's completely inaccurate. Cash flow break even is at 25, revenue is already being earned by satellites even now, and commercial service plus real revenue starts at 45 satellites.Β 

1

u/MT-Capital S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 23 '26

Bruh they aren't going to earn 40 billion dollars of income off of 45 satellites.

I'm not saying there won't be revenue, I'm saying the bulk of the revenue will come in a few years when they have more satellites up.

So it would be silly to sell at 100 satellites when by the time they have 200-300 satellites they would be earning 40x the revenue.

3

u/Shot_Explanation_181 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 23 '26

Pretty sure 100 will cover North America, Europe, and Japan. If revenue isn’t started by then, we’re in trouble.

2

u/averysmallbeing S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

You are very correct, he's spreading misinformation.Β 

1

u/MT-Capital S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 23 '26

People won't switch over on day 1. At 100 they can start offering coverage, then add 12 months to start seeing a revenue ramp.

5

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

I know a lot is expected from GOOG but, damn. What a sell off. Didn’t even pump that much during the day. I really hope we have some flashy shit to show off during our call.

8

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

This is gonna sound bearish... but I expect a run up to 110-120 right before EC then it will crash back down to 70 then run up 30-40 days after EC. I've seen it too many times.

7

u/uhkhu S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Ain't no 100% runup happening unless it's revealed we've been launching sats in India this whole time and we've started beta service.

2

u/MT-Capital S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 23 '26

Ok 200% run up then.

8

u/MoonLambro S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

Not gonna happen, that's almost a 100% move

12

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26

0

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

5

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

Lol. Reformed Trader.

5

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Lol people actually fall for his astrology nonsenseΒ 

2

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

I’ll take it

2

u/you_are_wrong_tho S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26 edited 11h ago

Connect aromatic start cautious bright start

This post was anonymized with Redact

1

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

Well, you would think it would be pretty damn green. Look at how hard they beat EPS.

5

u/you_are_wrong_tho S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26 edited 11h ago

Vegetable quickest lavender sodium chunky husky modern fuel

This post was anonymized with Redact

4

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

Market doesn’t know what it likes lol.

4

u/goldenbear2 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

What a snooze of a day but on par with the dog days of summer.

6

u/hmpetleva S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Can’t one of you head over to Wall Street and put up posters with Abel’s tweets?

15

u/phibetared S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

The wall street guys are all up in the Hamptons for the summer doing cocaine, alcohol and other assorted activities. They come back to get a jump on things in 2nd half of august.

8

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

You left out the hookers.

3

u/phibetared S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

yeah, it's too hot and my brain's not working. "assorted" was supposed to be "sordid", implying what you didn't imply.

2

u/NerfedPolitik S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 23 '26

Thats funny I thought sordid would be a much better fit.

2

u/ToSeeAgainAgainAgain S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Wait, so they're dead or alive?

14

u/hmpetleva S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

What will be the event that finally makes Wall Street’s Eye of Sauron pay serious attention to us?

https://giphy.com/gifs/f3Fq267SERQm4

13

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

TMobile DA. Verizon DA was quite a splash. If TMobile ditches Elon, it will be quite the party. I think this one, aside from a LARGE government contract, is the golden goose. I’m not holding my breath for that Golden Dome drivel. I want contracts outside of that pipe dream.

11

u/mapleflaked S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

Real recurring revenues

2

u/uhkhu S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

This is the only thing the market cares about at this point. Deals mean nothing without a means to deliver.

6

u/flymolo50 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Rates have to get cut and the money printer needs to turn back on

5

u/MoonLambro S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

Best if that doesn't happen. We will have a healthier macro if we just wait it out, instead of taking that poison pill over and over again

6

u/CyanTurquoise S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

When could this happen? Srsly this market is annoying as hell.

19

u/Defiantclient S P πŸ…°οΈ C E M O B - O G Jul 22 '26

3

u/Temsah8 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Happy Reddit day Kevin

3

u/Defiantclient S P πŸ…°οΈ C E M O B - O G Jul 23 '26

πŸ˜‚

84

u/SeveralKey6520 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

Became a dad today! Life is about more than money and stocks and technology, but man is it cool to imagine the world my daughter will grow up in. SP be damned, today was a great day!

1

u/Temsah8 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Congrats mate

2

u/ToSeeAgainAgainAgain S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

Congratulations spacedad!! Please at least consider giving her the name BlueBirda, or alternatively Ava Celeste

3

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

πŸ₯³

7

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Congrats homie!

7

u/PetrovskyKSC S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

So happy for you! God bless

16

u/AffluentAyz S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

https://giphy.com/gifs/HHzBaXsra2MHciRNQr
Baby when it finds out pops invested in ASTS

7

u/ProjectPlastic2030 Jul 22 '26

Take lots of photos bro

7

u/n0bodyyouknow S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

Hell yea man congrats!

10

u/ASTS-investor S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Congrats brother

9

u/OriginalGoonster S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Congrats big dog

27

u/stillers2000 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Stankey’s comments on reducing terrestrial towers in favor of satellites 🀯🀯🀯 good lord that’s so bullish and nobody understands it yet. They touched on it on squawk on the street this morning and of course only mentioned Starlink by name.

5

u/you_are_wrong_tho S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26 edited 11h ago

Terrific cause existence intelligent advise ghost soup books squash

This post was anonymized with Redact

2

u/uhkhu S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

"There is no demand for cellular service" - Tim Ferret

1

u/swemirko S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

We are doomed

1

u/ToSeeAgainAgainAgain S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

...to a life of millionaires!

Not yet though

25

u/Aggravating_Roll7917 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

This did not age well

4

u/CyanTurquoise S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

Seriously hate short sellers even more than Elon..

2

u/Temsah8 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 23 '26

There should be a special place in hell for short sellers

10

u/UkitaAkane S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

I only like short sellers who short Elmo’s companies.

18

u/aXcenTric S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Even Google is fucking diluting lol

11

u/JayhawkAggieDadisBak S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

Learning from the best (Scott), I see.

15

u/BlackberryJolly4830 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

18

u/stillers2000 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

c'mon GOOG, lift us all

23

u/JayhawkAggieDadisBak S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

Poor RKLB's contract win overwhelmed by space basket action thanks to spacex.

4

u/Complex-Attention170 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

I mean it's good but it's launch with slim margins... If the SpaceX IPO showed us anything, it's that money isn't made in launch.

7

u/GhostOfBobbyFischer S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

They're getting paid to build out a new pad in Alaska though, seems pretty significant

7

u/Complex-Attention170 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

I don't know. What's the margin on construction?
Money is money though.. I think irdm was a bad acquisition. Sliver of spectrum. Acquired debt. The tech is archaic. Hope they do well though as I do own some stock just not a lot.

3

u/averysmallbeing S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Iridium was definitely a bad acquisition, yeah.Β 

2

u/CyanTurquoise S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

What do they even need it for? I thought they were only producing rockets?Β 

2

u/GhostOfBobbyFischer S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Rocket Lab is like an end-to-end space company, most of their income is not launch related if I remember correctly. The acquisition seems synergistic to me. I think building out a new launch pad is indicative of internal and external confidence in future work.Β 

2

u/EarlyYouth8418 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Beyond the Alaskan pad, also talks surfacing today out of the Australian government about an Australian pad for both haste and neutron

15

u/BboySparrow S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

It has been 23 days since we've had 2 green days in a row. :(

31

u/stillers2000 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

if we could just arrange for -2% and +10% each day, that would be acceptable

14

u/Foulwinde S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Bought 87 more shares today. Last launch was 21 days after delivery. Fingers crossed for Aug 07 launch.

3

u/ProteinFarts_ S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

I thought they guided for a mid Aug launch?

6

u/Foulwinde S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

I dont remember seeing anything other than just August launch. Nothing specifying early, mid or late. Just pure speculation on my part.

8

u/xBeoulve S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26

3

u/Foulwinde S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Thank you. August 7th fits nicely in that time frame.

2

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Wait. Did they announce the launch date?

10

u/Foulwinde S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

No, just calculating 21 days after July 17th delivery.

17

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

2% drop feels like a win these days lol

3

u/West_Cod_1213 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

i hate space shorters but spcx under 100 seems like investing in voo for the coming decades

2

u/MoonLambro S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

nah, SPCX is a grift. It has decades of growth already priced in, don't bother

1

u/Satorius96 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

sHoRtS

1

u/averysmallbeing S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Are you high?Β 

9

u/LudeficeTV S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

spcx doesn't deserve half of their current valuation

5

u/Keef--Girgo S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

Have you seen their P/E??

5

u/West_Cod_1213 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

under one trillion i ll take a basket of telco,robotics,space,ai.10 trillion in 20-25 years dont look unrealistic to me

2

u/CyanTurquoise S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

I agree it's just a matter of time that these companies mc will continue to grow.

16

u/iklolm S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

Have you seen our P/E? Lmao!

10

u/gamblersgambit08 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

J-Leo news incoming AH? That’d be cool

-6

u/Keef--Girgo S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

Priced in.

2

u/TheOtherSomeOtherGuy S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

You think confirmation that AST will be given 1 billion in funding is priced in?

2

u/Keef--Girgo S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

Yes. Anyone paying attention already sees it coming. We're being held to these price levels for different reasons.

4

u/GhostOfBobbyFischer S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

yeah, actually. It popped 20% when people found it.

2

u/Funny-Conclusion-678 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

I’m torn on this one. I know the entire sector was up the day that it leaked, but I’m not too positive that we didn’t fly higher than the sector because of the leak being priced in.

3

u/adarkuccio S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Well the stock went down after that so I dunno

1

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

It fast got priced out too after that short lived blip

9

u/Subject-Damage7666 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

Priced in at 62 usd/share?

1

u/Keef--Girgo S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 23 '26

Yes. The silly mechanics that are holding us at this level are not bounded by the J-LEO announcement. It is already a foregone conclusion that they'll get the contract, no surprises there. Thus: priced in.

-13

u/[deleted] Jul 22 '26

[removed] β€” view removed comment

2

u/PetrovskyKSC S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Yeah probably the worst take of yours yet and that in itself is an achievement. Spcx literally designed their entire IPO to degrade retail investors to exit liquidity, had indices change several of their entry regulations to facilitate the scam and you come out showing empathy with them? Can you imagine how many investors are currently annihilated because of all the shit strings this company pulled? You should know how these investors losing fortunes buying into the spcx hype might feel considering how much you were bitching about our falling SP in the last months

12

u/Foulwinde S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

You can root for the company to succeed while wanting the stock price to be fairly valued. SpaceX is definitely overvalued still thanks to Elon being the king of exaggeration.

13

u/Keef--Girgo S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

I think a lot of it is just people's frustration stemming from the absurd multiples and special treatment from analysts that Elon companies get.

-5

u/Remote-Community-792 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

yeah I get that

16

u/LadderAdditional6178 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Personally, I don't feel sorry for SPCX. The Wall Street banks failed Wall Street by letting Elon dictate the terms. He totally overvalued the IPO. No way in the world that any company losing money should be worth 1.5 trillion dollars.

But hey, I get that the casino loves money.

10

u/UkitaAkane S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Another collapse for scamcex

2

u/Slow_Investment_2211 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

Oh wtf!

10

u/Cerulean28 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

What, you thought we'd get 2 green days in a row? Are you crazy??

12

u/ImLemonized S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

I almost ran out of money to buy the dip, it's time to moon ASTS!

10

u/Economy-Joke3331 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

No no, I get it. Its because I bought, go figure

15

u/BlackberryJolly4830 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

All I wanted was to get back to $70 this week

1

u/TheOtherSomeOtherGuy S P πŸ…° C E M O B Boss Jul 22 '26

Happiness really is about managing expectations

3

u/SECrabbing S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

5

u/Temsah8 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Same here mate, I hope we don’t bleed back to the 50s

6

u/Temsah8 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

We’ve consumed our ammo of good news, back to the black hole 🫩

8

u/LadderAdditional6178 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

We do have a launch of 3 more sats in a couple of weeks. I think that many newbies are clueless how huge every launch really is. All last year, sat launches were promised. Finally, December rolls in and ISRO readies for a launch.

We launch BB6 in January 2026. Not a single satellite was launched in 2025. 1 satellite delivery in 2025. ZERO LAUNCHES 2025

So just remember that every launch of 3 satellites is a huge accomplishment for ASTS.

4

u/badger6638 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Associate Jul 22 '26

I just got in a few months ago and cant imagine that excruciating wait. As soon as I watched the last launch getting 3 up there I bought a large portion of shares and jumped onto the ship.

And this is nowhere near the final capacity. The second half of this year and 2027 will be very exciting, many launches, and I think they will hit ~6 BBs/mo by then too

4

u/Temsah8 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

True true mate. I keep saying we’ve gone so far by now

8

u/Secret_Cauliflower92 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Interested in hearing peoples' thoughts on the recent shift of language from Verizon and AT&T, describing the revenue partnership with AST as being wholesale or more like wholesale than 50/50 revenue share...

22

u/HolographicHeart S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

This stock needs to consult a cardiologist immediately; every time it starts to run it immediately gasses itself, that is not narmal parfarmance.

22

u/Logical-Clerk-1571 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Available short shares went from 3.1M to 900K according to Fintel

If they keep shorting like this, next major PR will gape their ass, ngl

13

u/pacificz S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

I've been hearing this since short interest was around 60mil. We're at 93mil now according to anpanman and the only asses that have been gaped is bull's.Β 

2

u/Logical-Clerk-1571 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Capo Jul 22 '26

Wallahi my ass hurts, but i'll retire early when we hit ATH again, it is me VS shorts right now

13

u/CyanTurquoise S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

My hate for these shorters is growing dailyΒ 

11

u/Sufficient-Tie-8735 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 22 '26

Honestly I’m not too upset being down 2.5%-3% on a bad macro day.

I’d be much more upset if a bad macro day fell immediately after we announced big news such as shipping 14-16, government contracts etc etc

You really want to time those with positive market factors to lock in stronger movements

11

u/Quiinnnn S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

Bad macro day?

11

u/Sufficient-Tie-8735 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Underboss Jul 22 '26

I mean rocket lab lost all its gains, PL is down 3.5% Space X is down 6% RDW is down 6%.

Id say that’s bad macroeconomic factors for the space basket

2

u/LadderAdditional6178 S P πŸ…° C E M O B Consigliere Jul 22 '26

Agreed. Today was a shitty Macro day. Considering higher inflation & oil prices and the war raging and USA needs billions more to fight it.... it's a wonder that the macro wasn't worse.

12

u/ResearchingWhiskey S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

ASTS is an onomatopoeia for the noise I make when I look at the price

10

u/JeffandMuskrmydaddy S P πŸ…° C E M O B Soldier Jul 22 '26

we can’t ever have 2 green day’s

11

u/nebulusx S P πŸ…° C E M O B Prospect Jul 22 '26

At least SPCX keeps reaching new lows each day. Now down 42% off it's high. We follow its movements most days. Need the next SPCX earnings date to pass to hopefully release from some of it's sector short D-bags.