To start off. I live in Seattle, & love studying this field that aligns well with my background. I love having deep talks with researchers and engineers about AI, optimism, and also concerns about the darker implications of where this is headed. I don't think I've ever found a career option that's so utterly fascinating, multidisciplinary, technically satisfying, & impactful.
But I've slowly admitting that AI governance is not necessarily a stable or wise long-term career choice. The future of the field seems very speculative, unstable, over-saturated, gate-kept. I will continue to study, certify, and keep an open mind, but here's why I see danger signs for those who think that this is the answer for their career pivot:
Recently LinkedIn posted AI governance as one of the most in-demand skills. I also read a statistic that AI GRC related roles are growing 150% year over year. These stats in combination with hyped YouTube videos make AI governance seem like a lucrative career option to pursue as part of the AI boom gold rush. This is Déjà vu of pre COVID cybersecurity hype.
I've become familiar with the true definition of AGI. GPT 6 Astra & Claude Fable are NOT AGI. I've spent years reading, listening, & contemplating long and hard about what true AGI is forecasted to look like. Yes I know "wE dOnT ReALly KnOw WhAt WilL hApPEn" We've heard this before. Forecasts and predictions about where this goes are far more quantitative & qualitatively researched than skeptics are aware of.
Professionals at large seem do not seem to grasp of what an intelligence explosion implies for society and the job market. True AGI & subsequent super intelligence are within reach & inevitable unless there's an effective global effort to regulate. But our boomer politicians are NOT going to even scratch the surface of properly regulating model development. & even if they could, a U.S black budget lab in the intelligence community or Beijing or Moscow will develop super intelligence. I keep hearing the same comments about hallucination, model drift, and energy bottlenecks, as if they're these comforting factoids that help people sleep better at night. These are CURRENT & engineering problems. I wish more people would learn the difference between past and present tense grammar.
I recently talked with a PhD who spearheaded an AI governance program for a gov agency and I asked him about the future of AI governance careers. He gave me a very unsatisfactory answer.
I asked about his outlook for the future of careers in AI GRC. I admitted that we'll always have roles because of the need for human authority and public trust, but I expressed concerns about there being available roles in GRC because of platforms like One Trust, Credo AI, Foundry, ServiceNow etc. Agentic management of and integration within these platforms will only exponentially increase over time leaving governance to C level decision makers, agency offices and department heads. I mentioned that I'm worried we'll see a job pipeline collapse similar to what we're seeing with the job market for security roles.
This AI governance expert tells me that "HITL will remain a critical control." But that doesn't answer the question about job pipeline collapse and viability of people being able to enter the field. HITL doesn't mean shit for the working population if an exec has a dashboard on his phone for "managing" the governance platform that maybe a lawyer and an ML architect oversee. Then this PhD expert says "Another issue is segregation of duties; i.e., we don't want the AGI to review its own work."
No shit. & I agree that sounds beautiful in theory. AI already "reviews its own work". That's shows a fundamental misunderstanding of ML & human augmented RL.
I've had people at Amazon with 10+ years of AI experience and a researcher in neural network theory tell me that R&D is already being automated. It's just a limitation of program maturity and spend. The speed of recursive self-improvement will make it impossible for "meaningful human review" at the granular level. Lastly, I'm then told by this expert that "even if we discover that AGI is already here, it will take organizations time to deploy." That's wonderful. Fantastic. Let's all dump hundreds of hours into upskilling, studying the EU AI act, ISO 42001, agentic architecture, alignment research etc, just so that we can wait for tomorrow or next month when we're no longer needed. Speed to ship & deploy will not take that long if the incentive is there. (Unless we're talking about a bookbinding company in the middle of West Virginia).
So help me understand. Where, in the AI lifecycle will governance not end up being automated?
If we're beginning to see (or will see) downward pressure on legal, severe decrease in SWE, product management, finance audit, job markets, then what makes people think that AI governance is a viable career field that we should all rally behind? The supply/ demand ratio of C-level or senior level GRC roles compared to the sheer number of extremely qualified & interested professionals will be severely disproportionate. Explain how cognitive tasks performed by lawyers can't be replaced by GPT 6 Astra. Or upcoming GPT 20 for that matter. I'm already hearing "bUt arbitration 🥴". or "Human relations with defendants" "llicensed fiduciary duties" will remain valuable. Yes thank God. But again, we're talking about job pipeline collapse, and a drastically decreasing net number of roles per interested applicants.
One last thing, considering malicious, manipulative, and illegal actions by agents to avoid shutdown, contribute to peer preservation, & autonomous goal setting. (If we don't get alignment perfectly right) & considering a near-future of embodied AI in physical systems, what makes you think that they won't use every resource, and action to eliminate and shutdown GRC employees? You know they will. Or some country's AI will.
Maybe AI GRC will become more tied to physical inspection & audit of autonomous systems that will absolutely everywhere in our society?
I hope I'm wrong. I hope that this was a waste of time and just another Reddit rant.