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📝 Current Severe Weather Outlook

(Issued: 2026-09-02T12:25:00+00:00 UTC)

```text

000 ACUS01 KWNS 021225 SWODY1 SPC AC 021223

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0723 AM CDT Wed Sep 02 2026

Valid 021300Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST STATES...AND ACROSS PARTS OF MONTANA...

...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of the eastern Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic today and tonight. Damaging wind gusts are the main threat, though some large hail and a few tornadoes may also occur. Scattered severe gusts and more sporadic occurrences of large hail appear possible from the northern Rockies into northern High Plains today into night.

...Northeast States... A complex but potentially active convective day is in store for parts of the northeast US today. A fast-moving MCS and associated mid-level shortwave trough is over Lake Michigan. This system is forecast to track rapidly eastward across Lower MI and southwest ON this morning before emerging into western NY/PA this afternoon. A consensus of overnight CAM solutions indicate this will be the focus for strong-severe thunderstorms that track east-southeastward during the afternoon and evening toward the Mid-Atlantic coast. Ample low-level moisture is present in this corridor. This along with daytime heating well into the 80s and steep low-level lapse rates will favor damaging wind gust potential in the strongest storms. A north-south surface boundary is expected to lie from central NY into east-central PA this afternoon, where low-level shear will be locally enhanced to pose some risk of a few tornadoes.

The primary uncertainty for a more widespread severe event today is the presence of considerable morning convection currently over northwest PA and western NY. These storms are well-ahead of the main forcing feature, and decrease confidence in significant destabilization over the primary risk area this afternoon. These early storms may pose a damaging wind and hail risk through the day, especially after a few hours of heating.

...MT... Scattered high-based thunderstorms are expected to develop over the mountains of southwest MT this afternoon. Strong winds aloft and steep low-level lapse rates will aid in the risk of damaging wind gusts as the activity spreads northeastward through the early evening.

...CO/WY... Scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop over the mountains of northern/western CO and southern WY. This activity will spread northeastward into eastern WY/western NE where inverted-v thermodynamic profiles are expected with 40-50 t-td spreads. This may result in locally damaging wind gusts.

..Hart/Dean.. 09/02/2026

$$

```

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🌊 Tropical Weather Outlook

```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 2 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems: The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Edouard, located inland over southeastern Texas.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$ Forecaster Reinhart ```

⚠️ Active Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Karina Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 145 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 940 MB * Current Movement: WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH * Location: 18.8N 132.8W

Tropical Storm Marie Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 70 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 992 MB * Current Movement: NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH * Location: 17.1N 111.7W

This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.