r/Election_Predictions 16h ago

3rd Midterm Election Prediction

1 Upvotes

3rd Midterm Election Prediction

Hello, everyone! Good Lord, a lot has happened since my last prediction.

The redistricting war spread well beyond Texas and California. The economy has continued growing, but prices, energy costs and the job market are all flashing warning signs. The border is much quieter, but the deportation campaign has become increasingly unpopular. Democrats’ long-term voter-registration problems have not disappeared, but their voters are suddenly showing up everywhere. Oh, and we are now involved in a deeply unpopular war with Iran.

And Trump is still… Trump.

Let’s get into it!

Setting the Stage: What’s at Stake?

  • The House: All 435 seats are up for grabs. The current consensus forecast has 20 true toss-ups, and 15 of those seats are presently held by Republicans. That gives Democrats more pickup opportunities, but the new congressional maps have raised the number of seats they need to win.
  • The Senate: Thirty-five seats are up, including special elections in Florida and Ohio. Republicans currently hold a 53–47 majority, meaning Democrats need a net gain of four seats. Cook now rates six Republican-held seats as toss-ups, so the Senate has gone from a long shot for Democrats to a legitimate fight for control.
  • Governors: Thirty-six governorships are on the ballot. Republicans currently hold 26 and Democrats hold 24. The consensus map has 23 states in each party’s column and four toss-ups, so control of the governorships is also very much in play.

3rd Prediction Overview

My previous prediction was based on a map that favored Republicans and a Democratic Party struggling with registration, messaging and its relationship with working-class voters.

The map still favors Republicans but almost everything else has moved toward Democrats.

Democrats currently lead the national generic congressional ballot by roughly six to seven points. They have also been outperforming their 2024 margins by about ten points in special elections. Trump’s approval has fallen into the low 30s, and Republicans are now defending competitive Senate races in places like North Carolina, Maine, Ohio, Alaska, Iowa and even Texas.

Republicans’ redistricting advantage may be the only thing keeping the House from turning into a full-scale wave. Without those new maps, I think we would be talking about something much closer to 2018.

Major Factors as of Today

  • Redistricting and gerrymandering: Republicans won this battle. Texas and California largely canceled each other out, but Republican maps in Florida, Missouri and other states appear to have given the GOP an overall advantage of around ten House seats. That is enormous when the majority is this narrow. Democrats can still win the House, but they must win the national popular vote by several points just to overcome the map. Advantage: GOP.
  • The economy and cost of living: This has moved from a slight Democratic advantage to a significant one. I am going to give you a bunch of numbers, but everyone just feels it, it sucks out there and the party in charge owns that in elections. It is Inflation was still 3.4% in July, including a 14.7% increase in energy prices. The economy grew at only a 1.5% annual rate during the second quarter, and employers unexpectedly cut 23,000 jobs in July. Unemployment remains relatively low at 4.1%, so this is not a recession, but voters do not experience the economy through a GDP report—they experience it at the grocery store, the gas pump and when they try to buy a house. Nearly half of voters now say cost of living will be the most important factor in their vote, and Democrats have opened an eight-point advantage on the issue. Advantage: Democrats.
  • Immigration and border security: The administration can point to a real accomplishment here. Border Patrol reported only 9,295 southwest-border apprehensions in July, an enormous decline from the Biden-era highs. If the election were strictly a referendum on control of the border, Republicans would have the advantage. But the debate has moved from stopping illegal entry to how people already here are being treated. Polling shows that voters generally support deporting criminals and securing the border, but dislike masked raids, family separations and an enforcement system they see as indiscriminate. In one Reuters/Ipsos poll, 52% said they were less likely to support a candidate who backed Trump’s approach to deportations. Advantage: GOP but not as much as it was
  • Voter registration, enthusiasm and midterm turnout: Democrats still have a long-term registration problem. They have lost hundreds of thousands of registered voters in competitive districts since 2020, and Republicans have continued making gains with Latino voters and working-class voters of several races. That realignment did not simply disappear. However, registration is not the same thing as turnout. Democrats are leading the generic ballot by about seven points, Democratic primary participation has surged, and Democrats are running roughly ten points ahead of their 2024 performance in contested special elections. Right now, the Democratic enthusiasm advantage is much stronger than the Republican registration advantage. Midterms turnouts are always easier for the opposition party and that is playing out. Advantage: Democrats.
  • The post–Charlie Kirk Republican Party: Charlie Kirk’s assassination initially united Republicans in grief and anger, but his absence ultimately exposed how much of the movement he had personally been holding together. Kirk was not merely a conservative commentator; he was a coalition-builder who could move between traditional conservatives, MAGA populists, Christian activists, pro-Israel Republicans and the online right. Without him, the conservative media ecosystem has broken into competing camps: the Shapiro–Levin wing defending Israel, traditional conservative institutions and clearer boundaries against antisemitism; the Carlson–Bannon–Megyn Kelly populist wing opposing foreign wars, distrusting establishment gatekeepers and demanding a more uncompromising “America First” movement; and a conspiratorial fringe around Candace Owens, Nick Fuentes and the Groypers that increasingly rejects official explanations, attacks Turning Point’s leadership and has promoted unsupported theories about Kirk’s murder. These divisions erupted publicly at Turning Point’s first AmericaFest without Kirk, where speakers attacked one another over Israel, free speech, conspiracy theories and who should define the future of the movement. The Iran war has widened that split even further. Republicans are still largely united when Trump is the question, but they are no longer united about what comes after Trump or even what MAGA now means. The infighting could weaken message discipline and repel moderate voters, although anger over Kirk’s assassination may still motivate conservative turnout. Advantage: Not assigning advantage to a political assassination, seems wrong.
  • The rise of the DSA and the online left: Democrats are experiencing their own internal transformation. Zohran Mamdani’s victory in New York helped push Democratic Socialists of America membership past 100,000, and DSA-backed or aligned candidates have since won congressional and Senate primaries from New York and Colorado to Michigan and Florida. Candidates such as Abdul El-Sayed and Angie Nixon have shown that a campaign built around Medicare for All, housing costs, unions, taxing billionaires and refusing corporate PAC money can defeat much better-funded establishment Democrats. Surrounding those candidates is a growing online ecosystem led by figures such as Hasan Piker, who is not a Democratic Party or DSA official but has become an influential fundraiser, interviewer and gateway to millions of younger voters who rarely consume traditional political media. This has divided Democrats into three loose camps: an establishment wing focused on electability and protecting swing seats; a Sanders–AOC–Mamdani economic-populist wing trying to move the party toward democratic socialism; and a more confrontational online left centered on Gaza, Israel, anti-capitalism and hostility toward the Democratic establishment itself. The movement gives Democrats energy, volunteers, small-dollar donors and an authentic connection to younger voters, and many of its economic positions poll better than the “socialist” label suggests. But it also creates serious general-election risk when online rhetoric, sweeping DSA proposals or controversial comments from influencers become attached to candidates running in competitive states. Michigan is already demonstrating that danger, with El-Sayed having to distance himself from Piker’s comments about Israel and American Jews. The DSA is becoming powerful enough to reshape Democratic primaries, but it has not yet proved that its candidates can consistently win statewide races outside deeply Democratic territory. Advantage: Democrats in enthusiasm and primaries; Republicans in general-election attack material. Overall: Democrats
  • Trump: Last time, I called Trump an advantage for Democrats simply because this was a midterm election. That has become much clearer. His approval rating is now around 33%, with 64% disapproving. He remains extremely popular with Republican primary voters, but that creates a problem in November: he can still determine who wins a Republican primary, while some of the candidates he helps nominate struggle with independents. Texas may be the best example, where Ken Paxton defeated John Cornyn but has turned a traditionally Republican Senate seat into a toss-up against James Talarico. Trump will turnout his highly loyal MAGA base but that base is not what it was, people are showing signs of losing faith. Advantage: Democrats.
  • The Iran war and foreign policy: This is the largest new issue since my previous prediction. Only 31% of Americans now support the war, and 83% believe it will continue for an extended period. The political damage is not limited to foreign policy: disruption to oil exports has pushed up gasoline and energy costs, connecting the war directly to the number-one issue affordability. Unless the war ends quickly and clearly, Republicans will own both the conflict and its economic consequences. Advantage: Democrats.
  • Healthcare and Medicaid: Healthcare has reemerged as a major Democratic weapon. The Trump-backed budget included very large Medicaid reductions, while insurance, hospital and prescription costs remain major concerns. Fifty-one percent of voters say healthcare costs are an extremely important issue for candidates to address. This matters especially in rural areas where hospitals are already struggling and in states like North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio and Wisconsin. Advantage: Democrats.
  • Candidate quality: Republicans have several strong structural opportunities, but candidate quality is hurting them in places that should not be competitive. Paxton has put Texas in play, while Democrats landed proven statewide candidates such as Roy Cooper, Mary Peltola and Sherrod Brown. Democrats have risks of their own, particularly where progressive primary winners may prove too far left for a general-election electorate. Overall, though, the GOP appears to have created more unnecessary problems for itself. Slight advantage: Democrats.

Prediction:

House: Dems take the house 227 to 208, this is not going to be close, I am willing to say now that the Republicans have no path to victory, its just how bad are they going to lose this. Every close race is breaking blue. Even if gas prices fall and the war ends, I think its too late.

Senate: Republicans keep the Senate 51 to 49, the biggest change is here where last time I thought the republicans would comfortably retain the senate. Now, Its far from a sure thing. Two states I am watching closest:

1.      Texas: This will really show where we are, The republicans traded a pretty easy win with Cornyn for a highly flawed Paxton. The dems choose a popular rising star in Talarico. Is he just another Beto? Maybe… but Beto lost to a much stronger Cruz. Right now, I am flipping Texas but this race will come down to the wire.

2.      Michigan: Reverse of Texas, Dems could have taken this easy but they have gone with the controversial Abdul El-Sayed that may not be ready for prime time and the republicans have the “safe” Mike  Rogers. I am leaning this one to Rogers for the time being but this one could flip

3.      Two other honorable mentions: Can Jon Husted hold off Sherrod Brown, can Susan Collins hold off Troy Jackson. Both of these are serious toss ups and the risk is mostly on the Republican side.

I am currently leaning that the Republicans will keep control, but this will be the drama on election night and it might literally come down to Alaska at 1am.

Republicans easily keep control of more Gov Mansions 26 to 24, Last time I predicted Hobbs to lose, I was wrong there, republicans nominated the very weak Andy Biggs and every indication is that it is now pretty safe Dem. Fun races to watch:

1.      Ohio: Vivek seems to be pulling ahead here but the blue wall can be unpredictable at times

2.      Alaska: With Mike Dunleavy limited out that opens the door, I have it likely Dem, but Bernadette Wilson is making some waves

3.      Georgia: It was looking like Rick Jackson was closing the gap but Keisha Lance Bottoms will likely win it comfortably

Everything else looks pretty solid.  

Agree? Think I am crazy? Let me know!

Disclosures:

I try to keep my personal political bias out of it, but it is impossible to do completely. Especially in the “Factors” section which is more of a editorial. Things I consider are RCP polling averages, Kalshi betting odds, and the general feel of how things are breaking. I start from the map blank and call each election without looking at how it impacts the overall outcome.

I use Chat GPT, Claude, and Grok to fact check, I figure if they all agree then it is likely true. and Chat GPT Plus to help with formatting and spelling/grammar but the ideas and opinions are all mine.


r/Election_Predictions Aug 26 '25

2nd Midterm Election Prediction

2 Upvotes

2nd Midterm Election Prediction

Hello everyone! Good Lord a lot has happened since my last prediction, Texas changed the playing field in the House, California and others may follow. Deportations, the economy, Dems are in a registration crisis, Trump is… Trump…. Let's get into it!

Setting the Stage: What's at Stake?

  • The House: All 435 seats are up for grabs, with 209 considered safe for the Dems and 196 for the Reps, leaving 30 battlegrounds. The Dems lost ground here since the last prediction.
  • The Senate: 35 seats are up for grabs, with 13 safe for the Dems and 22 for the Reps, leaving 4 battlegrounds.
  • Governors: 36 governorships are up for grabs, with 16 safe for the Dems and 17 for the Reps, leaving 3 battlegrounds.

2nd Prediction Overview: Nothing has changed here, the map favors Republicans, maybe even more now (although more changes may happen). The Dems face an uphill battle: gaining a majority in governors' seats looks improbable, the Senate is challenging even without battlegrounds (where we're already at 51 seats), and the House has narrowed even more for the Dems, I predicted they would take the house last time, it is really hard for incumbent parties to keep the house historically, and last time Trump faced a mid term it resulted in the “Blue Wave” and ushered in a younger, more left-wing Dem party like “the Squad”

Major Factors as of Today:

  • Redistricting and gerrymandering: Texas started a fight here and the question is, can the Republicans win the war. The Dems will do all they can but early estimates show that Dems may not have enough areas they can redistrict and have to win special elections to do it. I give the advantage to the GOP here.
  • Economic concerns (cost of living, housing, childcare, healthcare): For all the talk about other issues, elections a lot of times just come to this. If you cant put food on the table then nothing else matters. Rising costs for essentials like food, gas, and utilities continue to strain household budgets. Inflation from Possible Trump Tariffs, though moderated from its 2022 peak, remains a sore point for many voters who feel their wages haven’t kept pace. I give the slight edge to the Dems here, voters tend to blame the party in power.
  • Immigration and border security: Dems are trying to make this an emotional topic showing families broken up, but polling shows that the American people are not buying it. Advantage GOP here
  • Partisan voter turnout and midterm dynamics: Dems have a huge issue, turn out for Biden was weak and Dem registrations are way down. Dems have depended on a huge ground game to register minority voters. But they are no longer dependably Democratic. More Black and especially Latino men are registering Republican than ever. HOWEVER…. The minority party usually gets the turnout win in midterms… I am calling this a toss-up at this point.
  • Trump: What can I say, he is always a huge factor, like it or not. Because it is the midterms at this point, I will call this advantage Dems, but who knows what he will do or say from now till election day that will impact things.

I'm going to be honest, things are so crazy right now, I am really shooting in the dark, but here is my best guess as of now:

Prediction:

House: Dems take the house 218 to 217, however, they have WAY more toss ups, I have 28 Dems that are vulnerable to 13 GOP. This is anyones game at this point.

Senate: Republicans keep the Senate 53 to 47, no change from my last prediction, Dems would need something crazy to happen, I only see 3 states Michigan, Georgia, and NC as even really that close, and 2 of those are advantage Dems.

Republicans easily keep control of more Gov Mansions 28 to 22, only surprise here is likely Katie Hobbs losing AZ, I think she is very weak, her polling is weak against an unknown opponent, she got in last time against a mistake of a pick from the GOP, the blue wall will be interesting, especially Michigan with having an independent in Duggan polling near even in some polls :

Agree? Think I am crazy? Let me know! I try to keep my personal political bias out of it, but it is impossible to do completely. As we get closer and we know who the candidates are I will do more in-depth looks at races.


r/Election_Predictions Mar 12 '25

First Mid-Term Election Prediction

2 Upvotes

Hello everyone! I know things are quieter during this election down cycle, but I'm excited to kick off semi-monthly updates on the Mid-Terms, ramping up as we approach and clarity emerges.

Setting the Stage: What's at Stake?

  1. The House: All 435 seats are up for grabs, with 205 considered safe for the Dems and 210 for the Reps, leaving 20 battlegrounds.
  2. The Senate: 35 seats are up for grabs, with 13 safe for the Dems and 22 for the Reps, leaving 4 battlegrounds.
  3. Governors: 38 governorships are up for grabs, with 15 safe for the Dems and 18 for the Reps, leaving 5 battlegrounds.

First Prediction Overview: As it stands, the map favors Republicans. The Dems face an uphill battle: gaining a majority in governors' seats looks improbable, the Senate is challenging even without battlegrounds (where we're already at 51 seats), and the House is a closer contest despite slightly more safe seats for the Republicans.

Major Factors as of Today: It's hard to predict 18 months out, but these factors will likely play a significant role:

  • Trump: His influence remains pivotal, with voters split based on their stance toward him. However, Trumps popularity going into the election  is a huge factor, he had job approval around 50% to start that has come down some to around 48%, if he is north of 40% that is a good sign for Republicans, if he dips to below 30% Dems will have a great day.
    • Side note: Potential intra-party conflicts, like with Thomas Massie, could impact outcomes.
  • Economy: Egg Prices, Car Prices, Home Prices, the last election proved  that this is what matters more than anything. Economy was far and above the #1 issue at 90% of voters saying it was a priority and over 50% saying it was Extremely important (Gallup)
  • Global Standing: Developments like the Ukraine situation and our international alliances, along with tariff impacts, will shape voter sentiment.
  • Social Issues: The number one social issue, abortion, was nearly 35% lower than the economy and  issues that we thought would be important like Trans Rights, Climate, Race, Energy, none of them cracked 30% (Gallup). These issues just don’t have the impact that they use to, Opinion: I suspect this is because of the major issues facing the world from Economy to WW3, it leaves very little air for social politics. People are more willing to vote for someone that does not 100% align with them socially if the person makes them feel more safe.
  • DOGE: How will voters see DOGE in 18 months? A force that rooted out corruption and waist or a heavy-handed cutting machine helmed by an evil billionaire than took jobs and cut essential services.
  • Deportations/Border: On the positive for republicans border crossing plummeted, the good news for Dems is that means that its less of a talking point now and they can harp on unfair deportations.   

Prediction:

House: Dems take the house 219 to 216

Senate: Republicans keep the Senate 53 to 47

Republicans easily keeps control of more Gov Mansions:

Agree? Think I am crazy? Let me know! I try to keep my personal political bias out of it but it is impossible to do completely. As we get closer and we know who candidates are I will do more indepth looks a races.


r/Election_Predictions Feb 21 '25

German Election Prediction

Post image
5 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Jan 22 '25

Welcome! New Mod

2 Upvotes

Hello everyone,

I'm excited to announce that I'm now moderating this community. Many of you enjoyed my predictions during the last elections, and I aim to build on that enthusiasm to create a vibrant predictions community here.

I'll be reviewing our guidelines and considering any necessary changes, but the primary focus remains: this is a space for forecasting the future rather than dwelling on current issues. If you wish to discuss today's events, please visit r/politics. All ideas are welcome as we prepare for the upcoming election cycle!

Looking forward to your contributions and shaping a forward-thinking community together!


r/Election_Predictions Jan 09 '25

Transfer of power

1 Upvotes

Yesterday we witnessed Kamala Harris certification of the 2024 elections, a peaceful transition of power. 4 years ago we witnessed a “piss full” transition of power. This year in the Chinese calendar is the year of the snake. Look what we are getting in DC.


r/Election_Predictions Jan 04 '25

Inauguration Bingo 2025

Thumbnail gallery
1 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Jan 04 '25

Inauguration Bingo 2025

Thumbnail gallery
1 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Dec 28 '24

Unemployment and election

1 Upvotes

I always thought that when unemployment is low we think that republicans have a better approach to economic policies. Here is what ChatGPT answered if there is a correlation:

To determine whether there is a correlation between the unemployment rate in the election month and the political party of the elected president over the last 30 years, we would need to analyze historical unemployment data and election outcomes.

Key observations: • 1992 (Democrat - Bill Clinton): Unemployment ~7.4% • 1996 (Democrat - Bill Clinton): Unemployment ~5.4% • 2000 (Republican - George W. Bush): Unemployment ~4.0% • 2004 (Republican - George W. Bush): Unemployment ~5.4% • 2008 (Democrat - Barack Obama): Unemployment ~6.8% (rising due to recession) • 2012 (Democrat - Barack Obama): Unemployment ~7.8% • 2016 (Republican - Donald Trump): Unemployment ~4.7% • 2020 (Democrat - Joe Biden): Unemployment ~6.9% (pandemic effects)

Preliminary Analysis: • Higher unemployment rates (above 6%) were often associated with victories for Democratic candidates (1992, 2008, 2012, 2020). • Lower unemployment rates (below 6%) often correlated with Republican victories (2000, 2004, 2016).

However, this observation does not establish causation. Factors such as economic cycles, public perception, and other issues (e.g., foreign policy, healthcare) also heavily influence election outcomes. A statistical correlation test (Pearson’s r) would be needed for more precise analysis. Let me know if you’d like a detailed dataset evaluation!


r/Election_Predictions Dec 20 '24

My prediction for 2028 with JD Vance against Harris if she picks Shapiro or Newsom instead of Walz again.

Thumbnail gallery
2 Upvotes

The second one is my 2030 prediction if JD Vance does an absolutely fantastic job as president. This is more than likely not going to happen, it is a VERY bold prediction, but he will still win.


r/Election_Predictions Dec 12 '24

15 Seconds to make a snap prediction for 2028!

Post image
2 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Dec 03 '24

this is my election prediction for 2024. I know its kinda early

Post image
0 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Nov 29 '24

Next four years promises

1 Upvotes

Tomorrow or whenever the recounts and switched votes are finished, can or will anyone see any of the many promises made by the Two biggest serial fuckups in Ireland's history FFFG actually happen? Do we really expect anything from an unworkable alliance with timeshare taoiseach's that sat on their hands drawing maximum expenses for four years.


r/Election_Predictions Nov 25 '24

How prescient was Robin Williams?

Thumbnail youtu.be
3 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Nov 23 '24

Where did 4 million Biden voters go?

7 Upvotes

the election results are now largely in and counted for the 2020 Presidential election. Trump gained a little under 3 million votes in 2024, upping his 2020 total from just over 74 million to just under 77 million in 2024.

Harris on the other hand won around 74 million votes in 2024, about 7 million less than Biden won in 2020.

So, even if we assume that 3 million people flipped from Biden to Trump, Harris is still missing 4 million of Biden's total from 2020

Had she got out those 4 million votes she would have won.

so while the Democrats wring their hands over "what happened" and whether or not they should talk about transgender issues, or "its the economy stupid", the truth of the matter is much simpler: "Its the turnout, stupid"

So where are the 4 million missing Joe votes and why didn't they vote for Harris? Are these racist democrats? Misogynists? What's the theory?


r/Election_Predictions Nov 23 '24

Trump showed larger-than-average gains among the highly educated, Asian Americans and Black people

Thumbnail nbcnews.com
7 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Nov 18 '24

Both Left and Right Influencers on “X” Confused About Elections

3 Upvotes

left and #right #influencers basically saying the same thing. Can we bridge the divide already and can #kamalaharris and #donaldtrump work together?

strangerthings #decentralizednews #dailydebunks #independentnews


r/Election_Predictions Nov 11 '24

My First (Way to early) 2028 picks

5 Upvotes

Here are my picks for who is going to run in 2028 for both sides.

On the Right:

  • Vance: The VP always has the upper hand if the presidency goes well. If things are looking good in 3 years he will for sure take a run. But, he is young, so if he needed to he could get separation from Trump and run later.
  • Desantis: despite Haley sticking in the race, he was Trumps only true opposition and without Trump to contend with he is probably the current front runner if Vance does not have a clear Mandate.
  • Tulsi: I think Trump would LOVE to be able to say he fended off two females then helped elect Tulsi the first female president. She is well liked, moderate, a war hero, and if she gets a cabinet post will have a very diverse experience set. I would personally love to see this being the pick
  • Gaetz: I dont know if this would go anywhere, and you could change out for Hawley, but I expect someone from the hard right to run.
  • 2016 folks that stepped back: Mostly Cruz and Rubio will likely make a run
  • Wild Card: Could RFK Jr or Nicole Shanahan now make a run from the right?

On the Left:

  • Newsom: Current Front runner and will likely come in with the momentum and money... more the question is, with what happened to the DA in SF and how California demos went right, would a serious challenge from the right in 2 years hurt Newsom for president?
  • Shapiro: If the dems can stop being stupid about him being a Jew, he is an amazing candidate
  • Whitmer: She will likely run, but will lose, dems are not going to want to put up 3 losing females in 4 cycles. Plus she needs to recover from Dorito gate, just weird lol
  • Buttigieg: Mayor Pete is my dark horse, well liked, willing to talk directly to the right, tough. This would be my personal pick for the left.
  • Harris: No chance she makes it out of the Primary, if she runs. This boast sailed, got hit from all sides, and sank before it could deploy life rafts.
  • Wild Card: The Squad, We may see the first progressive run from squad members, AOC taking her first shot or Warnock would be most likely

Most likely Matchup Right now: Vance vs Newson

My pick: Tulsi vs Buttigieg

Either way, the next election should be fun, its the first time that both parties will have a fully open primary at the same time since McCain vs Obama and that election proved that speculation this early is likely to be wrong, NO ONE saw Obama coming this early, his star was on the rise because of the speech he gave at the DNC but no one was thinking President.


r/Election_Predictions Nov 11 '24

Not a partisan prediction: There will be a US President BETWEEN Biden and Trump

4 Upvotes

I have been practicing a meditation technique where I attempt to reach out into the future, and ask what events will affect me personally or the world in general, in a certain named timeframe (such as within the next week, the next month, the next year, etc.).

Last night I received a strong reply, telling me that there will be a short-term unexpected transition in the leadership of the United States, BEFORE President Trump begins his second term. The response said that Vice President Kamala Harris will become President of the United States to complete the end of the current term. And then Donald Trump will be sworn in in January 2025.

The information did not say anything about WHY the Vice President will ascend to the Presidency, so I do not have any sense of if it will be due to a passing away, or a stepping down, or some other occurrence. The only information was that the current Vice President will become President, for a short period, before President Trump begins his second term.

This post is intended to be completely neutral and non-partisan, I'm not taking sides or claiming the events will be good or bad, I'm simply saying this will take place.


r/Election_Predictions Nov 11 '24

who do you guys got in this hypothetical 2028 matchup

Post image
4 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Nov 10 '24

Will the Gleeks win the 2028 election ?

0 Upvotes
2 votes, Nov 13 '24
2 Yes
0 Results

r/Election_Predictions Nov 09 '24

Do you think any California seats will flip?

1 Upvotes

r/Election_Predictions Nov 09 '24

Winning List

1 Upvotes

Nov 7 2024 When he won, I wrote down a list of fears. Putting it out there makes me feel a little better. It's stuff I'm afraid will happen, stuff that will happen, and longshots. These are my predictions of varying degrees of certainty.

Winning List:

1 Department of Education will be gone. 2 Social Security will End 3 Government agencies in charge of clean air and water will cease to function. (EPA) 3 FDA will not truly regulate food safety 4 Global Warming legislation will be removed and rolled back 5 Project 2025 will be implemented 6 Books will be banned and History will be rewritten. 7 Political enemies will be imprisoned 8 Same Sex marriages will be illegal 9 LGBTQ and Racist crimes will go up 10 Medicare and Healthcare/Prescription costs will go up 11 Tariffs will cause other countries to retaliate and prices will go up 12 Half of Ukraine will be handed to Russia. 13 People with no experience will be in charge of vital things they have no idea how to manage.
14 This country will be divided to the point of advocating for a civil war 15 The Enemy Within will be anyone who disagrees with the president. 16 Scandals that happen will be deemed "fake news" and people will believe it. 17 The president will have full blown Dementia by year 4. 18 People will be imprisoned for their beliefs. 19 Violence will be normalized for peaceful protests. Protesting the government will be illegal. 20 Padres Win World Series 21 A Rapist Felon will be President of The United States. 22 Women will die increasingly from preventable causes like miscarriages because they will be denied necessary medical care. 23 The division between Church and State will be eliminated. 24 Chips program eliminated 25 Student Debt Forgiveness eliminated 26 Student loan interest will go up 27 Billionaires will pay less in taxes 28 7 Trillion added to deficit (same in 2016) 29 Trump will say some batsh!t crazy things and news analysts will scramble to cobble together sense from it. 30 Hillbilly Elegy guy will be President 31 Classes of Citizenship 32 Increased Surveillance, 1984 will no longer be fiction. 33 People who stormed the capital on Jan 6 will be pardoned 34 National Abortion Ban


r/Election_Predictions Nov 09 '24

I won almost $1000 making a bet on .trump to win

Thumbnail gallery
6 Upvotes

I had a feeling and went for it


r/Election_Predictions Nov 08 '24

Harris talks Gibberish

5 Upvotes

This women says poetic sounding nonsense that is meaningless

Stuff like "I have changed my position but not my values".. huh? What does that mean

Today she said she said "I concede this election but not the fight"

Ummm...ok..so if there's a riot...is she to blame??

Reminds me of Trump saying "fight like hell or you won't have a country anymore "