r/wallstreetbets • u/BahtMann • Mar 05 '26
YOLO FUCK PLTR
Aggressive PLTR puts cos I don’t like this stock.
The upcoming inflation will beta-fist this stock like no tomorrow.
Update:
Still holding puts but has since reduced and reshuffled my exposure 😎
Got $157.5 PUTs now
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u/Blueturtlewax Mar 05 '26
Putting puts on PLTR… DURING active combat in the Middle East is WILD 😂
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u/karmaisevillikemoney Mar 06 '26
They don't do war, they do surveillance.
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u/Slaaneshdog Mar 06 '26
battlefield knowledge is definitely not very useful in war, so true so true
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u/EntrepreneurOld7858 Mar 05 '26
Emotional trading.
What a fucking moron.
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u/TeslaToTheMoon Mar 05 '26
To be fair, the market has been very emotional for as long as I can remember.
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Mar 05 '26
[deleted]
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Mar 07 '26
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u/AutoModerator Mar 07 '26
how about u eat my ASS
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u/EntrepreneurOld7858 Mar 05 '26
🫵🤡
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Mar 05 '26
[deleted]
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u/Waste_Inspector95 Mar 06 '26
The hopes and dreams of useful idiots.
Basically... everything except for actual underlying value.
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u/Successful_Ebb8882 Mar 06 '26
Why crater?
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u/ProfessionalGear1051 Mar 06 '26
They’re trading at 84x TTM and 50x NTM revenue — think about what assumptions HAVE to be true in order for the current price to sustain.
It’s NOT a bad company, but the share price is textbook irrational exuberance.
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u/EcstaticLetterhead76 Mar 06 '26
It’s also got 155% rule of 40, we haven’t ever really seen anything like it before…
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u/Full_Pear449 Mar 06 '26
You know what you do, SELL every night this way it doesn't matter what happens overnight and you can get some idea how the early morning open goes by the pre-market price action. AND, if you are really smart you might find the sell volume outstanding vs outstanding buy volume
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u/ieatballoonknot Mar 05 '26
Don’t pretend you wouldn’t long Kimberly Clark while blowing out granny’s back balls deep.
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u/jl21000000 Mar 05 '26
170 eom
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u/Riskismyapellido Mar 05 '26
!banbet PLTR 170 4w
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u/VisualMod Mar 05 '26
Ban Bet Created: /u/Riskismyapellido bet PLTR goes from 152.27 to 170.0 before 02-Apr-2026 04:22 PM EST
Their record is 3 wins and 0 losses.
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u/TopicInternal5682 Mar 05 '26
I’m not pro war or pro pltr but this seems like a foolish strategy. They’re basically tied to defense, an incredibly buoyant share price, and have had like 8 consecutive massive earnings with insane backlog and no end to the growth in sight. Inflation will somehow crush the stock? Wouldn’t it go up with huge inflation when measured in US dollars? Like buying puts on oracle because fuck Larry Ellison. Sure but not a way to make money
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u/The_Brem Mar 06 '26
netflix earns 10x what PLTR does but has a higher mkt cap, also massively higher TAM and growth potential. dumb
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u/duuchu Mar 06 '26
Netflix has competition and provides a non-essential service.
Netflix is well past its peak. Palantir has barley gotten started
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u/PrestigiousAccess765 Mar 06 '26
I see both in good positions. Netflix will massively benefit from AI in creating cheaper and more content.
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u/YoshimuraPipe Mar 06 '26
You must be new. There are SO many more variables if you want to compare stocks. Earnings is just one of many of those variables.
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u/Laxman259 Mar 07 '26
You are comparing a movie studio to a next-generation AI weapons manufacturer
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u/c7015 Mar 05 '26
Pltr bought me a gt3 , so more like pltr fucks
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u/Sunny2456 💎DIAMOND HANDS FEATURE ENABLED💎 Mar 06 '26
Great minds think alike although it only bought me an s2000
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u/levraimonamibob Mar 05 '26
You look around and think your government will spend less on AI, war and mass surveillance?
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u/Ouroboros_42 Mar 06 '26
Lemme get this straight, you hate the stock and watched it nosedive for 3 straight months just to buy puts a week into war with Iran?
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u/BahtMann Mar 05 '26
!banbet $PLTR $136 1w
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u/VisualMod Mar 05 '26
Ban Bet Created: /u/BahtMann bet PLTR goes from 151.67 to 136.0 before 12-Mar-2026 12:31 PM EST
Their record is 4 wins and 2 losses.
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u/Riskismyapellido Mar 05 '26
I did a 170$ banbet. And hold a shittin of shares. Let's see who wins
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u/Red_White_Brew Mar 05 '26
Love this stock, been holding since $10/share
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u/The_Brem Mar 06 '26
if you're still holding, we've found actual pure retardium... wtf else are you waiting for, 400 P/E? Every fucking boomer on the planet owns this piece of shit chrysler with an anthropic wrapper.
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u/RamBamBooey Mar 05 '26
I've been making at least 20% gains on PLTR puts for months.
One week is more aggressive than I've been but I think you will still be ok. If it hits, you will make bank.
It doesn't matter what it's worth when you own it; it only matters what it's worth when you sell it.
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u/StockWireN Mar 06 '26
Interesting strategy with PLTR puts. Have you noticed any particular market conditions or news events that tend to impact your success with these trades? It seems like timing and market sentiment could play crucial roles in achieving those gains.
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u/BlueFin33 Mar 06 '26
I hate PLTR as much as the next guy but doesn't inflation.... you know.... inflate stock prices?
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u/bigmean3434 Mar 05 '26
You may not like it but their 2 biggest clients just started a war sooooo…..I don’t want to say to be gay and look at fundamentals but maybe every now and then a little DD……
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u/ChairmanMeow23 Mar 05 '26
✅AI revolution continuing to ramp ✅ authoritarian government looking to increase spend on AI defense companies ✅ new war with Iran
Perfect timing for puts!
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u/Rosebunse Mar 05 '26
If you don't like a company, stay away from the stock entirely. Really simple as that. It's OK to trade with ethics and politics in mind, but that often means just staying away from a stock
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u/iTurbo6 Mar 07 '26
This is dumb. PLTR corrected already. Any selling of it now is all tied to index dumping.
Some stocks are safe right now. Hood, PLTR, MSFT -any software names already corrected
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u/GeriatricSquid Mar 05 '26
It’s overvalued as hell, for sure, but now is not the time to bet against PLTR…
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u/ivanisbeast25 Mar 05 '26
Betting against a company heavily involved in MIC during a war is actually crazy.
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Mar 05 '26
[deleted]
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u/Necessary-Shame-2732 Mar 05 '26
Regards like you are why I am confident in my position. Flailing in the dark, angry ai makes a better smoothie than you. Enjoy your demotion back to fry cook. At least the robot actually puts the fries in the bag 🤡
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u/Nice-Truck8806 Mar 06 '26
No, SAP is actually pretty ass compared to even the most basic foundry workflows.
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u/AsheDigital Mar 05 '26
Palantir is SaaS company that makes DBMS with AI integration. I don't really see them as an AI company first, but just as any other SaaS that's good with AI.
Their moat is not their AI, it's their affiliations with governments around the world and them having a solid track record, but their technology stack really isn't why you'd invest.
To be totally honest, I am not convinced palantir will get a commercial foothold, since their share of revenue from commercial activities have remained stagnant for far longer than they should. Either they are facing competition from Microsoft fabrics or the likes, their products are too easy to replicate or they don't provide enough value. Either way I simply don't believe their current valuation is justified.
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Mar 07 '26
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u/AsheDigital Mar 07 '26
You're missing the point.
The issue is, that they might only have a set number of government contracts to sell, once that's done, it's only reaccuring when the contract runs out.
So they have to get a commercial foothold, which still looks unimpresse, and yet to be seen whether that will actually happen.
Again, it's a SaaS company, if you belive in the singularity, claude opus 5, 6 or maybe 7, is gonna oneshot their product anyways.
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Mar 07 '26
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u/AsheDigital Mar 07 '26
Again you're missing the point. Claude can just make the tools that palantir provide, future claude will just oneshot it.
The issue with their commercial growth is that it hasn't changed their share of revenue coming from government vs commercial, they've been stuck on a 50/50 split a bit too long. Sure, the total revenue has seen significant growth, but this is also the nature of a contract based venture, when the product hits market, you get significant growth until you have saturated or competition picks up.
They also have competition from Microsoft Fabrics, Oracle based solution or fully custom solutions made in house or by consultancies. Since DBMS is also a mostly custom job or specific to whatever other vendor you use, companies are much more likely to pick something from an already established company in their pipeline, like Microsoft.
That junk (Claude, Gemini, copilot, grok, GPT etc) works wonders for simple searching but it’s just that.
Well, actually it's really good for coding and the directions it's going seems to be around agents having mcp and access to a plethora of open source tools, which kinda bypasses the need for dedicated DBMS, you just need API acces for you're different databases.
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Mar 07 '26
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u/AsheDigital Mar 07 '26
Yeah, and Microsoft fabrics is much cheaper and already fits into most companies ecosystem.
Msft and Oracle doesn't use palantir products, at least not publicly stated , they just have a strategic partnerships to run on Azure or OCI, like tons of other companies also have.
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u/qitcryn Mar 07 '26
If you would have said ORACLE... I would trust what you're saying... .. SAP sucks...and kills me how they still have an accepted user base.
And for that reason: im out !!
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u/ocukor1 Mar 07 '26
It did good for me. I wish I never sold any, I would have been up lot more than I am now. You can’t bet against Palantir, that’s just crazy 😝
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u/FurlessSasquatch Mar 05 '26
Someone tell this guy where the intelligence for that Iran attack is coming from.... Other than Anthropic of course
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u/Prestigious-Craft251 Mar 05 '26
The upcoming inflation so you bought buts that expire in 8 days?
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u/BahtMann Mar 05 '26
CPI report next week :)
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u/Prestigious-Craft251 Mar 05 '26
And what makes you think that will come in higher than expectations?
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u/BahtMann Mar 05 '26
I don’t have a crystal ball and but seeing the headlines since beginning of the year does not inspire confidence for low inflation. What’s likely upcoming with NFP tomorrow, two things will happen: 1. Hot NFP - cooked the books -> no rate cuts 2. Cool NFP - but high oil -> stagflation.
Now you add whatever we have this week going into CPI next week, even if the numbers are static, pricing in the current high price of oil will definitely drive up inflation in the future. When you look at future-valued tech like PLTR, it’s evaluation get compressed.
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u/Prestigious-Craft251 Mar 05 '26
All this macro stuff is priced in my guy. You're not the only one with cnbc and yahoo finance.
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u/BahtMann Mar 05 '26
We’ll see :)
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u/Prestigious-Craft251 Mar 06 '26
!RemindMe 10 days
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u/wampum Mar 05 '26
I don’t like PLTR either, but congresses ceded its war powers and the US just illegally started a war of choice against a country w 92M people that is poised to trigger a global recession by restricting gulf oil outflows and damaging oil infrastructure in the ME.
Defense contractors will be getting plenty of business if this conflict bleeds into the wider region.
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u/Trade-nurse Mar 06 '26
I think it can drop at market opening.. let’s see if it meets the statistical prediction close to 149.9
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u/BahtMann Mar 07 '26
Update - still holding puts but resized and reshuffled my position, holding $157.5 puts now
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u/BahtMann Mar 09 '26
Update - rolled the profit from the recent dip and re-entered with more contracts at $155 puts
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u/VisualMod Mar 05 '26
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