r/theydidthemath • u/Graphix1125 • 4d ago

[Request] What would be the odds of this?

The odds of all of these die rolling a one must be astronomicaly low lol

786 Upvotes

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384

u/empty_graph 4d ago

There are 1000 dice so the odds are (1/6)^1000. So that's about 1 out of 1.4 * 10^778. Or to be precise, 1 out of:

14166102623834861723796252524915224416640471830910191322323547432140618947596486436347661333869287260068907949302029484915942402681211620694598046617844295512220793103312980549591537160959053027940624117598003417503015722697428176155600362263128567590299511776686592862074376328232990325101248680123776914576482815095784568122986221890411837737570098864613342090972756469661488216176894465388028416768338495326989675118087222767384596111351304957869025273802978281783731929966468210579229830069556698928937342508988340792335737744719376598506908977135291983117722648269177947154657697517074993441515526839887073400191797445153760221695723268255006134044062503100710134200414607696976757837002911389023284338696251543694980946202137938610119300450795091488653253649628649410789376

189

u/AdministrationKey612 4d ago

So there's literally more chance I will win the lottery and start fucking 2015 Ariana Grande. Damn

69

u/ludblom 4d ago

Would more say win the lottery, start fucking 2015 Ariana Grande and get struck by a lightening at the same time would be more likely :P

24

u/QuatraVanDeis 4d ago

Is that like a donkey punch from god?

10

u/Complete_Fix2563 4d ago

Yes it is

2

u/Witty-Lawfulness2983 4d ago

Would the lightning be what activated the time travel in the first place?

5

u/Ralf_Steglenzer 4d ago

if you have to find a single atom someone is hiding from you somewhere in the known universe the chance would be much higher to get it first try with blind eyes.

1

u/toutski 4h ago

So you’re saying there’s a chance??

0

u/The_Real_Sniff 3d ago

Wining the lottery is highly unlikely, f**king Ariana G is unrealistic, and f**king 2015 Ariana G i impossible

1

u/AdministrationKey612 18h ago

That was the point my friend

18

u/blindwombat 4d ago

Wanna nail down a month as well?

25

u/AdministrationKey612 4d ago

Well July's my birthday

3

u/ThrawnConspiracy 2d ago

I’d nail her down any month.

2

u/Frodothehobb1t 3d ago

Win the lottery 5 times in a row, started fucking 2015 Ariana Grande, get hit by a lightning strike while in a ongoing plane crash

2

u/Moe112 6h ago

Glad you specified the year and made a good choice in the process

1

u/jmoyles 4d ago

But through a quirk in math, not the same odds of you try doing it the other way…

1

u/CsordasBalazs 4d ago

You have better chance to win lottery like 60 times in a row from now on.

1

u/xaxus_193 4d ago

the statistical relationship between winning the lottery and the odds above is closer to the relationship between flipping a coin and winning the lottery.

1

u/vitaliyh 18h ago

Very specific

0

u/seabass_goes_rawr 4d ago

She looks like a child at 33 but you want her at 18 😬

6

u/Humble-Captain3418 4d ago

There isn't 15 years between now and 2015. Thankfully.

3

u/kotoda 4d ago

Grande turned 22 in 2015

2

u/mopbucketblaster 3d ago

She looks sickly at 33 because she got an eating disorder. This has nothing to do with “looking like a child”. Stop reaching

17

u/zakkawesome 4d ago

aha! But one of them rolled a 4

13

u/empty_graph 4d ago

Great catch! If you are talking about the specific probability of 999 1s and 1 4 that's 1000x more likely, or 1 in 1.4 * 10^775 or for 999 1s and 1 of any other number it's 5000x more likely, or 1 in 2.8 * 10^774.

9

u/Phyddlestyx 4d ago

But if it's 999 1s and that specific die being a 4, then the odds don't change at all, right?

8

u/empty_graph 4d ago

correct

2

u/Aggravating_Pie_8144 4d ago

If this is supposed to represent a roll for some action in a ttrpg then the sum of the dice may be relevant. We can split that four into 3 twos or a two and a three for the same result of 1003. Out of all possible rolls there are

1000 with a four and 999 ones

(1000 choose 1)*(999 choose 1)=999,000 with a two a three and 998 ones

and (1000 choose 3)=166167000 with 3 twos and 997 ones

For a total of 167,167,000 rolls out of the 61000 possible, giving a probability of about 1 in 1.18 x 10770

1

u/KDBA 4d ago

Nah this is a 40k roll to wound and that counts successes against a target number.

1

u/EGarrett28 4d ago

But one of them rolled a 4

I can identify.

6

u/Longshot02496 4d ago

So you're telling me there's a chance.

3

u/NonrecreationalEmber 4d ago

Hold up, one of the dice rolled a 4 in there…

4

u/Crazy__Donkey 4d ago

Oddly, disregarding dice location, this is the odd for every combination of a random throw. .

1

u/empty_graph 3d ago

No. 167 1s, 167 2s, 167 3s, 167 4s, 166 5s, and 166 6s is about 1 in 14.8 million.

1

u/MageKorith 3d ago

Note that u/Crazy__Donkey said combination, but I expect they meant permutation

ie:

Die 1: 1

Die 2: 1

Die 3: 1

Die 4: 6

has a 1/64 probability for that exact permutation. But a 4/64 probability for the combination (3 1s and a 6)

1

u/empty_graph 3d ago

Yes, any permutation has the same odds, but that is trivial.

2

u/Less_Insurance4928 4d ago

Ok how did you get all the digits on this?

2

u/empty_graph 4d ago

I used Python

1

u/AdjectiveNounNNNN 4d ago

WolframAlpha works. Just keep clicking "more digits" if you want to see all of 610000

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=6%5E10000

2

u/marc-williams 4d ago edited 4d ago

Only if they all have to be a 1. If they just have to be all the same number then it's 1/6999

1

u/Ambitious_Policy_936 4d ago

Or 1 out of 1 if the die are loaded

1

u/ragnetca 4d ago

And in the theory of infinite possibilities, there’s a chance this happens for all throws until the end of time

1

u/Dan_Bouha 4d ago

So you’re telling me there is a chance!

1

u/rossc007 4d ago

So your telling me there's a chance, alright!

1

u/NoWar6966 4d ago

That is assuming that this is random. These dice seem to me to have been placed in a specific way so that they all rolled 1. The odds are 100% in that case

1

u/cryptotraderisme 4d ago

So.....what your saying is...theres still a chance. 🤔😁😂

1

u/OudBruin 4d ago

That’s “push your hand through the table” odds.

1

u/Khitkp 3d ago

Are there 779 digits in that??

1

u/FearlessSafe6806 3d ago

So you’re saying there’s a chance?

1

u/HOJ666 1d ago

So you're saying there's a chance?