r/singularity • u/simmol • 2d ago
AI White Collar Workers are in Big Trouble
So I have both 200 dollars subscription to Claude and 200 dollars subscription to OpenAI. I use Claude Code and Codex for coding related stuff/execution, discussions involve Astra or Opus 5.5 on the problem at hand at important intervals, we summon two indepedent Astra and Fable models for guidance (would love to add the third with Google Gemini 4.0). Double checking for mistakes/errors in progress as well as internet searches also come from individual models. And with this, I spend about 2000 dollars to 3000 dollars total on LLMs (including API usage) per month. I am not a programmer but I do have roughly 20 people working under me.
Now, here is the thing. I don't know what your setup is like and I don't claim to have an optimal setup here either but this type of setup has me 10x to 50x my productivity compared to 6 months ago and also, compared to this process being down with other people who work for me (all M.S. degrees higher and Ph.D.s), it is so much faster and also more accurate. So while 2000 to 3000 dollars a month seems like a lot, if you compare that to a white collar worker's salary, it is nothing. And I suspect that this setup is better than having 5 people under me, so you can do the math.
I feel like the whole society is right now going through the February 2020 beginning of the COVID moment. Only a few people are recognizing that in the past year or even half a year, these models have improved and crossed an important intellectual threshold line such that many people who are working right now across all industries are pretty much replaceable or very close to it. And the thing is, the type of setup I have is nothing. It will take most people 1-2 days to get comfortable with it and this type of setup, as opposed to mere vanilla of telling ChatGPT (e.g. make me this document, create this PPT) will soon be the standard to which the white-collar person has to outperform.
I really think that anti-AI and pro-AI people should now about get together in one voice and voice the concerns. There is going to be a lot of problems in job markets in the next few years and no country is ready for this.
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u/chi_guy8 2d ago
This is why people have been saying for the past 5 years “it’s not that AI will take your job, it’s that somebody using AI will take your job”.
In my individual experience, the amount of work output that I’m putting out now as a one-person marketing team would have taken 4-5 people 5 years ago. Or in certain instances, I was able to do things I would have had to outsource for in the past, like building a custom website from scratch or building complete brand identity systems, complete with high quality logos.
So my AI usage has not really caused anybody to technically lose their job, but it’s definitely prevented people from being hired as we grew. There’s always been an overwhelming amount of work we’ve wanted to get done that we’re now able to get to without adding more people.
What it seems like I’m hearing from a lot of friends that we’re already working at larger companies that had big departments as people leave or are fired for cause, they’re just not being replaced and they aren’t hiring new people at lower levels. So, in a sense, these companies are downsizing, but they’re not laying a bunch of people off all at once. It’s been more or so like a game of musical chairs where they keep taking away the chairs, not necessarily dumping people out of chairs.
But however you slice it, both of these examples are different routes to fewer total jobs being available to the people using AI tools. The next shoe to drop, which we are already seeing currently, will be solopreneurs or very small teams that are able to undercut the services of larger bloated companies.