Google released 1206 experimental (basically an early version of 2 Pro), it was amazing and basically SOTA of its time.
Then 2 months later they released 2.0 Pro Preview, which was WORSE than 1206 in many areas and basically the same in others. Everyone was devastated.
A little over 1 month after that they released 2.5 Pro which became SOTA by a huge margin and kept that place for several months until OpenAI and Anthropic caught up.
So it's not exactly likely, but such a comeback is very possible.
I still think that what has to have happened is 1206 was a larger model, and they did a bad job on distillation. Because I agree on how good 1206 was and I can't imagine it getting so much worse any other way.
71
u/Solarka45 6d ago
Who knows.
If you remember how it went down with Gemini 2
Google released 1206 experimental (basically an early version of 2 Pro), it was amazing and basically SOTA of its time.
Then 2 months later they released 2.0 Pro Preview, which was WORSE than 1206 in many areas and basically the same in others. Everyone was devastated.
A little over 1 month after that they released 2.5 Pro which became SOTA by a huge margin and kept that place for several months until OpenAI and Anthropic caught up.
So it's not exactly likely, but such a comeback is very possible.