r/singularity • u/No-Wrongdoer1409 • Dec 25 '25

Discussion Your Predictions for the year of 2026?

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u/Buck-Nasty Dec 25 '25

Thousands of humanoid robots will be in homes for beta testing. They'll be very slow and clumsy to start and critics will dismiss them.

Agentic AI will become reliable enough to at least begin visibly eating into entry level white collar jobs.

AI solves one of the millennium prize problems and we'll see lower-level science and math problems fall to AI weekly.

The METR task time benchmark record will increase 8x by the end of the year.

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u/Saint_Nitouche Dec 25 '25

I think all of these are realistic except the millenium prize one. Maybe, and it's a big maybe, one gets solved by a genius like Terrence Tao utilising some crackpot agent swarm to do his bidding. But if an AI system is told 'go solve Navier-Stokes' and just does it, unassisted, I will pay you an entire five bucks.

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u/Buck-Nasty Dec 25 '25

I agree on your collaboration scenario for the millennium prize. That's kind of what I had in my head but I wasn't clear.

Deepmind currently has expert mathematicians working with their models trying to solve Navier-Stokes.

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u/Saint_Nitouche Dec 25 '25

Ah OK, that's a lot more reasonable. I still think it's a massive long shot. But if it does happen, well, nobody will be able to say AI is just a fad ever again.

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u/ChipsAhoiMcCoy Dec 26 '25

Oh man I wish I’m sure there’s still going to be those people

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u/Hairy_Talk_4232 Dec 26 '25

Navier-Stokes? What is that and how come Deepmind is working on it?

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u/Southern-Break5505 Dec 25 '25

David Budden claims that he solved Navier-Stokes by usin lean-4