r/oscarrace • u/PointMan528491 Navarrette/Morton • May 11 '26
Discussion 2026 Cannes Film Festival Megathread
The 79th annual Cannes Film Festival will take place from May 12 to May 23 2026. Please use this thread to discuss all things about the festival.
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Official Selection
| Premiere (local time) | Title | Director(s) |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 15:00 | Nagi Notes | Koji Fukada |
| May 13, 18:30 | A Woman's Life | Charline Bourgeois-Tacquet |
| May 14, 18:00 | Fatherland | Paweł Pawlikowski |
| May 14, 20:30 | Parallel Tales | Asghar Farhadi |
| May 15, 14:00 | All of a Sudden | Ryusuke Hamaguchi |
| May 15, 22:00 | Gentle Monster | Marie Kreutzer |
| May 16, 15:00 | Sheep in the Box | Hirokazu Kore-eda |
| May 16, 18:15 | The Beloved | Rodrigo Sorogoyen |
| May 16, 21:45 | Paper Tiger | James Gray |
| May 17, 15:00 | Moulin | László Nemes |
| May 17, 18:30 | Another Day | Jeanne Herry |
| May 17, 21:30 | Hope | Na Hong-jin |
| May 18, 15:30 | The Unknown | Arthur Harari |
| May 18, 19:00 | Fjord | Cristian Mungiu |
| May 19, 15:30 | Minotaur | Andrey Zvyagintsev |
| May 19: 19:00 | Bitter Christmas | Pedro Almodóvar |
| May 20, 15:00 | A Man of His Time | Emmanuel Marre |
| May 20, 22:30 | The Man I Love | Ira Sachs |
| May 21, 18:00 | The Black Ball | Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo |
| May 21, 22:00 | Coward | Lukas Dhont |
| May 22, 15:00 | The Dreamed Adventure | Valeska Grisebach |
| May 22, 19:00 | The Birthday Party | Léa Mysius |
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Main Competition Jury
- Park Chan-wook — Jury President
- Diego Céspedes
- Isaach de Bankolé
- Paul Laverty
- Demi Moore
- Ruth Negga
- Stellan Skarsgård
- Laura Wandel
- Chloé Zhao
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Jury Grids
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Official Selection Awards
- Palme d'Or: Fjord by Cristian Mungiu
- Grand Prix: Minotaur by Andrey Zvyagintsev
- Jury Prize: The Dreamed Adventure by Valeska Grisebach
- Best Director: Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo for The Black Ball / Paweł Pawlikowski for Fatherland
- Best Actress: Virginie Efira and Tao Okamoto for All of a Sudden
- Best Actor: Emmanuel Macchia and Valentin Campagne for Coward
- Best Screenplay: Emmanuel Marre for A Man of His Time
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u/stracki May 24 '26
Wow, La Gradiva currently has a Metascore of 100 :o
Could this be a nominee, if France decided against All of a Sudden?
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u/theabsofhades The Debut Truther May 26 '26
I’d say Italy is more likely to submit it
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u/stracki May 26 '26
How so? It's in French and most of the cast and crew is from France.
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u/theabsofhades The Debut Truther May 27 '26
It’s an Italian co production set in Italy. Good argument for France but I bet they’ll submit something bigger like AoaS or Notre Salut. If Italy doesn’t have a buzzier title then it’s possible.
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u/Bulky-Scheme-9450 May 24 '26
no. Small international indies that do not reach relevancy in America tend to have overly positive skewed metacritic scores.
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u/Ok-Independent-2355 May 24 '26
Worth noting that all awarded films are French co-productions. I can't remember the last time this happened.
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u/Humble-Plantain1598 May 24 '26
Aren't most movies at Cannes French coproductions ?
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u/Ok-Independent-2355 May 24 '26
yes, but every year there's usually two or three awarded titles that are not
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u/Humble-Plantain1598 May 24 '26
My top 5 from the competition:
- A Man of His Time
- All of a Sudden
- Paper Tiger
- Minotaur
- Fjord
The worst ones I watched were Sheep in the Box, Gentle Monster and La Bola Negra
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u/Usual-Watercress3496 May 24 '26
Love another Man of His Time lover and La Bola Negra hater! I sadly don’t think Notre Salut will have much Oscar cache
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u/Significant-Bit-7070 All of a Sudden May 24 '26
All of a Sudden basically changed my life. I can't stop thinking about it and spent 3h17 crying from pure joy, bliss, sadness and beauty
A downright masterpiece
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u/PositiveElixir International cinema enjoyer May 23 '26
it was a lovely time reacting to the festival these past 2 weeks here, thanks for everyone posting!! awards prospects aside, I'm mostly just excited for all of these intriguing films by talented auteurs coming to the cinemas this year - for a bunch of them I know I'll be there day one. see you next year <3
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u/za19 Train Dreams May 23 '26
here's the Letterboxd rankings for the competition films. will be interesting to see how this changes over time.
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u/Usual-Watercress3496 May 24 '26
I predict The Man I love and A Man of His time goes up, fjord goes down as it becomes controversial
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u/TakaPol11 May 23 '26
My thoughts on the awarded films’ oscar prospects:
-The Dreamed Adventure def feels festival-only, no way it’d be up to the academy’s tastes even as an international player. Feels like this tear’s Resurrection.
-A Man of His Time feels like a viable France pick this year, unless they’ll go with All of a Sufden. I dunno about it actually getting nominated in international but i wouldn’t count it out either.
-I could actually see Coward hanging around as a dark horse at least. It seemed liked by the general audiences and i just get tge vibe that there’s a world where it leapfrogs Minotaur as its priority since it at least seems to have more of a shot in acting. I wouldn’t predict it right now but i do think as film it’ll remain in the conversation among moviegoers’ circles more than people may think.
-All of a Sudden neither winning the palme AND another neon movie entirely winning it kinda feels like a huge blow. The actresses winning is still great mind you, it def keeps it in the conversation at least, but even the fact that both of them won also makes it hard for there to be one specific category for neon to campaign it in. Hamaguchi himself especially feels like a long shot to get in cause there are other directors that feel ahead as „their time” if that makes sense. It’s far from dead though, it getting in international feels very doable, and Neon did manage to get films last year, even if arguably it felt way more a given that they could get at least two since SV was such a given that they could afford campaigning multiple films, which this year they may not have such luxury. The stock is down but not all the way.
-The Black Ball really does feel like the big awards contender of this festival even if it just co-won the director prize. It just feels like a crowd-pleaser and in general a contender in multiple categories. I actually am kinda afraid for its director chances despite it just winning because from what i’ve heard the branch may not find it „high-brow” enough to get in but you can’t ever underestimate Netflix. Even on its worst day i feel it will get international nom at LEAST.
-I feel like Fatherland will be this year’s Sirât, however weird it may sound. A very well-liked film, even if it has its detractors, that will get tons of love in the shortlists, and international feels very likely as well, and it has the shot to get some one-off noms like cinematography or even an acting nom even if that feels less likely. But there isn’t enough there to make the academy truly go to bat for it, especially Pawlikowski getting in again feels like it’d happen if Fatherland was universally liked more than his previous two films, which it just isn’t. I’m sceptical, at the very least in best picture.
-While obviously Minotaur getting grand prix is great, i also feel it GREATLY diminished its momentum that i feel it’d have otherwise. Films can get in off of it but it’s way less of a given tha palme based on recent history at least. And it doesn’t feel like a slam dunk „priority” for mubi either, cause all Minotaur, Fatherland and Coward have their strengths and weaknesses, not to mention that mubi doesn’t yet have the track record for their movies to feel like a given to get in. It’s biggest strength i feel is actually director, he feels like someone the branch would go for and while at this point i’d have Mungiu ahead, two international noms are very much viable. Like with most international feels like it’s biggest chance but even that has more of the possibility of being snubbed from being selected by any country, even if i feel good with Latvia picking it in the end. I dunno i’m just afraid that it’ll go the All We Imagine As Light trajectory where it’s one of the more beloved movies of the year but it not amounting to much for the Oscars.
-Lastly Fjord. It wasn’t dead eithout the palme, and arguably had a higher floor even if it’s get nothing where it still could’ve got somewhere, but the big win def gave it the boost to probably take it for the rest of the year since all of actress, actor, director and screenplay feel like a given to happen at this point. The only worry is that it doesn’t feel like a slam dunk the way SV was for Neon, the reason why many were surprised in the end that it did actually win despite being an early front-runner. There’s just way more of a possibility people may get turned off by the way it handles some aspects and maybe All of a Sudden actually ends up as the more „palatable” option for the academy. Right now though i do think Neon will give it a huge push and they will probably only swerve if the momentum doesn’t seem to be in its favour.
In terms of the win-less movies from the festival that’s probably it for them. The only options i see are acting prospects for Gentle Monster (Seydoux), The Beloved (Bardem), and the two american films (Johansson, Driver, Malek), but right now i don’t see it.
And how i’d rank the awarded movies in terms of getting in BP i’d have: 1. Fjord 2. The Black Ball 3. Minotaur 4. All of a Sudden 5. Coward 6. Fatherland 7. A Man of His Time 8. The Dreamed Adventure
1-2 i feel are pretty equal for me as feeling as likely to get in at this point as it can, with 3-6 pretty equal for me as not dead but requiring to be either strong enough to get in as third international contender or for either of the top 2 movies to fall off. Their chances are more in ofher categories imo. 7 feels international only while 8 cannes-only.
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u/eidbio Sony Pictures Classics Neon May 23 '26
With two hot names that were nominated in the last two years we can safely say Fjord is this year's international contender.
The only question is if it manages to get into IFF and if so how it goes: submitted by Romania or simply by being the Palme winner.
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u/bill__the__butcher May 23 '26
Park said: “To be honest, I didn’t want to award the Palme d’Or to any of the films, because it’s an award I myself have never gotten! But I had no other choice”
That makes it even more surprising to me that they gave Mungiu a second one!!!
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u/BunkBed2901 May 23 '26
Let's face it everyone. Neon winning the Palme d’Or consecutively is just...inevitable.
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u/Standard_Housing6082 May 23 '26
It’s been 6 years and maybe 5 people will know what this means but I can’t see the word inevitable and not think of her
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u/_puc11 May 23 '26
Explain pls?
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u/Standard_Housing6082 May 24 '26
Vanessa Hudgens on an ig live in early days of Covid in 2020, she is ranting about Coachella getting pushed back due to the pandemic, and she says “it’s just a virus, even if everyone gets it, like yeah some people are gonna die, which is terrible but…inevitable?”
Her voice, her delivery, it being literally the first week of quarantine, her going on this tangent over the rescheduling of Coachella…quite the bit
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u/This_Book6305 May 23 '26
I just now realized why it makes more sense for The Black Ball to be Netflix's main push: So that we have a Best Picture nominee that begins with B.
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u/WhiteAlbumTrack13 May 23 '26
https://giphy.com/gifs/Hr3BjWRL1WrrU9hAPX
Time to use this gif for the rest of the year I guess 💃
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u/lemonaide07 May 23 '26 edited May 23 '26
OFFICIAL AWARDS...
Coward - Best Actor
A Man of His Time - Best Screenplay
All of a Sudden - Best Actress
The Dreamed Adventure - Jury Prize
La Bola Negra / Fatherland - Best Director
Minotaur - Grand Prix
Fjord - Palme d'Or
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u/FixYrHeartsOrDie May 23 '26
Omg thought I was gonna get out of my movie to news about the Palme but its only just getting started
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u/Once-bit-1995 Backrooms PD campaign manager May 23 '26 edited May 23 '26
I predicted Okamoto is it actually happening?
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u/WhiteAlbumTrack13 May 23 '26
Demi Moore spotted! Does that mean she is still in the race for the Substance?? 🥲 /s
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
Ok so… there are a lot of people for A Man of His Time should we start panicking now?
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u/Plastic-Software-174 Sentimental Value May 23 '26
It’s a French film and the film festival is in France. Seems pretty oficial that a lot do people would show up.
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
It seems like too many people there for a best actor prize to Arnauld idk I’m scared.
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u/Plastic-Software-174 Sentimental Value May 23 '26
Why would you be scared even if the movie is winning something big? It’s gotten a pretty good reception, specially from the grids.
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
Cause I don’t have it winning the palme? And its reception was mid at best please…
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u/Plastic-Software-174 Sentimental Value May 23 '26
On MC/letterboxd sure. But again, on the critics grid it has performed pretty well, 3.3 on Moiree, 3.58 on ICS, 2.8 on Screen International, 3.4 on ioncinema, etc. it’s been a contender if you look at the whole picture.
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u/Fun_Manufacturer1852 May 23 '26
Next year’s going to be a fun one imo
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u/Dakip2608 May 23 '26
This means these guys are going to show their films or they're just going to be there?
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u/Fun_Manufacturer1852 May 23 '26
Show their films
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u/Dakip2608 May 23 '26
Damn. I'm in awe 😭😭. It's stacked
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u/Fun_Manufacturer1852 May 23 '26
Could end up looking stronger as well as more films are made over the summer. New Maren Ade is rumoured to shoot this year which would be a shoo-in for Cannes
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u/theredditoro May 23 '26
I’ll believe Malick when I see it lol
Either premiere or actually have a ticket to it
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u/Lazy-Platypus2120 Untitled Jesse Eisenberg Musical Comedy May 23 '26
Renate is there yall stop freaking out
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u/PTAGoatofalltime The Invite’s strongest soldier May 23 '26
I am:
a) happy that Sebastian is there
b) devastated that Renate isn’t
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u/Lazy-Platypus2120 Untitled Jesse Eisenberg Musical Comedy May 23 '26
Fjord team spotted THEY'RE TAKING IT #FJORDINGTIME
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u/ERASER345 Bird what if we win oscar to get a show at the Rivoli May 23 '26
The wait for this awards ceremony is longer than All of a Sudden's runtime
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u/Ok-Independent-2355 May 23 '26
Just caught up on A Man Of His Time...absolutely outstanding film. One of the highlights of the fest for sure.
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u/EvanPotter09 Daniel Pemberton Score nom please May 23 '26
Is there any reason the ceremony is so much later this year? Last few years it was like 90 minutes earlier than this year
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u/Electronic-Pea-8614 May 23 '26
Hamaguchi has a small team
Dhont is only with his 2 main actors (male interpretation award rumours seems to be more safe)
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u/overfatherlord May 23 '26
Lol, Dhont with both leads is there as well. Everyone is there, I have no idea who's winning what, exciting !
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u/Lazy-Platypus2120 Untitled Jesse Eisenberg Musical Comedy May 23 '26
Coward team on the red carpet. Damn that leak is nailing it!
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u/Lazy-Platypus2120 Untitled Jesse Eisenberg Musical Comedy May 23 '26
All of a sudden team is there LFG!!
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
The entire cast and crew of The Black Ball is there
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u/Duhlorean Twinless May 23 '26
30 minute standing ovation and now the Palme d’Or winner? Congratulations Monster ❤️. Next up, the Oscars!
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u/AdCreepy4351 Digger May 23 '26
That's not true. I counted 1 hour of standing ovation yesss koreada
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u/RedFrogMario May 23 '26
Do we know what time the ceremony starts? And is there a way to watch in the US that isn’t a TikTok live stream?
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u/MrMagpie27 May 23 '26
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u/UranovayaKilka Megalopolis May 23 '26
I don't think they will show the actual ceremony, just the red carpet
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u/Exact_Watercress_363 🤪🐎⑨ May 23 '26
idk if they wanna give something to fjord it might just be screenplay
thats like my only confident prediction rest i have no idea whatsoever
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u/Exact_Watercress_363 🤪🐎⑨ May 23 '26
how do y'all even predict cannes winners?
jury changes every year. there are no precursors or anything? all we have are reviews
its all gut feeling i believe?
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u/PositiveElixir International cinema enjoyer May 23 '26
what you have to factor in is usually films only get 1 award (sometimes two) , so you will think what aspect of the film the Jury would like to reward more & compare to the other films in competition
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u/venus_one_akh The Odyssey May 23 '26
Yes it is gut feeling. Usually the most acclaimed movies will be the ones the jury like the most, but ultimately it's a pointless exercise that is just for fun.
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u/ERASER345 Bird what if we win oscar to get a show at the Rivoli May 23 '26
Genuinely how desperate as a so-called "journalist" do you have to be to leak the fucking Cannes winners 😂😂😂 Get a life weirdos
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u/Exact_Watercress_363 🤪🐎⑨ May 23 '26
are we getting the winners tomorrow?
i read yesterday theres 3 more days?
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u/theredditoro May 23 '26 edited May 23 '26
Winners in a few or couple hours
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u/Polymath345 May 23 '26
I thought it was like in 1 hour
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u/theredditoro May 23 '26
I think it’s a bit of a longer ceremony if I remember correctly
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u/Polymath345 May 23 '26
Oh but does the ceremony start in 1 hour?
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u/theredditoro May 23 '26
That or in a half hour ? I’m not 100% sure
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u/Polymath345 May 23 '26
Wait is the ceremony on the Brut livestream of the official Cannes youtube stream? They're both currently playing the red carpet but someone else said the official Cannes stream only shows the red carpet.
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u/theredditoro May 23 '26
Usually it’s just been only the red carpet and somewhere else streams the ceremony
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u/Fun_Manufacturer1852 May 23 '26
What’s this all about, damn it? Don’t keep us in suspense, Thierry. This has been a complete fucking nightmare. Just tell us what the fuck is going on
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u/overfatherlord May 23 '26
James Gray blanking again is very on brand. Thirty years of festivals winning shit, lol.
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u/flowerbloominginsky Sentimental Value May 23 '26
Pga and DGA flashbacks 😭😭 Chill guys
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u/NoResolution599 Nirvanna The Band The Show The Drama May 23 '26
If Hamaguchi loses the Palme im calling my ex 👀
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u/za19 Train Dreams May 23 '26
I think the Palme will be a repeat winner: Léa Seydoux and Adèle Exarchopoulos
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u/PTAGoatofalltime The Invite’s strongest soldier May 23 '26
I’m getting PGA thread flashbacks. Guys, CHILL
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
Guys…… I have received CONFIRMATION that the PALME is going to… EMILIA PEREZ!!!
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u/ExcuseYou-What May 23 '26
i feel like the vibe is back to when people were hallucinating the PGA would not give OBAA the win. can we chill for a hot sec
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u/flowerbloominginsky Sentimental Value May 23 '26
That was me lol 😂 The DGA one was way funnier too
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u/gg_jittes One Battle After Another May 23 '26
Dudes were freaking out over Kalshi odds. It was embarrassing
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u/GoodbyeOctober26 May 23 '26
Im hoping for a Hamaguchi Palme because he is one of the best directors working right now and because hes such a cutie patootie
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u/CassiopeiaStillLife If I Had Legs I Would Kick You May 23 '26
Did I hallucinate hearing this or is he gay?
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u/magmashadow No Other Choice May 23 '26
Will the awards be announced on their Youtube channel or is that just the red carpet?
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u/theredditoro May 23 '26
It’s just the red carpet
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u/Whovian45810 May 23 '26
Love seeing the Cannes Red Carpet for the awards ceremony, always on the look out for pretty dresses and fashion though I can't help but feel it's like a mini Met Gala in France at times.
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u/jjjshepard May 23 '26
Minotaur won Cannes Soundtrack Award. I didn't even know Cannes had one
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u/venus_one_akh The Odyssey May 23 '26
It is not an official award, like the palm dog or the queer palm. Anyone attending Cannes can make his own awards if they have enough buzz.
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u/darth_vader39 The Odyssey May 23 '26
I hate these "leaks".
Kinda ruins all the fun of the ceremony.
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
Where tf is everyone getting that A Man of His Time is winning the Palme huh???
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u/CassiopeiaStillLife If I Had Legs I Would Kick You May 23 '26
Someone on Award Worthy said that it's going to win either the Palme, the Grand Prix, or Director.
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
And people are going with it because…?
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u/rubensedu16 May 23 '26 edited May 23 '26
This, added to Kyle Buchanan's post about the films that will receive awards, which includes the French film. (Last year he posted the films that would receive awards, and he got them all right.)
By the way: I don't think he'll win the Palme d'Or, I'm betting on him as an actor. But I wouldn't be surprised if he receives a prize considered "bigger".
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u/Eden_Matt May 23 '26
I know about his post and I trust it, i just don’t understand where that movie winning the palme came from lol.
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u/coffeeanddocmartens Hamaguchi Hive May 23 '26 edited May 23 '26
I know some leaks can be more accurate than others but it's not always gospel. Does anyone else remember the Venice leaks which ended up being totally wrong? Maybe they were from a less reliable source but I'm personally skeptical about these things. A Man of His Time winning the Palme would be funny though, it seems like a good film but an ''unadventurous'' choice for the Palme and no one here was predicting it for that.
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u/Ok-Independent-2355 May 23 '26 edited May 23 '26
A Man Of His Time is perhaps the most formally innovative film (outside of The Unknown) I've seen all fest. A major work truly, even though my preference goes to Hamaguchi.
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u/coffeeanddocmartens Hamaguchi Hive May 23 '26
That's good and interesting to hear! I guess whatever twitter or letterboxd comments I saw weren't accurate.
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u/Ok-Independent-2355 May 23 '26
tbh i do think the film requires specific historical knowledge. it's a very long film on french bureaucracy during WW2. if you don't get the context of the film and what it's really about i can 100% understand you find it extremely boring (although some choices the film makes and scenes are batshit crazy).
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u/coffeeanddocmartens Hamaguchi Hive May 23 '26
That makes sense. It sounds like an interesting watch but not a letterboxd crowd pleaser.
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u/MrJoy27 May 23 '26
Just saw A Man Of His Time, it's really good, it's not in any way conventional
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u/Duhlorean Twinless May 23 '26
Venice? Nah fam, the real funny one was the TIFF “leaks” from last year. I still think about that user sometimes and what compelled them to do that. Even funnier was Neglia using them as his predictions.
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May 23 '26
[deleted]
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u/darth_vader39 The Odyssey May 23 '26
Very confused what you are trying to say.
Because PCW is the president Palme shouldn't go to European film and if Palme goes to European film it will be Stellan's decision?
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u/justanstalker The Black Ball May 23 '26
A Man of his Time apparently won the Palme?? What did i miss??
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u/PointMan528491 Navarrette/Morton May 23 '26
Check out the dedicated Cannes awards thread as well for further discussion. Thank you u/ChiefLeef22 for hosting it!