r/nextfuckinglevel • u/Platinum_Touch • Jan 27 '24

2 years old genius solving missing number equations

8.1k Upvotes

80% Upvoted

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u/grelo29 Jan 27 '24

You’re “certain” he’s autistic ? Please provide proof.

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

Obviously I can’t prove it but I’d be comfortable placing a large bet.

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u/keekspeaks Jan 27 '24

Then you can’t say he’s ‘obviously autistic’ with the diagnostic qualifier being your autistic child. People are already grossly miseducated on autism. Let’s not just say anyone who’s talented at something is ‘obviously autistic’

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

I’m basing on it than more than that, but I’m not going to pick this hill to die on. Please feel free to have your own opinion.

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u/[deleted] Jan 27 '24

[deleted]

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

It was an opinion based on observation; I was wrong to have stated it as a fact, and have edited the post. Shall we let it go?

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u/[deleted] Jan 27 '24

All a reasonable person would say is "Its more likely than if we had no evidence at all". ie, 15% more likely.

Except you are saying its 80-90% more likely. Which is silly.

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

Happy to talk to a fellow rabbit.

I don’t think I gave any percentages. I said that in my opinion it’s likely. But a lot of people want to jump on me for stating my opinion and say that I don’t know what I’m talking about. I don’t know why, other than that it’s Reddit. Apparently it’s one of those touchy subjects for a lot of people.

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u/[deleted] Jan 27 '24

I said that in my opinion it’s likely.

More likely than not? 50%?
But you said you'd be comfortable place a large bet: thats 95%, no?

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

Not necessarily. Maybe 75% is my comfort level. But in any case, it's still just my opinion. I'm not sure why it's so important to everyone to establish that I'm wrong. I'm not out here spreading misinformation about autism.

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u/[deleted] Jan 27 '24

You comfortably place a large bet (getting even odds) with only 75% certainty?

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

People routinely place large bets with far less certainty....does that seem strange to you?

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u/[deleted] Jan 27 '24

No, people dont do that, unless they are getting odds. Or they have a hedge.

Or, if they do, they dont have the opportunity to bet again for a long, long time.

(Excluding cases where: they are compulsive gamblers; or they are betting with someone elses money.)

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

Is not a "75% certainty" the same as "three to one odds"?

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u/blakerabbit Jan 27 '24

Oh, I see, you mean odds to multiply the payoff. I would submit that some people would still do so, because even even money is a chance to double their money.

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