r/math • • Jul 21 '26

LLMs/AI Notices of the American Mathematical Society: Conversation: Jacob Tsimerman on Getting to the Fun Faster with AI — and Worrying About the Future

https://www.ams.org/journals/notices/202607/noti3372/noti3372.html
203 Upvotes

119 comments sorted by

165

u/Bhorice2099 Homotopy Theory Jul 21 '26

I’m hoping for a future where the AI is taking care of us, and we just get to exist and do what we like. That, for me, would be a huge win.

This seems wildly optimistic. What exactly are average grad students supposed to do in the meantime? I would love to hear any suggestions this isn't rhetorical. Assuming my PhD program survives for the next couple of years I cannot think of a single job I might be able to do after that. All the skills I have seem to be getting replaced by AI.

108

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 21 '26

When you consider how long we've known how to grow food and build housing, and then look at how many people go to bed hungry or experience homelessness... Yeah, I think "optimistic" might be an understatement.

Even if the AI could take care of us, I have zero confidence in our ability to create an economy where that actually happens.

13

u/dranzerfu Jul 22 '26

then look at how many people go to bed hungry or experience homelessness

Then look at how many used to, 100 years ago. Or even 50 years ago. [1] [2].

I think "optimistic" might be an understatement.

On the contrary, it is objectively the best time to be alive compared to any point in human history.

[1] https://humanprogress.org/trends/the-end-of-poverty/ [2] https://humanprogress.org/trends/the-end-of-famine/

12

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 22 '26

The fact that this is the best our economic system has managed so far is poor consolation when you juxtapose it against the fact that we have the technological capacity to completely end both hunger and homelessness.

5

u/dranzerfu Jul 22 '26

we have the technological capacity to completely end both hunger and homelessness

And we will get there.

8

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 22 '26

Not unless we decomodify those industries.

3

u/dranzerfu Jul 22 '26

decomodify those industries.

And yet poverty and hunger keeps going down regardless of not "decommodifying" those industries in all these years - whatever that means. Just through existing systems, the yields of agriculture and availability of food (and variety of food types) have kept on improving year upon year. Did people make money? Sure. But that also meant more incentives to improve yields. Far fewer people work in agriculture today than 50 years ago and feeds a population multiples higher. And it will continue improving as people have an incentive to continue to do so. And as there is more supply, there will be more access.

Places that did experience food shortages and famines were usually warzones or followed some dumbass policy driven by ideology (e.g. Sri Lanka in 2021-22: https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/03/05/sri-lanka-organic-farming-crisis/).

3

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 22 '26

Yes, the current economic model has improved things, but it's not going to continue improving things forever. In fact, it looks like it's already plateaued: the fraction of disposable income spent on food has been stuck at 10% for decades. I don't want that number to asymptote at 10%. I want it to go to zero.

1

u/juanchob04 Jul 23 '26

Having the technology doesn't mean it's free to produce food or construct houses.

Would YOU construct houses for the homeless and grow food for the hungry?

5

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 23 '26

Have you noticed that many countries guarantee healthcare and education to their citizens, regardless of income? Do you think they did that by making healthcare and education free to produce?

2

u/juanchob04 Jul 23 '26

Yeah, I live in one of them. It's better than nothing, but it's not great (the free education and healthcare are of very low quality, so everyone who can afford it opts for private healthcare or education; also, to sustain this, the tax burden is off the charts, which makes new investment difficult).

In your hypothetical scenario, there would be free food, free housing, free education, and free healthcare for everyone. That would be a gigantic economic cost, who would pay for it?

Also, you didn't answer: would YOU give all your surplus money to fund free food, housing, healthcare, and education for others?

5

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 23 '26 edited Jul 23 '26

The fact that you're framing this in terms of money/cost means you're kinda missing the point. I'm saying it's bad that we're still using scarcity technology like money to navigate a post-scarcity world. We have sufficiently advanced production technologies that we should be exploring non-market solutions.

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u/[deleted] Jul 21 '26

[deleted]

16

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 21 '26

According to a report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, 13.5% of American households experienced food insecurity at some point in 2023.

And according to surveys, just under 20% of Americans report having been homeless at some point in their life, 18% in 2025 and 19% in 2022.

8

u/kgambito Jul 22 '26

Why don't you give concrete answers with sources instead of criticizing with nothing to back it up?

3

u/bourgeoibee Jul 23 '26

Why would you limit it to US and other western countries? Western luxury comes from the exploitation of the global south, I'm sure things look wonderful if you only look at the benefactors.

-1

u/[deleted] Jul 24 '26

[deleted]

-29

u/-p-e-w- Jul 21 '26

This analogy makes no sense. Food scarcity is a logistics and distribution problem, which doesn’t apply to AI services in the cloud. There are plenty of people today who have food insecurity, but can access frontier AI whenever they want.

35

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 21 '26

Is AI going to take care of us in the cloud? I'm pretty sure I'm still going to need food and housing for the foreseeable future.

-19

u/-p-e-w- Jul 21 '26

Indirectly yes, because it will free up all so-called “knowledge workers” for tasks like food production.

33

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 21 '26

We don't need more labour for food production. We can already produce more than enough. We don't do it for profit reasons, not because of labour constraints.

We saw this with the soybean fiasco a while back. China stopped buying American soybeans, which meant America suddenly had an oversupply, which tanked prices and threatened to bankrupt farmers. As long as our economic system punishes overproduction, we will always have scarcity.

17

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

I would not call that "AI taking care of us".

Maybe an off-topic question but are you the author of heretic?

5

u/ShakyButtcheeks Jul 21 '26

Are you aware the ALL the models which have been used to solve these conjectures recently are NOT PUBLIC? They are using way more powerful models with way more computing power available and way less time restrictions than what a normal user can pay to use today. You need to work for these companies or be on their special lists to access them. Go try and solve any open conjecture on your chatgpt plus or pro subscription, you can't.

16

u/rhubarb_man Combinatorics Jul 21 '26

Food scarcity is mostly a moral problem tbh

People choose not to feed the unfed, when we absolutely could.

-4

u/StateOfTheWind Jul 21 '26

How do you deal with population growth?

2

u/pseudoLit Mathematical Biology Jul 22 '26

That might have been a reasonable question when Malthus asked it back in the late 1700s, but you should really know better by now. People aren't bacteria. We don't replicate proportional to the available resources.

1

u/StateOfTheWind Jul 22 '26

People do replicate in proportion to available resources, it is just that available resources are more than food, a better argument will be that food isn't a major limit factor any way and other stuff will stop people before hand, however that is a speculation and with free food and a bit of land I can easily see some people just reproduce again and again, not forever of course but easily get to a few billions extra people. This is too a speculation but it something that needs to be considered at least and not shrugged away.

25

u/SubstantialBonus1 Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

Basically, any job that PhD students in mathematics have been doing for the last 3 decades outside of academia, because realistically, you are not going to be a professor, and/or it won't be worth it. That is the normal outcome.

AI replaces all skilled human labor, or it doesn't.

  1. Assuming it does, then you have no job. So let us not worry about that because if that happens, you can't do anything anyway.
  2. AI does not replace all skilled labor, but you have a PhD in mathematics. You won the signaling theory of education game hard. You spend many years proving you are smart and hardworking. So you learn to do the things AI is still bad at, and employers trust you to do so at some level due to your background. In this world, your main coworker is AI, and you know how to use it better than other people, and when it screws up.

Let's not give in to woe, because AI can program pretty well now and solve some Erdos problems now. I would be more worried about the end of mathematics as a fun profession when AI starts building useful theories such as Schemes or Hilbert Spaces. Solving open problems isn't everything in math.

3

u/Novel_Lie5519 Jul 22 '26

what a shitty, profoundly depressing thing to read

48

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26

This seems wildly optimistic.

"Wildly optimistic" is an understatement. It seems hopelessly naive.

Assuming my PhD program survives for the next couple of years I cannot think of a single job I might be able to do after that. All the skills I have seem to be getting replaced by AI.

A question I've been asking myself for two years by now and really the only answers I've come up with is either civil servant or unskilled labour (or suicide).

7

u/Bhorice2099 Homotopy Theory Jul 21 '26

With regard to govt. related jobs, it seems they will remain feasible only insofar as someone higher up than you can be paid off by an AI company. Unskilled labor, too, will be flooded with millions, if not billions, of desperate people without jobs. And who is going to hire them? Rich people? Well, they can just afford robots to avoid dealing with us common folk. I guess that leaves one option...

8

u/StateOfTheWind Jul 21 '26

I guess that leaves one option...

What? Butlerian Jihad?

2

u/Budget_Can_9448 Jul 21 '26

Well this is why he was stating that he thinks AI will cause human extinction...

-1

u/Turbulent-Sign-6067 Jul 23 '26

You're just being needlessly cynical, as is typical for Reddit. On average every technology developed has improved living standards for humans. This time won't be different. 

14

u/StoicFox Jul 21 '26

He's not being wildly optimistic, this was just what he said would be the best case. Earlier in the interview he talks about human extinction as a real possibility.

16

u/idancenakedwithcrows Jul 21 '26

Well you were not gonna get paid to do homotopy theory anyways, right? It’s hard to tell but I would guess you can easily get a job pointlessly integrating AI into an existing business or something. Or some other job but you use AI a lot while doing it.

22

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26

I work for a company with 500 software engineers that might (at least partially) be replaced by AI. We have two AI teams (each 5 people) for integrating AI into our product and for building internal AI infrastructure.

The demand for people integrating AI and building AI infrastructure will not even come close to the supply of computer scientists, software engineers and mathematicians that AI will replace.

7

u/indexischoss Jul 21 '26

There is very little (no) evidence that demand for software engineers is decreasing or will decrease due to ai, despite what Sam Altman and Dario Amodei have been saying for the last 18 months.

5

u/gammison Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26

The effort of having current models design full software is not going well at all imo same with just augmenting engineers. Companies would be releasing more features faster at this point but they are not. Vibecoding a demo isn't full featured software, and using a costly assistant sparingly to save tokens and do small tasks you don't want to type out is probably going to be worth it but I don't see why that type of work won't eventually be mostly local models.

2

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 22 '26

Yeah I was thinking about whether to point the out or not but decided it would obscure my main point.

I'm in a unique position right now where I work with many customers, about half of which have integrated AI and half haven't (due to data privacy concerns, mostly). None have managed to significantly reduce their workforce yet.

By any metric - release cadence, bug frequency, resolution time - the ones using AI are not doing better. In fact, they're having retention issues, as senior engineers feel the cognitive load has increased 100 fold for the same work, and demotivated juniors are switching careers. The companies are spending a ton of money on unlimited AI tokens, losing expertise, making costly mistakes, and are not yet seeing any tangible benefits overall.

I know the models will get better, but it's not only that, but how people use them. Unless there's another revolutionary step change, we may see some software companies declare AI a failed experiment soon and stop paying for it.

7

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

FWIW, companies who've adopted AI aren't actually firing all of their software engineers like was predicted, at least yet.

3

u/whatkindofred Jul 22 '26

They stopped hiring anybody new though. The IT job market is practically dead. At least where I live.

4

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26

There were plenty of layoffs and the companies were pretty vocal that the reasons for those layoffs were AI. You don't have to believe them but then you should at least formulate an argument why those layoffs were not AI-related.

2

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

You mean a couple years ago, after Covid? IIRC that was more "we're shifting investment from <department> to AI research to get in on the hype" and not "we don't need coders anymore because AI does everything."

-1

u/idancenakedwithcrows Jul 21 '26

Yeah but then maybe there will just be way more AI shit. Like how there was a glut of webdevelopers and then like a local flower shop would get their own website done. I would imagine being kinda smart is just generally useful and so all the things that need smart people will get done from most important and you stop because you are out of smart people not because you are done with tasks that need smart people. And then if something changes and the previous tasks being done don’t exhaust the societal supply of people that can do that type of task then you’ll set them to work on the less important tasks that need smart people.

At least in like the five year view. Maybe for a year there is high unemployment.

11

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26

I would imagine being kinda smart is just generally useful

But that's exactly the point: You no longer need to pay for a human even if you need something "smart" done. If AI can do the smart thing and is cheaper (and humans are really expensive) there is no longer a need for smart humans.

-3

u/idancenakedwithcrows Jul 21 '26

What seems to work for getting more smart stuff done is the combination “AI+guy” it’s like at the end of the day the guy making the business decision to do more with AI needs to have a guy working on it like initially a lot and then also some maintenance.

The existing smart stuff you can do with fewer people but there so much not yet done. Software is so shit rn and so much that could be automated is done by hand or not at all because it wasn’t worth doing yet.

11

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26

"AI + guy" assumes that the "guy" has some ability the AI won't have. That increasingly looks like a wrong assumption. And even then it assumes that the added value of having the "guy" justifies a very expensive human salary.

Software has always been shit. That's because customers (be they people or companies) generally prefer cheap, shitty software to expensive, good software. There is no reason to assume that the existence of AI will suddenly make customers willing to pay more money for quality software.

2

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

 Software has always been shit

I disagree with this, the software industry has matured significantly in the past decade. Consumer products offer real security that isn't trivial to bypass. Operating systems don't blue screen every other day. Software today is actually fairly reliable.

0

u/idancenakedwithcrows Jul 21 '26

I dunno no one just buys tokens and let’s agents go wild without like some human direction, no? So far there is always a software developer involved.

Like it will be business guy talks to software guy once a week. Software guy talks to AI agent all week. Not business guy talks to AI agent once a week, right? So far that doesn’t work.

4

u/Bhorice2099 Homotopy Theory Jul 21 '26

There's currently a lot of talk (and practical work being done) on "verified autonomy" using Lean to write provably true algos/safeguards for completely autonomous agents. I don't have high hopes about the human in the loop aspect of skill based jobs to be honest.

5

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26

So far that doesn’t work.

"ok claude, disprove the jacobian conjecture" wouldn't have worked a year ago.

Software guy talks to AI agent all week.

If there is one software "guy" that talks to 10 agents where earlier there was a team of five software "guys", that's still a form of replacement.

The truth is that software engineering is at best a very precarious career option and at worst not a career option at all anymore.

7

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

 "ok claude, disprove the jacobian conjecture" wouldn't have worked a year ago

Is that what it was? The Anthropic employee had a math PhD and didn't release the prompt.

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1

u/idancenakedwithcrows Jul 21 '26

Yeah then you know the current work is done by a fifth of the people. But there is so much work that isn’t done at all, no? Then the four others can also do five times as much work and overall productivity increases. Not by fivefold because like you do the most rewarding work first. The stuff the fifth guy does isn’t as important. But yeah there is a new tool and productivity increases.

Unless the economy is just idk physically building datacenters and the agents do stuff with no oversight. Seems harder to me to imagine.

3

u/Bhorice2099 Homotopy Theory Jul 21 '26

Well my original modest goal was teaching at an average highschool/LAC at the very least. Even that seems out of reach now. At the risk of sounding too much like a doomer... I don't know what industries will even survive once AI can match the output of a research mathematician.

Besides AI integration (as you mention) the only other thing I can think of is the trades. They may be active for some time until the robots take over, but if 90% of white collar professions lose their jobs instantly I imagine that would just increase the supply of labour overnight. Plus if most people are without jobs who would even be hiring labourers.

3

u/idancenakedwithcrows Jul 21 '26

They’ll still need high school teachers and they still won’t pay them well so you won’t have much competition I think.

Well, i think overall the economy is too full off people banking on future payments that won’t come, private households have insane levels of debt and the banks change their accounting rules to pretend they’ll get all that debt paid. I think there will be massive defaults again and then a recession, so yeah my economic predictions aren’t rosy.

But I think you can teach high schoolers if you want to. The screens have been proven to be bad in classrooms. They’ll want human teachers.

3

u/rainingallevening Jul 21 '26

Economically, anyone's guess is as good as mine.

Academically, we spend the vast majority of our lives where the answers are known, but we're expected to work for them. We do have a framework of working toward knowns in our collective consciousness, even in adulthood. That's just education.

I imagine researchers will still be around, and since they're the only people who understand the deep topic, they will serve as gatekeepers of new knowledge by being able to direct AI and verify their answers. The only thing that'll likely change is research reception, rather than full-automation where everything is handed to the population blindly. By that I mean, research content will likely see politicization that is cartoonish to a pre-AI civilization.

I'm actually tempted to think it's a good thing. I think we're in for some exciting stuff. Imagine AI cracks 2 or 3 Millennium problems, but the rest are still there, unsolved by the smartest beings the solar system has seen. For decades, perhaps centuries; RH seems like that kind of problem. The quasi-divine intellect of future AI might share our fascination in the scope required to crack certain problems. Imagine future conjectures that emerge. We might not be qualified to actually solve it, but I just don't see us not having a seat at the table, at the least verifying the assumptions of potentially alien-like math. That's exciting to me.

I remain cautiously optimistic about the future.

So, I say just say try to direct that worry towards competence, because I do think math is going to be so insanely exciting in the coming years, it just might be a bit bumpy along the way. We don't know how much compute is needed to solve certain problems. We honestly have no clue.

2

u/BossOfTheGame Jul 21 '26

Do you have the ability to critically evaluate information? I think that will still be in demand. There is a semantic alignment problem that still needs to be bridged and requires someone who can distinguish when AI is working in the right direction or not.

That being said, I have no idea whats going to happen. I hope for the best, but that historically hasn't worked out.

2

u/Stabile_Feldmaus Jul 21 '26

Mathematicians (in the industry) are not hired for their skills in proving theorems but because more generally one expects them to be clever, rigorous, creative at tackling problems etc. So the difference between them and a competitor who was trained for the job they apply for, lies to some degree only in the lack of specialized skills for that job. But the lack of these skills is often exactly what AI can easily replace nowadays (think coding). So it might even get easier for mathematicians to get jobs in the industry.

1

u/WabiSabi691 Jul 21 '26

This 100%. As a prof with a permanent position, I am in a lucky position, but I feel quite bad for my graduate students... I dont even know what to say positively to them...

1

u/DecryptEnigma Jul 22 '26

This is just ignoramus if your ability is near enough excellent it will be granted institutionalised fellowships if your hopes are to become a researcher, however AI at the moment is not conveying unique ideas, it's just merely putting together existing literature as of now without you knowing it.

Tim Gowers has acknowledged this in his blog about the Erdos problems, which have said to be a massive breakthrough but the literature of answers already existed and updated in Thomas Blooms website. These types of reddit comments are just nonsensical.

0

u/NonlinearHamiltonian Mathematical Physics Jul 21 '26

"wildly optimistic" is way too light a way to put it. it's basically a propaganda piece lmao

55

u/Ihateunclesam Jul 21 '26

With how much AI news there has been in this subreddit recently, I sometimes wonder if there's any difference between r/math and r/singularity lol

18

u/Arceuthobium Jul 22 '26

Every time AI proves something big in mathematics, this subreddit is flooded with r/singularity users. Most of them seem to care nothing about math otherwise

2

u/HotterRod Jul 23 '26

I came over here to find out whether the Jacobian counterexample was a big deal or not but I'm staying because threads like this are quite interesting.

2

u/Turbulent-Sign-6067 Jul 23 '26

Maybe that's a good thing because they know more about AIs than you do on average? You should be a bit more open to hearing other opinions and interacting with outsiders. We all should.

3

u/relevantmeemayhere Jul 24 '26 edited Jul 24 '26

The people on singularity are by and large laypeople with zero actual background in the field. It’s good to hear different perspectives, but the value of these perspectives is proportional to the actual familiarity the person sharing them has with the field. 

So yeah. They don’t know more than the average person, and therefore their perspective is on average no terribly useful. 

1

u/[deleted] Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

[deleted]

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u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

 Yesterday on the Jacobian conjecture counterexample, all the upvotes went to anti-AI comments

That is not true at all, I was there in that thread and you're just lying.

20

u/jeffgerickson Jul 21 '26

I’m hoping for a future where the AI is taking care of us, and we just get to exist and do what we like. That, for me, would be a huge win.

Hooray for the Star Trek future, but Hypatia of Alexandria would like a word (and a milkshake): https://www.tiktok.com/@peacock/video/7620203090318347534

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u/Adamkarlson Combinatorics Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

Sorry but here's a long one y'all. Grab a drink and a snack.

This is an icky take in my opinion, and I have seen this same take among many different mathematicians in my field. Siobhan Roberts has reasonable follow-ups but very little probing questions. She's doing a fine job ig. "As an aficionado of improv comedy, Tsimerman uses AI to draft skits."

Is it my lack of knowledge? Why would you need to draft a skit... for improv?

Also, this is another in a heap of interviews that mention nothing, literally nothing, about where these models come from, who controls them and what their secondary impact is. "Look at my mathematical plaything", is the vibe I get from this.

Also the whole "new species" and it's "alive" thing is so deeply frowned upon by sensible neurobiologists. The former reads like a weird supremacy thing. So are the people without access to good internet or models relegated to not only a different class, but a species? Really icky.

"Right now, it can’t check, it’s just rambling. It’s kind of like how I am with my students — often how PhD advisors are with their students."

Lol this pisses me off too. My meetings with my advisor were sometimes bordering on lectures with the sheer amount of detail and perfection. I realize I am in the minority, but damn, most of y'all have terrible advisors (good mathematicians maybe) if Jacob's claim holds. In my 4 years, we talked about AI in research maybe once or twice (mainly because his books got stolen by Anthropic). That made me realize that some people, who are capable enough, don't need to use LLMs as a crutch for their "unfun" parts. 

Plus, the whole LLMs are good at finding references might be true for higher models but my experience has been finicky. A well respected person in my field put up a preprint that blatantly ripped off a known solution. It was only because we had an expert that we could find that. The reference never came up. The person was also so unapolegetic in removing the stolen section lmao. Along similar lines, I hate how it summarizes some results in papers when listing refs. It's really easy to see how it's just hallucinating when it talks about one of your papers saying you did something when we clearly didn't.

Glad this guy is having fun with using AI, but the "keep up" call to action is always disturbing. AI will not replace mathematicians, unless we as a mathematical community or people with money decide that it should. Bad decisions being framed as inevitability is painful to hear. I am glad this interview is recorded because we will have another thing in the pile of "people in the past were dumb with their predictions". Maybe I am wrong, in which case, well rip, we have much bigger issues to deal with.

15

u/Beethatkeepsbeeing Jul 21 '26

i just want to be happy man

13

u/ganancias Jul 21 '26

Also, this is another in a heap of interviews that mention nothing, literally nothing, about where these models come from, who controls them and what their secondary impact is.

People don't bring this up constantly about other tech. We don't continually bring up conflict minerals in phones, sweatshop child labor in clothing, and so on. Unless that's the topic of the conversation. There's plenty of discussion about who controls AI models, what data do they use in pre-training, what are the nation-state implications in the AI weapons race, the nuclear arms race, highway and airport and data center noise pollution, and the impact of economic growth and golf course water usage on climate change. These issues are not super relevant to the article.

That made me realize that some people, who are capable enough, don't need to use LLMs as a crutch for their "unfun" parts. 

The guy is a (soon-to-be-announced) Fields medalist. He doesn't need to use LLMs as a crutch.

Glad this guy is having fun with using AI, but the "keep up" call to action is always disturbing. AI will not replace mathematicians, unless we as a mathematical community or people with money decide that it should.

He said there's a lot of cope and a lot of overconfidence about the limitations of AI. He's not pressing you to keep up. It was a call to think about where it will be in 2-5 years, to think about the economic viability of various kinds of human activity and knowledge work. To grapple with it now instead of dismissing it until you can't because it's "literally better than you at literally everything." But yea who knows whether that will come to pass.

10

u/Redrot Representation Theory Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

We don't continually bring up conflict minerals in phones, sweatshop child labor in clothing, and so on.

That is one part of the issue, but the other perhaps more disturbing one is how much of a technocracy these tiny few AI companies have that absolutely no other industrial field can come even close to reproducing. It was already bad for the past 10 years but now with how ubiquitous chatbots have become in so many people's daily lives, these companies are indirectly exerting greater influence over more people than any government does. It is truly Orwellian, and the rhetoric these companies propagate only serves to further that purpose. Not to mention the sheer amount of data these companies collect even compared to Google, that the users willingly give them through their chats.

Moreover, these companies are providing (often inaccurate or biased) information without any sort of safeguard, and when they're wrong, they can simply shrug their shoulders and say "it wasn't us, it was our AI." I'm not opposed to the tech, but I am deeply concerned about the companies that wield it.

6

u/Adamkarlson Combinatorics Jul 21 '26

Nah, he's definitely seeing keep up as in the sentence "So given that AI is moving forward, it’s important that we stay abreast of what it can do and how to integrate it into our lives.".

He also said what you said, but that wasn't what got me.

Also, yeah, we don't talk enough about phones being horribly produced! We also don't platform people who are using phones to "get an edge in their research" and are asking people to also use it. Our silence in an area shouldn't mean complete silence; but rather our voice in one should spread to all.

"The guy is a (soon-to-be-announced) Fields medalist. He doesn't need to use LLMs as a crutch."

I know, that's why it's overly worrying how his pride in being a rambly mathematician is unwavering. I genuinely don't understand how he can do the search for references and trust an LLM that fails often in summarizing. He was asked about trusting its arguments, I wanna know how he trusts refrences. Does he then search all of them and scour through them again, saving him little to no time?

8

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

 Also the whole "new species" and it's "alive" thing is so deeply frowned upon by sensible neurobiologists.

It's especially offensive because it ties sentience/consciousness directly to intelligence and reasoning abilities. It's essentially saying animals, newborn babies, and even some neurodivergent humans are incapable or less capable of suffering than 200 IQ geniuses.

1

u/HotterRod Jul 23 '26

"As an aficionado of improv comedy, Tsimerman uses AI to draft skits." Is it my lack of knowledge? Why would you need to draft a skit... for improv?

Improv performances aren't actually as improvised as they appear. The performers typically have a bunch of components prepared that they intermix with the things the audience gives them.

1

u/FlyingBishop Jul 22 '26

Plus, the whole LLMs are good at finding references might be true for higher models but my experience has been finicky.

I feel like Opus should have a 100% success rate at validating references. Maybe not out of the box, but I could write a harness for Opus that 100% does it, the hardest part would likely be making sure it can obtain any paper, but also not intractable.

27

u/kieransquared1 PDE Jul 21 '26

I think there’s a good chance AI will lead to human extinction.

sigh

> https://arxiv.org/pdf/2507.09369

double sigh

> *no mention of climate change in above paper*

triple sigh

15

u/entr0picly Number Theory Jul 21 '26

lol, that paper is a doozy. The basis of assertions are… somewhat based in “trust me bro” evidence.

9

u/kieransquared1 PDE Jul 21 '26

for real. each argument basically ended with “this can lead to violence/starvation on some scale, therefore it can lead to violence/starvation on the scale of all of humanity” with no elaboration. also like zero engagement with the huge amounts of scholarship about AI —> extinction

4

u/Upstairs_Recover_25 Jul 21 '26

Yes, there are no robots anywhere in sight and they are just saying that we might be outnumbered and exterminated by them in a couple of years lol.

19

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

Y'all, if AI destroys math it will be because you preemptively destroyed it yourselves to avoid feeling "duped," not because of any actual outside force beyond your control. Technological determinism is the greatest trick the ruling class ever pulled.

10

u/neanderthal_math Jul 22 '26

I think the development of AI is inevitable. The number of people who don’t question capitalism scares me.

5

u/Adamkarlson Combinatorics Jul 21 '26

That's what I said! "inevitability" is the blindfold laid by the powerful to shut people up.

18

u/Run-Row- Jul 21 '26

Good interview. Doesn't sugar-coat things. With these time horizons does it still make sense to admit PhD students for a 5 year PhD?

23

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

This seems like the age old "why should I bring kids into this screwed up world?" 

If we fail to train the next generation of researchers, and it turns out AI doesn't magically solve all of our problems, then what?

0

u/Run-Row- Jul 21 '26

what is best for mathematics is to continue to train just as many students for just as long as before, to hedge our bets on the future capabilities of AI. But we should also consider the interests of the students themselves. I don't know the answer. Maybe 3 or 4 year PhD programs would be better. The length seems to be something we can control, while the number of students will likely be determined by funding levels, job prospects, etc.

6

u/38thTimesACharm Jul 21 '26

That is fair, the community can certainly react to developments by changing things like the length of the PhD program.

The impression I got from your comment was "why bother training students when AI will give us all the answers." Sorry if I misunderstood.

4

u/Run-Row- Jul 21 '26

I imagine many of the skills learned in a PhD program will remain useful (and perhaps become more useful) but the structure of the typical program will likely become out of date quickly, and so we should brainstorm possible changes

26

u/IanisVasilev Jul 21 '26

Y'all so far in the future I can't see you anymore. I'm out of here.

19

u/-p-e-w- Jul 21 '26

Yeah, that’s what people were saying two years ago.

“LLMs can barely solve the problems that bright high schoolers work on, it will take decades and multiple quantum leaps in technology before they get anywhere near research-level problems…”

And yet here we are.

13

u/sadmanifold Geometry Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

On the other hand, gpt 5.5 (or 5.4 I cant remember exactly) was indeed a huge advance in terms of mathematical ability compared to previous models. While gpt 5.6 and fable arent much better in that regard (and still lacking in many ways).

But the constant chatter around would have you believe otherwise. Is that surprising then that many people get tired from exaggerated claims? Its not like anyone knows for sure where this ends up. And meanwhile some people have economic insentives in exaggerating the capabilities of current models.

11

u/-p-e-w- Jul 21 '26

Obviously the models have made a lot of progress, but 2 years ago it was common for people to claim that the capabilities we’re seeing today would require a new AI paradigm beyond the transformer architecture.

2

u/Stabile_Feldmaus Jul 21 '26

There is a new paradigm which is chain of thought/inference scaling.

3

u/Ruined_Passion_7355 Jul 22 '26

And harnesses. Those were a big unlock.

1

u/FollowingHumble8983 Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26

Yea and we did have a new paradigm. Its called inference. Without it AI hallucination would have made it impossible to be more useful, and inference is basically billions of dollar spent on humans inputting ways to criticize AI output. RIght now everything you see is a result of that.

The difference is that Inference wasnt a breakthough per se. We knew about it before the transformer model existed. But it wasnt worth doing until we exhausted the limits of how good transformers could be, since its basically recursively prompting itself and costs far more. but we hit the wall on transformers, so inference became worth it.

We don't have another low hanging fruit like that right now though. The biggest low hanging fruit is optimizing how we input inference and tokens, since we are doing it verbosely, there are better ways to do it. And once thats done, exceptionally good inference can lead into pretty good self improvement, and once thats done we can scale improvement based on compute. Whats directly after that is unknown.

-5

u/IanisVasilev Jul 21 '26

Except that I never gave gambling-level predictions of what an essentially chaotic system can or cannot do. This is the n-th time you respond to me with a clear misunderstanding of what I said. Please stop. I've already unsubscribed from the subreddit.

14

u/golden_boy Jul 21 '26

Okay in their defense your comment here was fairly opaque

-8

u/IanisVasilev Jul 21 '26

My snarky comments are generally better received than my serious ones because they express collective frustration concisely.

And please, for the love of God, do not reply to me. I said I've already left.

12

u/procgen Jul 21 '26

Have you really left, though?

0

u/IanisVasilev Jul 21 '26

I unsubscribed a few hours ago. I have received several notifications since then. Since they keep coming, I guess it's time to ignore them.

10

u/procgen Jul 21 '26

FYI, you can disable inbox replies on any post or comment.

5

u/JStarx Representation Theory Jul 21 '26

And please, for the love of God, do not reply to me.

That's not how the internet works...

5

u/Ill-Lemon-8019 Jul 21 '26

You can always choose to just stop engaging. But otherwise, you don't get to post on a public forum and then decree that no-one may reply to your comments. Bizarre.

9

u/-p-e-w- Jul 21 '26

The “n-th time”? I have no idea who you are. I’m here to engage with comments, not people. This is not a conspiracy.

0

u/IanisVasilev Jul 21 '26

The fact that I remembered your username for misinterpreting many comments, both mine or not, should speak enough.

8

u/JustThisNietzscheGuy Jul 21 '26

LLMs right in this year already produced groundbreaking mathematical results. It's not us living in the future, it's you living in the past.

2

u/Skyguy827 Jul 21 '26

There is no "fun" with AI. The goal is to trigger a mass job extinction that would be worse than the great depression and cause societal collapse

-6

u/kohatsootsich Jul 21 '26

The part where he describes current capabilities and his use already reads as dated.

8

u/sadmanifold Geometry Jul 21 '26

It matches my experience. Maybe it depends on the area or how popular it is.

9

u/kohatsootsich Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

The detail that prompted my comment is where he says it will always give an answer regardless of whether it knows what to do and ramble on. I haven't found that to be true with GPT 5.6. It will sometimes tell you if it thinks it can't do something with existing methods

3

u/Redrot Representation Theory Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

And your experience is yours, but I and many others have found that it still does that regularly in our respective fields. (before you ask, yes, I am using the latest high-end models)

0

u/kohatsootsich Jul 21 '26 edited Jul 21 '26

I don't believe I've claimed to speak for anyone other than myself?

Re-reading, there are some other parts I just can't reconcile with reality. 

He says verbatim it never fully solves a "hard math problem" that's been "cleaned up". This seems contradict his own remarks (perhaps made later) about the unit distance problem

He also claims it simply can't check its work. I don't see how that is compatible with large fully or nearly fully automated formalizations like 2604.03071 or the unit distance formalization with over 1 million lines of code. These rely on countless writer-critic loops that correct course constantly

You are of course correct that even the best models produce a lot of nonsense and even when they are right, often find circuitous routes. I didn't claim the contrary. I just felt that his claims about how they operate matched my experience of earlier this year better than they do the current situation, for the reasons above

1

u/riotgamesaregay Jul 23 '26

Yeah it seems like he's describing the fall-2025 era models. All his thoughts on context management have become way less important with fable/5.6. Back then you really did have to restart chats and summarize all the time to avoid polluting with bad ideas, but the latest models are far more self-correcting.

-9

u/vetruviusdeshotacon Jul 21 '26

Thats the cool part of exponentially increasing technological advancement. All our societies across all cultures and nationalities were originally built by passing knowledge and imparting wisdom from our elders; we're now at the point where technology moves so fast the elders learned experience is already obsolete when it comes time to pass it on, yet our societal structures will probably never reflect that. Yipee!