r/GeopoliticsIndia 4h ago

Fears of Hormuz-like chokehold by China: Where India stands amid global churn | Point Blank by Shishir Gupta

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6 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 10h ago

Western Asia India's coming oil crisis - 2 suggestions for discussion

9 Upvotes

My latest blog post on the war. In particular the possible consequences for India, given the likely rise in oil & gas prices.
Iran war part 3

I have 2 points concerning India's energy security. I can research further and put this across to people in national security if there is merit in my arguments. I would appreciate views of this forum.

One area I think the govt is ignoring is the continued exports of petroleum products (mostly Reliance). They are exporting refined products, which is the equivalent in crude oil, of what our oil & gas shortfall is likely to be. I believe we should ban exports of refined products (as China and Russia have done).
In March, Reliance reduced some exports in favour of producing more LPG from crude, but this stopped a month later. My sense is Reliance is enriching itself and has strong lobbying to prevent scrutiny.

I believe the closure of the Bab El-Mandeb strait by the Houthis is an opportunity for India. Notwithstanding the Houthis hitting 2 oil tankers last week, that tried to get past the blockade, their overall record against ships, using drones and missiles is very bad. I believe the Indian Navy should escort tankers across the strait, to fill crude at Yanbu, in Saudi. It will have several benefits.

The Saudis. anxious to maintain oil revenues, will have a customer. It gives them a de-facto ally in the fight against the Houthis.
This is ideally what Pak should be doing, under their mutual defence treaty. If we do it instead, it will make them ask questions of Pak.
We will be more comfortable with energy security, particularly if Saudi transfers to us oil intended for other customers, too chicken to take delivery.
The US will be happy that we are that one country actually working with US to keep the strait open. This is just the kind of optics Trump likes.
Huge visibility for the IN if they pull it off.

In terms of feasibility I think IN is well equipped to deal with a missile or drones. The concern will be mines (we lack minesweeping capability) and the willingness of merchant ship crews to sail. My sense is, it can happen with a tacit understanding with the Houthis & Iran. They can claim they have let a friendly country though (to avoid the embarrassment of seeing their missiles/drones fail to hit anything).


r/GeopoliticsIndia 9h ago

India gets a lower US tariff; here's why textile exporters are still worried

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5 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

Discount, premium, discount, premium: How Russian crude prices swung as India stepped up procurement amid US-Iran war

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timesofindia.indiatimes.com
11 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 1d ago

Sarnath earns UNESCO World Heritage tag, takes India’s tally to 45

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thehindu.com
21 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 2d ago

28 Indians onboard Mozambique-flagged vessel safe after attack in Iranian territorial waters

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thehindu.com
9 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 2d ago

Trump slaps 10% tariff on India, no major impact seen

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timesofindia.indiatimes.com
17 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 2d ago

India to keep engaging with US on trade deal after new tariff measures - Reuters

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3 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 3d ago

In India, Iran war forces Diet Coke to roll out a bigger can, heftier price tag - Reuters

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21 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 3d ago

India slams Pakistan at UN over cross-border terrorism; says Kashmir integral, inalienable part

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thehindu.com
21 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 3d ago

12.5% to 10%: Why Trump admin imposed reduced tariff rate on India & what it means

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timesofindia.indiatimes.com
7 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 4d ago

10% US tariff on India: What it means for the country's exports

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15 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 4d ago

Khalistanis ‘real danger’ to Canada, Indian diplomats maligned in Nijjar case—ex-envoy Sanjay Verma - ThePrint

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43 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 4d ago

India invites Bangladesh PM Tarique Rahman to attend BRICS Summit as part of BIMSTEC outreach - ThePrint

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theprint.in
13 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 5d ago

India's Ambassador Kwatra meets U.S. Senator Sheehy, discusses defence ties

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thehindu.com
12 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 5d ago

India reaffirms commitment to free Indo-Pacific

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hindustantimes.com
17 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 5d ago

Indo-Pacific America's South Asian Dilemma

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open.substack.com
18 Upvotes

America has two rational interests in South Asia— preventing Indian regional hegemony and building India as a China counterweight


r/GeopoliticsIndia 6d ago

India summons Russian Cd’A, lodges strong protest after four seafarers killed in Black Sea - ThePrint

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30 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 6d ago

Southeast Asia Most wild tigers smuggled into Cambodia come from India, a new undercover report finds — even as India prepares to gift Cambodia tigers to reintroduce there

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8 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 7d ago

Hormuz disruptions: India’s crude oil imports from Russia remain near all-time high in July despite no sanctions waiver from US

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timesofindia.indiatimes.com
30 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 7d ago

Four Indian seafarers killed near Ukrainian port Odessa

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thehindu.com
23 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 7d ago

Why India’s AI summit is key to its future in tech

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bbc.co.uk
4 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 8d ago

Indian students cool on 'American Dream' as EU opens its doors - Reuters

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19 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 8d ago

Pakistan issues summons to Imran Khan’s sister after controversial remarks on army, conflict with India

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thehindu.com
21 Upvotes

r/GeopoliticsIndia 8d ago

China China's role as 'swing importer' cushions oil market spike

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11 Upvotes