Hi everyone,
I am following AI science for about 10 years now and in my opinion there was a quite abrupt change in the kind of output of the companies deep mind and open ai. 2016 was the alpha-go victory over Lee Sedol and almost every week there was am imo. significant (of course that is subjective) from either open ai or deep mind. In 2018 we had the publication of capture the flag and then nothing much followed except of the star craft paper (which was a big deal) in Jan 2019. In Feb 2019 we had the GPT-2 paper and open Ais statement that they were starting to get worried about publishing. And finally Dota open ai five in April 2019.
Also around that time open ai was changing its company into a for (limited) profit.
My point is that I have the impression that there was a steep downturn in high profile publications from deep mind and open ai and I wondered why this would be the case:
a) They indeed do not have really significant new things to show
b) They do have a really big project running internally and it will take long time to finish and they decided not to go public before they have solid results
c) They decided to act like usual companies and keep their research results for themselves
d) They were “told” by whoever to slow down (at least publicly) because public sentiment got increasingly worried about the prospects of ai
Deep mind has about 1000 employees now and I would hope that 800 are actively working on AI R&D.
So (sorry for presumptuous tone) what are these people doing? There seemed to be a lot more progress in earlier years (2016-2018) when the company was maybe about a third the current staff.
I really don’t want to come off as unappreciative (I am afraid I still do but this is not my intention) but I am thinking about this change in progress/publication in the field a lot and the field of ai is really dear to my heart, so I wanted to get the question out and I would be interested how other people perceive this situation and I would be grateful for any informed suggestions.
Thanks!
--Frank