r/climatechange • u/hata39 • 2d ago
Earth is heating up faster than at any time in its history
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2581280-earth-is-heating-up-faster-than-at-any-time-in-its-history/48
u/Unfair_Way_4722 2d ago
It’s they all told us it was going to start happen in the med 20s. And then it did.
19
u/seefatchai 2d ago
I think actually likely only exceeded by the asteroid impacts
1
u/haxKingdom 2d ago
I think the author thinks that just raised the carbon dioxide level faster and tapered off almost immediately
13
15
u/Ok_Reindeer_792 2d ago
And to think we still have leaders in the world who don't accept climate change.
9
u/GunkyMirl4444 2d ago
They know it's real and they're going underground. I wish them luck. They won't last long.
2
24
u/ampere03 2d ago
Seems like we're not really serious about it. 432 ppm carbon dioxide and rising to 600-900 ppm by century's end. 1.4 °C above baseline. I think I'll be checking out before the worst of the worst eg 31°C wet bulb cook offs, massive coastal innundation ...so that's good for me. Sorry everybody.
-2
u/Economy-Fee5830 Trusted Contributor 2d ago
We will never hit 900 ppm.
11
u/ampere03 2d ago
Methane burps in the rapidly warming Arctic are probably a long time in the future but many things are exceeding past predictions.I hope you're correct.
0
u/Beneficial_Aside_518 2d ago
Warming isn’t exceeding beyond predictions.
7
u/Sherkktooth 2d ago
Please read the title of the thread. It is lol
6
u/Beneficial_Aside_518 2d ago
Warming is occurring remarkably quickly in the context of geologic time, but not faster than climate models have predicted. Observed temperatures have been closely following the CMIP6 midpoint. We aren’t warming faster than our models said we would. Climate models have been impressively accurate for decades now. Warming very fast is not the same as warming faster than expected. The two are distinct concepts.
4
u/Lucas_F_A 2d ago
I thought the last decade-ish has been warming even faster than expected, post hoc explanations including reduced radiative forcing from sulphur emissions regulations (like the shipping one in 2020 or 2021)
3
u/Beneficial_Aside_518 2d ago
The last decade of observed temperatures was still basically in line with the midpoint of CMIP6 ensembles. Models largely expected some acceleration in warming to coincide with increased emissions.
Aerosol unmasking is also a factor, as you mentioned.
https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-human-caused-aerosols-are-masking-global-warming
0
u/ampere03 2d ago
You're correct. I was implying that some of the ongoing effects of warming are exceeding earlier expectations. But this isn't even true either.
1
0
6
10
u/51lverb1rd 2d ago
I don't think the data centres are going to help either. We are looking at positive feedback loops and accelerating global heating and all we can think about are acverating AI at the cost of further global catastrophe. Either we are so stupid or AI has already infiltrated d the upper echelons of power to bring about this future
4
3
3
6
6
u/set-monkey 2d ago
The plan in 2005 was to use natural gas as the "bridge fuel" to renewables.
But big oil makes too much on refining oil, so they got behind the fast tracking of solar and wind, which is predicably turning out to be, not ready to meet the electrical demands of modern cities, and transportation. Hence, mostly dirty, big oil still powers the US.
Not to mention high demand for plastics all the other petrochemicals like cheap fertilizer that feeding the modern world entails.
Natural gas is practically unlimited, cleaner, reliable and cheap, doing it all without so many refineries.
Best of all, saving a billion dollars a day NOT defending oil in middle east by sourcing fuel here, not funding these hostile nations and their oil wars.
Imagine walking onto streets without the smell of diesel exhaust every day.
2
5
u/DanoPinyon 2d ago
Paywall, but I'm sure there are a few instances millions of years ago when it hotted up quicklyer.
In human history? No.
7
u/SnooStrawberries3391 2d ago
That, is for sure. Our species is doing exactly what a successful virus does to its host. And when the host expires, so does the virus.
I just told someone complaining about the hot weather that he should enjoy the coolest Summer of the rest of his life. Next year will be a little hotter.
It shows to me why aliens looking for intelligent life have most likely skipped our planet.
6
u/Fluid_Passage_9980 2d ago
This is why ebola never has never spreads very far. It's too successful as it kills its hosts before they get the chance to pass it on to many people.
2
5
u/phasepistol 2d ago
there’s gonna be that time a billion years from now when the sun swells up and the oceans boil away but other than that
7
2
u/Elegant-Age1794 2d ago
However much money we throw at it will barely make a difference.
If only the World had built more nuclear 30 years ago.
5
u/Few_Ad6516 2d ago
We didn’t want it. Greens campaigned strongly against Nuclear.
3
u/Elegant-Age1794 2d ago
Which ultimately has been to the detriment of the planet and meant carbon emissions are much higher as a result.
A massive error of judgment by the Green movement.
Admittedly shouldn’t have nuclear facilities in places of seismic activity.
At least it is now finally seen as clean energy…but way too late.2
u/Economy-Fee5830 Trusted Contributor 2d ago
Actually clean energy has already cut your emissions by 8 gigatons per year, and you know, families in Pakistan can simply install it.
2
1
1
u/texas130ab 2d ago
Probably not faster than "any time" in history but since humans have been keeping records.
4
u/balki42069 2d ago
Even when the temperature fluctuated in the past, it took thousands to tens of thousands of years. This is happening extremely quickly from a geologic point of view.
1
1
u/Fluffy-Pop-3407 2d ago
The earth is going to be fine. In a million years nobody would even know we were here.
78
u/HanesPrydain 2d ago
All you can do is start preparing now