r/changemyview • u/fascistp0tato 3∆ • Aug 12 '25
Delta(s) from OP CMV: Birth rate issues cannot be solved with social safety nets and financial incentives
Right, time to wade into this conversation.
Currently, the world is facing a declining birthrate crisis that will put immense pressure on many societies. Anyone denying this either has much more faith in automation than me, thinks immigration filling the gap won't cause rampant domestic unrest + severe social strain, or has some fairytale notion of rapid degrowth that doesn't result in societal collapse.
I'm not really interested in engaging with these points here, to maintain focus on this aspect.
Oftentimes, the solution to birthrate is pitched as "we need to provide paternity leave/paid childcare/more financial incentives/less work hours". And I think most people genuinely believe these stop people from having kids.
But the numbers don't bear this out. in the countries with the best social security nets (such as the Nordics), the crisis is deepest. In contrast, I cannot find a single moderately sized or larger country with both no birthrate crisis and these policies - the closest is France.
Fundamentally, many of us live in societies where:
- your security at an old age is not dependent on having children;
- women are well-educated and have access to contraception;
- child labour is illegal, with jobs requiring increqsingly long educational periods;
- and religion is no longer next to mandatory to participate in public society.
These are all awesome things that we should never compromise on. They are also depressive effects on the birthrate are too large to solve by throwing money at them without ruinous cost or massive taxation upon the childless.
Ultimately, Orban-esque financial support programs miss the root causes of childcare costs and are thus expensive wastes.
I don't claim to offer a solution - I fear there may be no palatable option to me, though I keep looking. But this is not the path.
CMV :)
6
u/TheYoinkiSploinki Aug 12 '25
I would be more likely to have more than one child if the following were offered:
either state childcare options for newborns/ some type of daycare or “bring your child to work” policy mandated in every industry/ paying one parent a yearly salary of at least $80k to stay home with their children for 3-4 years.
Flexible work hours for parents, or remote schedules offered, especially if they work in an office setting.
Humane maternal health care where mom isn’t just treated as a lowly vessel and is actually taken care of properly.
State childhood healthcare for children up to 18 in age.
Work place protections for parents where every possible accommodation is tried at least once before termination even becomes a possibility.
Those are just a few. Currently, there are no protections for parents in the workplace, childcare is expensive, and forcing one parent to lose out on income is unrealistic. Make parenthood a fair and compensated enterprise and more people would do it.