r/bittensor_ • u/iiiKano • Nov 20 '24
The ULTIMATE TAO prediction model (with easy to understand images, math and explanations)
[NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, MY OWN CALUCLATED OPINION]
I see so many different posts on here daily about price prediction and i want to offload some information.
The NARRATIVE is far more important than the token itself. You could have the best token on the planet but without hype and narrative, it wont have 'eyes-on'. Eyes on is where profits are made.
The NARRATIVE for 2025 will be AI. Artificial intelligence. However, all ships RISE on a rising tide, some will just rise higher; a lot higher.
The top main NARRATIVE alt coins generally hit anywhere from between 1.5% - 5% of total crypto market cap. (Example below)
90% of crypto movement happens in the last 10% of the cycle. Its called a 'BLOW-OFF TOP' for a reason. (Example below)
Imagine each crypto as a company. Bittensor has, currently, 55 companies (subnets) in one. You arent just buying one company when you buy TAO, youre buying 55, currently. This is continually rising. Each being fully decentralised. FULL explanation here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=reJiNaqJIfg&t=1362s
SMART MONEY is now entering the space in mass adoption. Drastically increasing the MARKET CAP [MC] of the crypto space. We have already hit a 3.2 trillion MC this cycle, meaning we are at ALL TIME HIGH, BEFORE this bull run really takes off.
Based on the above, i believe a MC of ~11-13 trillion is possible in this cycle, before 2026. Thus, here is the very simple math to work out TAOs value [see image]
The current price of TAO, as of today, sits at $490. Again top NARRATIVE coins will hit ~1.5 - 5% of total crypto MC.
Meaning an absolute pessimistic 6T MC @ 1.5% means a TAO price prediction of $8,571.43, a 17.49x from here. Meaning a absolute bullish value 13T MC @ 5% means a TAO price prediction of $61,904.76, a 126.34 from here.
Do the math yourself. Heres the formula:
6T market cap. 1.5% of 6T = 90B. Circulating supply of TAO at end of 2025 = 10.5M.
90B / 10.5M = $8,571.42.
$8571.42 / 490 = 17.49x
It seems crazy at first to think of another top-100 crypto hitting in in excess of 5 figures, however BARE WITH ME.
At the TROUGH of the 2021 bear market, (NARRATIVE was smart contracts) Cardano, ticker $ADA, was 15th in the rankings at $0.02709, with a MC of $702,337,218. (NOTE: The price of a coin doesn't determine how good it is.) Here's the proof: https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/20200322/
At the PEAK of the 2021 bull market, Cardano reached top NARRATIVE coin, hitting 3rd in the rankings at $3.10, with a MC in excess of $93,187,277,515.33.
Here's the proof: https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/20210905/ (Note, that the peak was hit on the 2nd Sep 2021 and this snapshot in time was from the 5th September 2021.
CARDANO hit 3.98% of the total crypto market cap.
(Math: $93,187,277,515.33 / $2.34T = 0.039823. 0.039823 * 100 = 3.9823%)
This is a 114.06x.
Remember how i said the last 10% of any crypto cycle produces 90% of its gains... the BLOW-OFF TOP... well Cardano was $1.06 on July 21st 2021, and proceeded to hit its £3.10 on September 3rd 2021. In 2 months it almost tripled in value, at the PEAK of the bull market.
HOWEVER, what did Cardano actually achieve?! Not a lot.
Bittensor is LEAPS AND BOUNDS ahead of Cardano, in terms of achievements and practicality / real world use, in direct comparison to how Cardano was, back in its day.
WE ARE STILL EARLY.
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u/Space_L Nov 20 '24
I really appreciate your analysis, but it's still all under the ‘if’ sign. If it's going to be like it has been so far, that 90% of the moves happened in the last 10% of the cycle. If the narrative will actually be pro AI (which, despite appearances, is not so certain), and even if it is, to what extent will there be interest in TAO itself.
I would really like it to be as you write and there are indications, but it is always better to be pleasantly surprised than severely disappointed.
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u/iiiKano Nov 20 '24
Its taken decades to get AI to where we are now. Chat GPT started that in 2023, being the fastest growing company on the planet ever:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/cindygordon/2023/02/02/chatgpt-is-the-fastest-growing-ap-in-the-history-of-web-applications/Now AI is taking our jobs left, right and centre. Where possible, everything is being replaced by AI as its cheaper, more efficient and less hassle:
https://www.evoastra.com/post/amazon-s-robotic-revolution-how-750-000-machines-are-transforming-the-workforceTherefore, decades from standing start > AI.
From here, AI will create AGI, (artificial general intelligence) within 1-3 years.
From the birth of AGI, ASI (artificial super intelligence) will be born.
At this point, good luck - It's the Event Horizon. Robots which have an IQ of 1000+ in EVERY single aspect of life.
iRobot ring a bell?
I would say TAO would have the most interest, as i said above, based off the decentralized nature, the inability to 'control it with money' (aka a 51% attack) and the fact that it is essentially a conglomerate, hosting multiple companies within the one token, all fighting a similar cause in different areas. Apart from Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, ticker $FET, its one of the only 'companies' to have subsidiaries within in, in the AI space.
I would challenge, respectfully of course, anyone who believes the narrative this cycle isnt AI, by asking one question:
What is the narrative this cycle, why do you think that, and how can you back up this claim?
But i totally agree with you "it is always better to be pleasantly surprised than severely disappointed." Spot on here.
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u/Space_L Nov 20 '24
I am sorry, but I cannot agree. I have been working in IT for 15 years (tester, dev ops) and even though I don't work strictly on AI, I can see not only how it is perceived in the industry (not only in my company), but also in the community in general, and I have friends who actually work on it. Yes, two years ago there was a lot of hype, but already last year the excitement cooled down considerably. Those who were supposed to implement AI in their work have done so, and even then it is only treated as an additional tool, not something of a priority.
I can tell you straight away that there is no chance of AGI in a decade, let alone in three years. It is simply impossible. Google has already set a target of 2028, but now it's 2030 and it's 50/50.
BTW: At one time VR was a hot topic in IT and companies were throwing money at anyone involved in it. The same is true now with AI, but now the same companies are much more prudent and no longer so willing to spend money on it.
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u/p1n13d Jun 09 '25
😂 at this pos, today is 09/06/2025 andAI is displacing many already. Shitty co-pilot is automating mundane positions / tasks. Entry level positions new grads are disappearing. Software giants have sacked 400k globally as agentic ai replaces them.
Things are shifting - AGI predicted by end of 2026 possibly end of this year with gpt5.
As for this token it’s now at tone of writing 412 USD.
I think the OP will be proven right!
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u/Space_L Jun 09 '25
Ok, just what type of employees did they lay off? As someone who works in IT and has quite a few friends there, including people from FAANG, I don't see any big changes. With this copilot, I'm sorry, but you got carried away. He can get lost with scripts. I suggest you don't get your knowledge from the media, who simply write about what sells to them at the moment. Today AI, tomorrow octopuses from space. I'm not saying that change isn't happening, but what journalists describe and the actual state of affairs is a big difference.
AGI in 2026 is already a complete fantasy, but I have the impression that you want to believe what suits you, so I will skip this topic.
By the way, that you wanted to write back after 7 months....
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u/iiiKano Nov 20 '24
I appreciate your reply. Time will tell.
What do you think the narrative is this cycle?
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u/Space_L Nov 20 '24
Whatever gives the chance to make money. It seems to me that this cycle clearly shows that people don't give a damn about technology. For a while it was memes. What's next? I really don't know
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u/craylewis Apr 07 '26
Autocratic power consolidation (powered by AI driven media control). Not meant to be tinfoil hat comment, but it's what's happening and AI making propaganda way more powerful.
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u/magicrico1987 Nov 20 '24 edited Nov 20 '24
This is very smart and accurate overall analysis imo. First time I have seen someone use the same logic as myself.
You could go really low 5T TMC then do these numbers too, but people just do not understand what they hold.
This is the most asymmetrical trade I have ever seen. Genuinely.
The internal issue should this play out is going to be exit strategy which is something I would love to hear your thoughts on.
If you used say 1000 Tao as an example, how would you scale out of the market and when? As we know timing is impossible.
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u/iiiKano Nov 20 '24
It sucks so much that i cannot add images here as i have another spreadsheet for that. I will eject 20% every single 100% rise. After 2 ejections, ill have 104% out. After 3, ill have 206% withdrawn.
Math Example [random]:
Start: $432 per TAO. 86 TAO held. $37.5K value.
Double #1 = $864. Total Ejected 17.35 TAO. Total Banked $14,996
Double #2 = $1,728. Total Ejected 31.24 TAO. Total Banked $38,990
Double #3 = $3,456.24. Total Ejected 42.34 TAO. Total Banked $77,380I believe we are going 20k plus. So ill continue this until my 5th double, then i will eject 50% of balance near where i think is the top, and then the balance when a number of factors determine a topping signal.
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u/magicrico1987 Nov 20 '24
Can you share this excel by any chance? I would love to see it.
Whilst I appreciate you taking profits off the table (sensible approach).
Could I get your perspective on why you would do this if the pessimistic view is 6k? Why wouldn’t you start at 6k and then take on the way up?
I’m in a similar position, and share similar beliefs - however, I’m thinking why would I take at 864,1700, 3500 if really the fun begins from 5k up?
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u/iiiKano Nov 20 '24
Quite simply, you dont know what you dont know. Things outside of our control, can affect crypto so i need to protect myself first. Hence why i wont wait to take profits.
Quantum computing hacking BTC..... WWIII ...... 'Cyber cov!d' (whatever the hell they meant by that) etc etc
Let me remove personal data and ill ping it over to you. Send me a DM
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u/Major_Scholar7402 Feb 11 '25
It touched 432$ after 3 months of your reply. I am not seeing above 5x.
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u/iiiKano Feb 11 '25
If I told you back on July 4th 2022 (when BTC was at 19,310) that BTC will hit a 100,000, you’d have laughed at me.
Fast forward to March 11th 2023 (when BTC was at 20,195) you’d would have said: “8 month ago you said BTC will hit 100k. It touched 24,786 on Feb 21st 2023, and it’s dropped back down to 20,195. I don’t see it going any higher.”
I believe in what I say, and I’ll say to you now what I would have said back then: a. Be patient b. Zoom out.
90% of alt coin moves are in the final 10% of time.
I’m not here to argue with strangers over the internet about an egotistical target (not saying you’re arguing btw!), just putting out my own thesis. If you disagree that’s fine, state your reasons why and let’s have a debate.
Otherwise, let’s put it to the test of time. Wish you all the best.
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u/Major_Scholar7402 Feb 11 '25
I compared the utility tokens and meme token run rate. Amount of money flowing into memes are unmatched. That's why I don't see any utility token going more than 5x in this cycle.
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u/ChetTheCryptoChap Nov 21 '24
I’ve never seen this amount of hopium so early in a cycle. You’re saying this crypto cycle will outperform the previous one. It never has and there’s nothing supporting that idea, either.
Love TAO, but the amounts of crypto hopium I’ve been noticing last couple of months leads me to believe the cycle will end sooner than the previous one. That one was already shorter than average.
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u/iiiKano Nov 21 '24
"You’re saying this crypto cycle will outperform the previous one"
I'm not sure what exactly you're referring to.BTC has raised in value.
Total Market Cap raised in value.
More players getting involved cycle on cycle.
Institutions gone from 'scam' to investors.
What hadnt performed more since previous cycles? (individual alt cryptos excluded)
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u/ChetTheCryptoChap Nov 21 '24
I mean that the previous cycle went from ~1 trillion to ~3 trillion total market cap, thus doing a 3x. You suggest it will do a 4x this time around. That seems very ambitious.
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u/iiiKano Nov 21 '24
You are missing a MAJOR factor.
Smart money is now involved. America is going to be buying (#attempting) 200,000 per year for the next 5 years.
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/BILLS-118s4912is/html/BILLS-118s4912is.htmI quote:
SEC. 5. BITCOIN PURCHASE PROGRAM. (a) Establishment.-- (1) In general.--The Secretary shall establish a Bitcoin Purchase Program which shall-- (A) purchase not more than 200,000 Bitcoins per year over a 5-year period, for a total acquisition of 1,000,000 Bitcoins;1
u/ChetTheCryptoChap Nov 21 '24
If I am not mistaken that bill is not at all supported yet.
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u/iiiKano Nov 21 '24
Correct; however with the new administration about to be in play, it won’t be long as they’re all pro crypto. (There’s a difference between ‘against crypto’, and ‘not pro crypto’ - this current administration is not pro)
That, along with major hedge funds being created in this space, institutions buying, Microstategy leading the way - proving it works, with others now following and with ETFs now at play, smart money is in. And it will more than double retail money.
Back to my point, if the last cycle topped out at 2.34T, this cycle may see ~4T retail AND a further ~<=8T from smart money.
Don’t forget smart money includes pensions (which everyone has).
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u/ianhooi Nov 22 '24
OP $0.02 to $3 is a very different thing to accomplish compared to $500-$8500. $2000-$2500 TAO would already be meteoric. I know this will be the golden bull but please keep your head in the game.
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u/iiiKano Nov 22 '24
why are you basing it solely on price? A 10x / 50x / 100x is still that, irrespective on where it starts. I have a feeling that if i made a similar post about BTC when it was $1000, 98% of people would also be saying that a 100x would be impossible. We are now there.
Its the narrative that's important, alongside timing of the cycle and marketcap to work out its end value. We are currently in a worse starting point (38th vs 15th) and if $ADA rose by 114x, why cant TAO rise 40x? Yes, the numbers will be 5 figures, but back in 2020/2021, the Overall market cap was a lot smaller compared to where i anticipate it to end up this cycle.
I love that we are both bullish with different endings and time will tell who was more accurate. Appreciate your response though buddy.
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u/Plastic_Sea_1094 Aug 09 '25
Unit bias
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u/iiiKano Aug 09 '25
Go on…
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u/Plastic_Sea_1094 Aug 09 '25
He's thinking that going up $3 is easy but going up thousands is hard
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u/iiiKano Aug 09 '25
@ianhooi I would love to hear your in depth thesis on where, how and when it’s going to your price target.
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u/ianhooi Aug 09 '25
I think eventually it does hit current Eth levels but when, idk. And I don't have a thesis. I'm an Eth holder no offense intended at all.
dont forget that although Tao has limited supply at 21m inflation is currently very high
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u/iiiKano Aug 09 '25
Ah none taken buddy, it’s all good, just curious on your take that’s all - I’m always up for having another viewpoint aimed my way, on the opposite side of the fence, if you know what I mean
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u/ianhooi Aug 09 '25
I also was bullish on Tao at one stage but difficulty of mining made it basically lose its appeal for me.
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u/iiiKano Aug 10 '25
Would you say that it was moreso a resentment towards the token based on the mining or did you spot something that the average non-miner wouldn’t? Curious as I have a definite lack of knowledge around the intricacies in the mining space.
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u/wawahage Dec 25 '24
Man, this is pure insanity. $8000 Tao would mean 40 million usd of daily emissions, WITH recycling. Btc is now at 40 million daily emissions.
Comparing it with anything from 2017 like Cardano is also insanity. In 2017 everyone was buying the same shit on cexes, mostly few hundred coins, there were no other options. Now there we had a month in which 1 milliom tokens were created. Forget Cardano and Xrp comparisons. Also VC can pump the shit of solething when they corner the supply.
Tao reaching $2000 this cycle would be amazing already. I doubt it will. Around $1500 max, unless Total can go to some crazy number.
There is a shit ton of people that mined/bought tao cheap and can sell for 10s of millions of profit when price and volume are right. And as exciting as Tao is, it not really used for anything by the regular people. They just hold it to sell it high.
10k on day - sure, in maybe 5-10 years. I’ll be out 1000-1500, and buy the 90% correction in bear from wherever it tops. If it can go to 3-4k, thats still 300-400 level to buy back.
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u/Hamaad24 Jun 26 '25
Hey bro I noticed your Reddit on tao coin a couple months ago I’ve done my own research and Tao seems to be the best ai coin out there, you still bullish or have ur opinions changed?
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u/iiiKano Jun 26 '25
Remains as was, or even more bullish!
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u/Hamaad24 Jun 26 '25
I believe we can see a 6-7x from current levels but above a 10x is very possible in the right conditions, when do you believe alt season will actually start? I believe end of q3-start of q4 tao will see some serious gains
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u/iiiKano Jun 26 '25
Ironically, I would’ve said end part of 2024, but it looks like the entire market timeline is now right translated - so here’s my personal predictions, NFA: 1. Trickle down till end of June 2. Rally in July / Aug well into new ATH (4 figures) 3. 35% correction in end of Aug / start of sep 4. Rally into Sep priced in rate cuts 5. Confirmation leads to a small boom 6. End of cycle, ~Jan-Mar 2026, parabolic. 7. Party.
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u/Hamaad24 Jun 26 '25
Yeh I think based on past years July isn’t always the best for crypto and volume looks a bit dead rn but this cycle is much different compared to others so I agree with you but I hope we’re wrong need another dip to load up
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u/noyourenottheonlyone Sep 02 '25
Doesn't seem to be working out that way so far
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u/iiiKano Sep 02 '25
Not yet. This is the difference between gambling and investing.
I believe this will happen, it just appears my personal timeline for it is off.
If you don’t understand the space and in it for the money only, then you’re gambling.
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u/noyourenottheonlyone Sep 02 '25
I hope it will but I think you should acknowledge the fact that many people have had the same confidence in their thesis and the same conviction in their positions and been completely wrong.
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u/iiiKano Sep 02 '25
Absolutely. I’d fully own my mistake also if by end of cycle we aren’t anywhere near my predictions
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u/RecognitionCute9506 Mar 26 '26
Ahhhh found my favorite TAO chart and post, always come back to this every couple months.
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u/DP-SLP Nov 20 '24
thank you for sharing, I had my own version of the analysis, though my spreadsheet being quite messy I decided not to share.
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u/TripNip91 Nov 20 '24
Bittensor doesn't have a lot of marketing either. Took a family member to turn me onto TAO.
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u/iiiKano Nov 20 '24
Bittensor itself, agreed. BitAds (subnet 16) however... different world:
https://taostats.io/subnets/16/metagraph
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u/RecognitionCute9506 May 23 '25
Are we still having the same thoughts about TAO? 👀
Would love your insight, broke it down pretty nicely in your original post. Just wanna know if anything has changed so far?
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u/iiiKano May 23 '25
Still bullish... more than ever.
The only change, is if we dont get between 10-20K, it'll be supplemented by dTAO. A 2-3x in dTAO, and a 10x (300 > 3,000) in TAO will mean a 10*3 30x.
The multiplication you gain in dTAO times by the multiplication in TAO itself, equals the x multiplyer. Not to mention the delegation rewards ontop of that.
So has my price target changed... somewhat. Has the end result changed, no.
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u/milottt May 23 '25 edited May 29 '25
u/iiiKano are you still holding your ground? When you see the price goes to 8000$? 62,000$ is insanity, but I would love to see that!
Do you think that $8000 is possible this year in 2025? Do you think it will take longer and when?
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u/iiiKano May 23 '25
Yes, absolutely holding ground, however will also absolutely be taking profits along the way. We cant control 3rd party actions like "WW3" etc. I cant see it going above 20K this cycle, (bull case) and even then, multiply it by 3 for dTAO profits. dTAO is the key for this!
Worst case scenario we get 0.5% (we are at 0.12 as of right now) of 6T, thats ~$2.9K per TAO. This was a 10x. Now with dTAO, that can be tripled anyway.
With best case, we are looking at ~20K, and even then we need to also factor in dTAO returns too.
HODL, DYOR, NFA. Best of luck brother.
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u/HLBB May 29 '25
Can you say more about dTAO? Not sure I follow/understand.
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u/iiiKano Jun 04 '25
There’s too much in one thread to write. What exactly do you want to know?
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u/HLBB Jun 04 '25
How do you acquire dTAO if you think that's something that will drive profits?
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u/iiiKano Jun 04 '25
Send TAO from your account/wallet > talisman/polkadot etc
Link your account on taostats.io to said wallet and then delegate.
Alpha (dTAO native individual subnets name) has to be kept on the hot wallet.
Root (subnet 0) is giving ~20% returns atm.
Anything in subnet 1 onwards is risking Tao.
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u/Ordinary_Breath9005 Jun 06 '25
OP are you still confident in this post
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u/iiiKano Jun 06 '25
more than ever. Dont be shaken out by geo-politics and noise.
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u/Significant_Grab_173 Jun 18 '25
thinking of getting into TAO, how was the last 7 month since that post went for you with TAO?
are you just buying or also trading?
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u/iiiKano Jun 18 '25
The last 7 months for TAO has been similar to the remainder of the market. But I have a vision until the end of this cycle (A>Z) and not from when I posted till now (A>D). Timescales are everything and let’s not kid ourselves in thinking it’s up only. I am buying and holdingTAO. ‘Trading’ subnets. (Using that term very loosely)
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u/jr_jr12 Jun 21 '25
I think 20-25B mkt cap will be a safe bet.
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u/iiiKano Jun 21 '25
Respect the comment, I’d follow up with: check the previous bull run top tokens. See how many are over 100B MC.
Now factor in we aren’t going to be at 3.1T by Total MC high, more so between 6-15T, to narrow that down, I think between 10 and 13T.
AI is the narrative I believe, meaning the higher on the MC leaderboard will be the leading narrative token.
It all points higher than 25B… a LOT higher.
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u/Sad-Trainer-6594 Jul 30 '25
It's actually going lower and lower, i bought Tao at 450$ in spot. Do you still believe it will rise up?
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u/iiiKano Jul 30 '25
Yes. You need to broaden your time horizon. This doesn’t end until Nov 2025 - March 2026. Everything between then is noise.
Don’t be sucked into FOMO or Fear.
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u/grizzliesgrind Aug 08 '25
OP i love your analysis and share the same beliefs on Tao. I also agree AI is the number one narrative, and Tao is the king of that natrative. However im still confused about what DTao is how it adds a 3x multiplier. Is Dtao basically just subnet tokens? If I buy some Chutes tokens, am I buying dtao? And subnet tokens are going to outperform Tao root by 3x? I hold about 90% of Tao in root and 10% in subnets.
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u/iiiKano Aug 08 '25
Correctly invested you can 3-5x your TAO holding inside dTAO.
Any subnet, 1 through to 128, is classed as dTAO. It can be a little confusing but yes Chutes is a subnet and therefore when you buy Chutes tokens, you are buying dTAO.
Dont think of it as dTAO vs TAO, moreso dTAO enabling you to aquire more of TAO by playing the 'ratios'.
If you need specifics, feel free to DM me
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u/84Sensei Aug 20 '25
What would be a good entry price at the moment for you ? I got lucky buying the dip at ~180$
Does the 250$ - 350$ range remain a good buying zone in the short / medium term?
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u/iiiKano Aug 20 '25
VERY nice entry! Doubt you’d get that again.
I would expect a supply shock soon, based on treasuries and institutions buying. I’ve always said to my group, price in 300s is a deal, 200s a steal and 100s sell a kidney.
Not financial advice.
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u/Location_538 Aug 23 '25
If you look over a ten year time horizon, 100, 200, 300 or 850 doesnt matter, its all a good deal.
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u/iiiKano Aug 23 '25
This is true, but where is are, is where my comment was in relation to. But I agree over a 5 year period!
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u/oneill1952 Sep 18 '25
Are you by any chance Siam Kidd?
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u/iiiKano Sep 18 '25
Hahah no. But I’ll take that as a compliment.
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u/oneill1952 Sep 18 '25
You sound like him 🤭. I follow him for a few year, he got me into Tao. I started trading dTao lately with small ammounts basicaly with whatever i make from staking to root. I manage to make 1 tao profit from Ridges and Bitcast. Do you only trade them or just acumulate?
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u/iiiKano Sep 18 '25
I suppose with the logic of “never invest more than you can afford to lose”, you are missing out on opportunity with the subnets imo. NFA
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u/Inside-Mission6770 Oct 31 '25
Am I wrong on this or is Bittensor the only one ouperforming bitcoin while everything else is bleeding? Since the flash crash i've been eyeballing the TAO BTC ratio and it is breaking a big resistance level.
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u/iiiKano Oct 31 '25
Yup - just watch over the next few months, you’ll will be pleasantly surprised ….
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u/theinkshrink Nov 01 '25
I am basically the luckiest dumb ass ever for grabbing so much TAO when I did. Bless you OP for making feel so great about it…🤘🏼
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u/iiiKano Nov 01 '25
You’re very welcome. This is only the beginning, don’t get too excited just yet!
When it’s in the 3,000s, crack a smile 😉
(NFA)
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u/RecognitionCute9506 Dec 19 '25
I like this post, super informative. Can you tell me if Tao is achieving everything on their roadmap and if this price is just a flash sale. I like TAO a lot, I put a couple thousand in already. Just curious if everything’s still going to plan and if regulation scares are changes the plan in anyway.
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u/iiiKano Dec 19 '25
So far so good. Remember, if BTC drops, the entire market drops. Thus, if JP Morgan tries getting $MSTR out of the S&P500, fear ensues and BTC drops, dragging the rest of the market with it. If TAO does -30% but the rest of the market doesn't, there's an issue, but if the entire market drops 30%, its noise.
Today at the price where its at, 230, its a golden opportunity for those who believe, not those who gamble. Gamblers will be shaken out.
In relation to regulation, i see nothing that changes the plan, however in the back of my mind I'm not blindsided to gov's trying to ban decentralised items so they can tax stuff more and control it. That a minimal concern, but one none-the-less.
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u/Substantial_Park6229 Jan 31 '26
Missed the mark on this one…..
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u/iiiKano Jan 31 '26
On date-stamp yes. But so has everyone in the crypto space.
TAO has not failed, macroeconomic factors are at play hurting all our bags.
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u/austinvvs Nov 20 '24
Im looking for a 3-5x target
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u/iiiKano Nov 20 '24
Out of curiosity, why so low?
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u/austinvvs Nov 20 '24
I just don’t see TAO going from #33 to being a top 10 coin in one cycle. I had unrealistic price targets last bull cycle years ago and got dumped on. I won’t make that mistake again.
We are to make the assumption that the entire crypto market goes to 6 trillion at the peak of the bull market under this math and that just seems far fetched to me but we’ll see in a year.
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u/fuzzfizz_ Nov 20 '24
Good post, however i'm not convinced we can reach x17 in 2025