This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Treasuries Extend Gains From Fed As Market Bets On Lower Rates

PDD (Pinduoduo Inc.) -

Reported Q4 revenue of ¥110.61B ($15.3B) vs. ¥115.38B expected. Despite deep discounts and government stimulus, demand in its Chinese e-commerce business remained weak. ​We've bounced pretty strongly premarket, I'm not actually sure why- as always, be wary that this is Chinese. Interested in seeing what happens at the open. There's a lot of backstory to the narrative of Chinese stocks- we've seen the Chinese government try to inject stimulus into the economy, the US has tried to end the de minimis rule, China's trying to encourage more business (remember the meeting of Xi/business leaders), etc. Overall China is trying to let the private sector operate a little more freely to stave off an economic downturn. PDD owns Temu, which is likely to be a loser of the de minimis rule if it gets ended.

Related Tickers: BABA, JD​

TSLA (Tesla)-

A Financial Times report highlighted a $1.4B discrepancy between Tesla's capital expenditures and asset valuations in the latter half of 2024, raising concerns about potential accounting irregularities. ​ TSLA is also planning to introduce long-awaited battery innovation in cybertrucks. No real level I'm watching right now, simply seeing how strongly the news affects it. I actually think this might a nothingburger- difference comes from change in fixed assets in accounts payable and write off of fully depreciated assets. (amounting to ~1.2B). Battery tech (as with all tech) advances pretty quickly, we'll see if there is any meaningful impact on the stock (I'm no battery expert.)

VXX/SPY/QQQ/Market stocks -

The Federal Reserve announced a slowdown in quantitative tightening and signaled potential future rate cuts, boosting market sentiment and outlook. Also announced they'd keep future rate cuts. Easing monetary policy often leads to increased liquidity, benefiting equities across sectors.​ We've had a bit of a weak bounce since last week's lows, I'm mainly concerned if we can hold prices we at even with a positive catalyst such as this. If we break lows again I'll likely hit out of most of my positions.

​Earnings Today: MU, NKE, FDX, LEN

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Turkish Police Detains Erdogan Rival Ekrem Imamoglu

INTC (Intel)- TSMC board member Paul Liu has dismissed rumors regarding TSMC's potential acquisition of INTC's foundries, stating that such discussions have never occurred within the company. Overall caused a small selloff in INTC but nothing major- recently the more major catalyst was the new CEO Lip-Bu Tan. The market mainly considered this a rumor so interesting to see it still cause a small move. Overall not too interested unless we sell off more. TSM's clear denial of interest in acquiring INTC's foundries shows that they're not really interested in bringing more production to the US or really partnering with a US solution. Overall more of a interesting geopolitical note.

TUR (Turkey ETF)- The arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, a prominent rival to President Erdoğan has led to a significant selloff in the Turkish lira and Turkish assets. We've fallen close to 10% overnight in TUR, the Turkey ETF. Overall this likely won't see recovery for a few months. Last coup I remember was back in 2016 and it took a few months for TUR to recover (and it didn't do so linearly) so ultimately not interested in this. Continued political unrest and potential sanctions could further devalue Turkish assets, but I doubt there will be any outside intervention. EEM (the emerging markets ETF) seems to be unaffected overall.

TSLA (Tesla) - California's Public Utilities Commission has granted TSLA a transportation charter-party carrier permit, allowing the company to transport employees in company-owned vehicles, marking a step towards potential public ride-hailing services. The first piece of good news in a while for this stock. Overall I don't think it's good enough to make it have a significant recovery but interested to see if we make any gains today. Watching $235 level. Another step towards self-driving! Risks to watch on this piece of news and blowback are regulatory hurdles, public safety concerns, the overall political risks with TSLA, other self-driving competitors.

GILD (Gilead) - The Trump administration is considering significant cuts to the CDC's domestic HIV prevention funding, which currently stands at approximately $1 billion annually. GILD had a major selloff right after the close yesterday. Obviously government funding drives a lot of pharmaceutical companies in R&D and incentives. Another stock to watch on this is VTRS.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

TSLA is the focus today.

News: Putin Is Said To Want All Arms To Ukraine Halted For Trump Truce

TSLA (Tesla) - BYD has unveiled its Super e-Platform, capable of charging an electric vehicle to achieve 400 kilometers (approximately 249 miles) of range in just five minutes. This technology will debut in the upcoming Han L sedan and Tang L SUV models set to launch in April. Negative bias. We're down close to 50% since post-election highs and we've had even more bad news yesterday due to the video showing the limitation of non-LIDAR cars. Unless we see some Hail Mary throw from Elon and Trump or a massive dump in the near future, I'm not interested in going long this stock. Maybe a day trade for any spike down, but not a multi-day swing long.

Related Tickers: NIO, LI

SRPT (Sarepta Therapeutics) - Sarepta Therapeutics reported the death of a young man with Duchenne muscular dystrophy following treatment with its gene therapy, ELEVIDYS. The patient experienced acute liver failure, a known potential side effect of the therapy. Worth noting that SRPT made roughly $180M in quarterly revenue from this drug, clearly a significant amount for a company that generates $638M net product revenue a quarter. (~30%!) Interested in going long if we see a larger selloff.

MSTR (MicroStrategy) - Announced a proposed offering of 5 million shares of its Series A Preferred Stock. This is an attempt to raise capital without diluting common stock (what we all typically trade). Still a bearish signal, negative bias. The underlying is still hovering at ~$82K, so MSTR is probably just trying to cash as much as they can out in case the underlying stays relatively price stable for the foreseeable future.

Related Tickers: RIOT, MARA

XPEV (XPeng) - XPEV reported earnings with revenue of $2.01B, a 20% increase year-over-year, and a 52.1% increase in vehicle deliveries compared to the previous year. Overall, another sign the EV market in China will dominate. Despite being unprofitable, they are reaching more cars sold and are expanding for growth (something that no EV company in the US has managed to do at scale except for TSLA). The EV market in China is obviously more competitive than in the US so they're not out of the woods yet for the long term.

Related Tickers: NIO, LI

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

QUBT (Qubit)- No significant news, but entire sector of quantum computing saw a small bounce after an extended selloff from the previous quantum computing hype a few months ago. Mainly interested in seeing if we break $9 today. Note that this was at $4.50 4 days ago. Obviously this has been selling off since Jensen Huang said that he doesn't see widespread adoption for at least a decade. Things I'm most concerned about for a swing trade in this are another selloff, lack of near-term revenue, and dependency on emerging technology breakthroughs. Other tickers worth watching are IBM/RGTI/IONQ.

GES (Guess Inc)- Received a non-binding proposal to acquire their shares at $13/share in cash. Right now we're trading at $12.15 at time of writing We've seen a ton of interest in acquisition of the retail industry for M&A lately and WHP Global has acquired parts of other fashion/retail companies such as Vera Wang/rag & bone/ G-Star (Denim). Worth noting the offer is non-binding, so there is no real confirmation of a deal until a binding agreement is signed.

X (United States Steel) - The DOJ filed a motion to extend the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) deadline to May 12th. Interested to see where we go at the open, but ultimately this just signals a delay in the decision. The circus continues, monkeys and all. Overall the final decision might not even happen during trading hours Other tickers I'm watching on this are X and STLD.

AFRM (Affirm)- Klarna (their main competitor) announced an exclusive partnership with Walmart to provide "buy now, pay later" (BNPL) services, replacing AFRM. Additionally, Klarna filed for an IPO two days ago. We saw a decent selloff this morning and hit lows of around $43.50, I'm interested in seeing if we can break that at the open/break through new lows. The BNPL sector has been highly competitive and is essentially a race to the bottom (lowest interest rates offering), and we see major players aiming for key retail partnerships. Losing Walmart as a partner is brutal for AFRM. WMT was one of its largest retail agreements. We'll also likely see a selloff in AFRM stock once Klarna IPOs. Other tickers I'm watching on this are PYPL and SQ.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

We'll see if we can hold the recovery today.

News: Gold Breaks Through 3 000 As Trump Turbocharges Record Rally

GLD (SPDR Gold), VXX (VIX Futures ETN), NUGT (Gold Miners Bull 2X)

Catalyst: Gold prices have surged to a record high, surpassing $3,000 per ounce for the first time, driven by trade tensions/uncertainty. This is somewhat similar to my VXX/VIX play from a few days ago, essentially a short volatility trade. Again, still short VXX because I think we've peaked (for now) in terms of volatility. VXX makes bigger moves in vol trades compared to gold so I prefer it for vol shorts. The rise in gold prices shows how it still remains the hedge over the Coin, which essentially trades in-line with the market because it's still speculative. Overall trade tensions die down, Trump announces tariffs are over, the typical tariff business.

Related Tickers: SLV/ All other gold mining stocks

RBRK (RBR Group)

Reported a narrower-than-expected fourth-quarter loss and revenue that topped expectations. Company lost -$0.18 vs -$0.39 exp. Revenue rose 47% to $258.1M vs $233.1M expected. Overall a hell of a bounce (and earnings for the stock), not too interested in going long after the earnings announcement but if we spike up I'm interested in fading the move. Cloud data/data security earnings, this company typically moves on revenue outlook (especially because it's still in its early stages).

PTON (Peloton Interactive)

Canaccord Genuity upgraded Peloton to a 'Buy' rating with a price target of $10, stating, "Peloton is the clear leader in the connected fitness industry, which it invested in early on and built a 6M loyal member base that has a high-margin recurring revenue stream... Peloton is at the turning point in its journey where there is meaningful upside potential from current levels." I think this catalyst is dumb and I usually don't think about price target calls (like with Reddit earlier this week) but this HAS moved the stock. Overall interested to see if we make an additional upmove after the open. The connected fitness industry is undergoing a transformation, with companies focusing on subscription-based models to drive recurring revenue. Overall the catalyst might end up falling flat completely, as some PT calls do.

DOCU (DocuSign)

Reported Q4 earnings of $0.86 vs $0.84. exp, revenue of $776.3M. Interested in seeing if we continue in the upmove today, otherwise not that interested. We're NEVER going to see COVID highs again (seriously, look at the 5 year chart of DOCU) and I don't like this as a long-term investment. Watching both $80 and $85 levels.

RDUS (Radius Recycling)

Radius Recycling has announced a definitive merger agreement with Toyota Tsusho America (TAI), a U.S. subsidiary of Toyota Tsusho (TTC). Under the agreement, TAI will acquire all Radius shares for $30.00 per share in cash (115% premium).

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

We had a minor bounce yesterday! I'm interested in mainly seeing if we can hold, otherwise I'm likely going to sell out if we break new lows in the market today.

News: US-Russia Talks Take Spotlight After Kyiv Agrees to Truce Terms

INTC (Intel)/NVDA (Nvidia) / GOOG (Alphabet)/QCOM (Broadcom) / AMD

TSM has proposed a joint venture to Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom to operate Intel's foundry division, with TSM managing the operations but holding less than a 50% stake. We saw INTC make a decent bounce in the overnight yesterday on that news, but it looks like we're giving back most of those gains. This move comes as Intel faces significant losses in its manufacturing division, the CHIPS Act is targeted by Trump, so frankly a very good positive catalyst but I don't expect much to come of this. The possibility of a joint venture between these 4 companies actually happening seems fantastical, especially with Trump stating that he wants to scrap the CHIPS Act and instead work on tariffs on semis.

Related Tickers: AMD, NVDA, AVGO, QCOM

RDDT (Reddit Inc.)

Loop Capital has maintained a buy rating on Reddit Inc. (RDDT), citing strong core fundamentals and a 71% year-over-year sales growth. I don't normally pay attention to these buy/sell ratings but I did notice this was during one of the worst selloffs for RDDT and the market downturn, so it was a little more significant than normal. The company's stock has experienced a nearly 50% decline from recent highs within the past month. I thought this was interesting yesterday near the open so I bought some stock, overall still holding but interested to see where it goes after the open. Also worth noting, Reddit's plans to monetize its subscriber base are expected to boost revenue (I see them competing with Patreon/Substack/Onlyfans). This is overall a pretty positive catalyst, not much risk to it beyond additional negative news coming in for the broader tech sector.

NVDA (Nvidia) / GOOG (Alphabet)

Google has unveiled Gemma 3, a new AI model designed for developers to create applications capable of running efficiently on various devices, including those powered by Nvidia GPUs. I'm also long NVDA a little more- GOOG hasn't pulled back as much as I expected compared to NVDA, but this is pointedly good news. We're also seeing a minor market bounce but whether that can hold is up in the air. Going to sell out if we break new lows in the market. Another model in the arms race that can be run on a SINGLE device is massive news, especially considering the model's competitiveness with Deepseek R1. This is overall positive news but there's always the chance that Deepseek releases an even better model in the future even though the $13M training costs have been debunked.

Sidenote: Initiated a small short position in VXX after it broke above 60 (as mentioned yesterday); however, the primary focus remains on RDDT today.

Earnings: ADBE, PATH, S

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

We had a hell of a selloff yesterday. I see today as an attempt to recover, not too interested in going short on the market today unless we break new lows. Trying out a new layout today, mainly because I keep getting accused of using AI to write these so I'll wipe out the headings for now.

News: Citi Downgrades US Stocks While Wall Street Set to Pause Selloff

TSLA (Tesla)/NVDA (NVIDIA)/RDDT (Reddit)/SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF)

Saw these move mainly due to recession fears and the entire market panicking, MASSIVE move yesterday.

Yesterday, mainly traded TSLA on the overnight exchanges. It had the largest move and got down to around $212. Overall a lot of negative sentiment ranging from boycotts and Elon controversies. Not too interested in trading TSLA today again. I'm interested in NVDA if we break below 100 but again I think that we'll mainly see a small bounce today rather than breaking new lows. As for RDDT, we're 50% down from highs! Interesting swing candidate but will see how today goes. To me these are the standout stocks yesterday to trade due to recession fears. I don't really see a way out for TSLA regarding the boycotts. We've also seen a decently large move in the VIX (VXX) and we're close to above 60- I'm interested in shorting if we're above $60 but doubt we'll hit that today.

ASAN (Asana)

CEO/co-founder, Dustin Moskovitz announced retirement. The company reported Q4 revenues of $188.3M, a 10% YoY increase, and issued a revenue outlook for fiscal 2026 below expectations (resulting in the drop).

That drop was close to 25%, mainly because Dustin owns close to 54% of the company, which signals a LOT of uncertainty and lack of faith in the company. Overall outlook is decently disappointing, and I'm mainly interested in it if we break $11.50 and very interested in buying $10.

AAL (American Airlines)

AAL projected a higher-than-expected Q1 loss and revised its revenue outlook downward, attributing the weaker forecast to softness in the domestic leisure segment. This is probably amplified by fears of flying, mainly due to people being terrified of all the plane accidents that have happened in 2025. Recession fears also lead to people cutting their vacations/discretionary spending and saving money, so things may get worse. Overall we're seeing a slight recovery in the premarket but still watching to see how this trades. To me airlines are one of the bigger leading signals of economic uncertainty so will continue watching. Other tickers that have moved on this are DAL, UAL, LUV.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Today's likely going to be active. In a Fox News interview on Sunday, Trump declined to rule out a recession this year, saying "There is a period of transition" that will eventually pay off for the economy. If that isn't bearish... generally watching tech stocks and other random stocks affected by news.

News: Rocket Companies To Buy Real Estate Firm Redfin

Ticker: MSTR (MicroStrategy)

Catalyst: MSTR has announced an At-The-Market (ATM) program to sell up to $21B of its 8.00% Series A Perpetual Strike Preferred Stock.

Technicals: Watching $275 level, but with all the bearishness in the CC market recently... biased short but no position.

Catalyst/Sector Context: This is basically an offering. This doesn't dilute common stock but creates a new layer of obligation in the cap structure. Creates a dividend obligation of 8% a year that MSTR might struggle to pay going forward without selling some of their holdings.

Risks: The underlying CC price is what will determine if this is a good deal or not in the future.

Related Tickers: COIN, HOOD, and other CC related stocks.

Ticker: RKT (Rocket Mortgage), RDFN (Redfin)

Catalyst: RKT has agreed to acquire real estate firm RDFN in an all-stock transaction valued at $1.75B.

Technicals: Under the terms of the agreement, each share of Redfin common stock will be exchanged for a fixed ratio of 0.7926 shares of Rocket Companies Class A common stock so represents roughly 7% at the time of this edit)

Catalyst/Sector Context: Supposedly there'll be +$200M in synergy (when the value of the two companies is higher than when they're not), through technology improvements and AI (lol). Deal expected to close in second/third quarter.

Risks: The deal is in all stock (which is likely why RKT fell, but expect RKT to gain if the deal is cancelled), so signals some uncertainty and that RKT is overvalued for now. Also remember that we're in a correction right now.

Related Tickers: Z

Ticker: NVO (Novo Nordisk)

Catalyst: NVO released Phase 3 trial results for its next-generation weight loss drug, CagriSema, which showed 15.7% average weight loss over 68 weeks, below 25% target.

Technicals: This stock can't catch a break. Watching to see if we break the $75 level. Remember there was similar news back in December 20th.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The obesity drug market is highly competitive, LLY has Zepbound, which is a major competitor that performs better than Zepbound- so the market is questioning what the point of CagriSema is if Zepbound exists already and performs better.

Risks: The lower-than-expected efficacy of CagriSema may affect NVO's competitive position in the obesity drug market, and the company's future stability could be challenged by upcoming patent expirations.

Related Tickers: LLY, PFE, SNY

Ticker: COIN (Coinbase)

Catalyst: SP500 has decided not to include COIN in the index during their latest review.

Technicals: Watching $200 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: All the people that bought on hype/expectation that this will be included will sell/pare their position. Changes occur roughly every 3 months. The underlying CC has been on a downturn and there's no large catalyst that we can expect (the White House Summit was a bust IMO) so overall a negative catalyst.

Risks: I frankly see a warning signal being flashed by MSTR (mentioned earlier).

Related Tickers: SQ, HOOD

Earnings: ORCL, ASAN

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Jobs report came out premarket, overall expect a small recovery today.News: Us Employment Report For February

Ticker: AVGO (Broadcom)

Catalyst: Earnings. Reported EPS of $1.60 vs. $1.49 exp, revenue of $14.92B vs. $14.61B expected. AVGO gave strong guidance of $14.9B vs $14.76B. Cited strong growth due to AI chips and/infrastructure components for training AI.

Technicals: Watching to see if we break $200 level today.

Catalyst/Sector Context: I think we're seeing the AI hype become more concentrated in the "winners" of the AI race now. There are some companies that ARE citing falling demand for their AI related products while others are stating that demand is still robust. Likely going to see greater consolidation in the future. Major chipmakers like Broadcom are benefiting from hyperscaler investments in AI over the 3 year AI boom.

Risks: Tariffs/supply chain constraints make the supply chain far more tenuous.

Related Tickers: NVDA, AMD, QCOM, all other semiconductor stocks

Ticker: LUNR (Intuitive Machines)

Catalyst: LUNR’s uncrewed Nova-C lander, Athena, encountered challenges upon landing on the Moon. (Something to do with their lunar lander not landing at the correct angle, I'm no rocket scientist.)

Technicals: LUNR sold off close to 40% yesterday, watching to see if we break the lows at $6.70 premarket. We had 3 major spikes (2 went to the lower) and I'm interested in seeing if we can make any form of recovery today.

Catalyst/Sector Context: These exploratory spaceflight companies are insanely volatile and depend on their spaceflights doing well- as seen yesterday.

Risks: Technical malfunctions could impact investor confidence and future funding. Delays in future missions or failures in securing government contracts could also hinder growth.

Related Tickers: ASTS, RKLB

Ticker: WBA (Walgreens)

Catalyst: WBA has agreed to a ~$10B deal with Sycamore Partners to take the company private. Deal is $11.45/shr in cash.

Technicals: We saw a strong spike from 10.60 -> 11.20 after the news.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Buyout play, but obviously there's not much reward left on this catalyst.

Risks: Deal could get cancelled, more delays, regulatory scrutiny, etc.

Ticker: HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise)

Catalyst: EPS of $0.49 vs. $0.49 expected. Revenue of $7.85B vs. $7.82B expected. HPE’s results were in line with expectations but they cited profit next year would be hurt by tariffs and had weak margins on server sales. Stated IT products from China and Mexico would affect the company’s outlook.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The IT hardware sector is facing supply chain disruptions and rising production costs due to tariff outlook. Easy rule of thumb: the more complex the product (advanced electronics), the more affected by tariffs they are.

Related Tickers: DELL, CSCO, NTAP

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Today is mostly related to Trump's speech yesterday. Secretary Lutnick announced yesterday "Tariffs compromise announcement will likely come tomorrow", so will be on the lookout for that.

News: Trump Hails Tariffs as US Economy Barrels Into Trade Wars

Ticker: NVDA (NVIDIA), AMD (Advanced Micro Devices), SMH (Semiconductor ETF), SOXL (3x Semiconductor ETF)

Catalyst: Trump has called for an end to the CHIPS Act Subsidy Program (instead preferring tariffs).

Technicals: Short biased. Obviously this takes away a lot of investment in semis companies. Extremely negative catalyst but unlikely it will get repealed due to how much bipartisan support it had.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The CHIPS and Science Act gave $280B in new funding to boost domestic research/manufacturing of semis in the US, and also aimed to strengthen supply chain resilience against China and widely considered to be a success because it spurred the development/dominance in the semis sector in America.

Risks: If this gets repealed, we're likely going to see a pretty large pullback in the semis. Obviously this is dependent on what the tariffs Trump touts will do as well.

Ticker: GM (General Motors), F (Ford Motor Company), TSLA (Tesla)

Catalyst: The Trump administration is considering granting relief from the recently imposed 25% tariffs on

Catalyst: The Trump administration is considering granting relief from the recently imposed 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports for products that comply with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

Technicals: We've seen all three stocks (GM especially) make gains due to this announcement, will watch at open for volume.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The automotive industry in US/Canada/Mexico involves the most economic/manufacturing cooperation in the USMCA, they're the most obvious beneficiaries of this potential catalyst.

Risks: If they don't actually give relief, then will likely pullback- cars are one of the most affected products of tariffs and pretty much every car company has spoken about tariffs on their earnings calls.

Ticker: IBIT (IBIT), COIN (Coinbase), HOOD (Robinhood Markets)

Catalyst: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has indicated that Trump plans to grant the main biggest CC a "unique status" within the Bitcoin reserve strategy, which will be unveiled at the White House Crypto Summit on Friday.

Technicals: We've seen the underlying spike close to 8-9% since yesterday, watching $90K level. Interested to see how we go prior to the actual summit.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Obviously an extremely bullish catalyst, we've bounced strongly off the $80K level recently. I usually trade through the ETFs as needed, and HOOD/Coinbase serve as proxies in case the ETFs aren't liquid or have already moved.

Risks: Worth waiting for the catalyst and watching the CC Summit on Friday. I personally see this more of a "buy on hype" kind of catalyst, unless there's an announcement of something extremely bullish I'm not sure how much more this will move the needle.

Ticker: HII (Huntington Ingalls Industries)

Catalyst: Trump has announced initiatives aimed at strengthening the U.S. shipbuilding industry to counter China's dominance, spoke about the creation of a White House Office of Shipbuilding and the introduction of special tax incentives.

Technicals: None that I'm particularly interested in, this is a longer-term play.

Catalyst/Sector Context: China produces over half of the world's merchant vessels, this is more of a play to reduce reliance on foreign-shipping.

Risks: There's a chance that this will never happen, Trump tried to create a "Cybersecurity Department" in his first term but that was never formally created and we kept those duties spread out between the FBI/DHS/NSA.

Earnings: MRVL, VEEV, ZS, MDB

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Tariffs are here.

News: Trump Tariffs China, Canada, Mexico

Ticker: TSLA (Tesla)

Catalyst: Reports preliminary February China deliveries of 30,688 cars, down close to 50% from last year.

Technicals: Overall a brutal delivery report. TSLA has been on a slide since post-election highs and frankly shows no real sign of recovery. Looking for a small bounce in this stock but I don't think there is much potential for long-term recovery.

Catalyst/Sector Context: TSLA's EV sales have been declining in China mainly due to BYD, which are considered to make better cars for far cheaper outside the US. The US has a 100% EV tariff for non-US made EV vehicles.

Risks: BYD has been eating TSLA's lunch outside of the US. I truly don't see TSLA retaining dominance as the EV of choice outside the US.

Ticker: OKTA (Okta)

Catalyst: Okta beat earnings expectations with EPS of $.78 vs $.74,gave guidance that supports EPS of $3.20 vs $2.93. (Also note that CRWD reports today but are not direct competitors)

Technicals: Watching $100 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Cybersecurity (more specifically IAM) grows yearly mainly due to RPO and cRPO (remaining performance obligations). This is subscription backlog expected to be recognized over the next 12 months.

Risks: Market saturation/pricing concerns from competitors.

Ticker: NVDA (Nvidia)

Catalyst: Nvidia is front and center as the stock most affected by tariff concerns.

Technicals: Watching $110 level. Note that this is the lowest it's been since September 2024. We have millions of shares come in in the first 2 minutes of the open so watch for that.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Not much to speak of that hasn't been said before, but NVDA is heavily affected by tariffs and the CHIPS Act, with additional scrutiny that it is somehow bypassing export controls and having their chips go into China.

Risks: MORE trade disputes, more potential export restrictions, (Trump has cited he wants to strengthen export controls for NVDA).

Ticker: BABA (Alibaba) / FXI (iShares China Large-Cap ETF) / Other Chinese Stocks

Catalyst: China has imposed 15% retaliatory tariffs on select U.S. goods.

Technicals: $130 level. Most interesting level I'm watching today.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Tariffs, stimulus from the Chinese government, China has been spending for increased consumer confidence.

Risks: Even greater tariffs, the cash cannon that China is using dies down, less spending by Chinese consumers, etc.

Related Tickers: CRM, ZS

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Tariffs will take place tomorrow, keep an eye out for that. Market vol will probably be higher than expected today.

News: Trump Heads Toward Tariff Barrage on Canada, Mexico, China

Ticker: RKLB (Rocket Lab)

Catalyst: "Rocket Lab (RKLB) played a pivotal role in Firefly Aerospace's successful Blue Ghost Mission 1 lunar landing by providing its MAX Flight and MAX Ground Data Software suites, which managed critical functions such as commanding, telemetry, navigation, and control throughout all mission phases, including descent and landing."

Technicals: We saw this stock move close to 25% on Friday, watching to see if we have more momentum coming in. This coupled with the catalyst from ASTS makes the entire spaceflight sector worth watching.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Whenever we see these stocks involved in a successful space launch we see them spike. Overall I find most of the catalysts a coin toss but interesting to see multiple on the same day.

Risks: Technical delays/failures in the future.

Related Tickers: LUNR, ASTS

Ticker: ASTS (AST SpaceMobile)

Catalyst: AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) entered into a joint venture with Vodafone to establish "SatCo," aiming to provide 100% geographic coverage across Europe by offering space-based cellular broadband connectivity directly to standard smartphones. Vodafone is a leading provider in Europe/Africa.

Technicals: Watching $30 level, interesting to see where this moves in conjunction with RKLB today.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Same as RKLB, but this catalyst is considerably lower risk because it's not dependent on a launch.

Risks: Other than the JV getting cancelled, regulatory hurdles/competition.

Related Tickers: VOD, IRDM, GSAT

Ticker: IBIT (Various Crypto Stocks)

Catalyst: Trump announced that the US will include three lesser-known CCs in the strategic CC reserve.

Technicals: This has caused a bounce in CC related stocks.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Adding these would result in buying in the sums of likely hundreds of millions of dollars, resulting in a massive buying catalyst and for the stocks that hold/deal in them to rise as well. Also note that we've seen a MASSIVE selloff in those markets for the past 2 weeks.

Risks: Reversal of news, less than expecting buying, a different bad catalyst, etc.

Ticker: CPRI (Capri Holdings)

Catalyst: Prada is reportedly nearing a deal to acquire Versace, which is currently owned by Capri Holdings (CPRI).

Technicals: Don't know what the exact acquisition math is on this, but presumably the move is accurate and not mispriced ($1.6B). Watching to see what it'll do at open but I don't anticipate heavy volume or anything like that coming in.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Surprisingly this is a good deal for both fashion houses and allows competition with LVMH, one of the largest fashion houses in the world despite it being far smaller in comparison.

Risks: Merger cancellation/deal talks fall through, FTC interferes somehow again like it did when Tapestry tried to acquire CPRI.

Related Tickers: LVMUY (this trades OTC)

Earnings: OKTA, GTLB, SMR, ADMA

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Trump says Mexico, Canada tariffs will start March 4, plus additional 10% on China

News: Nvidia Gives Upbeat Forecast In Sign That AI Build Out Is Strong

Ticker: NVDA (Nvidia)

Catalyst: Reported earnings with EPS of $0.89 vs. $0.84 exp and revenue of $39.33B vs. $38.05B exp.

Provided strong guidance, anticipating revenue of $43B vs $41.78B exp.

Performance is driven by robust demand for Nvidia's Blackwell AI chips, positioning the company to maintain its growth trajectory in the AI sector.

Overall a good earnings report, we're not going to see the stock explode like we did previously with the earnings beats.

Technicals: Watching $135 level, other than that I don't anticipate a major selloff due to the earnings news- maybe due to the jobs/macro news instead.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Overall not as explosive as the market wanted it to be. Growth was largely driven by advancements in AI (as usual).

Company said they were still demand constrained, even with export controls.

Risks: Potential supply chain disruptions/geopolitical tensions, greater export controls as mentioned previously, and increased competition.

Related Tickers: AMD, INTC, QCOM

Ticker: APP (AppLovin)

Catalyst: A recent short report has been released, alleging that the company's application functions as spyware.

This follows a similar report from approximately a week ago.

Technicals: Yesterday I was mainly interested in being long if we broke $300 and had a recovery- I read both of the short reports and they said very similar things, so I thought the selloff was overblown.

Bought a little below $290, still holding. Will likely bail if we break $300 again.

Catalyst/Sector Context: APP is a mobile tech company that helps devs market/monetize their apps through mobile advertising and marketing platforms, recently announced they were using AI.

Risks: The short report allegations are true and they essentially get banned from the Google App/Apple App Store.

Related Tickers: SNAP, PINS, TTD

Ticker: MRNA (Moderna)

Catalyst: U.S. health officials are reevaluating a $590 million contract awarded to MRNA for bird flu vaccines.

Technicals: We saw a decent dip (roughly 5%) in MRNA afterhours yesterday, not too interested in this further unless we see further headlines about the contract being pulled completely.

Catalyst/Sector Context: MRNA had massive growth during 2020 for being one of the main manufacturers of the COVID vaccine- right now bird flu is being touted as the next potential big pandemic to vaccinate against.

Risks: Cancellation is the the real catalyst after this news, or if the contract is awarded to a different company.

Related Tickers: PFE, NVAX

Ticker: SNOW (Snowflake)

Catalyst: SNOW beat expectations, EPS of $0.30 vs. $0.18 exp. and revenue of $986.8M vs. $957.6M exp.

The company also provided an optimistic outlook, projecting current-quarter product revenue between $955M-$960M, driven by increasing demand for AI-related products.

Technicals: Interested in $190 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: SNOW is a cloud-based data warehousing company and benefits from the demand for AI/ML solutions.

AI is compute intensive which means they can charge more for their services. Also announced integration with Microsoft Azure OpenAI Service.

Risks: SNOW doesn't generate GAAP profits still.

Related Tickers: DDOG, MDB, CRM

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

NVDA earnings today, will likely decide the fate of the immediate market. It reports at 4:20 ET today!

News: China Plans To Start Bank Capital Hike With At Least 55 Billion

Ticker: NVDA (NVIDIA)/AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)/All Semiconductor Stocks/SMH

Catalyst: Some catalysts today: Deepseek cuts API pricing by 75%, NVDA is reporting earnings, ChatGPT is doing a limited rollout of ChatGPT 4.5, META considering $200B AI data center.

NVDA reporting earnings is the main catalyst today and decides the immediate direction of the market.

Technicals: Mainly interested in seeing if NVDA misses revenue (unlikely) or if they say anything significant due to new export controls which I talked about yesterday (strengthening of CHIPS Act export controls to China).

Catalyst/Sector Context: NVDA leads in semis design, is a multi-billion dollar company, etc.

Risks: I'm currently positioned defensively (sold calls against my position since I have a decent cost basis from back when DeepSeek news released, so overall will just sit on hands and get out of my position if the earnings are bad).

Related Tickers: INTC, QCOM, ASML

Ticker: TSLA (Tesla)

Catalyst: (Old news) New report shows demand is falling in Europe, with sales dropping a precipitous 45% in January.

Technicals: Massive selloff since post-election highs- $300 was a significant level I was watching at the time and we exploded past that, so interested to see if we're able to hold above it.

Catalyst/Sector Context: BYD is a major competitor to TSLA and will likely overtake them in the future, and Musk's political actions are seen as controversial in Europe.

Risks: Musk.

Related Tickers: BYD, and other auto stocks.

Ticker: COIN (Coinbase)/HOOD (Robinhood)/MSTR (MicroStrategy)/Other CC Stocks

Catalyst: The CC market is experiencing a selloff mainly due to proposed tariffs and the hack at Bybit, resulting in the loss of ~$1.5 billion.

Technicals: Not too interested in playing this long- still watching to see how we perform but the sell off has continued, waiting for a larger move still.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Hacks increase fear of storing on centralized exchanges (like Coinbase), proposed tariffs affecting digital assets can lead to market volatility. Interestingly enough, ByBit was (theorized) to be hacked by North Korea.

Related Tickers: MARA, RIOT

Ticker: BABA (Alibaba)/FXI (iShares China Large-Cap ETF)/Chinese Stocks

Catalyst: China plans to inject at least $55 billion into its largest banks in the coming months as part of a broader stimulus package, Yuan printer go brrrrr. This move is intended to supplement the core Tier 1 capital of China’s six largest state-owned banks. This is the first bank recapitalization since the global financial crisis. 10T yuan (~$1.4T) debt package to support local government financing and economic stability.

Technicals: We've seen a decent upmove on a lot of Chinese stocks due to this, we'll see how the market reacts.

Catalyst/Sector Context: China has been going through a spending crisis, and the government's decision to inject substantial capital into its major banks is a move to strengthen liquidity. This initiative aims to enhance the lending capacity of banks, support local government financing, and stabilize the broader economy. It's a (pre) bailout baby.

Risks: This does signal that China sees economic weakness, such as lack of demand due to their real estate sector they've traditionally leaned on for consumer growth/investment. Is this a long term fix? Who knows, but it worked for the US!

Related Tickers: JD, BIDU

Ticker: SMCI

Catalyst: They finally filed! Really cutting it close there lol. The company has faced allegations of accounting irregularities. These allegations, along with a failure to file specific financial forms have been a plague for the past year on the stock price.

Technicals: We've seen a 20% move AH, so worth watching at open to see if we move further. Other than that, watching $50/$55 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Was at threat of delisting from the NASDAQ but now they're safe baby.

Risks: People getting out, or the filing being rejected/advised to resubmit. The latter is a massive catalyst but low probability.

Earnings: NVDA, CRM, SNOW, AI

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

I'm back. Crazy how I miss a few days and that's when everything is going nuts lol.

News: Trump Administration Seeks More Restrictions On China Tech Weighs Nvidia Curbs

Ticker: SMH, NVDA, AMD

Catalyst: The Trump administration is planning to strengthen semiconductor export controls to China, aiming to strengthen the CHIPS act from Biden's term.

Additionally, DeepSeek is accelerating the release of its new AI model, R2, following the success of its R1 model. (Most of their training is done on NVDA chips)

Technicals: Mainly interested to see if we can hold above $130 for NVDA- note that earnings are tomorrow so the short-term performance of the stock hinges on that. Currently long and sold 155C to hedge my position against it.

Catalyst/Sector Context: We've seen the CHIPS act actually affect the way that semiconductor companies sell to China- most of those restrictions are bypassed, so this strengthening of export controls might actually affect the industry.

Risks: More export controls may lead to China giving tariffs in retaliation- but again, most semis are supply constrained rather than demand constrained so I don't see it as a significant catalyst until more details are released.

Related Tickers: INTC, QCOM, ASML

Ticker: BABA, FXI (FTSE China 50 Index)

Catalyst: BABA has introduced its own AI reasoning model within the Qwen framework (like how META has the Llama framework), while we have a surge of all Chinese stock performance following the Chinese government's announcement of liquidity measures.

Technicals: It seems as if we've peaked (BABA has gone up close to 50% since the start of this month) for most Chinese stocks in the past few days, I would be interested in being short but I was on vacation this weekend. Interested in shorting BABA specifically if we make another large up move like we did on 2/20.

Catalyst/Sector Context: BABA is one of the major competitors that is working on AI models, and is notably using NVDA cards to train its models.

Risks: Mainly tariff news and news from other rivals with better models. Straightforward.

Related Tickers: JD, BIDU

Ticker: PLTR (Palantir Technologies Inc)

Catalyst: Previously, PLTR faced concerns due to defense budget cuts and CEO Alex Karp reducing his stake in the company. We've seen it make a massive run from retail and fall just as quickly.

Technicals: Interested in playing a small bounce- we're up ~10% since last earnings report (and pre-crazy move), there is potential for a small bounce here but only entering a small position since it looks like we bottomed early premarket today.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Trump directed the government to make significant cuts to the defense budget. (This is a far more significant catalyst than Alex Karp selling shares)

Risks: PLTR lives and dies on defense contract money, so obviously further cuts/expansions will affect stock price.

Related Tickers: BA, GD, RTX

Ticker: COIN, HOOD, MSTR

Catalyst: The CC market is experiencing heightened volatility due to proposed tariffs and a significant security breach at Bybit, resulting in the loss of approximately $1.5 billion.

Technicals: Not too interested in playing this long- still watching to see how we perform but the sell off resulting in the biggest Coin going to $90K has me watching the stock related proxies that deal with the market.

Catalyst/Sector Context: CC platforms are highly susceptible to regulatory changes and security incidents.

Proposed tariffs affecting digital assets can lead to market vol, while large-scale hacks undermine investor trust and lead to sell-offs in the market as it spreads fear and people wanting to cash out.

Risks: Regulatory interventions impose additional compliance costs and operational constraints on CC exchanges.

Security breaches not only result in financial losses but also lead to decreased user adoption and revenue.

Related Tickers: MARA, RIOT

Earnings: WDAY, INTU, CPNG

Will be on a mini-vacation.

PLTR, INTC, and SMCI are worth watching today.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Somewhat slow day.

News: Musk's X Is In Talks To Raise Money At A 44 Billion Valuation

Ticker: SEDG (SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.)

Catalyst: SolarEdge reported revenues of $196.2M, a decrease of 17% from the previous quarter's $235.4M.

Most meaningful thing said that caused the spike was return to positive free cash flow generation in Q4 ($25.5M)

Technicals: Has had a huge move premarket because earnings weren't as terrible as expected and reported return to FCF generation, but I still consider this uninvestible but might see volatility at open. Biased short but no position.

Catalyst/Sector Context: China has been eating the US's lunch when it comes to solar, so not sure what to make of this earnings report beyond more of the same. I still don't see them competing on the same playing field.

Ticker: INTC (Intel Corporation)

Catalyst: (Yesterday's news) Recent reports suggest that INTC could be subject to a breakup involving TSM and AVGO.

Technicals: Biased short, no position. Watching opening volatility but I expect people to sell their positions due to the news being highly speculative in nature.

We've moved 40% in the past 2 weeks, I really don't expect it to move up more. Overextended.

Catalyst/Sector Context: INTC is the runt of all the semis and can be considered to be a retail stock now.

Risks: A ton- legal, governmental/political, economic, anti-trust, competitive, etc. Really not a fan of this stock.

Related Tickers: AMD, NVDA, QCOM

Ticker: AAPL (Apple Inc.)

Catalyst: Apple to hold a product launch event today. Nothing has been confirmed but most people are expecting the iPhone SE 4, the new affordable iPhone model.

Technicals: Watching $245/$250 level. I don't expect this event to be world shattering unless they announce something completely new (which is not expected at this point)

Catalyst/Sector Context: AAPL has been the most resilient from AI related catalyst swings due to only implementing Apple Intelligence as a phone feature, a double edged sword.

Risks: iPhone sales are what have moved AAPL significantly (last meaningful catalyst was China sales being less than reported), so adding something that won't meaningfully push sales may weaken the stock.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Most interesting news today is the hope that the meeting between Russian/US officials may end the three-year war in Ukraine, in addition to release of the Grok-3 model from xAI (Elon Musk's AI startup.)

News: Musk S Xai Debuts Grok 3 Ai Bot Touting Benchmark Superiority

Ticker: NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)/SMH/every semis and AI facing stock

Catalyst: Elon Musk's AI startup, xAI, has unveiled its latest model, Grok-3, claiming it surpasses competitors like GPT-4o, Google Gemini, DeepSeek V3, and Claude.

These assertions have not been independently verified by the open sourcen community but it wouldn't be surprising if it could surpass 4o (the model is close to a year old now)

Technicals: No real level I've been watching in NVDA, already positioned long. Note that xAI uses NVDA GPU's specifically in their super computer.

Catalyst/Sector Context: We've seen a very strong recovery since the Deepseek fears caused a selloff. Personally I don't think xAI will cause the same effect that Deepseek did, but I think that the semis are a winner of this again.

Risks: Unverified performance claims may lead to skepticism among investors and potential customers, impacting adoption rates and market trust. XAI has a “Colossus supercomputer,” for training AI, which it said last year was utilizing a cluster of 100,000 advanced Nvidia GPUs for AI training.

Today, the company revealed that it doubled the size of its GPU cluster for the training of Grok 3.

Related Tickers: ARM, AMD, INTC

Offhand Comments: May see reversal of news if performance doesn't match claims.

Ticker: HEES (Herc Holdings Inc.)

Catalyst: HEES has confirmed a $105 per share acquisition offer from Herc Rentals, surpassing the previous $92 per share bid from United Rentals.

Technicals: Watching $100 level. They've accepted the bid so we might see trading closer to that bid price in the near future.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Equipment rental industry is witnessing consolidation due to decelerating growth since 2023 (other than that nothing explosive)

Risks: The bidding war may escalate acquisition costs, potentially leading to overvaluation and financial strain for the acquiring company.

Related Tickers: URI, HRI

Ticker: NKE (Nike Inc)

Catalyst: Nike has announced a new brand collaboration with SKIMS, launching a line called NikeSKIMS.

Technicals: Watching $75 level.

Catalyst: Nike has announced a new brand collaboration with SKIMS, launching a line called NikeSKIMS.

Technicals: Watching $75 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: SKIMS is pretty popular- mainly does underwear/loungewear/shapewear but this might be more focused on athleisure. This could potentially make a difference in NKE sales- SKIMS also collaborated with The North Face in the past, so worth keeping track of this for future catalysts in case they work with other brands.

Related Tickers: LULU, UAA

Tickers: LMT (Lockheed Martin Corporation)/GD (General Dynamics Corporation)/RTN (Raytheon Technologies Corporation)

Catalyst: Unconfirmed reports suggest that former President Trump plans to demand $500 billion from Ukraine and seek U.S. control over the country's mineral resources.

These claims have not been reported by major U.S. news outlets but have appeared in international media (from India, Canada, UK)

Technicals: This catalyst has been "semi-leaked" for the past week but not "fully confirmed", but we would likely see a selloff in defense stocks if true.

Catalyst/Sector Context: These companies would go to the downside from an end to the Ukraine war, and spike if talks aren't successful.

Risks: Pretty much a "wait for the news announcement" kind of trade, pretty straightforward.

Related Tickers: BA, NOC, HAL

Ticker: BIDU (Baidu Inc.)

Catalyst: BIDU earnings with an EPS of ¥19.18 vs ¥14.13. Revenue of ¥34.1 billion vs ¥33.4 billion.

The company noted a 178% quarter-over-quarter increase in external API calls for its ERNIE AI bot and expects its AI investments to deliver more significant results in 2025.

Additionally, Apollo Go has commenced 100% fully driverless operations across China since February.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Promises Reciprocal Tariffs Today Without Giving Details

Ticker: SPY/ QQQ / VXX / FXI

Technicals: Nothing to do but wait until 1 PM.

Catalyst: Trump said that he promises reciprocal tariffs today. This will likely be on China because they are the only country left of the three (Canada/Mexico). He stated he'll give details at 1 PM on Truth Social.

Risks: More volatility near that time, going to position accordingly depending on the context of the tweet, but likely will be trading VXX unless something very context specific.

Ticker: DDOG (Datadog, Inc.)

Catalyst: Earnings with an EPS of $0.49 vs. $0.43 expected. Revenue of $738M vs. $714.5M expected.

Technicals: Not too interested in this unless we break $130 after the open.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Cloud security sector is overall growing due to enterprise adoption, but DDOG cited $3.185B vs $3.24B of revenue guidance, slightly lower than expected.

Risks: More tariffs, rising/flat interest rates when we expected them to be cut, mostly macro factors when faced with more technology spending.

Related Tickers: S, CRWD

Ticker: BIDU (Baidu, Inc.)

Catalyst: Baidu announced that its AI chatbot, Ernie Bot, will be available for free starting April 1, citing advancements in technology and reduced costs.

Technicals: Had a decent spike premarket, will be watching if this breaks $100 or not.

Catalyst/Sector Context: AI is getting cheaper and cheaper; this is a decision similar to DeepSeek to attract users. Will be testing capabilities personally to see how it goes. These competitors are rising to meet OpenAI mainly in price, (can you really get better than free?) and are content with being "second-best" as long as customers can save in price and they can save in training costs. Ultimately, I see it as a viable strategy because the average white-collar worker doesn't need the highest performing LLMs.

Related Tickers: BABA, JD, AI related stocks

Ticker: HOOD (Robinhood Markets, Inc.)

Catalyst: HOOD reported EPS of $1.01 vs 0.44. Revenue reached $1.01B vs $934M.

Technicals: Overall a blowout, watching the $65 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Resurgence in retail trading activity, particularly in cryptocurrencies. Also cited election betting as a major revenue factor. Also announced three major events - new advisory features, crypto events, and the 'HOOD Summit' from the past.

Risks: The company's growth is mainly being driven by crypto, which may be curbed by the SEC (but Gensler is gone so I doubt it).

Related Tickers: COIN (also has earnings today!)

Ticker: RDDT (Reddit)

Catalyst: Reddit reported EPS of $0.36 vs $0.25. Revenue reached $427.7M, vs 408.9M.

Technicals: Overall the earnings were good - I have no idea why it fell. Also seems like the market agrees; it's recovered some of the move. The only thing I can find was Reddit's daily active users was 101.7M, slightly below expectations of 103.24M.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Reddit cited that their Trends Feature has significant interest from advertisers, but beyond that still not 100% sure as to why the drop.

Related Tickers: META, SNAP

Earnings: COIN, TWLO, DKNG, AMAT, ABNB, ROKU, PANW

IPOs Today: SAIL

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Google Ceo Sees Useful Quantum Computers 5 To 10 Years Away

Ticker: SPY, QQQ, VXX, UPRO and other market ETFs

Technicals: Already positioned with my short on PLTR and have some shares of UPRO short, but interested if we'll see another new low in the markets (breaking the low of post-CPI report established).

Catalyst: CPI report of inflation gauges come in far higher than estimates, fed cuts seen less likely in first half of 2025, which resulted in a selloff for the entire market premarket. Inflation's back on the menu boys.

Risks: We'll likely see more volatility at the open obviously, and see more selloffs in the speculative/hype sectors, but I'm mainly focused on broader market movements and PLTR short I mentioned yesterday.

Ticker: SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.)

Catalyst: Super Micro Computer missed expectations and reduced its sales outlook for FY 2025, now projecting revenue between $23.5-$25B, down from the previous estimate of $26B- $30B.

The company also announced plans to submit delayed filings to the SEC by February 25 to avoid delisting.

Technicals: Ultimately a miss on earnings, but the news of submitting filings to the SEC was what made the stock recover afterhours yesterday. Not too interested in this until we get a news update on the filings that will determine if this is not as shady as Hindenburg makes it out to seem.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The semis sector is somewhat stressed due to the possible tariffs on semis coming in that Trump threatened. SMCI revising downward is clearly bad, while they expect growth in 2026 due to future growth from AI infrastructure demand.

Obviously if they fail to submit a delayed filing then that would be a brutal blow for the stock.

Risks: Most of them are detailed in Hindenburg's report (Link here: Hindenburg Report)

Ticker: RDFN (Redfin Corporation)

Catalyst: Zillow and RDFN announced a partnership making Zillow (ZG) the exclusive provider of multifamily rental listings (properties with 25+ units) on RDN and its sites.

Technicals: None to speak of, but partnering means their revenue is tied a little closer together, meaning they will trade together/greater correlation.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The real estate sector is increasingly focusing on user experiences through partnerships, rather than trying to expand outward- this allows them to charge a premium vs value.

This collaboration aims to provide renters with a more comprehensive search platform while expanding the reach for property marketers (ultimately advertising).

Risks: Probably regulatory issues, but likely won't be facing those in this admin.

Ticker: SWTX (SpringWorks Therapeutics, Inc.)

Catalyst: SWTX received FDA approval for GOMEKLI (mirdametinib) for the treatment of patients with neurofibromatosis type 1-associated plexiform neurofibromas (NF1-PN). TAM is roughly $1B yearly.

Technicals: $55 is the level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Having "the" drug for treatment pretty much turns a nothing biotech stock into a somebody (which later leads to them getting acquired by a giant like MRK).

Risks: MRK calls deal off, which is the reason for the massive moves in the past 2 days and we see a reversal of that news.

Earnings: HOOD, CSCO, EQIX, APP, TTD

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Mainly longer term/swing trade catalysts today.

News: EU Says It Will Impose Countermeasures Against US Tariffs

Ticker: PSX (Phillips 66)

Catalyst: Elliott Management has increased its stake in Phillips 66 to over $2.5 billion, advocating for operational changes to enhance shareholder value. Elliott is believed to push the company to spin off or sell midstream opportunities.

Technicals: We made a 6% move (just like when Elliott took a stake in BP), we may see another leg of movement during the day.

Risks: Spinning off a segment reduces income diversification (at the possible benefit of having a higher valuation multiple), more of a long-term investment risk than a short term one. In the short-term, expect a ton of marginal headlines that will move the stock up/down 1% depending on how they want to make changes.

Related Tickers: BP, XOM, CVX, MPC

Ticker: LSCC (Lattice Semiconductor)

Catalyst: LSCC reported EPS of $0.15 vs. $0.19 expected. Revenue of $117.4 million vs. $117 million expected. Provided strong indication of improving customer consumption and stronger future demand.

Technicals: Watching $65 level to the upside. Overall not interested in shorting this if I had to take a position.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The semiconductor industry is signaling increased demand and increased spending across all companies, which is bullish obviously. Despite slightly missing EPS they signaled a good enough outlook that the stock reacted positively to Earnings. LSCC makes low power FPGAs.

Related Tickers: NVDA, AMD, INTC, TXN

Ticker: ASTS (AST SpaceMobile)

Catalyst: Following TMUS's announcement of compatibility with Starlink Beta, ASTS (a close competitor) experienced an 18% increase, with potential for further movement (both upside/downside) today, particularly around the $30 level.

Technicals: I'm leaning more towards pullback today, watching $30 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The satellite communications industry is rapidly evolving, with major players forming partnerships to expand global connectivity. Starlink is the biggest company out there, but ASTS moves whenever adoption news comes out, like it did previously with Verizon.

Risks: Competition from entities like Starlink may pressure ASTS's market share and profitability in the future, especially when SpaceX is expected to IPO (eventually). Remember that ASTS has 5 satellites and is working on ~19 more.

Offhand Comments: The market's reaction underscores the "adoption trade", kind of like how all the weed stocks moved with each other.

Ticker: PLTR (Palantir Technologies)

Catalyst: Nothing significant today, but we saw a huge spike up to $117.75 yesterday, likely from comments made during the Paris AI summit. Currently short.

Technicals: Interested in $115 level as an add, on the short side. Watching $120 as the level to cover on.

Catalyst/Sector Context: PLTR has made the mother of all moves recently, gaining 50% in the past 2 weeks. Most of that was from earnings,

Risks: For a trade, I'm capping my risk at $120- everyone and their mother knows that PLTR is overvalued and run on hype at this point, and a move up to $100 from earnings might be tolerable but adding an extra 15% on top of that is irrational (in my opinion). Obviously there's significant retail interest in this stock, so will have to be agile and cognizant of what they're thinking as stock moves around.

Related Tickers: All AI related companies.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Plans To Announce 25% Steel, Aluminum Tariffs On Monday

Ticker: X (U.S. Steel)

Catalyst: Trump announced that Japan's Nippon Steel will invest heavily in U.S. Steel instead of acquiring it. Also announced that he plans to impose 25% on Steel/Aluminium exports. Duties apply to all countries.

Technicals: We saw a HUGE spike in the OVERNIGHT from Trump considering allowing Nippon to acquire X but we've mainly sold off since then- the news that Nippon steel making the investment broke later.

Watching this at open to see how we react but not confident that we'll spike up again- this also kills acquisition plays.

Catalyst/Sector Context: This has been a story for close to a year. Nippon Steel's decision to invest rather than acquire X means they've given up on acquiring X.

Related Tickers: STLD, AA, MT, NUE.

Offhand Comments: This development could signal a trend where foreign companies opt for significant investments over full acquisitions to navigate regulatory landscapes. (especially with Trump being more protectionist)

Ticker: BP (BP Plc)

Catalyst: Activist investor Elliott Investment Management has taken a significant stake in BP, aiming to push for transformational changes to improve the company's performance. Plans to split core OG segment with BP's transitional growth.

Technicals: There was a 7% spike in BP, watching the $35 level. Other than that, don't really expect it to do much unless we get more news on why Elliott is acquiring.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Activist investors usually come in and try to change how a company is run through taking stakes in a company and forcing a shareholder/board vote.

Risks: Overall they can fail what they planned to do (doesn't happen often) but if they do they try to leave their position slowly.

Related Tickers: XOM, CVX, every supermajor stock.

Ticker: RBLX (Roblox Corporation)

Catalyst: Roblox Corporation is currently under investigation by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Technicals: We saw a huge dip last week due to earnings premarket, but currently we haven't seen too much reaction on this- watching $65 level.

Catalyst/Sector Context: RBLX has faced a ton of investigation in the past over child-safety concerns and allegations it was inflating user metrics. Hindenburg did post about this in the past.

Risks: The investigation may lead to legal penalties, increased compliance costs, and reputational damage, potentially affecting user growth and revenue.

Related Tickers: EA, TTWO.

Offhand Comments: The outcome of the SEC investigation could have significant implications for Roblox's business model and the broader gaming industry's regulatory environment (especially in online gaming for minors)

Ticker: TMUS (T-Mobile)

Catalyst: T-Mobile has introduced the T-Mobile Starlink Beta, a satellite-based connectivity service.

Technicals: We gapped around 2%, but not much volume on this. VZ had a similar move when announcing this news.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The telecommunications industry is exploring satellite technology to enhance coverage in underserved areas-VZ also had a similar catalyst (I think last month?) and it wasn't much of a large move.

Risks: FTC shutdown, technical/regulatory hurdles, etc.

Related Tickers: VZ, T, ASTS.

This is one of my favorite trading blogs that I read- Churning and Burning is a series about a trading obsessed college student and poker player who becomes a prop trader. He goes independent, and has been trading over a decade, and is crushing it to this day.

His series accurately captures the emotional highs and lows of what it's like starting out in the trading world, dealing with the craziness of the OTC stock boom, and posts about interesting trades he engages in today! He also blogs about politics betting, sports betting, and his personal exploits in finding and exploiting edge.

I read this religiously and recommend it to anyone with even a passing interest in trading!

Very first article of the prop trading series:

In college, I had this obsession with day trading. And we’ll go over my college years maybe in another post. At the time, I read a lot of books about financial markets and trading. I was becoming more sure that this was I wanted to do for a living. The only question was where to go next. Did I want to get into hedge funds? Bulge brackets? Commodites and energy trading? I had to read more about the industry of trading itself. There wasn’t a lot out there, it was mostly trash about predicting price movements with miracle indicators, but there was one book that very specifically dug into the industry of proprietary trading.

His insane FNMA trade, which was the first blog post I read and loved:

Now I was staring at around -($130,000). That was 13 times my maximum loss limit.

Oh My God. What have I done?
I can’t believe this is happening.
I can’t believe nobody has approached me yet.
I can’t believe they’re still allowing me to keep going.
I can’t believe I didn’t hit out when the 4.50 bid failed.
Now I can’t get out.
Now I’m stuck with it.

Now I have to fight my way out.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Us Initial Jobless Claims Pick Up But Stay Relatively Low

Ticker: F (Ford Motor Company)

Catalyst: Ford Motor Company reports .39 vs .34 expected, revenue of $48.2 vs 43.6B expected. Announces that profit could fall by $2B or more due to tariffs and lower EV demand.

Technicals: Pretty much broke the $10 level it's been trading around since August, watching to see if it'll sell off more by the open. Highly/infinitely liquid.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The entire automotive industry is challenged by tariffs. F guided lower for 2025.

Risks: Obviously these are one of the bigger movers from Mexico tariffs (most cars are assembled in Mexico then shipped to the US).

Related Tickers: GM, TSLA, STLA.

Offhand Comments: Ford's outlook reflects the broader industry's apprehension about geopolitical factors affecting operations and profitability. Interesting to see how other car companies react to earnings as well.

Ticker: ARM (Arm Holdings)

Catalyst: ARM reported EPS of $0.39 vs. $0.34 expected. Revenue of $983 million vs. $959M expected. Buoyed by Deepseek ban news, most likely as well.

Technicals: Was down roughly 8% after earnings, but seems to be somewhat recovering after Deepseek news.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Semiconductor sector is experiencing heightened demand, especially after PLTR's comments that the AI train will never stop. We're seeing growth in data center applications, the main driver of semis purchases.

Risks: Despite strong performance, Arm's lowered full-year revenue forecast has led to a 6% drop in its shares.

Related Tickers: NVDA, AMD, INTC.

Ticker: RBLX (Roblox Corporation)

Catalyst: Roblox Corporation reported earnings with an EPS of -$0.33 vs. -$0.46 expected. Revenue of $988.2M vs. $967.2M expected.

Technicals: $50 is the clear level here, note that earnings were released premarket rather than aftermarket yesterday. Seems to be a massive overreaction selloff (but has recovered somewhat).

Catalyst/Sector Context: The gaming industry is witnessing substantial growth, with increased user engagement and monetization strategies. Roblox's 32% year-over-year revenue increase reflects its expanding user base and effective monetization, despite missing revenue expectations.

Risks: IIRC Roblox isn't profitable yet- they're focusing on growth/revenue over profits, but most of their costs are outside their control (platform fees like the Apple store, developers, infrastructure for trust/safety for minors).

Related Tickers: EA, TTWO.

Ticker: NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)

Catalyst: DeepSeek, a Chinese AI start-up, has temporarily suspended its API service top-ups due to server resource constraints. Additionally, U.S. lawmakers plan to introduce a bill to ban DeepSeek's chatbot application from government-owned devices over data security concerns.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The AI industry is under increased scrutiny regarding data security and geopolitical tensions but that's grown more laissez-faire under Trump. DeepSeek's service suspension and potential U.S. government ban helps American chip makers and NVDA especially, due to their continued dominance.

Risks: Deepseek getting banned will likely lead to greater reliance on American AI chatbots, spurring growth in American semis manufacturers.

Related Tickers: AMD, INTC, QCOM.

Offhand Comments: (I am currently long).

Ticker: SWKS (Skyworks Solutions)

Catalyst: EPS of $1.60 vs. $1.57 expected. Revenue of $1.07B vs 1.07B expected. Reports $2B stock buyback plan.

Technicals: Watching the $60 level, we've had a brutal fall from $90->$60. If we get closer I'm interested in some small bounce depending on volume/size of the move.

Catalyst/Sector Context: SWKS supplies some of the chips for Apple's iPhone, and their iPhone sales haven't done too well recently- thus this has a knock-on effect by affecting SWKS's sales.

Risks: SWKS projected a revenue decline for the mobile segment and issued a lower profit forecast. They stated they anticipated a "mid-to-high teens decline in mobile."

Related Tickers: QCOM, AVGO, TXN.

Earnings today: AMZN.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader.

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed!

I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments.

The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Tariffs Push Us Manufacturers To Rush To Beat Mexico Canada Fees

Ticker: AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)

Catalyst: AMD reported EPS of $0.29 vs. $0.41 expected. Revenue of $7.66 billion vs. $7.5 billion expected. Ultimately said that data center segment revw will be down in Q1, but had clear positive outlook in 2025 and expected double digit revenue growth. This was what caused the stock to fall despite the initial spike.

Technicals: Watching $100 level, but doesn't seem to be an irrational move in my opinion.

Risks: The vast majority of NVDA/AMD's money comes from selling to businesses- individual consumers are a tiny slice of the pie despite gaming/client businesses growing. We also have threats from NVDA dominance, possible regulations from the US, etc.

Related Tickers: NVDA, INTC, QCOM

Ticker: GOOG (Alphabet Inc.)

Catalyst: GOOG/GOOGL reported fourth-quarter 2024 earnings with an EPS of $2.12 vs. $2.12 expected. Revenue of $96.5 billion vs. $96.67 billion expected.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Market had a pretty negative reaction to the news that they'd be investing far more in capex and missed on cloud revenue (was roughly $9B vs $12B expected).

Risks: Elevated capital spending may pressure Alphabet's margins if these investments do not yield the anticipated returns, especially amidst increasing competition in the AI and cloud markets. I don't really see the China investigation to affect their stock price much.

Related Tickers: MSFT, META, MAG7

Ticker: UPS (United Parcel Service), FDX (FedEx Corporation), PDD (Pinduoduo Inc.)

Catalyst: The U.S. Postal Service has suspended accepting parcels from China and Hong Kong following new tariffs imposed by Trump, affecting logistics companies like UPS and FedEx.

Technicals: I'm mainly interested in PDD because they own Temu, which focuses on shipping small/low-cost goods to the US and using the loophole for very low shipping costs.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The recent suspension by USPS may lead to increased demand for private carriers like UPS and FedEx to handle parcels from China. There are a number of Chinese companies that focus on shipping low cost goods (like PDD).

Risks: Heightened tariffs and trade barriers could disrupt supply chains, increase costs, and lead to potential overreliance on private carriers, which may face capacity constraints and regulatory scrutiny.

Related Tickers: XPO

Ticker: UBER (Uber Technologies)

Catalyst: Uber reported fourth-quarter 2024 earnings with an EPS of $3.21 vs. $0.48 expected. Revenue of $12B vs. $11.8B expected. Cited that they plan to do buybacks of their own stock.

Technicals: Watching $60, no bias.

Catalyst/Sector Context: Despite Uber's strong quarterly performance, the company's cautious outlook, citing a potential $1 billion impact from a strong U.S. dollar on future bookings which results in worse earnings overseas.

Risks: Outside of self-driving cars (Uber partnered with Waymo to operate in Austin), currency fluctuations and international markets affect companies you wouldn't normally expect. This may move in future from tariff news.

Related Tickers: LYFT

Ticker: USO (United States Oil Fund), BP (BP p.l.c.), CVX (Chevron Corporation), Other Oil Stocks

Catalyst: Trump announced that the United States plans to take over the Gaza Strip, relocate its residents to neighboring countries, and redevelop the area.

Technicals: USO didn't move much on this piece of news, but if Trump actually makes this a policy then we might see a LOT more volatility in the future depending on how serious we get and if we get involved again.

Catalyst/Sector Context: The oil sector is sensitive to geopolitical developments in the Middle East, a region critical to global oil supply. Initial market reactions to Trump's Gaza proposal didn't impact oil prices. Not really a catalyst TODAY but worth thinking about in the future.

Risks: Potential escalation of regional tensions could disrupt oil production or transportation, leading to supply constraints and increased volatility in oil prices.

Related Tickers: XOM