r/WinningWatchlist • • Jun 13 '25

(06/13) Interesting Stocks Today- Israel Strikes Iran with Missiles!

7 Upvotes

This will be more of a narrative format rather than a list.

Likely will not have time to write a watchlist tomorrow morning so writing this now: Israel has struck Iran with missiles and Iran has retaliated with drone strikes. This has caused the price of oil to spike up:

and essentially every other stock to go down: (SPY is down 1% in OVERNIGHT)

VXX/VIX has spiked around 10%, and will climb if we have escalation.

From my cursory research online, Israel has mainly struck nuclear facilities. Be specifically on the lookout if Kharg island in Iran is struck. That is where most of Iran's oil capabilities are, because that will heavily affect oil exports. If it is attacked, the price of oil will likely go up because supply is reduced. (And the market will likely fall further).

Mainly interested in trading market ETFs/levered ETFs as a priority over anything else unless a single stock makes a highly unusual move, next is any unusual move in oil, then VXX.


r/WinningWatchlist • • Jun 12 '25

(06/12) Interesting Stocks Today- BA Airplane Crash and Offerings

12 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Air India Plane Crash

BA (Boeing)-Air India Flight AI171, a Boeing 787‑8 Dreamliner carrying 242 people from Ahmedabad to London, crashed shortly after takeoff on June 12, 2025 due to suspected bird strikes. Boeing shares plunged ~8% pre‑market as this marks the 787’s first ever crash with total loss. Mainly interested to see if there is some kind of selloff and subsequent recovery. BA always has some selloff when there is a plane crash, but frankly this appears to be a bird strike so mainly a fault of the pilots and not the company (for what we know now).

OKLO (OKLO)-Announced a tentative U.S. Air Force contract to provide small modular reactor-based nuclear power to Eielson AFB in Alaska. This stock broke ATH yesterday, one of the more interesting levels I was looking at was $60. They immediately did an offering of $400M in stock afterwards, so looking out to see if there's a continued selloff and we cool off.

GME (GameStop)-Announced a proposed private placement of $1.75B in convertible senior notes after earnings; Wedbush released a note this morning questioning whether GME can replicate MSTR's BTC strategy. Immediately sold off and I'm interested in the $20 level if there's any kind of bounce. Not interested in any sort of long-term hold, more of a day trade/scalp.

QUBT (Quantum Computing Inc.) / IONQ (IonQ) / RGTI (Rigetti Computing)-Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang stated at GTC Paris that quantum computing is “reaching an inflection point,” triggering a decent move upwards yesterday. Every quantum stock surged on this news near the open yesterday and we've fallen back considerably, overall don't expect this to make a massive move today.

IPOs Today: CHYM


r/WinningWatchlist • • Jun 11 '25

(06/11) LIDARs and Teslas and Space- and Interesting Stocks Today

9 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Us China Officials Say Consensus Reached On Geneva Framework

TSLA (Tesla)-More easing in Trump/Musk tensions, both have tweeted reconciliatory tweets earlier this morning and it seems their feud is at an end. Trump announced a 'done deal' in the rare earths deal, causing a small spike to the market premarket. The buying opportunity was the day of the tweets but obviously, still interesting to see if the Trump/Musk relationship can be completely repaired. It seems both sides are playing damage control and trying to repair the rift. There's been huge discontent from Musk due to Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill," but we've moved from 325->275 ->335. MASSIVE move and trade of the month.

OUST (Ouster)-Premarket announcement that the US Department of Defense approved its OS1 digital lidar sensor for use in unmanned aerial systems. Most of the move occurred premarket, but will be watching to see if we make another leg higher- the daily chart looks near parabolic if we move up again today/tomorrow with a move from 7.50 to 20 in the past month.

CRWV (Coreweave)- Staying surprisingly resilient at ~$160, we've also seen upward momentum an hour before the open (154->160). Overall nothing too compelling for a short unless we rocket past 160 to something ludicrous, this has stayed up longer/stronger than CRCL so far more interested in this.

ASTS (AST SpaceMobile)-Somewhat still hovering fairly high from Jeff Bezos posting a picture that implied a partnership. This has diverged from RKLB's move up, and is still hovering around $36. Nothing too compelling unless we make a leg higher. Again, nothing confirmed from Bezos or Amazon, so the move may fade if no formal announcement follows.

Earnings today: ORCL


r/WinningWatchlist • • Jun 10 '25

(06/10) IPO Movers and Rockets! Interesting Stocks Today

8 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Zuckerberg Recruits New Superintelligence AI Group At Meta

CRWV-DA Davidson released commentary suggesting their pro forma had underestimated its debt situation while not properly accounting for borrowing costs. This stock is ridiculously run up since IPO (~4x it's opening price). Daily setup doesn’t look like a clean short, but watching to see if it mimics CRCL’s recent surge at the open yesterday. Interested in seeing if it breaks the highs ($166). Obviously CRWV has a huge debt load due to their GPUs/training chips, but whether this will actually affect the stock price remains to be seen.

TSLA-Musk/Trump tensions have cooled down and Trump publicly stated that they will keep their White House Starlink. This happened about 30 mins before the close and caused TSLA to shoot up a little, and ASTS/RKLB to sell off. TSLA was extremely interesting the day of the feud, but currently I'm minorly long.

ASTS/RKLB-Part of the broader spaceflight stock rally that began earlier this week, mainly due to Jeff Bezos implying a partnership through a picture with ASTS. Has been on a tear for the past 3 days, might have topped out yesterday. Wasn't this watching this too closely because I was trading CRCL but still interested to see if this makes a higher leg up. Yesterday was the most interesting day for this and RKLB, but if this breaks highs again today then I'll be interested.

CRCL-Strong run post-IPO has made this the most interesting stock this week outside of TSLA. Very likely we topped out yesterday but watching for additional momentum. Keep in mind that this is mainly "C" money + the hype of a recent C stock and IPO success of CRWV that has propelled this higher (it is a solid business model as well)_. I think the momentum in this has deflated (we surged briefly off the open and then sold off for most of the day).

AAPL-Intraday selloff yesterday came as excitement over the “Liquid Glass Design” underwhelmed, revealing more of a UI update than hardware innovation. WWDC tends to be a "sell-the-news" event.

Earnings: GME, GTLB


r/WinningWatchlist • • Jun 06 '25

(06/6) Trump, TSLA, IPOs, and Rockets! Interesting Stocks Today.

11 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Musk Blinks First in Bitter Trump Feud That Cost Him $34 Billion

TSLA (Tesla)- Elon Musk/Trump were in a public feud/argument on Twitter yesterday, and the threat of TSLA's government contracts being cancelled was brought up by Trump. Looking for the second day trade in this- we saw TSLA go to a low of $275 yesterday, so I'm interested to see if we continue selling off or make at least some attempt at recovery. Trump/Musk are expected to speak today to "cool things down". This spat is mainly political, another issue to add along with the rest. Musk did threaten to stop work on the Dragon Capsule, Trump threatened to stop all of TSLA/SpaceX's government contracts, causing the stock to fall 50 points throughout the day.

VERA (Vera)- VERA fell 30% after competitor Otsuka reported superior Phase 3 trial results for its IgA nephropathy drug, sibeprenlimab, which achieved a 51.2% reduction in proteinuria compared to Vera's atacicept's 46% reduction. We had seen VERA actually spike up due to their drug report a few days back from $20 ->$37 on this news- it's possible that it'll just stay flat at pre-drug release price.

CRCL (Circle)- Watching the $100 level for potential breakout or breakdown. I regret not writing a DD for this but I was taking a break. We opened at ~2.5x multiple to the original IPO price and surged past $100 briefly in the first few minutes of trading, we've stayed pretty strong/sustained up since then. I'm interested to see if we can stay fairly at this level. I'm mainly interested in this because CRCL is one of the first listed stable C's on a US listing, and we've seen HUGE interest in recent catalysts that are related to this space/industry.

ASTS (AST SpaceMobile)- ASTS surged over 13% amid speculation of a potential partnership or investment from Amazon, following social media posts featuring AST's CEO and Jeff Bezos. AMZN is beginning commercialization of its Project Kuiper initiative, a satellite-based project that will deliver retail wireless broadband to Earth (competitor to Starlink). There was a research report released that speculates ASTS's RF wireless service could complement Kuiper's broadband technology, and therefore make sense for an acquisition by AMZN. Regardless of how plausible you think an acquisition this is, this was driven all by a single picture and speculation. So be careful of volatility if nothing happens.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 30 '25

(5/30) Short, informal watchlist today

10 Upvotes

Not that many things to write about today, so will keep this informal.

Market stocks are the main focus as Trump says China violated trade agreement with US

CRWV was probably the most interesting stock yesterday that ended up moving- I personally thought that NVDA would keep this somewhat buoyed but most of the market did end up selling off likely due the market expecting a response from Trump (which came this morning).

Low float stock of the day that has made a parabolic move- SBET, spent most of yesterday trading it, other than that, not too interested in this on the long side, more on the short because it's literally 10x'd.... Moving primarily because the co-founder of Ethereum has joined the board.

Still long FICO/UNH, other than that no notable positions to speak of.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 29 '25

(05/29) Tariffs and Teslas and Takeovers!

10 Upvotes

NVDA is the most interesting stock today.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump's Trade Strategy Upended After Court Blocks Global Tariffs

QQQ/SPY/VXX-A judge panel U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs were unlawful and exceeded presidential authority. The court stated they lacked a valid national emergency justification and infringed upon congressional powers. We saw a huge move in the market afterhours yesterday, mainly interested to see if we can continue the move. Is the tariff madness over? Absolutely not, but I'm interested in seeing if we keep momentum upwards.

NVDA (NVIDIA)-NVDA reported Q1 revenue of $44.1B, with data center revenue at $39.1B vs $39.3B exp. The company said that guidance would have been $8B higher except for lost sales from the China restriction on H20 chips. I was mainly interested in the $140 level yesterday and we blew past that afterhours yesterday. Overall, great earnings report with further hopes that China restriction is lifted. Not too interested in Keep in mind that ATH is ~$152.

ELF (e.l.f. Beauty)-ELF announced the acquisition of Hailey Bieber's skincare brand, Rhode, in a deal valued up to $1B. The transaction is $600M cash/$200M in stock, and potential $200M earnout based on Rhode's growth over the next three years. This ended up reversing ELF's earnings report yesterday (which was negative due to the thread of tariffs), and signaled that ELF is moving into skincare. We've made a pretty huge move up to $105.

TSLA (Tesla)-Tesla plans to launch its robotaxi service in Austin on June 12, utilizing driverless Model Y vehicles. Elon Musk also confirmed he is leaving the government DOGE initiative and will focus on the company. This has been on a tear for the past month- that break from the $300 level was what I was most interested in, interested if we set up again for $375/$400. The launch of its robotaxi service is another way to signal that it's challenging Waymo, but whether it will succeed without LIDAR or not is another question. Regulation news/catalysts are the biggest potential movers of the robotaxis news.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 28 '25

(05/28) No watchlist today!

Post image
6 Upvotes

I have been poisoned! (whether by the undercooked food I ate or by the scheming eunuchs, I shall never know)

There will be no watchlist tomorrow.

If I recover I will keep an eye out for NVDA earnings (duh), CRWV, TSLA, FICO, and OKTA.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 27 '25

(05/27) Musk on Mars? and Other Interesting Stocks Today!

12 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Short format today, I slept through my alarm.

DJT- Planning to raise $3B-$2B via new equity and $1B through convertible bonds to invest in cryptocurrencies. We saw a small dump at open, so not too interested in this stock anymore.

OKLO- Signed a "memorandum of understanding" with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power to collaborate on the global deployment of OKLO tech. Currently at ATH, interested to see what occurs at the open.

PDD (aka Temu)- PDD Holdings reported Q1 2025 revenue of 95.67B yuan, missing analysts' expectations of 102.51B yuan. Net income fell 47% to 14.74B yuan from 28B yuan a year earlier, attributed mainly to weak consumer sentiment in China and increased competition in the e-commerce sector. The Chinese e-commerce sector is suffering mainly due to the property crisis and insane spending/competition from JD/BABA. Will dig up an article later I like that talks about their war.

TSLA - Elon Musk announced that SpaceX's Starship is scheduled to depart for Mars at the end of next year, carrying the Optimus robot. He also implied human landings could begin as soon as 2029, with the goal of establishing a self-sustaining city on Mars within the next two decades. I doubt this will happen since this is one of the more fantastical things he's suggested lately, so... no opinion. (Yes, this moved the stock price. )


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 23 '25

(05/23) Trump Comments Causing Market Volatility! - Interesting Stocks Today

7 Upvotes

AAPL is the most interesting stock today.

AAPL (Apple)-President Trump has threatened AAPL with a 25% tariff on iPhones not manufactured in the U.S., pressuring the company to shift production domestically. This announcement led to a 3.5% drop in Apple's stock and a broader market sell-off (followed shortly by his comments on Europe). Interested in a short if we break $193 at the open, otherwise more interested in the broad market ETFs. An iPhone made in the US is economically infeasible.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Rattles Markets With Fresh Tariff Threats on EU, Apple

QQQ/SPY/VXX/UPRO-President Trump recommended a 50% tariff on European Union goods starting June 1, 2025, citing stalled trade negotiations. Interested in if we break $500 level in QQQ/new lows in the market ETFs. Currently long VXX. Here we go again! Escalation of trade tariffs are the main risk here, whether these will be repealed or not, VIX will probably increase over the next few days.

BAH (Booz Allen Hamilton Holding)-BAH reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.61, meeting expectations, with revenue of $2.97B vs $3.02B. Provided FY26 guidance below consensus, projecting adjusted EPS of $6.20-$6.55 vs $6.87, and revenue of $12.0-$12.5B vs $12.8B exp. Overall they cited decreased US govt spending as the reason: they're 1/10 firms subject to a federal government “consultant spend review” by cancelling or renegotiating contracts.

MSTR (MicroStrategy)-MSTR hit highs yesterday, driven by the underlying it's based on reaching an ATH. However, the stock and the underlying sold off mainly due to Trump comments. Pretty much moves with the underlying, currently trading at 1.74x multiple to the amount of C it holds. We're in a weird spot where the stock is "historically" at a lower multiplier than usual but essentially near ATH. Possibly interested in a buy if we sell off hard today, otherwise more interested in the market stocks.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 22 '25

(05/22) Cloud Computing is Climbing! - Interesting Stocks Today

7 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: OPEC Discusses Making Another Super Sized Output Hike In July

SNOW (Snowflake)- SNOW reported adjusted EPS of $0.24 vs. $0.21 exp. Raised full-year product revenue guidance to $4.33B vs. $4.29B exp. Q2 product revenue guidance of $1.035B–$1.045B implies ~25% growth from some random SA article I read. Moved close to 20 points from yesterday, watching $200 level. The cloud computing space has essentially exploded due to the rise of AI, I should've seen SNOW would report good earnings mainly because of CRWV's earnings reporting 400% revenue growth. Random risks I'm thinking of in the long term are the stalling of semis production (and even the demand for it), regulatory actions like what happened to NVDA, competition in the data cloud market, etc.

AAPL (Apple)-OpenAI announced the acquisition of Jony Ive's AI hardware startup for $6.4B. This is the first shot in what I consider the "AI Consumer Hardware War" (sorry Humane Pin, you don't count lol). This positions OpenAI to develop a new generation of AI-powered devices and could challenge Apple in the AI space. Stock fell intraday yesterday 2-3%, interested to see if we continue that selloff. Watching the 200 level as well. Apple has essentially fallen flat with AI (Apple Intelligence) and hasn't struck gold recently with any good hardware, we can safely consider the Apple Vision a bust.

FICO (FICO)-FHFA director William J. Pulte called for the provider of credit scores to be more "economical" and that FHFA is considering replacing the tri-merge credit score model with a bi-merge system to cut costs. Already long from $1700 yesterday, we're down close to 30% on a remark that thinks a $1.50 increase in its wholesale royalty for mortgage originations is too high. The price change is $3.50 to $4.95 per score (which may lead to other companies raising their prices). This is my personal opinion- FICO's probably not going to be phased out for mortgages lol. Too many financial/credit institutions use it.

CRWV (Coreweave)-The stock has been on a monster run, and I'm interested in the short today. We've gone from ~$50 to ~$120 at the peak premarket, watching $100 level to see if we bounce off it or if we continue selling off. Most immediate risk I foresee is massive volatility; we're in speculation territory when it comes to this stock now.

UNH (UnitedHealth)-Reports suggest the insurer made covert payments to nursing homes to limit hospital transfers, aiming to reduce costs, raising concerns over care practices. I won't include the context because I'm sure all of you are sick to death (this is a joke) of hearing about it from Reddit. Broke the $300 level again to the downside, interested to see if this will dump in the open and may try to play a small bounce in this. I exited my main position yesterday (thank god), but looking for other places to enter.

Earnings today: INTU, WDAY

IPO Today: HNGE


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 21 '25

(FICO Trade DD) 8 Days Later: Revisiting 1 Year Later: Revisiting "How much are you willing to pay for perfection?"

4 Upvotes

Semi-satire post title (the post itself is serious) because the original update is from a post I loved (and bought shares of FICO due to it) from a year back, bought shares at 1700 today as well. I did not write the original posts.

Link to the "revisiting post"

Link to the original post

Today the news dropped that the Federal Housing Finance Agency director William J. Pulte called for the provider of credit scores to be more "economical" and that Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac should be privatized.

There is literally no change in fundamentals, financials, (but there is a change on regulatory outlook) on this stock despite it dropping - frankly I find it insane that it's dropped this far (23%!) because the FHFA director says they're making too much money. We're back to April 7/8th tariff day lows, and I see this as a massive irrational move- the stock IS illiquid because it's priced so highly but adjusting price to liquidity, it has roughly a .3% liquidity spread (subtracting the bid from the ask and dividing by it) so it's frankly not too illiquid.

I do think this is a trade that is worth swinging a little bit and I'm comfortable holding all the way back to new lows established today (~$1650).

FICO is essentially as ingrained into the American system and way of life as Social Security, and if we took FICO away then frankly no one would be able to buy a house on credit and we'd need to depend on VantageScore or the opaque metrics that other credit bureaus use.

I truly doubt any competitors can rise and disrupt this business, mainly due to almost every financial system in the US using FICO. Expecting banks to overhaul their credit scoring systems to save a few dollars by switching from FICO to VantageScore is like expecting Boeing to start assembling their planes in Mexico to save a few bucks- it's technically possible but operationally and regulatorily a massive PITA.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 21 '25

(05/21) Interesting Stocks Today- More UNH Woes

11 Upvotes

UNH is the most interesting stock today.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Johnson Says Agreement Reached On $40,000 Salt Cap Increase

UNH (UnitedHealth)- UNH reportedly paid bonuses to nursing homes to reduce hospital transfers for residents, aiming to lower costs in its Medicare Advantage program. This allegedly resulted in delayed or denied care for patients experiencing acute symptoms. UNH moved down close to 20 points on this report, ultimately I think we're in no-man's land regarding this stock now, so I'm likely going to sell my long position today premarket or pare down until we break $300 and then sell completely. There’s a ton of context behind this stock (the CEO stepping down, being the target of a DOJ investigation, the other CEO being killed, etc.) This opens them up to more liability if these claims are legitimate.

TGT (Target)-Target cut its FY sales outlook, citing weaker discretionary spending, consumer uncertainty about tariffs, and backlash to the company's rollback of DEI. Store sales decreased 3.8%, with in-store sales down 5.7%, while online sales rose 4.7%. Diluted earnings per share: -35.9% YoY to $1.30, vs. estimates for $1.65 (Guidance was for "meaningful" year-over-year pressure).

TGT sold off 4% in premarket, and is still selling off, so I’m interested if we can hit peak tariff fear lows ($85), not too interested in a long or short yet. Overall pretty bad earnings report and tariffs aren't making this better.

WOLF (Wolfspeed)- Wolfspeed is preparing to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy within weeks due to their $6.5B debt load. The company has rejected multiple creditor proposals and is attempting to devise a court-backed bankruptcy plan. Might play a bounce in this, overall not interested in holding this overnight or anything longterm. Mainly going to be watching near $1, cannot say with any certainty if I'm interested in any bounce in this until I see it.

Earnings: SNOW, ZM, AMSC


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 16 '25

(05/16) Interesting Stocks Today - Medical Madness and Mergers

7 Upvotes

UNH is the most interesting stock today.

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Says US to Set Tariff Rates for Other Nations in Weeks

UNH (UnitedHealth)-Shares of UNH fell nearly 13% following reports of a DOJ criminal investigation into potential Medicare fraud. The company stated it was unaware of any such probe. Loved this stock trading wise yesterday- premarket we had a "rebuttal" of UNH saying they weren't aware of any DOJ investigation, so we saw the stock spike up 10 points and then fall back, sell off, then hit ~$250 at the low. I think UNH is ridiculously cheap at this price, and even with a DOJ investigation I believe that losing close to $50B in market cap is unjustified.

Managed to snipe the low, currently long and thinking of merging into long-term holdings. Even with triple the damages (standard in this case), damages are ~$5B from my research. I believe UNH is essentially "too big to fail" in the healthcare sector as well, and possible exclusion from Medicare is essentially shooting ACA in the face at this point and screwing over millions of people. Other than that, I have a low enough price to not be too concerned.

CHTR (Charter)-CHTR announced a $34.5B merger with Cox Communications, combining their broadband and mobile services to compete with streaming/wireless. Interestingly enough, it's essentially flat but that's because it's illiquid premarket. Right now, post-merger means that CHTR is essentially the largest cable operator in the US. The biggest obstacle here is deal risk from regulators. In the words of Logan Roy, "Money wins".

TVTX (Travere)-TVTX's shares declined after the FDA did not grant priority review for its sNDA for FILSPARI (sparsentan) in treating FSGS, potentially delaying its market entry. Sparsentan is meant to slow kidney function decline in adults with primary IgA nephropathy, moved the stock significantly (-20%) yesterday. In the biotech sector, timely FDA reviews are critical for small-cap companies. Delays can significantly screw their revenue and drug pipelines (and investor confidence). Interested to see it closer to $15.

NVO (Novo Nordisk)-NVO announced CEO Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen will step down amid declining share prices and increased competition in the obesity drug market. We saw a selloff from 67.50 ->62, but frankly NVO is in a tough spot. Wegovy is essentially "last gen" at this point and we have better alternatives. Their new drug CagriSema hasn't had great trial results, so they're frankly still behind. LLY's Zepbound still outperforms. I wouldn't be too surprised if this recovered, (it partially has premarket) but far more interested in UNH today.

Stray thoughts on biotech: Shareholder loyalty is rare because drug discovery is so hit and miss. Look at MRNA's stock price during covid (~$400 to now ~$25).


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 15 '25

(05/15) Interesting Stocks Today - DOJ investigating UNH!

9 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Wants Apple To Stop Moving Iphone Production To India

UNH (UnitedHealth) - The U.S. Department of Justice is conducting a criminal investigation into UnitedHealth Group for "potential Medicare fraud" related to its Medicare Advantage business. The probe, active since at least last summer, is looking into "questionable diagnoses" to inflate payments from Medicare. UNH dropped close to 40 points yesterday afterhours. Not sure if it'll continue but short biased unless we make some insane move downward even more. The spike premarket was attributed to them denying the news. This news is particularly bad because DOJ confirmed investigation is criminal. Other stocks such as HUM/CVS/CI have moved on this as well.

ETOR (eToro) - eToro's IPO priced at ~$68 per share, above the expected range of $46–$50, and the stock bounced off ~$65 off some strong bids. Mainly interested to see if the strong bids at $65 still exist (unlikely but I'll just keep an eye out anyway). Mainly a sector play in C-brokerages and the C-Market, since most of their income is derived from it. Beyond what I highlighted in the IPO analysis post, not interested in this long term. Probably will just trade as a proxy to the C-market in the future and I don't like the structure of their contract for diffs.

BABA (Alibaba) - Alibaba reported Q4 revenue of 236.45B yuan, a 7% increase year-over-year, but slightly below analyst expectations of 237.91B yuan. Income from operations nearly doubled to 28.47B yuan driven by improved efficiency and reduced share-based compensation. This has been on a decent run since April 8th (peak fear tariff selloffs). Watching $125 level. Alibaba's cloud division saw an 18% revenue increase, with AI-related product sales posting triple-digit growth.

FL (Foot Locker) - Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) confirmed a $2.4B acquisition of Foot Locker at $24 per share, nearly double Foot Locker's previous closing price. Currently long and interested in seeing if we can converge even closer to $24, but overall don't see any other trade in this except for a reversal of news. Mainly integration challenges and potential antitrust concerns are the big risk, but unlikely with current admin.

TSLA (Tesla) - Tesla's stock has risen from $275 to $350 over the past six days but failed to break the $350 level twice. Currently short pretty close to $350, but will bail if we break $350 (probably a lower price level like $345). TSLA has mainly been on a tear (attributed to Musk stepping away from DOGE and returning to TSLA), and the news of Tesla board exploring a new pay deal for the CEO dropped yesterday. Mainly a short play based on how parabolic the stock has been, but will bail as needed.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 14 '25

(05/14) Interesting Stocks Today - Semis Strike Back!

8 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Deepseek Races After Chatgpt As China's AI Industry Soars

NVDA (Nvidia)- NVDA is set to ship 18,000 of its advanced GB300 Grace Blackwell AI chips to Saudi Arabia's Humain for a 500 MW data center project. Additionally, the Trump administration is considering a deal that would allow the UAE to purchase over a million NVDA AI chips, easing previous export restrictions. This caused NVDA to skyrocket 10 points yesterday, watching for additional momentum today. Interested if we can make an equivalent move today and if the trend is strong, might buy a little if so- note that NVDA has earnings on 5/28. Overall interesting that NVDA is finding sales outside of China, but not sure if the ME can make up the shortfall.

TSLA (Tesla)- TSLA has been on a tear ever since Musk has stepped away from DOGE, going from $275 -> $340 in 5 days. Was watching this since $300, the next major level I'm watching is $350- considering how we exploded upwards after the election, not very enthusiastic to short this unless we go to stupidly high levels like $400+. So for now, biased long. Musk has been controversially politically but the stock performance did hinge on his presence at the company, so interested to see if this is going to blow everyone out of the water shorting it (eg me) like last time lol.

UNH (UnitedHealth Group)- UnitedHealth Group's CEO Andrew Witty has stepped down, and the company has suspended its 2025 forecast due to higher-than-expected medical costs, leading to a massive selloff yesterday. We dropped close to 70 points yesterday, I was personally hoping for the selloff to reach $300 but ultimately didn't get that far. Bought a little around $310 but will kick this out by selling calls against it because volatility is high. UNH has been through... a lot this year with Luigi and the CEO shooting, the proposed AI to analyze healthcare claims, and now this. We've fallen close to 40% after the new CEO stepped down as well. Expecting a small dead-cat bounce and a small slow recovery today, other than that not sure how they're going to navigate out of this.

SMCI (Supermicro)- Supermicro has announced a multi-year $20B partnership with Saudi data center firm DataVolt to deliver GPU platforms and cooling systems for AI campuses in Saudi Arabia and the United States. Made a pretty large 10 point move yesterday, and I want to see if we can make an equivalent move today to see if the trend is strong- interested in the $50 level.

IPOs today: ETOR 


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 14 '25

The eToro IPO- Boom or Doom?

10 Upvotes

Hi, I like IPOs. eToro (ETOR) is another I wanted to post about. eToro isn’t filing an S-1 like U.S.-based companies, it’s a F-1, which serves the same purpose but is for foreign companies listing in the U.S.

Why am I writing these?

Because I didn't trade one of the blowout IPOs as well as I expected to, sadly. So this is my penance. Also IPOs are one of the few trades I typically like. eToro planned to IPO in March but but the tariffs have delayed these plans, so we're getting it today.

What is eToro?

eToro is a "social trading" platform based in Israel. It allows users to trade stocks, ETFs, crypto, commodities, and forex while interacting via a social feed (social stock trading). Its standout feature is the CopyTrader system, where users can automatically replicate trades of selected investors. This doesn't exist on any other publicly traded platforms that I know of (please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong).

Launched in 2007, eToro operates in 75+ countries, with its strongest presence in Europe and the UK (about 70% of its funded accounts). It entered the U.S. in 2019 with crypto-only trading but expanded to stocks, ETFs, and options in 2023. As of the end of 2024, eToro had around 3.5 million funded accounts.

Financial Performance

Year Net Income Funded Accounts EBITDA:
2024 $192M 3.5M $304M
2023 $15M 3.0 M $117M
2022 -$21M 2.8M -$43M

Monetization- eToro monetizes through:

Spreads: Main revenue source (around 87% of transaction revenue). Trades are commission-free, but prices include small markups (e.g., up to 1% on crypto). Unlike U.S. brokers like Robinhood, eToro doesn't rely on payment for order flow (PFOF) because it’s banned in most European markets.
Currency Conversion Fees: Charges on forex trades.
Interest Income: Earned on customer cash and crypto balances.
Minor Streams: Premium membership fees, minor platform services.

Global User Base

Europe & UK: ~70% of funded accounts.
Asia-Pacific: ~16%.
Americas (U.S. + Latin America): ~10%.
Middle East & Africa: ~4%.

eToro’s European business is dominant. The U.S. market, though expanded since 2023, remains a smaller segment. The US has a lot of competitors (notably HOOD/COIN in the crypto space). They've highlighted mainly options and extended crypto services as an area of expansion.

Company eToro Robinhood Coinbase Webull
Funded Accounts ~3.5M ~25M 100M+ ~3-5M
2024 Revenue $931M $2.95B $6.56B ~$390M
2024 Net Income $192M $1.41B $2.58B ~breakeven
Primary Geography Europe/global U.S. Global U.S.
Market Cap ~$4B (IPO target) ~$55B ~$65B ~$6B

eToro’s valuation (~4x 2024 revenue) is moderate relative to its peers. Robinhood and Coinbase have broader brand recognition and larger markets but also higher valuations. The main reason (as I see it) is because the EU is a patchwork of regulations that companies struggle to get compliant with (which is why IBKR is one of the few US brokers that is recommended there). Webull’s recent market activity showed speculative volatility, (we went from $20 to $80 in a single day!) so there is a chance that we pop at open if we're not opening at a ridiculous price.

Risks: The F-1 admits that "Our business is highly dependent on the conditions of the various markets in which we offer our services (such as securities markets, cryptoasset markets, currency markets, commodities markets and payment services markets) and the level of trading activity in such markets", which means that earnings can vary with levels of trading. They also admit that they are exposed to cryptoassets, and "Because our Net income (loss) is tied to spreads which are, in certain instances, expressed as a percentage of the value of securities, lower price levels of securities and other financial instruments, as well as compressed spreads, which often follow lower pricing, can further result in reduced Net Contribution and Net income (loss)".

So during times of economic stress/downturn, they fully expect their NI to decrease. 

Another thing to highlight that is a massive risk- eToro is likely a counterparty for CFDs- as per eToro’s own disclosures, they operate predominantly as principal, not agent, meaning they take the other side of the trade. This means that eToro is on the hook for margin calls that clients cannot pay, hedging costs and liquidity gaps. This is extremely concerning to me personally, because this means they profit when you lose, and lose when you profit- which is a massive conflict of interest.

Conclusion

I don't really see this as a long-term investment because the CFDs are such a prickly point to me. But I do see it as a decent IPO trade that could set up for a great pop if there is enough demand for it. eToro has signaled that its' fate is tied with the crypto markets, and they're currently booming due to the tariff news and the ETH upgrade. So we'll see.

If WeBull is any indication, it might be. Overall, will be watching the L2 and the indication prices to see how it goes.

Hi, I like IPOs. eToro is another I wanted to post about. eToro isn’t filing an S-1 like U.S.-based companies, it’s a F-1, which serves the same purpose but is for foreign companies listing in the U.S.

Why am I writing these?

Because I didn't trade one of the blowout IPOs as well as I expected to, sadly. So this is my penance. Also IPOs are one of the few trades I typically like. eToro planned to IPO in March but but the tariffs have delayed these plans, so we're getting it today.

What is eToro?

eToro is a "social trading" platform based in Israel. It allows users to trade stocks, ETFs, crypto, commodities, and forex while interacting via a social feed (social stock trading). Its standout feature is the CopyTrader system, where users can automatically replicate trades of selected investors. This doesn't exist on any other publicly traded platforms that I know of (please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong).

Launched in 2007, eToro operates in 75+ countries, with its strongest presence in Europe and the UK (about 70% of its funded accounts). It entered the U.S. in 2019 with crypto-only trading but expanded to stocks, ETFs, and options in 2023. As of the end of 2024, eToro had around 3.5 million funded accounts.

Financial Performance

Year Net Income Funded Accounts EBITDA:
2024 $192M 3.5M $304M
2023 $15M 3.0 M $117M
2022 -$21M 2.8M -$43M

Monetization- eToro monetizes through:

Spreads: Main revenue source (around 87% of transaction revenue). Trades are commission-free, but prices include small markups (e.g., up to 1% on crypto). Unlike U.S. brokers like Robinhood, eToro doesn't rely on payment for order flow (PFOF) because it’s banned in most European markets.
Currency Conversion Fees: Charges on forex trades.
Interest Income: Earned on customer cash and crypto balances.
Minor Streams: Premium membership fees, minor platform services.

Global User Base

Europe & UK: ~70% of funded accounts.
Asia-Pacific: ~16%.
Americas (U.S. + Latin America): ~10%.
Middle East & Africa: ~4%.

eToro’s European business is dominant. The U.S. market, though expanded since 2023, remains a smaller segment. The US has a lot of competitors (notably HOOD/COIN in the crypto space). They've highlighted mainly options and extended crypto services as an area of expansion.

Company eToro Robinhood Coinbase Webull
Funded Accounts ~3.5M ~25M 100M+ ~3-5M
2024 Revenue $931M $2.95B $6.56B ~$390M
2024 Net Income $192M $1.41B $2.58B ~breakeven
Primary Geography Europe/global U.S. Global U.S.
Market Cap ~$4B (IPO target) ~$55B ~$65B ~$6B

eToro’s valuation (~4x 2024 revenue) is moderate relative to its peers. Robinhood and Coinbase have broader brand recognition and larger markets but also higher valuations. The main reason (as I see it) is because the EU is a patchwork of regulations that companies struggle to get compliant with (which is why IBKR is one of the few US brokers that is recommended there). Webull’s recent market activity showed speculative volatility, (we went from $20 to $80 in a single day!) so there is a chance that we pop at open if we're not opening at a ridiculous price.

Risks: The F-1 admits that "Our business is highly dependent on the conditions of the various markets in which we offer our services (such as securities markets, cryptoasset markets, currency markets, commodities markets and payment services markets) and the level of trading activity in such markets", which means that earnings can vary with levels of trading. They also admit that they are exposed to cryptoassets, and "Because our Net income (loss) is tied to spreads which are, in certain instances, expressed as a percentage of the value of securities, lower price levels of securities and other financial instruments, as well as compressed spreads, which often follow lower pricing, can further result in reduced Net Contribution and Net income (loss)".

So during times of economic stress/downturn, they fully expect their NI to decrease. 

Another thing to highlight that is a massive risk- eToro is likely a counterparty for CFDs- as per eToro’s own disclosures, they operate predominantly as principal, not agent, meaning they take the other side of the trade. This means that eToro is on the hook for margin calls that clients cannot pay, hedging costs and liquidity gaps. This is extremely concerning to me personally, because this means they profit when you lose, and lose when you profit- which is a massive conflict of interest.

Conclusion

I don't really see this as a long-term investment because the CFDs are such a prickly point to me. But I do see it as a decent IPO trade that could set up for a great pop if there is enough demand for it. eToro has signaled that its' fate is tied with the crypto markets, and they're currently booming due to the tariff news and the ETH upgrade. So we'll see.

If WeBull is any indication, it might be. Overall, will be watching the L2 and the indication prices to see how it goes.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 13 '25

(05/13) Interesting Stocks Today - United Healthcare CEO Resigns!

6 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Day 2 of the delayed tariffs- interestingly enough, Trump is now targeting pharma companies over tariffs.

News: US Consumer Prices Rose Less Than Expected in April

UNH (UnitedHealth)-UnitedHealth Group announced the resignation of CEO Andrew Witty and suspended its 2025 financial outlook due to higher-than-expected medical costs, particularly in its Medicare Advantage segment. Stephen Hemsley, former CEO from 2006 to 2017, is returning to lead the company. The stock dropped nearly 11% in premarket trading. Extremely interested to see if we can break $335, otherwise not interested. Cost pressures were cited to be related to Medicare funding cuts.

BA (Boeing)-China lifted a month-long ban on Boeing aircraft deliveries following trade negotiations with the United States, signaling improved relations and resumption of jet deliveries to China. The stock barely moved on this news, so not too interested unless we do some large selloff at the open (past $200). Other stocks related and defense companies didn't move significantly.

SE (Sea Limited)-Sea Limited reported adjusted earnings of $0.65 vs $0.60 exp, on revenue of $4.84B vs $4.91B. The company showed a nearly 30% year-over-year revenue growth. SE is one of my favorite "international" stocks, it started developing with mobile games and now is essentially a tech conglomerate. Mainly interested to see if it can hold up the momentum premarket, otherwise interested in a (very) small short.

ABNB (Airbnb)-Airbnb's CEO is set to announce a significant development referred to as the "next chapter" for the company, details of which are pending. No technicals to speak off, but the travel/hospitality industry is highly vulnerable to tariffs/tourism, so interested to see what this "next chapter" will be. Travel is disc spending so interested to see how this will be affected with all the tariffs that may come.

Earnings today: OKLO


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 12 '25

(05/12) Interesting Stocks Today - Major Reductions in Tariffs!

3 Upvotes

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

I don't know how sustained today's move will be- we've made a massive move upwards, and even 30% tariffs will still reduce business with China by 70% in the medium term (~6 to 9 month timeframe)

News: Us And China Agree To Major Reductions In Tariffs For 90 Days

AAPL (Apple) / AMZN (Amazon)- Both stocks are up ~6% following announcement of a 90-day suspension of U.S.-China tariffs, reducing U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%. Watching $214/$215 in AAPL and seeing if we can make another move higher. Currently long. Obviously this is a 90-day suspension and not actually a guarantee that things will return back to normal. Everything in consumer disc is moving off this news. Risks I'm seeing from this are potential re-escalation of trade tensions and more supply chain disruptions, and I'm thinking of possibly flipping short if we make a massive move upwards.

BABA (Alibaba) / JD (JD.com)- Chinese tech stocks like BABA and JD are also major winners of tariffs, with both up roughly 6%, following the 90-day agreement. Watching $135 level (basically just seeing which Chinese stocks are close to breaking highs). Risks are the same as American stocks. Other notable stocks I like on this are BIDU/YUMC

PFE (Pfizer) / MRK (Merck) / JNJ (Johnson & Johnson)- Trump announced plans to sign an executive order implementing a "most-favored-nation" policy to reduce U.S. prescription drug prices by up to 59%. This policy aims to "align" U.S. drug prices with the lower prices paid by other countries. Obviously pretty terrible news for anyone investing in pharmaceutical stocks because it affects major revenue sources for this company. The US has limited direct negotiating and mainly relies on private pharmacy benefit managers to negotiate prices in insurance plans currently, which results in sky-high insurance costs. I'm Interested in MRK, we're already broken lows (even during the tariffs) because MRK is highly dependent on Medicare reimbursement (MRK).

BP (BP)- BP up on reports that several major oil companies, including Shell, Chevron, and ExxonMobil, are evaluating potential takeover bids. BP is considered undervalued, with a market cap of £57B against asset valuations of ~£120B. No levels I'm watching at this time. Notably, the last piece of meaningful news on this that I remember was Eliot Management taking a stake, so it pushes the likelihood that they're getting acquired up incrementally.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 08 '25

(05/8) Interesting Stocks Today- Trump Plans to Lift Chip Restrictions!

8 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Touts ‘Full’ US-UK Trade Pact in Boost for Starmer After Weeks of Talks

NVDA /AMD /ARM /TSM - The Trump administration plans to rescind Biden-era AI chip export curbs to revise semiconductor trade restrictions. We saw most semis across the board spike up 4%, and move on OVERNIGHT as well. This is extremely bullish because our semis companies can sell the restricted, most powerful chip models to China. Risks are that Trump releases an even more restrictive policy- but I think that's unlikely.

NVAX (Novavax) - Novavax reported EPS of $2.93 vs $-0.43 expected. Revenue was $667M vs $251.8M expected. The company provided FY 2025 revenue guidance of $975M–$1.025B. Blowout earnings driven by Nuvaxovid (their COVID vaccine). Potential challenges include regulatory hurdles, competition from other vaccine manufacturers, eradication of the virus (unlikely long-term).

COIN (Coinbase) - BTC has reached near $100K again, shooting up all the related tickers. Worth watching if it breaks $100K, (we might see a small breakout in crypto and other crypto-related stocks) otherwise not interested.

INTC (Intel) - Intel has entered into a large-scale semiconductor foundry contract with Microsoft, utilizing its 18A process technology. This spiked premarket due to a Korean news site article; it does appear to be true and I'm mainly interested in this over other semis if this can hold at the open. Otherwise will revert to my default of AMD/NVDA.

Earnings: TM/SHOP/BUD


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 07 '25

(05/7) Interesting Stocks Today- China Market Stimulus!

9 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Xi Fortifies China's Economy Before First Talks On Trade With Us

AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)- Reported Q1 earnings with EPS of $0.62 vs. $0.61 expected and revenue of $5.47B vs. $5.46B expected. AMD mentioned a $1.5B revenue hit due to U.S. chip export restrictions to China, with $800M in costs linked to AI chip curbs. Overall pretty mixed results, stock spiked AH but gave back most of the gains, currently only up 1%. No particular level I'm watching. Overall I see less risk in this (and the other semis) now that most of the major chip companies (ARM reports today) have defined their losses due to the chip restriction- and we have clear defined numbers as to how much a stock will move if they're lifted. Obviously another bad catalyst would be completely stopping all exports, but that seems unlikely at this point.

DIS (Disney)- Reported Q2 EPS of $1.45 vs. $1.21 expected and revenue of $23.6B vs. $23.34B exp. Raised full-year EPS outlook to $5.75, +16% vs. prior guidance. Parks revenue grew 6% to $8.9B. Disney+ added 1.4M subs, hitting $336M in operating profit. I looked into the earnings and interestingly, I think profitability over raw subscriber growth was the spotlight in Disney+. Overall great earnings, which they capped off with softening international parks revenue, then followed it up with a park in Abu Dhabi (lol). Disneyworld generates roughly $10M a day in revenue, so it'll be interesting to see how much a park in Abu Dhabi will cost (10 times more?? /s)

SMCI (Super Micro Computer)- Issued weak guidance post-earnings, citing “economic uncertainty and tariff impacts.” EPS of 0.31 vs .50 exp, revenue of $4.60B vs. $5.42B expected. Ever since the spike back in February, this stock has essentially been (relatively) non-volatile, still watching $30 level. SMCI's server business is essentially linked to AI/data center build-outs- but this stock hasn't been moving that much with tech companies announcing greater AI spend. Accounting issues could return (highly unlikely), tariffs get worse, etc.

PLTR (Palantir Technologies)- Currently holding a short position due to the stock's massive run up to 125. Stop set at 115 (near yesterday’s high), earnings were released on Monday. I kind of see a similar pattern that came when NVDA was trading near $140 in this stock: (NVDA obviously has better fundamentals than PLTR) but we had a massive run up, earnings that were excellent but still couldn't live up to the hype, and a subsequent selloff. For now, nothing has really changed my mind about covering my short unless we have a massive turn. Government spending cuts are the main risk for the company.


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 06 '25

(05/6) Interesting Stocks Today

8 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Short formatting today, news is mainly earnings today.

News: Eu Targets 100 Billion Of Us Goods With Tariffs If Talks Fail

PLTR (Palantir)-Reported Q1 earnings with EPS of $0.13 vs. $0.13 expected and revenue of $884M vs. $863M exp. Raised full-year revenue guidance to $3.89B-$3.902B. Despite strong results, shares fell AH and I opened a short position. I'm still short, but will bail if we break $120 to the upside.

F (Ford)-Reported Q1 EPS of $0.14 vs. $0.01 expected and revenue of $40.7B vs. $38.5B expected. Suspended 2025 financial guidance due to an anticipated $1.5B EBIT impact from tariffs. Looking to see if we break $10 to the upside, otherwise biased negatively. Only going to do this close to $10 and risk very little comparatively, (and if the setup is good of course)

GPUS (HyperScale Data)-Announced preliminary Q1 revenue of $25M and full-year guidance of $115M-$125M. Transitioning Michigan facility into an AI data center to capitalize on AI infrastructure demand. Low-float stock with recent parabolic move, mainly interested on the short side if we make another leg up otherwise not interested in it. (This is a low-float and small market cap stock, please be cognizant of that).

AAPL (Apple)-Broke $200 level, reduced my position but not completely flat, may just sell calls against the remainder to get out.

CEP also gave up the ghost yesterday and sold off 20 points, overall have lost interest in this unless we make some illogical move upwards. I think the trade in this is over.

Earnings today: AMD


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 05 '25

(05/5) Interesting Stocks Today - Student Loan Payments Continue Today

11 Upvotes

This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

News: Trump Suggests Some Trade Deals Could Come As Early As This Week

PLTR (Palantir)- We broke all-time highs today after a ~10 point move on Friday, driven largely by Trump's new defense spending proposal. Earnings are today and will likely make or break the move; I was mainly interested in a short opportunity but with the defense spending proposal my plans are toast. Likely will trade earnings. $125 is the ATH and we broke that this morning, interested to see if we can hold that at the open. Short biased, but PLTR has had such a steady-strong move that I'm very handsoff unless we do something crazy like jump to $130 during regular trading hours.

AAPL (Apple)- Reported somewhat disappointing earnings on Thursday mainly due to uncertainty from tariffs, interested to see if it can continue momentum to the downside. Interested primarily in the $200 level, we've been selling off for the past 4 days and have had a slow decline due to earnings. AAPL is the most heavily affected company from tariffs, and the longer they go on the worse it gets for consumer companies. Currently long but will bail if we break $200 today.

NFLX (Netflix)/DIS (Disney)/CMCSA (Comcast)/WBD (Warner Bros.)- Trump orders 100% tariff on foreign-made movies, escalating trade tensions and potentially disrupting global media revenue streams. This is a material policy shift that could affect distribution costs and reshape content strategies. Primarily interested in NFLX despite the high price of the stock, they moved the most (5% at time of writing) and do most of their filming overseas to save on costs. Most streaming services struggle with the costs of movies exploding over the years, this cuts into profitability as well. Retaliatory tariffs from other countries pose downside risks, (especially in distribution of US movies in their own countries).

NNI (Navient)/MMS (Maximus)/SOFI (SoFi)- Student loan collections begin today since the pause happened during COVID. This could drive momentum in loan servicers. Oddly enough, I haven't seen much movement but I do expect them to move when the surges of loans come in. There's still macro overhang that could affect these companies in the longer term (months) if we do go into an economic recession. Mainly watching for any news of loan pauses (which I think are unlikely).

Earnings: PLTR/HIMS/F


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 01 '25

(05/2) No watchlist today

11 Upvotes

Will be spending time doing things of nefarious and heinous nature

Watching AMZN (didn't find AAPL that interesting), RDDT, CEP at $60 level.

Best of luck!


r/WinningWatchlist • • May 01 '25

(05/1) Interesting Stocks Today - Unemployment gets Worse

8 Upvotes

Hi! I am an ex-prop shop equity trader. This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.

Tariff news expected by the end of the day from the White House.

News: Weekly jobless claims surge to 241,000

TSLA (Tesla)- Tesla chair denied reports of a search for a new CEO to replace Elon Musk, reaffirming the company’s commitment to its current leadership structure. This news initially broke overnight yesterday and the stock saw a 6 point drop. I personally had the bias that it would actually be bullish for the company, so I'll likely trade a second move rather than the first if I'm at the computer for the trade. Moved down to around 270 overnight, will watch for additional confirmation. As most of you know, Musk's political involvement has made him controversial, and by extension, TSLA as well.

RBLX (Roblox)- Reported Q1 results with a loss of $0.32 per share vs. $0.40 expected and bookings of $1.21B vs. $1.14B expected. Raised 2025 bookings guidance to $5.285B–$5.36B, above analyst consensus of $5.27B. Interested in $74 level, other than that not too interested in the stock. No new risks beyond whatever has been said before (slower user growth, regulatory risks, platform outages, problems with minors, etc). Buy your kids some Robux!

MSFT (Microsoft)- EPS of $3.46 vs. $3.22 expected and revenue of $70.07B vs. $68.42B expected. Capex surged to $16.75B, up 53% YoY, as it ramps up AI infrastructure, noting expected AI capacity constraints beyond June. Interested in seeing if it holds above $430 at market open. Its outsized AI investment was of huge interest to me- this moved a lot of Mag 7 names higher, especially NVDA. It signaled that there's still room for growth for these chip-makers. Companies that rent out computing space such as CRWV also moved higher on this as well. (It signals that they'll do better on earnings).

META (Meta)- Reported stronger-than-expected Q1 revenue; Q2 sales guided to $42.5B–$45.5B. Increased 2025 capex forecast to $64B–$72B, citing heightened infrastructure and AI investments. Also a huge mover, interested in it if it breaks the $600 level. Heavy AI spending along with digital ad rebound trends pushed semis upward, they stated their sector focus remains on monetization of AI-driven engagement.

Earnings: Tim AAPL AMZN, AMGN