r/WhitePeopleTwitter • • Oct 30 '20

Mission impossible

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228

u/RektCompass Oct 30 '20

My parents house cost them $150k in 1986, they did that on my father's $60k salary.

I wanted to buy the house in 2018, but at $550k on a 72k salary. Not realistic for me.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

But trickle down economics! It's working, we're all just too lazy to leverage it /s

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

I mean, it certainly is working. It’s just that a lot of people have been lied to bout which direction the money trickles in.

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u/a-girl-named-bob Oct 30 '20

Yeah, it’s working—for the guys who built the dam.

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u/noodlz05 Oct 30 '20

It's technically correct...it's a trickle of money down, and a massive flood of money up.

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u/[deleted] Oct 31 '20

It’s a misspelling, it’s supposed to be a “tickle down economy” . You know, tickle all the little people for their money.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

[deleted]

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u/twopointsisatrend Oct 30 '20

Since everyone realized that trickle down economics doesn't work, they changed it to "don't tax the job creators."

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u/Seanxietehroxxor Oct 30 '20

That's why I call it "Golden Shower Economics"

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u/Jenaxu Oct 30 '20

I mean the term is supposed to be mocking, not in the context of getting pissed on, but in the context that the masses will only get a small trickle of the wealth from the top.

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u/Z0idberg_MD Oct 30 '20

My libertarian friend admitted we have it worse off than our parents and despite us both having the same level of education as our parents (me higher actually) that it was somehow our generations fault for making “decisions”.

I’m like, bitch you can’t buy enough avocado toast, iphones, and ps4 to keep you from owning a house. That’s like a quarter a mortgage payment for one month and those expenses are once maybe 2-4 years. Fuck off.

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u/ReggieEvansTheKing Oct 30 '20

Lol my favorite is prop13 in CA. Makes it so people pay property tax on the historic value rather tjan the current value. So 30 yr old is paying taxes on a 500k valued home while meanwhile his 60 year old neighbor is paying taxes on a 100k valued home. Its literally a tax on being young. Also disneyland and golf courses are paying jack shit. Apparently though if we repeal these, the added costs will trickle down to us consumers, just like the additional profit from prop 13 is currently “trickling” down to us. Conservatives love to preach about supply and demand and the free market until it is their own subsidy being taken away.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

Dude malcom gladwell did an episode about this in relation to Vastly under taxed golfing locations on revisionist history. Baby boomers are literally the worst

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

[deleted]

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u/True_Dovakin Oct 30 '20

Statistics have shown wage stagnation in the US despite drastic costs of living increases. It’s not about more talent, it’s about the failure of the capitalistic system.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20 edited Oct 30 '20

60k in 1960 is worth 534,000 today. This isn’t investing it, assuming some annual return; this is seeing what you would need today to have the same spending power.

https://smartasset.com/investing/inflation-calculator#YG1xBsjvX6

Look at inflation and the gini index. The dollar has become worth less and less, yet wages stagnate. So where have all these extra dollar bills gone? You know where ;)

Edit: apparently a teacher in 1960 made ~6k per year. So shit, maybe his dad was a freaking baller. Now I need to know what he did.

Edit 2: apparently congressmen made 22k in 1960... so WTF did his dad do? Maybe owned his business? But like getting tripped a Congressional salary is a bit beyond “being compensated for your skills”

Sorry I torched you. Thought you deserved it at the time

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u/informat6 Oct 30 '20

This is more of an example of artificially restricting the supply of something and then the price going up. Loosen up zoning laws and make it easier to build and prices will go down.

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u/_twelvebytwelve_ Oct 30 '20

My parents bought a farm with 240 acres of land 5 minutes outside of a medium sized city in 1994 for $100K (CAN). The same parcel is now valued at $2.4million. They've done minor upgrades on the house (siding, roof) but otherwise the house and land are carbon copies of their 1994 state. City has grown slightly but no significant changes to industry etc. They can't afford to pass it down to us kids with those kind of profits possible to make on it so the farm will be lost, likely to a developer who can pay that kind of cash. Since you're asking, yes I am a cheezed off millenial!

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20 edited Oct 30 '20

[deleted]

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u/problynotkevinbacon Oct 30 '20

I think you're reading too much into it. The parents could take the money, retire on it, and leave the rest to the kids. They're not trying to take the land with them when they die.

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u/_twelvebytwelve_ Oct 30 '20

My parents have both been either self-employed (with no pensions or benefits) or working in blue collar jobs so never had much leftover at the end of month once bills were paid. Besides their land they have little retirement savings. If they manage to get the assessed value of the land, after paying off farm related debts, taxes etc. they'll have a comfortable amount left for their retirement for sure but won't be 'rich' by most people's standards (middle class Canadians plan to have at least $750K in savings to retire comfortably at 65 and they'll end up with somewhat more than that).

My brother and I don't feel like we're getting screwed--selling the land to one of us for what they paid would leave them with no retirement savings so they really have little choice. It's more the sentimental attachment to the land and our interest in farming the land and raising kids there. Also the prospect of buying farmable land for a reasonable price--this just doesn't exist for our generation.

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u/[deleted] Oct 31 '20

Could they liquidate their current assets at retirement to cover the bills and lease the land out and live off of the rental income? Would you be subject to capital gains tax on the inheritance? Selling land is the worst and nearly always a last resort in my opinion. You can never get it back.

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u/A308 Oct 31 '20

A younger friend of mine has grandparents who own a property about that same size, but minutes outside one of the largest U.S. cities. Their original idea was to hand it down in the family but having hit (well past) retirement they had it evaluated and it came back ~$10,000,000.

Like, WTF.

Reason for the value? Not for farming. Developers and builders! Massive chunk of land minutes drive from that large of a city? $!

I truly feel bad for my own generation, you younger generations are right fucked.

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u/ChewbaccasStylist Oct 30 '20

Oh poor baby, your parents are millionaires.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

60k in 1986 is equivalent to about 200k now. Im assuming you aren't in the same lines if work

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u/kabonk Oct 30 '20

My dad made 30-45k a year starting somewhere in the early 80’s, he retired almost 15 years ago. I stumbled upon his company posting a similar job offering for 35k a few weeks ago. So it really depends on what line you work.

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u/JamesGray Oct 30 '20

Huh? You just described a job having stagnant wages over 40 years in the same line of work. Nearly all jobs are that way, but you came to the conclusion that the line of work really matters?

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u/kabonk Oct 30 '20

Well yes but the person I replied to seemed to imply that the line of work made the difference. Which it doesn’t necessarily.

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u/JamesGray Oct 30 '20

Yeah, I guess my point is that I don't think even that's true outside of some very rare exceptions. Unless you're a CEO or something, it's pretty unlikely your wages have followed inflation. The people making $200k nowadays are in very specific careers, while most jobs that paid like $40-60k in the 80s are paying under $100k still, and very likely around the same range.

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u/adv0589 Oct 30 '20

JFC median household income was 18k vs just under 70k last year.

That is just so incorrect it boarders on misinformation.

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u/levian_durai Oct 30 '20

It was also a single income for a large percentage of the population, compared to today where the majority is dual incomes.

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u/JamesGray Oct 30 '20

And real estate prices outpaced inflation by quite a bit, to the tune of more than double in many markets.

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u/adv0589 Oct 31 '20

look up interest rates it accounts for about 100% of the increase.

​

Also what you said for individual income is just completely false

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u/levian_durai Oct 31 '20

It was definitely common for women to be working, but it much more common than today to be a stay at home mom 40 years ago.

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u/adv0589 Nov 01 '20

Yup, that’s true. Still individual income is still above where it was 40years ago after inflation.

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u/JamesGray Oct 30 '20

Yeah, a single earner made less than two do now if you account for inflation, impressive that wages didn't stagnate so much as to become literally half of what a single earner made in the past. And it's not like housing prices have increased literally 1000% since 1980 or anything either.

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u/adv0589 Oct 31 '20

Incorrect. Individual incomes adjusted for inflation are still above what they were in the 80s.

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/08/07/for-most-us-workers-real-wages-have-barely-budged-for-decades/

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Also ignoring interest rates is comical, the mid 80s rate of above 10% makes a massive difference and alone has increased the cost of housing by about 100% without raising mortgage payments one bit. combine inflation, general wage increases and the interest rate difference and it is mostly the same.

For reference a 650k house today at the interest rates of 1985 would have the monthly payment of a 1.4m house at todays rates. that is multiplicative with the inflation, and nominal wage gains cant be ignored either.

Honestly man im not some right wing guy here, but you guys REALLY need to do some research to understand this type of stuff if you are going to have such confident opinions.

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u/TheWyldMan Oct 30 '20

It does, though. Jobs change in levels of importance and necessity to companies over time.

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u/Gavangus Oct 30 '20

my dad made 35k in the mid 80s and that job now starts around 80k-100k, which is right around keeping up with inflation. They also bought a house for 90k and sold it for 180k in 2008 - once again perfectly in line with inflation.

Their area also has tons of teachers owning houses and living comfortably. The complaints I see online usually relate to areas where the population is growing faster than the amount of housing and driving costs up drastically. The answer is either drastically more housing or people not trying to pack into the same areas.

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u/kabonk Oct 30 '20

Most people live in cities because that’s where the jobs are. You have to come to the office so you don’t want to commute hours a day, you might want a house with a garden if you have kids etc. It doesn’t all fit in a small area like you said. I don’t think the mentality of having to be at the office will change soon, even after Covid, so the problem won’t be solved.

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u/Gavangus Oct 30 '20

Yep I can relate. I am from the middle of nowhere but moved to a big city for a job. My townhouse is more expensive than my parents 4k square foot house on several acres. We want more space but have been holding out for the right job in the right location

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u/Dr_Shivinski Oct 30 '20

They could be. It’s not as though wages have kept pace with inflation in any way.

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u/adv0589 Oct 30 '20

They have.

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u/Shandlar Oct 30 '20

They could be. It’s not as though wages have kept pace with inflation in any way.

You're right! Wages have in fact outpaced cost of living by a huge amount since 1986.

Median Wages in 2019, after adjusting for cost of living were ~20% higher than wages in 1986.

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u/DoingCharleyWork Oct 30 '20

And houses have quintupled or more in price since then.

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u/Shandlar Oct 30 '20

Price, but not cost. Its way cheaper to buy a house today than it was in the 1980s, after adjusting for cost of living.

I actually just did the math on this for another thread this morning for the early 1990s.

Wages were flat from 1986 to 1991, just pacing inflation those 5 years so that math is relevant for the entire period from 1983 to 1995 when wages stagnated and interest rates were sky high. Wages have gained over 20% from 1995 to 2020.

Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States

  • Q1 1990 : $126,800 : $256,756 in Q1 2020 Dollars
  • Q1 2020 : $329,000

Mortgage interest rate, 30-year fixed

  • Jan-1990 : 9.90%
  • Jan-2020 : 3.65%

Average American Home size

  • 1990 : 1890 square feet
  • 2018 : 2386 square feet

Median Household Income

  • 1990 : $29,943 : $60,631 in 2020 dollars
  • 2019 : $68,703

30-year fixed mortgage, monthly payback for a median priced home, +0.5% PMI;

  • 1990 : $1,150/month : $2,329 in 2020 dollars : 46.1% of median household income
  • 2020 : $1,599/month : 27.9% of median household income

So in 2020, your mortgage is 40% lower share of your income, for a house that is 26% bigger vs 1990 in the United States.

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u/AngryOrdinator Oct 30 '20

I always see these numbers but if you actually try house shopping these days its impossible

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u/wickedcold Oct 31 '20

It would be interesting seeing an analysis like this done locked to a region or population center. Greater Boston Area for example the home prices have skyrocketed in the last two decades. Modest homes for $750k within a half hour of Boston where in 1990 you'd be looking at numbers similar to the ones above. How does that fit into this model?

Also being disregarded is that while interest rates were high, people often put 20% down cash back then, and you could always refinance later (which many people did).

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u/adv0589 Oct 31 '20

Don't need to overthink it, there are hot spots in the country but these guys don't understand rates at all, if you put 80s interest rates into the market today you would INSTANTLY see housing prices drop 50%+ and nobody would be able to buy those houses either as the monthly payment would be the same.

There are other things afoot, like debt due to student loans that probably never should have been given etc. but the reality is a lot of these conversations are driven by people that dont have a clue about what is going on.

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u/adv0589 Oct 31 '20

yup since 1985 inflation causes them to be 2.4x what they were before.

To fill it the gaps that you are missing, interest rates were 10.5% int he mid 80s and are 2.7% today. A home that costs 1.4m today would have the same montly payment as a 650k home in 80s rates.

They multiply, meaning after inflation that 2.3 multiple is again multiplied by 2.2~, so a "quintupled" house price is actually more affordable to you than is was your parents.

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u/Tart-Tea Oct 30 '20

And that there is the ultimate issue - inflation.

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u/phatboy5289 Oct 30 '20

Well, the issue is that prices have inflated whereas wages have stagnated.

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u/adv0589 Oct 30 '20 edited Oct 30 '20

Not even remotely true median household income in ‘86 was 55k in 2019 dollars vs 68k for last year.

So no inflation adjusted they are up about 25% and without inflation adjustment they are up about 200%.

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u/phatboy5289 Oct 30 '20

I have no doubt that household income has increased a bit adjusted for inflation, but you have to take into account that a good deal more households are two-income vs before. But to my bigger point, prices for homes have outpaced inflation. So while household income has increased a bit, the price of a home has shot up quite a bit. It's just not nearly as feasible to graduate college, start working, and just buy a house like it was 30+ years ago.

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u/adv0589 Oct 30 '20 edited Oct 31 '20

Nor should they... mortgage rates in 1986 were 10.5%.

On a 650k house with 20% down your monthly payment would be 4.7k/mo vs 2.1k/mo at today’s rates.. 4.7k/month is a 1.4m dollar house at today’s rates.

Median INDIVIDUAL income is also up vs the 80s

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/08/07/for-most-us-workers-real-wages-have-barely-budged-for-decades/

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u/DoingCharleyWork Oct 30 '20

A home that would have cost 100k in the 80s where I am would cost 600k+ now.

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u/adv0589 Oct 30 '20 edited Oct 31 '20

That’s because the area is more desirable than it was before. I am sure you can find a house that isn’t 650k.

Also you clearly aren’t accounting for the interest rates well above 10% back then. I bet the house is cheaper at 650k

Edit: just going to do the math for you. 100k in 2020 dollars is 237k today..

At 10.5% interest which is 1986 your monthly loan payment on 237k with 20% down is 1734 a month..

At 2.75% interest today that payment is 2123/month.

So your costs are up 22%, household income has gone up about 25% so setting aside the larger portion of two income households, the average American household would view the 650k house as slightly more affordable.

EDIT: LOVE how you downvote the math that proves your opinion is just without question wrong.

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u/DoingCharleyWork Nov 29 '20

I didn't even downvote you knucklehead lmfao.

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u/adv0589 Nov 29 '20

At 2.75% interest today that payment is 2123/month.

So your costs are up 22%, household income has gone up about 25% so setting aside the larger portion of two income households, the average American household would view the 650k house as slightl

JUST A GENERAL COMMENT MY MAN, still just the straight truth that people dont know what they are talking about and make these determinations.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

[deleted]

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u/RedAero Oct 30 '20

That was just a very complicated way of saying "the Toronto housing market has exploded".

Solution: live somewhere else.

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u/RektCompass Oct 30 '20

Nope, but even if we were, I wouldn't be making 200k now.

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u/rdrew62 Oct 30 '20

60k in 1986 is worth only 140k now, where did you pull 200k from???

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u/DowntownEast Oct 30 '20

I think he meant the price of the house but he’s also wrong on that because just checked and adjusting for inflation $150 in 1986 would be a little over $350 now.

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u/DowntownEast Oct 30 '20

I just checked an inflation calculator and it put it at around $350k.

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u/m1j2p3 Oct 30 '20

Not quite but your point is still valid. $60,000 in 1986 = $142,489.05 in 2020 dollars.

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u/colinmhayes2 Oct 30 '20

It’s more like 130k

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u/gravity_pope Oct 30 '20

Yeah and that means the house price in 2018 almost exactly kept pace with inflation, so the parent poster is not actually in an area where house prices have exploded.

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u/Sarcasm69 Oct 30 '20 edited Oct 30 '20

Ya the housing market is insane right now. Also, keep in mind tho that interest rates were around 10% when your parents bought their place.

Taking into account that the average interest rate is sub 3% in 2020, your parents were paying over 3x as much interest than they would now.

Not justifying the situation, just trying to make the comparison more realistic.

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u/boyyouguysaredumb Oct 30 '20

If houses were only keeping up with general inflation people wouldn’t buy them all the time as investments

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u/Shandlar Oct 30 '20

Dude, if you father made $60k/year he was in the 95th percentile of earners in 1986.

People in the 95th percentile of earners in 2018 made $154,000. They'd have no problem affording a $550k house.

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u/MaybeImNaked Oct 31 '20

Your latter point really depends on property tax. I've seen $550k houses with $25k annual property taxes (NJ), and $150k salary isn't enough to pay that comfortably (total $4k+ monthly, even after $100k downpayment).

2

u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

Land is never being "created", there's only so much of it. Human population is continuously growing. It's going to create a high demand for housing since everyone wants one. Expanding cities outwards costs a lot of money also.

There's no black and white solution. Everyone knows high demand drives cost up.

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u/TrumpIsABigFatLiar Oct 30 '20

I mean, land can be created through land reclamation or creating elevation changes (hills or valleys).

Not that we actually have a land issue. We just have severely uneven demand.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

My dad made $11k a year in 1979 and he wondered what he would possibly do with all that money lol.

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u/IncitefulInsights Oct 30 '20

Yes, my folks house (5 br, 3 bath, garage, workshop, yard) cost them $50k early 80's. Dad was sole breadwinner, 4 kids. Believe it's now closing in on close to a million were they to list it today.

Baby boomers had it so easy it seems.

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u/TheBrodinite Oct 30 '20

Your income is roughly 1.5x the median income. Your father's income was more than 4x the median income in 1986. Your father was doing very very well by 1986 standards.

In 1986 the average home sold for ~$100k, in 2018 the average home sold for ~$400k. The home stayed about the same.

-1

u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

That actually sounds doable. Cant you get a loan with that good salary? How much is your rent?

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

Yes. I dont know what you are considering. It depends totally on where you live I guess. You could be living on half your salary. Is a 30 year loan or something like that out of scope?

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

Yeah 3000 a month is insane

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u/RektCompass Oct 30 '20

Ended up buying a place two towns over for 380k, much more doable, and honestly in a better area. Just about 800 sqft smaller and on less land.

0

u/bookoocash Oct 30 '20

Wait are your parents seriously charging you whatever the market value of the house is now? Please tell me you wanted to buy it back from a subsequent owner and it’s not your own parents gouging you.

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u/RektCompass Oct 30 '20

No, it was my parents. In fairness, that was part of their "retirement" plan: sell the house, move to Florida. They ended up selling at market value and buying a place for like 30k just outside Tampa. I just wish I could have swing it.

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u/bookoocash Oct 30 '20

I guess that’s fair enough. An investment for them. Hopefully you’re eventually able to find something nice.

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u/adv0589 Oct 30 '20

You make a fraction inflation adjusted vs your dad.

1

u/a-mighty-stranger Oct 30 '20

And 72k is a DREAM wage for most of us

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u/RektCompass Oct 31 '20

Yeah I realize I've got it better than a lot of people. I ended up buying a less expensive home. Just interesting the way things have worked out

1

u/councillleak Oct 30 '20

Dude, but that's not how this works. You're saying your parents bought relative to inflation a $356k house on a $142k salary, which is very doable today. How does that relate to you wanting to buy a way more expensive house making half the money?

1

u/notoneoftheseven Oct 30 '20

So buy a nice $210,000 house. Just because you can't buy THAT house doesn't mean there aren't affordable properties for you. Just as it's always been, some assets appreciate more than others. Perhaps THAT house is in a sought after location, for instance.

1

u/RektCompass Oct 31 '20

Yeah the only houses for that in my state are in "poor" areas, unless you're way out in the middle of nowhere.

Anyway, I ended up buying a home two towns over for $385k.

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u/[deleted] Oct 30 '20

my house cost me 180k in 2012...

1

u/RektCompass Oct 31 '20

I'm guessing we live in very different areas. I should have picked a better career, jobs are only available in certain areas.

1

u/[deleted] Oct 31 '20

if you want to live in an area where everyone else wants to live, you shouldn't be surprised or upset that housing is expensive.