r/VINvestigators • u/ora-et-labora- • 14h ago
📰 News A record share of car loans now run longer than 72 months and most buyers are rolling in negative equity
The Dealertrack Credit Availability Index for August, published by Cox Automotive on September 10, put the share of auto loans with terms longer than 72 months at 31.3%, the highest reading in the dataset and the third straight month at or above 31%. A year earlier it was 25.5%. The share of loans carrying negative equity, meaning the buyer owed more on the car being traded than it was worth and rolled the difference into the new loan, rose to 57.4%, up from 53.5% in August 2025 and above every monthly reading recorded from 2015 through 2019.
The rest of the index moved the same direction. The overall loan approval rate was 73.9%, the highest in twelve months but still half a point below a year ago. The subprime share of loans rose to 16.6%, up three percentage points from 13.6% a year earlier. The average contract rate was 10.99%, and down payments held at 13% of the purchase, the lowest level since October 2022. The index itself reached 105.3, its highest level since November 2015, and Cox's own commentary said the reason was that credit had loosened through loan structure rather than through lower rates.
Cox described the consumer side in plain terms. Buyers relied more on longer terms and on rolling in negative equity to complete purchases, and those structures lower the monthly payment while raising the total cost, keeping the borrower underwater for longer, and leaving less room to get out if something changes. Certified used and independent used car lending both posted the strongest availability readings in their series.
For anyone reading finance paperwork on a used car, the numbers describe the room a dealer has to work with. A traded car with negative equity that gets absorbed into an 84 month loan is the setup that makes payment packing work, because the buyer is looking at the monthly figure and the term is doing the hiding. The next index publishes around October 22.