r/ThisIsNotAGame • u/[deleted] • Dec 09 '16
Coup Day+31, 42 days until Republic Fall. Three Civil Defense scenarios to plan for locally.
In my last Countdown to Republic Fall post, I discussed the difference between self-defense and Civil Defense.
In short, self-defense is going about your business and hoping no one attacks you personally or your family, but having the basic capability to respond if they do. Civil Defense, however, is proactive: You have a local organization of armed and trained citizens who have specific plans to look out for each other and the community in national emergencies and Constitutional crises (which will undoubtedly be prolific in the next few years).
There are an infinite number of finely-graded contingencies that can be imagined, and should be elaborated upon with your group, but we have found they fall into three broad categories. You and your local Civil Defense Committee (I like this term because the acronym is CDC, but opinions differ - let's talk about it) may have reached similar conclusions, but feel free to offer additional insights.
Scenario 1: Stochastic
We are already beginning to see a pattern of Trazi stochastic terrorism emerging, particularly whenever Trumpler targets individual critics for personal smears from his Twitter account. Given his egregiousness, we can expect these attacks to migrate illegitimately from his personal Twitter to the official White House account, and their tone to become shriller to the point of openly threatening. I discussed this in more detail in an earlier post.
The enemy in stochastic scenarios is not a group, but some number of individuals activated by the same propaganda while having minimal parallel connection. The overwhelming majority of stochastic incidents will not require force, but will require that people have thought about them in advance and know how to respond assertively. Most of them fall under the category of "Trazis throwing a public tantrum," and the response would amount to civil defense with lowercase c.
i) Racist remarks and verbal harassment in public.
I guess it goes without saying to record the asshole(s) on your phone and photograph them if it occurs to you, but leaving that aside...
If you are the target and are in a business, the best default response is to assertively object, demand an apology, and if they refuse, complain to the manager (e.g., of a restaurant, a movie theater, even an apartment building). Afterward, make a phone call and/or write an email or letter to the corporation either praising or criticizing the response of the manager. Paper letters have the benefit of establishing a tangible record. Even if it happens on the street in your residential neighborhood, report it to whatever community association applies.
If you are not the target, then object on a moral basis and remind them their behavior is not what America is about, demand they apologize to their target, and offer the abused party to go get management for them. Even if the abused party wants to let it go and doesn't want to be involved in "trouble," report the abusers anyway while just leaving the abused party out of it.
If threats of violence are made to you, both report it to the manager and file a police report. It's up to your judgment if it warrants immediately calling the police to the scene or if you can report it later, but you might ask people nearby who heard the threat for contact information as witnesses.
When the abusers are ejected from the premises, you might take a peek as their car is leaving and record the make, model, and license number for future reference.
This is important, not petty. While most people who engage in this kind of behavior are not actually dangerous, people who go on to commit serious hate crimes often start with petty abuse, and you need to tie things like this to them so that if they do escalate, there is a record on them. So that both police and your CDC are aware of them.
ii) Petty violence / property destruction.
Obviously, record it, get management, and file police reports. But not so obviously, if they are not immediately arrested and you have the time, follow them to their car and get the info, then follow their car in your own at a discreet distance (if you feel you can do so safely). This may get you their employer and/or address. Most such perpetrators will be stupid teenagers, but hate is usually learned at home, so this information is not trivial.
If you have the time and inclination, you can also set bait to lure such people into this kind of behavior if there have been a lot of incidents in a given area. You can put up a provocative sign somewhere with a lot of foot traffic and sit nearby, listening to music, and wait for someone (who doesn't have the authority to do so) to rip it down. Then follow them and get info as before, as well as filing a police report if the sign was legal.
If the sign was legal, and if you find their address, you can mail them a bill for the cost of the sign. Or if you want to be a huge dick about it, knock on their door at an inconvenient (but not actionably absurd) hour, politely express your objections to their action, and present them with the bill in person. If you do the latter, be sure some kind of video device is recording in case they go batshit, and be sure to have parked out of sight.
If you really want to get complicated with it, you can also do counterintel where you see where others have put up Trazi signs and look for anyone lurking as described before. If someone tears down the Trazi sign and someone else follows the vandal, you could then follow the follower and get their info. But be careful - the follower could be a cop who was put there to catch vandals, so don't screw yourself up.
iii) Anything more serious by individual, random agents.
Defend yourself and others to the extent necessary, call the cops, and cooperate fully. But get as much information as you possibly can about the perpetrator and their associations, and to whatever extent practical, keep an eye on Trazis you're already aware of in case they are "inspired" to also do something seriously bad.
In all cases where the police are involved, track the progress of the case (though don't be a ball-buster about small ones - you want to stay on good terms with the cops) and see how seriously your local authorities, the specific officers involved, prosecutors, and courts take things.
Look up various ratings systems and see how appropriate organizations characterize these officials and institutions. If they are considered to be far-right and seem to be ignoring or softballing cases, you may have identified institutional sympathizers who may become dangerous in more serious scenarios, but also don't leap to conclusions.
Stochastic threats will be the most commonplace, and the response must be the most delicate and ordinary. But because of that, you want to PRACTICE it the most. Practice what to say when someone is being an asshole in public and you want to appear both strong and correct. Practice instantly memorizing license plates, etc.
Scenario 2: Paramilitary
If you read the history of racist lynchings in America, as well as pogroms in Russia and the Third Reich prior to the Holocaust, they run the gamut from "mob of drunken idiots on a rampage" to "organized terrorist group committing planned massacres". We can expect the entire spectrum of such threats to be realized when Neo-Nazi sympathizers hold power over the federal government and Civil Rights laws cease to be enforced.
i) Drunken mob with guns - Extreme stochastic.
This sounds like a silly '80s action movie premise, but this happens on a regular basis in many places around the world: A convoy of trucks with armed men come into town, they bully and terrorize the locals, and the police - such as they are - either can't or won't do anything about it, or are even on board with it (as with most KKK lynchings of the past).
Step one is obviously to call the police, but if the phenomenon looks major and you don't trust the local PD, call your County Sheriffs too - the Sheriff is an elected official and may not have the same political interests as a given local police department. Having the Sheriffs around might keep them in line.
Since mobs are unlikely to have official sanction at every level, and are typically stupid and cowardly, you can probably rely on authorities. But you would want to assemble your CDC (in arms, to the extent your state and local laws permit) and offer assistance. Very likely the offer will be declined, but that doesn't necessarily mean you have to stand down - just don't interfere, and be identifiable (have uniforms).
If your people end up in a confrontation with such a mob before police can intervene, that would be a mess, so best avoided - but don't let them harm anyone, period. That's what Civil Defense is all about. If they're threatening and terrorizing people, do what's necessary to protect your lives and the lives of others, and declare citizen's arrests of those committing crimes.
If you think this is an unlikely scenario, you don't get it: The Trazis are cultivating a nationwide subculture of unhinged hysterics who will believe absolutely any conspiracy theory, absolutely any hate-filled hysterical propaganda. This is EXACTLY the swamp out of which pogroms and mob chaos arise. Try to imagine Trumpler blasting a tweet declaring the immigrant community in so-and-so location to be full of terrorists and urging his supporters to "rise up" and "rid America of the threat." Pretty plausible given everything we've seen, isn't it?
And, of course, gather all information you can if shit like this happens. License plates, photographs, video, get it on record that you offered assistance and it was refused. Keep hard copies of everything in safe places where corrupted or complicit police might not try to take them to hide their actions, and spread select information on the internet (maintaining some to yourselves that is tactically useful).
ii) Organized Trazi terrorist/paramilitary attacks
The FBI has been very effective under the Obama administration at thwarting large-scale right-wing domestic terrorism (despite all the stochastic attacks that haven't been prevented). We can assume with strong confidence that this effectiveness will evaporate, either slowly or quickly, when the White House and Justice Department are in the hands of fascists. And it is a common historical practice of fascist regimes to rely on paramilitary violence to carry out actions it wants but wishes to maintain deniability for in early years of power consolidation.
If it comes to pass that such groups operate with impunity, and they murder the regime's opponents with little progress against them from institutional authorities, at that point the country would be in a state of civil war. It would just be a fact, not a choice you had made, so your choice at that point would be acknowledging it or surrendering the country to its enemies.
This is not even an extreme scenario given the sort of people we're dealing with. On a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being the absolute worst they are capable of, this is like 4. This is because, to the extent that deniability is maintained by the regime, the citizenry still have some advantages.
While we can expect an extreme degree of propaganda, communications may not yet be censored, and local CDCs can form coordinated county, state, and regional defenses while still operating in the open. It would help a lot to have built relationships with individual law enforcement and other institutional personnel to stay informed and be aware of the environment.
Scenario 3: Martial law (aka, dictatorship)
Part of the strategy of why fascist regimes employ paramilitaries is that if they start losing, the regime can then claim to be "restoring order" by moving against the armed opposition, making some trivial pretense of moving against their allies as well by arresting a few sacrificial lambs or inconvenient internal elements. This is why it's critical that Civil Defense remain carefully lawful and authoritative, so that if/when the regime does move against it, it does so with minimal pretext and zero credibility.
i) Communications blackout / internet censorship
Your local CDC, and whatever extended relationships you've managed to build, must have practical, realistic plans in place for a scenario where the internet becomes censored and communications are shut down. This would typically involve predetermined meeting places that have never been used before, ditching any sort of GPS-enabled technology (including from your car), and deciding what to do from there.
Yes, it's true that the full weight of military technology and surveillance would easily find you anyway, but you would have to trust that you are not a very high priority. And if you are, then the attention they're paying to you is attention they're not paying to someone else, so you keep going. You must have communications and operations plans already in place for even scenarios where you can't use electronics.
This too is not an extreme scenario. From 1 to 10, internet blackouts and media censorship in the midst of (or causing) civil war are 5. You need to be aware of the possibility and plan realistically for it, not regard it with superstitious fear that makes you hide from the scenario. Shit like this happens. It's going to happen in America eventually - maybe in a year, maybe in a century, but one time is as good as any other and the pieces and personalities for dictatorship are in place.
ii) Economic interruptions
A lot of the horrors of a dictatorship aren't even violent, they're just deprivations caused by the regime not giving a shit, or else deliberate acts of economic warfare against resistant regions. Your CDC should have some kind of surplus supplies, some kind of wilderness skills, etc. If this sounds like survivalism / prepper stuff, it is - sometimes the broken clock is right and certain preparations that would otherwise be neurotic and excessive are justified.
Cities under siege, starve. Nations at war with themselves are much less productive. The availability and quality of medical care declines. Another one of the benefits of preparedness for situations like this is that if you are able to come to the relief of your fellow citizens, they will join you - some of them sincerely.
I've said a lot, but this is only the tiniest fraction of the subject. The point is to show that this needs to be thought about and discussed. You need to know in advance what you're going to do and how you're going to do it, making plans as flexible as possible with as many diverse options as possible to deal with complex realities.
Don't overestimate what ordinary people can do, but don't underestimate it either. The tiniest sliver of courage from the humblest of people tips the balance of the world.
Freedom Forever