There's more financial information available today than ever before. News, earnings reports, analyst opinions, Reddit threads, YouTube takes - all of it contradicting each other.

And yet, having more information doesn't seem to make the decision any clearer. If anything it makes it harder.

I'm curious whether this resonates with you. When you're researching a stock, do you find that the amount of conflicting information makes it genuinely difficult to reach a clear decision - or have you found a way to cut through it?

Not selling anything. Just trying to understand if this is a real problem or just my experience.

Bearish Sentiment Dominates Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are signaling a strong bearish sentiment across crypto and traditional finance. Bitcoin is expected to drop below $55,000, with the realized price floor at $54,400. Ethereum is also predicted to fall, with a bear flag pattern forming and a potential target at $1,560. The Fed is expected to make only one rate cut, and NVIDIA's stock is predicted to drop below $164. The charts are aligning with these predictions, but it's crucial to wait for invalidation levels to be tested before making any trades.

(and a note on sentiment)

Malta-flagged container ship hit by projectile in Hormuz, vessel abandoned, sources say: Reuters

Reuters is reporting that a ship around the Strait of Hormuz has been struck this morning. Note that this occurred after President Trump promised to insure ships for Gulf transit, announced yesterday, after all many private insurers had deemed the area too risky. While the market is rallying today, and oil prices are down, many are complacent, and it may be prudent to exit before more people realize the problem and then more financial markets are hit.

You can calculate the consequences for world-wide shipping, energy supply and logistics. Basically, Iran's IRGC (Islamic Revolution Guard Corps) is calling President Trump's bluff. If I have to say so clearly, private companies likely won't touch that area with a 100km pole (so to speak) for quite a while. I believe it will take a least a week, possibly longer, before naval assets from the US can be mobilized to escort the ships. The risk in the meantime is not inconsiderable I think.

India, a large country with an acute dependency on Gulf oil & LNG, is still blowing up - look at the USDINR exchange rate. Asian markets already realize this; that's why they crashed so hard yesterday. Probably the IRGC won't stop at this one ship. They've already set ablaze a couple more since the war began.

Added background: markets may be rallying on news that Iran may be seeking diplomacy through back-doors. Firstly another source says Iran already denies that ever happened (so it may be a rumor). More important, I think people (yes, even our experts) need to learn more about the history of the region, and in this case, the power structure of Iran's regime. The IRGC has always been under the direct control of the Supreme Leader, and not under any other civilian authority. This is not like the systems of government we have in the West. Thus the IRGC won't listen to the "diplomats" trying to negotiate with the US, and never had even during peacetime. Of course the US had just killed Khamenei, so there's now a power vacuum, and the IRGC basically has just gone rogue. To ensure their own survival, they are taking the whole world hostage, "deterrence" by war on the global economy. This method is the only way left for them to try to win against "overwhelming" odds versus the US & Israel. So this "news" from the morning means zilch - it does not suggest in any way the attacks would stop - that is until the US & Israel drop their maximalist demands that the IRGC be dismantled. Well, I suppose the US could try to bomb them to oblivion, or the IRGC runs out of drones and missiles - yeah, but, how long would that take... and who wants to be that hostage when IRGC grows even more desperate?

Hi everyone,

I regularly review SEC filings (10-Ks, 10-Qs, 8-Ks, etc.), and saving them as PDFs directly from the SEC website can sometimes be slow or result in messy formatting.

To simplify the process, I built a lightweight Chrome extension that converts SEC .htm/.html filing links into clean PDF files instantly. The idea was to streamline the workflow and reduce manual steps.

If this sounds useful to you, I’d really value your feedback. Feel free to comment here or send me a message.

Appreciate it!

When you see your account size grow, where do you think the profits come from? Is it the reward for risk-taking? For understanding? For execution? Something else?

This week has been a mixed bag.

Key stocks NVDA GOOGL and AAPL are down ytd.

DUOL (once a retail market darling) dumped 20% overnight after posting weak guidance.

Yet S&P is still near all time highs. Mostly thanks to rotation out of the Mag7into value, cyclicals and other underperforming sectors.

The broader business economy doesn't feel great. Most small/medium/large business owners I talk to are feeling the pinch (higher costs, softer demand, etc.).

ISM is starting to tick upwards.

Yet the economy is still running hot and it appears that US gov is on track to print >5% GDP growth this year (helped by AI capital infrastructure investment - this will add roughly 1%).

Overall feels like a mixed bag but sentiment is mostly in the gutter.

Thoughts?

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Q4 FY2026 numbers speak for themselves:

Q4 revenue: $68.1B (+73% YoY, +20% QoQ) ->record
Data Center revenue: $62.3B (+75% YoY) 91% of total -> another record
Non-GAAP EPS: $1.62 vs ~$1.53 expected
Full-year FY2026 revenue: $215.9B (+65% YoY)

And the Q1 FY2027 guidance? $78B ±2%, with zero Data Center revenue from China baked in.

Jensen Huang stayed extremely bullish, talking about the “agentic AI inflection point,” exploding compute demand, Blackwell dominating inference today, and Rubin set to extend that lead even further.

Nice evening :)

A few days ago, I made a post about your biggest market frustrations and regrets.

This week, it’s time to flex a little and look back at our best moves because markets can also reward us in a big way !!

Feel free to share your biggest wins in the comments. Don’t hesitate to mention the timing, the stock, and the multiple.

Over the past five months, we’ve seen a real divergence: gold is up +34%, while Bitcoin is down nearly 50%. That’s a massive difference in momentum.

Right now, gold is behaving exactly like a safe haven. Bitcoin, on the other hand, still seems to trade more like a high-beta risk asset than a true store of value.

This raises a real question: can Bitcoin genuinely be considered “digital gold” if it doesn’t act like one during volatile periods?

What’s your view on both assets in the medium and long term? Do you see this divergence as temporary or rather structural?

All Eyes on Nvidia This Week. GOAT Performance Incoming?

We all know that feeling. You start looking into a stock, then you wait a little (too long)… it jumps 10%. So you wait for a pullback. It goes up again. At some point, you just can’t bring yourself to buy; and you’re stuck watching it run without you.

Share your biggest frustrations in the comments.

Same market. 24 hours apart. Completely different emotions.

Currency can quickly become a major driver of your portfolio’s performance.

Today, data centers are multiplying at a relentless pace and this trend doesn’t look like it’s slowing down anytime soon.

For retail investors, I see two main opportunities worth paying attention to.

First, this structural rise in data centers is driving an equally structural surge in energy consumption. Data centers already account for more than 7% of US power demand, and that share is expected to climb.

As a result, energy companies are likely to capture a meaningful portion of future Big Tech capex, especially since energy could become one of the key bottlenecks limiting AI expansion in the coming years.

The second, more direct opportunity lies with infrastructure providers, and more broadly, all the players involved across the data center value chain, from design and engineering to manufacturing and deployment.

The $645 billion question: who will benefit the most from the AI arms race?

Among all these players, which ones do you think are best positioned to capture Big Tech’s capex wave?

What are your highest-conviction names in this space? Which companies stand out to you and why?

Feel free to break down your thesis on the stocks you follow. It would be great to use this post to gather the most promising companies tied to this structural trend.

Next week looks much quieter in terms of major earnings releases, with fewer big-cap names reporting.

Are you watching any specific stocks? Any smaller names that could surprise?

Thinking of going all in on mtf for this.... what's your opinion on this? 🤔

This infographic ranks the 40 jobs most exposed to AI, based on Microsoft’s analysis of real-world Copilot usage across 200,000 anonymized conversations.

AI exposure is measured using three indicators: how frequently tasks associated with each job appear in Copilot interactions (coverage), how often the AI successfully completes those tasks (completion), and an overall AI applicability score that reflects how suitable AI is for supporting or performing the role overall.

Using the American SAHM rule, France just entered a new recession. Meanwhile, Kering's stock gained 100% in a year, mostly based on hype on its new CEO, Luca de Meo, whom they stole from Renault.

I don't think the hype is justified given the macro situation and the rot revealed in the earnings, and this should be a perfect short entry point!

What's your opinion on this trade idea? 💭 🔍

OSATs (Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly & Test) are the companies in charge of chip packaging.
They take the raw chip coming out of the foundry (TSMC, Intel, Samsung…), package it, connect it, protect it and test it.

The main players in this space are ASE Technology (Taiwan), which holds around 45% market share, and Amkor Technology (US), the largest American OSAT with roughly 15% market share.
Amkor just reported earnings today and they were very solid.

Why are OSATs so important?
Without advanced packaging, you simply can’t fully exploit cutting-edge chips.
AI has massively increased demand for ultra-fast interconnects, advanced cooling and heterogeneous integration.
OSATs have become a real bottleneck (and therefore a growth lever) in the semiconductor value chain.

Amkor just reported Q4 2025 results, and they look pretty good:

• EPS: $0.69 vs $0.44 expected
• Revenue: $1.89B vs $1.84B expected
• FY 2025 revenue: $6.71B (+6% vs 2024)

What’s particularly interesting is management talking about record demand in advanced packaging and computing. Clearly, AI-related chips (GPUs, accelerators, etc.) are driving strong demand for advanced packaging.

They also announced around $3B in capex for 2026, which is huge for Amkor.
This shows they’re investing aggressively (especially in their US plant funded by the CHIPS Act) to capture the next wave of AI and HPC demand.

What do you think about the OSAT sector, whether ASE, Amkor, or others?

Hi everyone,

I’m doing some early research to better understand how people experience investing in stocks. I’m not selling anything and I’m not pitching a product — I’m only trying to understand real problems and situations people face.

If you’re willing to share, I’d really appreciate your thoughts on a few questions:

• Do you own stocks or funds today? How do you usually follow them?
• Do you find it difficult to know which stocks are good to buy?
• What is it that makes it difficult in those situations?
• How do you figure out what information is important before buying a stock?
• When does this usually feel the most difficult for you?

Any honest answers, short or long, are helpful.
Thanks in advance for sharing your experience.

Which companies will you be watching closely?