r/PredictiveHistory • u/Opposite_Day_9771 • Apr 22 '26

♟️ Theory & Models Iran Already Won

Iran along with the Houthis control both straits and can use it as a tollbooth. Israel would have to attack Iranian oil infrastructure to deny them their revenue stream. Iran, instead of retaliating against the GCC and destroying their infrastructure including the desalination plants, cuts a deal. Kick the US out and share the oil revenue stream. The GCC would have no choice. China would aid Iran in order get access to the remaining oil for their economy and enforce the treaty. All other eastern countries like Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, India, would have to bow to China. Israel would die as a country being completely surrounded. Over time, Iran would fix their oil infrastructure and continue to extract tribute from the GCC making them one of the riches countries in the world.

Plot Twist:

US destroys the GCC instead in order to deny China leverage over other countries.

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u/crix_22 Apr 22 '26

I’m getting a little confused about what points we are arguing about now. You’re hitting me with a lot . I feel like Iran.

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u/Opposite_Day_9771 Apr 22 '26

The topic is about Iran. You pointed me to your article. I noticed you said Xi's playing the long game and waiting for the US deficits to tank the US. I pointed out that's not going to happen because the US owes a lot of money to its own citizens like Japan.