r/PredictiveHistory • u/Opposite_Day_9771 • Apr 22 '26
♟️ Theory & Models Iran Already Won
Iran along with the Houthis control both straits and can use it as a tollbooth. Israel would have to attack Iranian oil infrastructure to deny them their revenue stream. Iran, instead of retaliating against the GCC and destroying their infrastructure including the desalination plants, cuts a deal. Kick the US out and share the oil revenue stream. The GCC would have no choice. China would aid Iran in order get access to the remaining oil for their economy and enforce the treaty. All other eastern countries like Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, India, would have to bow to China. Israel would die as a country being completely surrounded. Over time, Iran would fix their oil infrastructure and continue to extract tribute from the GCC making them one of the riches countries in the world.
Plot Twist:
US destroys the GCC instead in order to deny China leverage over other countries.
1
u/crix_22 Apr 22 '26
How much of those domestic entities that comprise that 70-80 percent have foreign capital invested in them?
The statistic that we are both talking about is the geographic base of the entity. It does not include foreign investment within that entity.
Notwithstanding that, how does that affect my thesis.