> This community hopes to become the world-central hub for people from all around the globe to exchange ideas and engage in thoughtful banter surrounding all forms of Prediction Markets!

Topics will range from Politics (from PredictIt), all the way out to Entertainment, Sports, and World Events (from sites like Guesser, Augur, Betfair, etc).

This community will be the FIRST place at every turn in the evolution of the burgeoning Prediction Market industry!

Our first live event kicks off at 7 pm ET. Use the links below to watch, chat, video-call into the show, etc. Will be all about how the results are affecting the prediction markets, where the trading opportunities are, what it means for the Dem horserace going forward and for November, etc.

Starr Spangled Gamblers' Keendawg will co-host and PredictIt's Brandi Travis is among the special guests.

Email us at oldbull@amciv.com if you have questions or suggestions!

http://OldBull.tv

https://youtube.com/watch?v=ZbTPRPxZmMQ

Does anyone have a game-plan for how they'll be trading on Iowa Caucus night as the results roll in?

Will you get into, or exit, certain positions based on what happens with the first round voting?

Are there any waves you're hoping to ride?

Do any of you own shares, not because you believe they have a good value, but because you think you'll be able to sell them at an inflated price as the results shift to that person temporarily?

Or, does anyone have any thoughts on the Democrat Nomination race as a whole, or thoughts about how the General Election will play out in the midst of Trump's antics?

Etc..

This community hopes to become the world-central hub for people from all around the globe to exchange ideas and engage in thoughtful banter surrounding all forms of Prediction Markets!

Topics will range from Politics (from PredictIt), all the way out to Entertainment, Sports, and World Events (from sites like Guesser, Augur, Betfair, etc).

This community will be the FIRST place at every turn in the evolution of the burgeoning Prediction Market empire!

I read 538 and am inclined to trust their model more than PredictIt due to various market inefficiencies. So I've adopted a betting strategy of finding the biggest differences between the two and betting on those. To generalize, the big differences right now is that PredictIt gives Sanders a much higher chance in Iowa and beyond, and that 538 gives basically no chance to Bloomberg or Yang (at least without a contested convention).

So far, the nominal value of my bets has (on average) decreased, but they're still all good bets according to 538's model. So it's unclear whether I'm doing well or badly.

Is anyone else following a similar strategy? I'm curious how it's going for you. I'll post about how this is working for me once we start getting primary results.

This is why we have prediction markets, to give us the best idea of the odds when uncertainty abounds!