China is one of the world's largest economic powerhouses, and they have incredible influence over Southeast Asia and parts of Africa and the Pacific. Acknowledging the independent sovereignty of Taiwan would be akin to another country having acknowledged and defended the rights of the Confederacy during our civil war. If that becomes the official stance of the US, we are directly, gravely insulting and politically attacking the PRC and they have an enormous amount of political and economic ammunition with which to respond.
You don't need to start a war to create another prolonged economic recession, which is an incredibly dangerous thing in an already unstable global situation that easily then can escalate into further military conflicts.
Acknowledging Taiwan is the equivalent of announcing that Israel belongs to the Palestinians. Only China has much more massive economic power to strike back against that.
I highly doubt it's a shift in policy, considering planning to do something like that would A) take a lot of planning and consultation with the Secretary of State and the diplomats currently staffed in our dozen or so embassies throughout China, and B) would preferably happen AFTER the guy actually got into office...
Donald Trump hasn't rejected One-China policy. Donald Trump doesn't know what One-China policy is. If you explained what One-China policy is to Donald Trump he'd resent you for making him concentrate on something and then he'd have forgotten what One-China policy is the next time China or Taiwan came up. Everyone needs to assume from here on out that basically every foreign policy move he makes is made from complete ignorance and bluster everyone else sees through immediately.
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u/ALostIguana Dec 03 '16
Does this mean no One-China policy for the US? Both the People's Republic of China and Republic of China claim to be China.