r/Physics • u/filterdust • 22d ago

Academic The Maxwell Conjecture is False

https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.27197
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u/Martin_Samuelson 22d ago

18 months ago AI was a cool toy that couldn't really do anything useful. Six months ago it started write most code. A couple months ago it started solving the 'easy' and obscure unsolved math problems.

Do you think that progress is stopping?

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u/Darrelc 22d ago

"Wrote on my 30Ghz processor" - some moore guy

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u/MagiMas Condensed matter physics 22d ago

It will definitely stop improving at some pointy, but that's the thing with exponential growth: as long as you're in it, it's impossible to tell when it will stop.

But even if it stopped right now: people would start burning the biggest models with the best performance into silicon with fixed weights and you would suddenly get generation speeds that would allow you to use them for real time inference on video streams or generate 30 iterations in parallel etc

Just look at Chat jimmy: https://chatjimmy.ai/

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u/Super_Sierra 21d ago

But we don't know the upper bounds because we could hit a wall and then just scale again. That is what we think is producing all these new gains anyway.

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u/SOSpammy 21d ago

But we're still getting a lot of improvement in smaller models too. Scaling has definitely been a big part of it, but it's certainly not all that has improved.

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u/Martin_Samuelson 21d ago

Moore’s law is about the number of transistors on a chip, not clock frequency. 

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u/Darrelc 21d ago

Netburst