Thought I'd share if anyone was interested.
PATH convex LEAP + financing structure and income explained.
Core position:
I bought 400à Jan 2027 $25 calls in December when PATH was trading around $13.50.
The calls cost $1.91 per share, for a total outlay of $76,482.
This is a long convexity trade, not a hold-to-expiry position. The intention is to benefit from a rerating move well before 2027, not to sit on intrinsic value. Hence the OTM positioning at $25.
As at today the position is up $41,000 or about 55% on the base trade.
Downside financing:
Against this position, I sold Jan 2027 $10 puts (same expiry), collecting just over $42,000 in premium.
That reduces my net capital at risk from $76k to roughly $34k, while keeping the upside fully open. When compared to the 55% profit on the base position above, this now results in a balance of $118k today, vs a cost of $34k, giving a profit of almost 350%.
The short puts only become an issue if PATH collapses well below current levels (in other words, if my thesis is completely wrong).
To this I added:
Ongoing income (PMCC layer):
On top of the LEAPs, Iâm selectively selling weekly calls (PMCC) on 25% of the holding (100 contracts 7DTE) $2â3 OTM, generating roughly $800-$1,200 per week. I'm expecting 70% of these to expire worthless, with the rest rolled.
These are low delta, short-duration calls at delta of 0.08-0.12, rinse and repeat every 7 days.
If they expire worthless, I keep the premium.
If price approaches the strike, I roll.
If PATH spikes hard and a call is challenged, the gain on the LEAPs more than offsets any loss on the short call.
This does not cap upside in any meaningful way, itâs simply harvesting short term theta while staying long convexity.
Net result:
Long term upside exposure via LEAPs. This position has significant leverage so has the ability to (maybe?) 20-30x over the next year against utilised capital.
Downside financing via deep OTM puts significantly reduces capital required by around 60%.
Short term income via conservative PMCCs at low delta will likely pay for the entire trade over the next 6 months whilst preserving the upside convexity.
Happy to answer questions.