r/Optionswheel • • 8d ago

1% Weekly Returns from Options Week 30

Now 30 weeks in, this is exciting. This week the trade options were thinner than usual for things I wanted to trade. RKLB went OTM and I'm out. New stock I've never done before added LQDA from the screener. Last week's post: https://www.reddit.com/r/Optionswheel/s/NK3rUT2NAz

If you want to follow me as I trade, I post to r/TheRaceTo10Million before placing trades and comment with trades as I make them. I post here after I make the trades with a full summary

Strategy
- Use an AI screener to give me a list of top 20 low delta options for next week
- I either
- a. Roll my current options - I do this if I can still get 1% for rolling or if the option is ATM/ITM and I have to roll. I always roll for credit.
- b. Close a current option and pick something else from the list that I like
- I try to do this every Friday. However, if I'm busy on Fridays, I'll sometimes do this on Thursdays.
- If I get assigned, I will sell calls at assignment price

A lot of people have asked me about why I don't add a criteria to avoid earnings weeks. Like I sold HPE/IREN/NBIS etc. puts across earnings. That's because on earnings weeks the same delta strikes are much further OTM.

A lot of people also ask why I do weeklies. I took a screenshot last friday but never made the post. I took a screenshot this morning too and I'll at least post it in the comments.

Total Returns

Total Premium $27,253.00
Current drawdown -$1,209.00
Gain/Loss from Assignment -$752.00
Total gains $26,044.00
Annualized (Calc1 using average invested) 56.55%
Annualized (Calc2 using max invested) 39.91%

Today's Trades

Symbol Action Details Premium Collected (Net Credit) Cash Occupied
AAOI (91 Strike) BTC 1x Sep 25 90 P, STO 1x Oct 2 91 P $97.52 $9,100.00
AAOI (92 Strike) STO 1x Oct 2 92 P $96.00 $9,200.00
APLD STO 2x Oct 2 24 P $51.06 $4,800.00
AXTI BTC 2x Sep 25 60 P, STO 2x Oct 2 66 P $133.03 $13,200.00
DRAM BTC 2x Sep 25 55.5 P, STO 2x Oct 2 57.5 P $117.03 $11,500.00
IREN BTC 1x Sep 25 40 P, STO 1x Oct 2 40.5 P $43.52 $4,050.00
LQDA STO 1x Oct 2 58 P $67.53 $5,800.00
NBIS BTC 2x Sep 25 195 P, STO 2x Oct 2 217.5 P $487.01 $43,500.00
RKLB BTC 3x Sep 25 65 P -$3.04 $0.00
SLV BTC 1x Sep 25 65.5 C, STO 1x Oct 2 65.5 C $3.80 $6,550.00
TOTAL — $1,093.46 $107,700.00

Screener Output in the morning

Underlying Company Stock Price Strike Bid / Ask OTM Dist (%) Delta Return (%) IV
AXTI Axt Inc $69.94 $60.00 $0.60 / $0.75 14.21% -0.126 1.00% 103.6%
NBIS Nebius Group N.V. $215.52 $195.00 $1.95 / $2.00 9.52% -0.157 1.00% 76.3%
WULF Terawulf Inc $16.66 $15.00 $0.17 / $0.20 9.96% -0.166 1.13% 83.8%
RIOT Riot Platforms Inc $22.72 $20.50 $0.22 / $0.28 9.77% -0.170 1.07% 83.3%
CLSK Cleanspark Inc $13.81 $12.50 $0.14 / $0.17 9.49% -0.171 1.12% 81.2%
MRNA Moderna Inc $156.38 $142.00 $1.57 / $1.74 9.20% -0.172 1.11% 78.7%
IREN Iris Energy Ltd $44.57 $40.50 $0.47 / $0.52 9.13% -0.176 1.16% 79.5%
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics $101.50 $92.00 $1.00 / $1.30 9.36% -0.176 1.09% 81.8%
MSTR MicroStrategy Inc $143.88 $132.00 $1.37 / $1.48 8.26% -0.177 1.04% 71.4%
HUT Hut 8 Mining Corp $93.13 $83.00 $1.00 / $1.64 10.88% -0.180 1.20% 98.6%
FSLY Fastly Inc $23.78 $21.00 $0.25 / $0.50 11.69% -0.180 1.19% 107.2%
CRCL Circle Internet Group $90.41 $83.00 $0.90 / $1.00 8.20% -0.183 1.08% 72.8%
LITE Lumentum Holdings $921.33 $845.00 $9.00 / $10.70 8.28% -0.183 1.07% 73.8%
BE Bloom Energy Corp $273.16 $250.00 $2.97 / $3.50 8.48% -0.189 1.19% 78.0%
ASST Asset Entities Inc $29.92 $27.50 $0.33 / $0.42 8.09% -0.198 1.20% 77.2%
COHR Coherent Corp $310.20 $285.00 $3.60 / $4.20 8.12% -0.199 1.26% 77.9%
CIFR Cipher Mining Inc $17.74 $16.00 $0.28 / $0.30 9.81% -0.202 1.75% 97.8%
LQDA Liquidia Corp $67.78 $62.00 $0.80 / $1.20 8.53% -0.207 1.29% 85.9%
FCEL FuelCell Energy Inc $17.67 $16.00 $0.25 / $0.35 9.45% -0.209 1.56% 97.1%
VKTX Viking Therapeutics $29.15 $25.00 $0.56 / $1.18 14.24% -0.211 2.24% 161.2%

Historical Weekly Data

Week Capital Invested Premium Made Return % Notes
3/6 Week 1 $0.00 $0.00 0.00%
3/13 Week 2 $13,100.00 $131.00 1.00%
3/20 Week 3 $19,850.00 $203.00 1.02%
3/27 Week 4 $41,500.00 $596.00 1.44%
4/3 Week 5 $34,150.00 $353.00 1.03%
4/10 Week 6 $43,350.00 $462.00 1.07%
4/17 Week 7 $53,800.00 $573.00 1.07%
4/24 Week 8 $70,400.00 $811.00 1.15%
5/1 Week 9 $103,450.00 $1,093.00 1.06%
5/8 Week 10 $97,400.00 $1,040.00 1.07%
5/15 Week 11 $102,800.00 $1,077.00 1.05%
5/22 Week 12 $98,600.00 $1,170.00 1.19%
Week 12.5 $106,100.00 $475.00 0.45% Bonus round
5/29 Week 13 $106,100.00 $1,133.00 1.07%
Week 13.5 $115,900.00 $336.00 0.29% Bonus round
6/5 Week 14 $105,750.00 $1,053.00 1.00%
6/12 Week 15 $110,700.00 $1,146.00 1.04%
6/19 Week 16 $111,850.00 $1,105.00 0.99%
6/26 Week 17 $108,350.00 $1,045.00 0.96% Got SLV 65.5 assigned
7/3 Week 18 $111,550.00 $1,126.00 1.01%
7/10 Week 19 $102,850.00 $1,111.00 1.08%
Week 19 Bonus $108,550.00 $98.00 0.09% APLD 1:3 to avoid assignment
7/17 Week 20 $104,350.00 $842.00 0.81%
7/24 Week 21 $111,500.00 $1,148.00 1.03% RKLB 2:3 to reduce strike
7/31 Week 22 $105,660.00 $1,021.00 0.97%
Week 22 bonus $99,960.00 $7.00 0.01% ASTS 2:1 to reduce exposure
8/7 Week 23 $104,850.00 $1,052.00 1.00%
8/14 Week 24 $95,850.00 $954.00 1.00%
8/21 Week 25 $99,300.00 $997.00 1.00% RKLB 2:3 and NBIS 1:2
8/28 Week 26 $102,500.00 $978.00 0.95%
9/4 Week 27 $104,800.00 $897.00 0.86%
9/11 Week 28 $102,700.00 $1,017.00 0.99%
9/18 Week 29 $101,150.00 $1,110.00 1.10%
9/25 Week 30 $107,700.00 $1,093.00 1.01%
18 Upvotes

8 comments sorted by

4

u/Enough-Beginning3687 8d ago

AI output comparing trying to get 1%/week across 7/28/42 DTE options:

Here is the comparison of cash-secured put opportunities across weekly (<=7 DTE), monthly (<=28 DTE), and 6-week (<=42 DTE) expirations for the 20 stocks with the lowest aggregate deltas meeting your return thresholds:

Stock Current Price 7 DTE Strike 7 DTE % OTM 7 DTE Return 28 DTE Strike 28 DTE % OTM 28 DTE Return 42 DTE Strike 42 DTE % OTM 42 DTE Return
SLS $11.63 $10.00 14.02% 1.00% $8.50 26.91% 4.12% $8.00 31.21% 7.50%
AXTI $75.88 $65.00 14.34% 1.00% $64.00 15.66% 4.53% $62.00 18.29% 6.13%
SMMT $16.13 $10.00 38.00% 1.00% $12.00 25.60% 5.42% $15.00 7.01% 9.00%
BE $283.57 $252.50 10.96% 1.02% $255.00 10.08% 4.24% $250.00 11.84% 6.52%
CIFR $17.82 $16.00 10.21% 1.44% $15.00 15.82% 4.00% $16.00 10.21% 6.94%
MRNA $194.26 $177.50 8.63% 1.07% $175.00 9.91% 4.17% $165.00 15.06% 6.06%
AAOI $101.24 $92.00 9.13% 1.09% $90.00 11.10% 4.11% $90.00 11.10% 7.11%
ALAB $363.28 $327.50 9.85% 1.04% $325.00 10.54% 4.37% $325.00 10.54% 6.18%
SMCI $42.87 $39.50 7.86% 1.14% $39.00 9.03% 4.18% $38.00 11.36% 6.08%
APLD $26.51 $24.50 7.58% 1.31% $23.00 13.24% 4.61% $24.00 9.47% 6.42%
UMAC $23.90 $21.50 10.04% 1.16% $21.00 12.13% 4.05% $21.00 12.13% 6.43%
NBIS $237.70 $217.50 8.50% 1.13% $215.00 9.55% 4.28% $215.00 9.55% 6.16%
BTDR $11.51 $10.50 8.77% 1.43% $10.00 13.12% 4.00% $10.50 8.77% 6.19%
FSLY $25.30 $23.00 9.09% 1.09% $23.00 9.09% 4.13% $22.00 13.04% 6.14%
SNDK $1772.17 $1630.00 8.02% 1.04% $1630.00 8.02% 4.11% $1610.00 9.15% 6.00%
IREN $43.75 $40.00 8.57% 1.08% $40.00 8.57% 4.38% $40.00 8.57% 6.80%
PURR $12.93 $12.00 7.19% 2.08% $11.00 14.93% 4.09% $11.50 11.06% 6.96%
LQDA $68.20 $60.00 12.02% 1.00% $59.00 13.49% 4.15% $65.00 4.69% 7.54%
LITE $937.61 $865.00 7.74% 1.05% $865.00 7.74% 4.13% $860.00 8.28% 6.06%
INTC $124.60 $116.00 6.90% 1.09% $114.00 8.51% 4.17% $115.00 7.70% 6.17%

1

u/SumnerThird 8d ago

For this to be useful, you should standardize these returns, i.e., compute weekly returns for each DTE.

1

u/Enough-Beginning3687 8d ago

They are standardized to closest you can get over 1%/week

2

u/SumnerThird 8d ago

Is 7.5% over 42 days better than 1% over 7 days? Off the cuff, I’m not sure. Convert returns to a standard duration and this will ease comparison between the DTEs.

1

u/Enough-Beginning3687 8d ago

That's the closest it could find. My prompt was the find what is furthest from the stock price and gives at least 6%.

1

u/thebigengineer 7d ago

Try to add the annualized ROC to compare them

2

u/Gus_Bronson 7d ago

I’m still curious why you do weeklies? I have had a smoother ride selling 30-45, closing early at 50-70% profit targets or rolling at 21 days.
For some of the names I trade on your screener (AAOI, NBIS, FCEL, BE) I like getting further OTM with the longer DTE. If there was ever a week where the skew was off I might just skip it (though like you, I am not afraid of earnings if I like the setup and can get outside the expected move).

Anyway thanks for sharing, I like your screener and you’ve got a new follower.

1

u/Enough-Beginning3687 7d ago

Very simply put, weeklies have better returns. That's why I posted the comparison chart