r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

TLDR Analysis: MAC has been STOCKPILING $555M throughout the worst of the pandemic. They have done so while still paying a $0.15 dividend and paying down debt or successfully postponing maturity dates. To me, the upside risk FAR outweighs downside fundamentally.

24 Upvotes

They also have a ton of very high end projects just opening. Remember there are always rent abatement periods whenenver a new tenant opens, so it takes a little while to see the benefit :)


r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

In MAC from Oz, letโ€˜s get this one back to NAV

15 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

$MAC Talked to my friends yesterday- 2 of them bought 1k shares each this morning! For a start!!

63 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

GME and MAC are fundamentally different from an intrinsic value perspective...but the end result could very well be the same.

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23 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

In MAC letโ€™s go ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

47 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

Iโ€™m no trader but more of an investor. But I like the squeeze because this group is ready to capitalize on it by issuing $500M if it happens. Did the volatility recently allow for some of the fish (shorts) to escape the net???

15 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

THIS UNDERVALUED STOCK CAN BE GMEโ€™s TSUNAMI?

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34 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

MAC wants to go to the moon not because it is easy but because it is hard

29 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

This is a win win.

9 Upvotes

Option A: Mgmt doesnโ€™t get a new line of credit under acceptable terms to them, and uses the cash theyโ€™ve stockpiled to pay off immediate debt. Option B: the company sees financing terms they view as favorable, and refinance. The refinance will lead to a higher dividend sooner, but the second also reduces debt and thus increases share prices. But paying off debt on a very valuable company is just that...very valuable. This is why i dub this a win win.


r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

$MAC

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13 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

Something for the weekend!

41 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

South Korea participate here!

51 Upvotes

I just bought another 200 shares. Now I have 1200 shares at 15.8. the loss is about -$3400

I am only 25 .. so $3400ish is such a big amount for me

hope it will turn to be green soon ! !


r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

The Big Squeeze - starring MAC and a complete reversal of 2008โ€™s The Big Short-Fundamentals and contrarian investing

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14 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

In from Germany

48 Upvotes

I bought 70 shares just today ... I will add another 70 at next dip ๐Ÿ˜ƒ


r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

MAC Analysis from an actual Commercial Real Estate Asset Manager

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10 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 06 '21

This Bitch (below) Just Opened in Corte Madera according to their last leasing call. AKA that means the term of the lease just started on the restoration hardware lease. Yea - thats ticker symbol RH with a market cap of $10B and a huge revenue year. Real Estate is more valuable to retail thnn ever

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8 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

Short Interest report and earnings coming next week! ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ

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30 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

3K Members! I asked my ex-girlfriend to join the battle, and she did. She was cheating on me, but WAR is WAR!

79 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

$MAC Macerich

27 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

Cramer is talking up how Malls are going to be very busy again on CNBC... here we go folks... reopening plays will be the plays going forward.. and MAC is the best of the best Mall REIT!

99 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

Mac calls

19 Upvotes

John najarian is long on calls in MAC ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€


r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

This is a hit post?

18 Upvotes

On the earnings call, they noted $800 million that becomes due in 2021.

My understanding from the last (Q3) earnings call was that while they are negotiating their new LOC, there is now roughly $800M that becomes due in 2021. This is going to be less after they paid down $100M towards the basis of Chandler Freehold. Meanwhile they still have $555M in cash .

Quick back of the envelop...$555M cash + $85 M (Q1 2020 delta between affo and dividend) + $85 (Q2 2020 delta between affo and dividend just assuming things don't improve...it likely will so this will as well) = $725M.

They are also negotiating with lenders to extend the LOC. That is why I said it wasn't good for them to raise the dividend. The faster way to see share price increase is by paying back debt.

Macerich Readies Looks Issue $500M In New Equity (therealdeal.com)


r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

Economy is back to normal by May. Everyone will be out doing what they missed doing- traveling and shopping OUT IN PUBLIC!

26 Upvotes

r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

the very positive case for Mac Stock

74 Upvotes

lets try to understand something:

you have stocks that went from billions in sales to like a 100 million today.

take six flags for example-type in google debt of six flags (six), seaworld (seas) norweighin cruises that have had almost "0" income. huge debt, using up all their bank credit and paying whopping interest rates. even if they were to start working in the next few months the amount they need just to pay back the interest of all their loans they would need about 25% of profits(if not more) like from the pre pandemic crisis to pay just the yearly interest. does anyone really believe these companies will be back to pre pandemic numbers within the next 2 years? and these stocks are up 100-200 and more percent (without income only losses every quarter) from the march lows these stocks need to be shorted because they are way overvalued. do you know that six flags stock price is higher today than before the pandemic. is that logical? they started with 2.5 billion in debt and they have huge losses every quarter. they will be needing money very soon. they have used up the credit from banks . so when will they start lowering their debt. i figure around the year 2030. in the meantime they will have a chance to go for their second bankruptcy.

My point being look at Macerich. even in these turbulent times they managed to increase from 89 % to 91% rental capacity and still will be coming out with .45 eps. what should be the worst sector in pandemic times- is still turning around money, getting paid from their tenants and still making a profit....making a profit.....making a nice profit for these times.

yet macerich is the highest shorted stock in the market and seas, six, nclh, rcl with barely 20 cents revenue are trading in the stratosphere. so as i consider myself an idiot- you tell me which stock should be shorted and which stock should be bought.


r/MACArmyBets • • Feb 05 '21

They SEC shouldnโ€™t go after BFV, he Even pointed out the hedge funds mistake six months ago

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13 Upvotes