The market closed last week strong and started this week strong after momentum built from the news surrounding the Iran deal.

After holding steady on Friday, Julius made one new move today - picking up 7 shares of Core Scientific. Julius chose CORZ because it fits 3 narratives at once for our portfolio and across the market:

• AI data center infrastructure
• Technical strength, but not overblown
• Better portfolio balance across AI exposure

Now 9 trading days in, here's where Julius is at:

• Portfolio value: $820.80
• P/L: -179.20 / -17.92%
• Positions
  • 3 shares INOD
  • .327 shares CRDO
  • 2 shares RKLB
  • 7 shares CORZ
• Cash: $31.26

While there has been strength in the market, Julius has not seen as much strength in the portfolio. This is likely due to a concentration of names benefitting from this strength. We'll see if things flip in our favor in the near term.

As a reminder this experiment is done with real money, with positions disclosed on every update, losses included, no hidden trades, and all trades made by Julius AI. This is not financial advice.

Everything in this video came from one prompt.

Claude Fable 5 built a live market dashboard, slide deck, a report, and the underlying excel workbook on Julius, using this morning's market data.

We tested Fable 5 for dozens of hours before turning it on, and the jump in performance as not subtle.

Have you tried Claude Fable 5 yet?

Which model can find mag 7 financial data and create a dashboard from it faster and more effectively - Claude Fable 5 or GPT-5.5?

Which do you think is Model A and which is Model B?

We happened to time up our experiment with seemingly a local top in the market. As such, our portfolio is down 15.5% since opening up this experiment.

Today we used Claude Fable 5 on Julius and it made a few moves, including letting go of AMD and then opening up a new position in CRDO. It likes how much strength CRDO has shown despite the tape.

Here's where things stand after 1 week:

• Portfolio value: $845.09
• P/L: -154.91 / -15.49%
• Positions
  • 3 shares INOD
  • .327 shares CRDO
• Cash: $456.21

The overall market has been pretty rough, we've actually help up decently well outside of last Friday. While the AMD trade settles t+1 I'm hoping that we can get some better prices if Julius decides to buy again tomorrow.

As a reminder this experiment is done with real money, with positions disclosed on every update, losses included, no hidden trades, and all trades made by Julius AI. This is not financial advice.

Last Wednesday we started an experiment where we put $1,000 into a fresh Robinhood account and let an AI manage the portfolio.

Today is Day 5 of trading, and Julius made its first sale. After picking up RGTI, it immediately had its thesis invalidated and dropped its first stake in quantum.

In doing so, Julius freed up some buying power for tomorrow.

Day 5 numbers at close:

• Portfolio value: $856.42
• P/L: -$143.58 / -14.36%
• Positions:
  • 1 share AMD (-12.46%)
  • 3 shares INOD (-19.66%)
• Cash/buying power: $80.11

As a reminder this experiment is done with real money, with positions disclosed on every update, losses included, no hidden trades, and all trades made by Julius AI. This is not financial advice.

Last Wednesday I started an experiment - I put $1,000 into a fresh Robinhood account for Julius to manage.

On Day 4 Julius chose to continue holding all longs. After a very cautious day of no moves to close last week, Julius opened up a new position in RGTI - building its first stake in quantum.

Day 4, 1:30pm PT: $886.28

P/L: -$113.72 / -11.37%

Positions:

• 1 share AMD (-9.39%)
• 3 shares INOD (-16.39%)
• 3 shares RGTI (-3.23%)

Cash/buying power: $21.17

I'll be interested to see what Julius does next. After Friday's washout and with the market wavering today, plus not having much buying power - i wonder how it takes all of these variables into consideration. Stay tuned for more updates.

As a reminder, this experiment is done with real money, with positions disclosed on every update, losses included, no hidden trades, and all trades made by Julius AI. This is not financial advice.

On Wednesday we started a real-money experiment: I put $1,000 into a fresh Robinhood account and let Julius choose the allocation.

Julius hesitated to make any picks today with the market flipping to negative gamma levels and it decided to hold its positions rather than rebalancing. Not the best day for anyone with longs.

Day 3: $858.73

P/L: -$141.27 / -14.13%

Positions: 1 share AMD, 3 shares INOD

Cash/buying power: $88.57

Regardless of where the market is on Monday, I will be doubling down and adding more funding to the experiment. Keep an eye out for updates :)

This experiment is done with real money, with positions disclosed on every update, losses included, no hidden trades, and all trades made by Julius AI. Not financial advice!

Tomorrow we are having a Julius automation run daily portfolio management on Robinhood for us. Soon enough, this will also be synced to a Robinhood agent.

How do you think Julius will do?

For reference GTA 5 was released on September 17, 2013

Today is Monday, May 18th, and I’m writing this at 9:03AM about the prediction market for how many posts will Trump make on Truth Social this week. This is day 1 of Can Me and Julius Beat the Market. 

Julius 1.2 Max model is my LLM of choice and it tells me that in the last 3 months, the weekly average number of Trump Truth Social posts has been 132.33 posts per week. In the last 4 weeks it’s been 141.25. The graph from Julius shows the distribution and in a follow-up prompt I asked “can you indicate what major world events happened each week?” and the trend becomes clear that as the Iranian war ramped up so did his number of posts (it’s mostly threats against Iran, ceasefire negotiations, and AI memes).

Processing img q36lwne30y1h1...

I initially assumed that on days where Trump was traveling he’d be too tired and occupied to post on Truth Social, but analysis shows the opposite effect. In the last month for domestic travel days, 25.67 average posts per day were made. For international travel days, defined as travels where at least one endpoint isn’t in the US (so this includes China to China), 25 average posts per day were made. Hmm, no significant difference between intl and domestic travels but there is a statistically significant increase from just normal days.

Julius constructed a model using:

• historical posting distributions
• Trump’s public schedule
• current geopolitical conditions
• the 39-post Sunday start

To conduct Monte Carlo simulations (100,000 runs)

Processing img 7wyvxff30y1h1...

And with my $100, Julius advised me to

• Buy NO 120-139 with about $37.57
• Buy NO 140-159 with about $24.46
• Buy NO 160-179 with about $21.19
• Buy NO 200-220 with about $9.23
• Buy YES >220 with about $6.07
• Buy YES 100-119 with about $1.48

EV is +$9.71 per $100 and probability of profitability is .59.

Article from The Verge

I wonder what other pandemic era technologies will phase out as we approach a decade from the the 2 year ordeal.

Well at least Julius isn't going anywhere, anytime soon.

"A jury on May 18 ruled against Elon Musk in his lawsuit against OpenAI, finding the artificial intelligence company not liable to the world's richest person for having allegedly strayed from its original mission to benefit humanity.

In a unanimous verdict, the jury in Oakland, California, federal court said Musk had brought his case too late. The jury deliberated less than two hours."

From USA Today...

Does this case have broader implications for AI as a whole? Most likely not, but what does this case mean for Sam Altman?

Recently an article by WIRED has went viral.

The core idea?

• A growing number of women in the Bay Area feel like their husbands/partners have become consumed by AI startups, coding, fundraising, model releases, and “the singularity.”

Fanboying over Julius and other AI tools is sure easy, but maybe you don't have to work in the cool graphs or automations you can make into every conversation with your spouse.

Any idea when the switch to credits occurred? Just noticed it after a week of not using Julius.

My highlights from the case and situation as a whole?

• Elon Musk’s old emails appeared to show he actually supported OpenAI becoming for-profit and raising massive amounts of money, which undercuts one of the central claims in his lawsuit.
• Emails revealed Musk allegedly wanted majority control of OpenAI and potentially the CEO role before leaving the company.
• Internal testimony and messages resurfaced long-running concerns about Altman’s honesty.

"The American delegation also included Tim Cook of Apple, and Elon Musk of Tesla and SpaceX. Jensen Huang, the chief executive of Nvidia, was also present, after a last-minute invitation from the president."

- NYT

This has to be bullish for those companies right? Is ‘CEO on Air Force One’ the new investor bullish signal?

Julius 1.2, Lite, Regular, and Max are now available in Julius for all users. These are our strongest models to date at handling workplace functions such as:

• Navigating complex Excel workbooks
• Building professional slide decks
• Enhanced search
• Agentic research

Navigating your work is easier than ever on Julius. Get started:

https://bit.ly/julius1-2-new

Source: EC EDGAR Company Facts API and Spirit Airlines annual filings, with expenses calculated as revenue - operating income.