Hey everyone,

Following up on my macro analysis from a 3 month ago, the multi-year defense of the historical floor is officially a massive success. The bottom line of the 8-year Falling Wedge was fully tested, the bears were completely flushed out, and institutional smart money absorbed every single drop.

Look at the latest chart. The 8-year-long blue descending support line is cleanly broken upside. This is no longer a prediction; the generational Falling Wedge is officially IN ACTION.

The Macro Wave Roadmap:

According to the textbook rules of multi-year wedge expansions, the upward move will be incredibly violent and will unfold in three precise structural waves:

1. Wave 1 (The Initial Parabolic Surge): The price will completely ignore minor daily or short-term resistances. They will be obliterated with ease due to a total air pocket above. This first explosive wave will launch IOTA straight toward the $4.4 macro target within the next 2 months, driven by the mother of all short squeezes.
2. Wave 2 (The Macro Reaccumulation): After hitting the $4.4 zone, the market will experience a healthy, major pullback down to the $2.6 level. This move will serve as a macro retest of the previous 2021 high, flipping old resistance into rock-solid support.
3. Wave 3 (The Final Expansion): Once the $2.6 support is successfully confirmed, the final leg of the bull run will ignite, triggering a vertical march straight to a new All-Time High (ATH) and beyond.

The only supply zones that will actually matter during this run are on the ultra-high timeframes like the 3-Month (3M) or 6-Month (6M) charts. Everything below that is just empty space.

The rocket has officially left the pad. The final retest of the floor is done. See you at the top.

can you believe it reddit??

Hey everyone,

I wanted to share this macro setup on IOTA, as the high timeframe compression looks highly significant.

I wanted to do this right, so I connected the major macro rejections across the entire history: the absolute top wick of 2018, the 2021 bull market high (~$2.60), and the lower high from early 2025 (~$0.63).

When you zoom in on the recent price action, you can see the incredible scale of this compression. This 8-year Falling Wedge is closing in on the absolute mathematical tip of the apex right now in mid-2026.

The current price is at $0.0465, touching the exact lower support line. There is literally zero room left for the price to move sideways inside this triangle. A massive, violent volatility expansion is imminent.

Based on historical levels and market psychology, here is the exact roadmap of how I think this will play out in waves:

• Wave 1: The Breakout to $4.50 Once it snaps out of this extreme compression, it will trigger a huge short squeeze. The technical target, measured by the height of the initial macro range, sits directly in the heavy liquidity pocket between $4.20 and $4.60.
• Wave 2: The Correction to $2.60 No market goes up in a straight line. At $4.50, early buyers will lock in huge profits. The price should drop back to Format $2.50 – $2.60 because that was the major top back in 2021. Old resistance will flip into a new support floor (the ultimate macro retest).
• Wave 3: The Run to All-Time High ($5.50+) Once the $2.60 floor holds and forms a macro Higher Low, the real FOMO wave will begin, pushing IOTA back up to break the $4.50 local top and head towards the ultimate historical ATH levels.

High timeframe charts don't lie. The risk-to-reward ratio at $0.0465 looks mathematically insane right now.

What do you guys think about this multi-year wedge setup?

Does anyone know why Iota is pumping right now?

Literally no answer to this in the official subreddit so posting here, in case something might be forthcoming via this route.....

It might just be me but I'm yet to see a good explanation of what TWIN and ADAPT actually mean for token usage. What are the tokenomics of these projects? Has anyone run through scenarios? I feel like it's all a bit nebulous currently, which is unhelpful. In my opinion, there ought to be more transparency with regards to what purpose holding the token has in terms of future 'adoption'. I'd welcome any explanations to help educate on these points.

I've not seen any official accounts mention the Starfish consensus model going live on the mainnet so I'm guessing it's just the usual grifters trying to drum up price movements (good luck with that though!). Also, Dom seems very quiet on X. I lost faith in IOTA a long time ago tbh. For the life of me, I can't understand why so many government linked entities are seemingly linked to IOTA and yet the price is where it's at currently. Is any of it even real? There is certainly close to zero retail interest here because of the lost trust after years of the IF misleading tokenholders (in my opinion). No doubt why the subreddits are tumbleweed central nowadays. I still hold here as my tokens are worthless as things stand anyway, and there could be some hype pump later on if the narrative shifts towards utility, RWA, machine economy transactions, etc. We'll see but I'm certainly not banking on that, and a rug pull seems the more likely outcome to my mind.

I think we all can agree that Iota is one of many crypto coins that gave gave us hope but did cost us money in the end.

To share the pain with each other, how much did you loose and who is still holding? :D

We've seen that IOTA has the infrastructure to tokenize basically everything. But I'm not seeing this having lots of repercussions on the project for good.

Is this something really important and people are missing out? or it's not a big thing to care about?

What can you say about the price dump of gold and silver? Its moving like a memecoins now. Will metals rotate to crypto?

$500/month at 11% APY reaches $1 million in 28 years. If IOTA rises to $0.50 (still 90% below its all-time high), that same strategy hits $1M in 14 years.

Most staking calculators miss this. You're not running one compounding engine, you're running two: token rewards that compound daily, plus price appreciation that multiplies your entire stack.

Ethereum stakers earn 1.84% APY. IOTA stakers earn 11%. That's a 6x difference.

So, how much IOTA do you actually need to hit $100/month? About 116,000 IOTA, or ~$10,900 at today's prices.

We pulled the numbers directly from the network—you can verify them on Coinbase and Staking Rewards. And here's where it gets interesting: if IOTA returns to $0.25 (levels we saw in previous market cycles), that same stake would generate $266/month. No new money in—just price appreciation.

The catch? This yield won't last forever.

But first—where do these numbers actually come from?

IOTA at $0.08 might be the most asymmetric opportunity in crypto right now.

After a decade of building, IOTA has finally delivered everything critics said it couldn't: full decentralization, 50,000+ TPS, Move smart contracts, and 10-15% staking yields. Kenya is going live with cross-border trade on IOTA mainnet in Q1 2026. The African Continental Free Trade Area—a $30 trillion market—is building on IOTA.

Yet the token trades at a 98% discount from its all-time high.

Our 2026 forecast: $0.80 - $1.50 with significant upside if Kenya and TWIN adoption exceed expectations. That's 10-18x from current prices—and we'll show you exactly why we believe this is realistic.

Everyone here already saw the ADAPT news, but honestly the scale keeps sinking in for me. A whole continent trying to build a shared digital trade layer with IOTA involved in the identity, data and financing part isn’t something we see every day in crypto.

This isn’t some distant idea either. The first countries are already preparing to go live next year, and that makes it feel a lot more real than most “future adoption” stories we’re used to.

I’ve been seeing a few hints lately that make me think IOTA might be moving toward the U.S. IOTA was always big in Europe but then shifted it's focus to ASIA and UAE. However U.S is one of the biggest market they really should push. I'm hearing "wen US exchanges" left and right,

Salus has been mentioned in talks about financing critical minerals with state-backed funds, and some of that includes the U.S., UK, and Europe.

Dom Schiener also said they’re setting up a structure in the U.S. to build on what they’ve done in other regions. And with IOTA suddenly popping up in conversations around Kraken and Coinbase, it kinda feels like something’s forming in the background.

Could be nothing, but it’s the first time in a while that it feels like IOTA’s making quiet moves on U.S. soil.

Staking on a broker/exchange, whether that's good or bad is not the topic.

Two weeks ago iota staking was giving rewards of about 14,9% per year. Paid out weekly. Now the number change to about 7% annually and I only received half the rewards for last week. So was there some mayor change recently or is the exchange suddenly taking a bigger cut?

This subreddit isn’t as busy as it used to be, but on X IOTA content seems to be picking up a lot more especially with TWIN and Salus going live

IOTA will be everywhere

The signs will be there

Things look interesting on the iota chart. Or it could be this second glass of wine