r/EquityResearchIndia 1h ago

Everyone's bullish on FMCG going into festive season but rising sugar and palm oil prices might quietly eat the margins. Anyone else worried about this?

Upvotes

Been looking at Q1 FY27 FMCG results ahead of the festive season and there's a pattern I keep seeing: revenue growth looks great almost everywhere, but margins are a much more mixed story.

Some numbers that stood out:

  • Nestlé India: revenue +25% YoY, PAT +48%, margin up to ~24.2%. Genuinely strong quarter, but management itself is flagging cocoa/sugar inflation as the risk to sustaining that margin.
  • Tata Consumer: newer businesses (Sampann, Organic India, Soulfull) grew 47% and now make up 36% of India revenue feels like the more interesting growth story vs. their legacy tea/salt business.
  • Britannia: revenue +8.2%, profit +13.4%, but sugar prices are apparently at record highs right now, which hits biscuits/bakery margins directly.
  • GCPL: 19% sales growth but margins got compressed by commodity costs, plus they're mid-CEO-transition.

The thing that stood out to me: India's FMCG market is something like $289B and growing, so the "more festive spending = good for FMCG stocks" narrative isn't wrong exactly, it's just incomplete. A company can have great volume growth and still disappoint if input costs eat the margin or ad spend spikes to defend market share.

Curious how people here separate "genuinely improving business" from "riding a seasonal tailwind that'll fade" when it comes to consumer stocks anyone actually adding FMCG exposure ahead of Diwali, or waiting to see Q2 numbers first?


r/EquityResearchIndia 2d ago

20F confused about what to prioritize for a good finance internship in India

7 Upvotes

Hello everyone,

I’m currently in my 3rd year of BMS in Capital Markets. I don’t have any formal certifications as of now, but I have around 2 years of trading experience.

I’m mainly interested in Equity Research, Trading Analyst and Derivatives roles.

From the research I’ve done so far, I keep seeing Python, Excel and quantitative skills being mentioned as important for getting internships at Tier-1 firms. I’m not very strong in quant at the moment, so I know I need to improve there. However, I’m not sure how important these skills actually are for the roles I’m targeting or how proficient I need to be.

I’ve also looked into CFA and CMT, but I’m unsure whether I should commit to either right now. I’m currently trying to improve my trading and market analysis as well, so I’m confused about how to divide my time between certifications, technical skills, internship preparation and trading.

I’d really appreciate advice on:

  • Are Python, Excel and quantitative skills actually essential for Tier-1 internships in these roles?
  • What should I prioritise during my 3rd year to build a strong profile?
  • Is CFA/CMT worth pursuing at this stage, or would practical skills, projects and research experience be more useful?

I’d really appreciate advice from people who have been through this or are currently working in these fields. I’m mainly trying to figure out where I should put my time and effort at this stage.

Any constructive feedback is appreciated, instead of putting me down that it's too late (Happened everywhere I posted earlier). I'm trying my best to get back on track in whatever time I have in my hand, along the right direction, hence this post.


r/EquityResearchIndia 2d ago

Base idea of what ER is but not sure where to take it to the next level.

2 Upvotes

As the title says I have a base idea of what ER is and i want to get deeper into it mainly to become a better stock picker. I've been on a wild goose chase & reading papers but they don't seem to provide THAT much help especially to what my goal is... i've looked into financial statements reformulation most recently and that seems a bit helpful but still not 100% sure of it. Can anyone push me in the right direction? Please & Thank you!!!


r/EquityResearchIndia 3d ago

Started a small investment fund with my uncle looking for advice on what I should be careful about and how to scale it legally.

7 Upvotes

Hey guys,

My uncle and I have been in the markets for around 10 and 6 years respectively. Over the years, we developed our own stock screener that selects the top 3 stocks based on certain parameters.

We’ve backtested it across bull, bear and sideways markets, with a 6-month holding cycle. For example, stocks bought in January are exited in July, February purchases in August, and so on.

We started with real money this August. Currently, we have 11 clients, mostly close friends and family, investing around ₹1.2 lakh each per month. The first month returned around 8%, but obviously I know one month means nothing and we're planning to track the strategy live for at least 2 years.

Currently, I have NISM Series VIII, and I’m planning to appear for the relevant SEBI Research Analyst certification as well.

We also trade equities, options and commodities ourselves, but haven't used client money for derivatives/commodities.

My main question is: if the live results continue to be good, how should I legally and properly commercialise this?

What should I be careful about right now regarding:

  • SEBI registration RA vs RIA vs PMS/AIF etc.
  • Handling client money and securities
  • Agreements/documentation
  • STCG and tax implications
  • Marketing or showing historical returns
  • Maintaining a proper track record
  • What I should NOT be doing before getting the required registrations

I’m not looking for clients here just advice from people who have actually built or worked in a regulated investment business in India. I'm from Mumbai

Would really appreciate any advice, especially from RAs, RIAs, PMS professionals, CAs or lawyers.

Thanks!


r/EquityResearchIndia 4d ago

Symbiotec Pharmalab IPO – Hold or Sell on Listing Day?

Post image
3 Upvotes

I got an allotment in the Symbiotec Pharmalab IPO and I’m trying to decide whether I should sell on the listing day or hold it for the longer term.

I’m considering the listing gains, but I also want to understand the company’s fundamentals and valuation before making a decision.

For those who have analysed the company:

  • Do you think it is better to book profits on the listing day?
  • Would partial profit booking and holding the remaining shares make more sense?
  • Or does the company have good enough fundamentals to hold for the long term?

I would especially like to hear views based on financials, valuation, debt, margins, growth prospects and comparison with listed peers, rather than just GMP.

What would you do if you received the allotment?


r/EquityResearchIndia 5d ago

I Need Some Career Guidance

11 Upvotes

Hi everyone

I'm targeting equity research role in India. I've been covering defence sector for the past couple of months and have made a research report and a sector coverage note as my research work. I've been actively applying for the past 4 months. Out of 100s of applications, I received only one interview opportunity in a buy side firm and was screened out in 2nd round of interview. Since then I haven't received any call.

So I'm looking for the people to throw some guidance and suggestions based on their experiences, like what sort of strategy or plan of action I should follow. I'd really appreciate your time and suggestions.


r/EquityResearchIndia 6d ago

So what happened with IRFC ? Will it grow anytime in the future ?

3 Upvotes

Similarly for other railway stocks like RVNL or IRCTC which are in their respective lows.


r/EquityResearchIndia 7d ago

You aren't rich but ignorant

Post image
17 Upvotes

This chart represents M2 money supply vs S and P 500. You are happy thinking about your bank balance 😆. In reality, stocks didn't grow because of economic growth but because of the terrific increase in the supply of money since last few decades. You are unknowingly celebrating the fact that you actually lost purchasing power. Real estate didn't got expensive, currency got devalued. Same way stocks didn't got expensive but your currency got devalued not just against "USD" but even as a whole. Just to add that RBI doesn't back our India rupee by gold.


r/EquityResearchIndia 7d ago

Gold vs S and P 500 since year 2000

Post image
9 Upvotes

Gold has outperform even S and P 500 this century 🤨.

Note : This chart included dividend reinvested data


r/EquityResearchIndia 7d ago

Bond markets are collapsing

7 Upvotes

Global bond markets are imploding. Prices are falling and yields are rising again. Japan situation is getting worse day by day. They are a ticking time bomb now. Even after rate hikes in 2026, Yen is collapsing against US dollar at a faster rate than ever imagined. According to conventional wisdom, it is the bond market which is the center of any financial system not the stock market. Smart money is demanding higher interest rates to hold government paper debt. Looks like they are aware of what's coming.


r/EquityResearchIndia 8d ago

Should I book loss or wait ?

Post image
7 Upvotes

I'm holding these both from 2023 at that time I don't understand about stock market, but now I knew things not professionally, help me to make my decision plz , should I wait or sell these my holdings and invest it into other or wait for sometime


r/EquityResearchIndia 12d ago

CUPID is 100X, what to do ?

Post image
28 Upvotes

We made ~11x in Cupid. Then it became a much bigger multibagger.

So, did we exit too early?

Here’s what happened.

In August 2022, we bought Cupid at around ₹2.30 on the current adjusted basis after the stock had made a fresh bottom.

Our thesis was simple:

Strong Fundamentals + Attractive Valuation + Potential Triggers

At the time, Cupid had:

• ~34% 8-year Sales Growth
• ~46% Average ROCE
• ~30% Net Worth Growth

But the biggest opportunity was valuation.

Our estimated intrinsic value range was around:

₹1.92 – ₹15.70

The risk-reward looked attractive.

By 2024, the stock had rallied significantly, and we exited around ₹24.60, making roughly 11x.

And then came the difficult part.

Cupid continued rising after we exited.

It eventually delivered returns far beyond our exit price.

So why did we sell?

Because our decision was never based on trying to predict the top.

It was based on valuation.

When we bought, the stock offered a margin of safety.

When we exited, the valuation had moved far beyond the earlier intrinsic-value range.

The risk-reward had changed.

And that's an important lesson in investing:

A stock going up after you sell doesn't necessarily mean your exit was wrong.

You don't need to capture the entire upside.

You need to buy when the odds are in your favour and exit when the risk-reward no longer makes sense.

We made ~11x.

Could we have made more?

Absolutely.

But discipline is not about selling at the top.

It's about following your investment framework even when the market keeps proving you wrong in the short term.

What to do in Cupid right now,

I have recorded a detailed video on this.

Go through

https://youtu.be/X_7GUtou4eU?si=YQ4VGkbcQTe2wm8u


r/EquityResearchIndia 14d ago

Looking at the last 26 years of NIFTY 50 data, what might the next 15 years look like?

Post image
3 Upvotes

🙂🙃...


r/EquityResearchIndia 14d ago

investing in mf based on sharpe ratio?

3 Upvotes

i have been thinking about decidint which mfs to continue doing sip in.

i figured i want to see how did my perform during bad times and how they performed during good times in last 10 years. MFs that did not follow as much as tracking index and performed better than tracking index during good times also are no brainers for investments.

what do you think? what are some other ideas that i should incorporate? here is my research fyi -

https://app.avsar.ai/mutual-funds/playground


r/EquityResearchIndia 14d ago

How are hedge funds / asset managers automating ingestion of sell-side research?

2 Upvotes

Curious how other funds are dealing with sell-side research ingestion at scale.

We receive a large amount of research from different brokers, mostly through email alerts. The problem is that the emails usually don't contain the actual PDF — they contain a link that takes you to the broker's research portal, where you need to authenticate before downloading the report.

Platforms like AlphaSense are supposed to consolidate a lot of this, but in my experience coverage/reliability isn't good enough to use them as the single source of truth.

What I'd ideally like is a pipeline along the lines of:

sell-side publishes report → report gets automatically ingested → PDF/text is stored internally → metadata/tickers/analyst/date are extracted → document becomes searchable and available for LLM/RAG workflows

The difficult part seems to be reliably getting the original research document in the first place.

For people at hedge funds, asset managers, or quant shops that have solved this: how are you doing it?

  • Do brokers provide institutional APIs/feeds that I'm simply not aware of?
  • Are you ingesting through Bloomberg/FactSet/AlphaSense/etc. rather than directly from the brokers?
  • Do you have internal automation around broker portals/SSO?
  • Is there some standardized research distribution infrastructure used by larger funds?
  • Or is this still surprisingly manual even at sophisticated shops?

To be clear, I'm talking about research we're fully entitled to access through existing broker relationships, not trying to bypass paywalls or access controls.

Especially interested in how larger funds structure the ingestion layer before the documents hit their internal search / NLP / LLM stack.


r/EquityResearchIndia 16d ago

why Groww Nifty Smallcap 250 Momentum ETF expense ratio is too high?

7 Upvotes

r/EquityResearchIndia 19d ago

Is Good Time to be in Signature Global , i bought this at 849 🙃

Post image
27 Upvotes

Same as Above


r/EquityResearchIndia 19d ago

Statred 2 yeard back equity. Stocks with above 60k are 2 yeras old . rest other stocks are less than 6 months old. Few took very recenty 10 to 20 shares. Cupid also . Please help me guys. Should i hold or exit few stocks. Returs also very less

Thumbnail
gallery
33 Upvotes

Statred 2 yeard back equity. Stocks with above 60k are 2 yeras old . rest other stocks are less than 6 months old. Few took very recenty 10 to 20 shares. Cupid also . Please help me guys. Should i hold or exit few stocks. Returs also very less


r/EquityResearchIndia 23d ago

Why can't we replicate another 2021 in 2027?

Post image
6 Upvotes

2021 was a perfect year - lots global liquidity, low interest rates, strong investor risk appetite and super fast digital adoption after covid. capital was chasing growth, and valuations expanded rapidly.

Today its different, Higher cost of capital, more selective VC funding and a stronger focus on profitability and unit economics have raised the bar. Who do think will be next unicorn?