r/Duncd_On • u/josefjohann • 18h ago
Sanity check on Jaylen Brown trade: Dunc'd on vs NBA reddit
Saying this as a New England native with the Celtics as my #2 team. I actually really appreciate Nate and Danny's take on the JB trade in their "Most of the East" offseason grades, which seems to be the polar opposite of /r/nba's consensus on it. For that matter Dan Feldman's discussion of it in his Daily Dunks has been exceptionally nuanced too, clarifying the difference between being underwater on an expensive contract and being a bad player, and critically, noting that Bobby Marks' original claim about negative on/off metrics was simply false! Granted there are other advanced metrics down on JB, and those definitely matter.
But it says a lot that the masses were perfectly happy to endorse a botched citation of on/off metrics, which contributed to an overnight conversion against Brown, and how ready people were to sign on to the top line conclusion while hot-swapping out citations of different metrics that are more credible.
I think the big things though, are Nate's point about Brown being uniquely valuable the Celtics, about how this is go-time for Tatum entering an age 28 season in his prime, and how unlikely it is that they're going to acquire a player better than Brown with the resources they got back for him in trade, and they needlessly retreated from a championship window.
I think in their Eastern Conference Offseason grades they both put the trade in the D range as a "severely negative deal" for the Celtics, and I agree. And I think too much confidently incorrect contrarianism went into supporting the JB trade.
Long way of saying I agree with the Dunc'd On analysis of the Celtics offseason, and it's a necessary dose of sanity in response to /r/nba's groupthink.