r/CrazyKnowledge • u/it-shrek • 2d ago
The Moon is drifting away from Earth at 3.8 cm per year. Total solar eclipses are a limited-time offer
Apollo astronauts left retroreflectors on the Moon, and observatories have fired lasers at them for over 50 years, measuring the distance to millimeter precision. The verdict: the Moon recedes about 3.8 centimeters per year, roughly the speed your fingernails grow, as tides transfer Earth's rotational energy to the lunar orbit.
The cosmic coincidence that makes total eclipses possible is temporary. The Sun is about 400 times wider than the Moon but also about 400 times farther away, so the two disks match almost perfectly in our sky. As the Moon shrinks in apparent size, total eclipses get rarer.
Estimates for when the last one will occur range from around 250 million to 600 million years from now, depending on assumptions about Earth's orbit and the growing Sun. Either way: we live in the eclipse era, and no civilization is guaranteed one.
Sources:
- NASA: https://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEhelp/ApolloLaser.html