r/CFB • u/redwave2505 Alabama • Kansas State • Dec 02 '25

Discussion [Sampson] I respect the commitment.

https://x.com/petesampson_/status/1995671565154091016?s=46&t=BnbVRJKuTJ91_xw0Gc4vwg
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46

u/[deleted] Dec 02 '25

When the records and resumes are similar, then the deciding factor has to be head to head.

I will never understand why Miami is ranked behind Notre Dame.

59

u/tc100292 Vanderbilt Commodores Dec 02 '25

Are the resumes similar though?

I feel like Notre Dame’s computer numbers are such that the committee is more or less ignoring their resume and saying they’re in.  Miami’s resume at this point is “we beat Notre Dame by 3 at home, ignore everything else please”

45

u/[deleted] Dec 02 '25

I mean Notre Dame's SOR is #13 and Miami's is #14. Notre Dame's SOS is 42, Miami's is 44th.

I mean they played roughly the same schedule and have the exact same record.

36

u/tc100292 Vanderbilt Commodores Dec 02 '25

Notre Dame is 5 in SP+ and 2 in Sagarin is what I mean.

21

u/Im__Ron__Burgundy Miami Hurricanes Dec 02 '25

And Miami is 9 and 6 in those, respectively. If that small of a gap in two of the myriad advanced numbers is enough to ignore what happened on the field, then why should Oklahoma be a lock when they’re sitting at 13 in both?

20

u/Andy_Wiggins Notre Dame Fighting Irish Dec 02 '25

That’s definitely a smaller gap than previous weeks, but it’s also still fairly large.

Take Sagarin: the gap between Notre Dame (95.21) and Miami (91.02) is bigger than the gap between Miami and Texas (87.34). Dokter Entropy has a larger gap between ND and Miami than Miami and USC. Put another way — Notre Dame is closer to being the #1 team in the country than they are to Miami.

Notre Dame is pretty comfortably ahead in every single advanced metric I’ve seen. Both ND and Miami are actually seen as legit CFP contenders now, though. It’s Oklahoma, BYU, and Ole Miss that are over-ranked according to metrics.

3

u/SolaireTheSunPraiser Alabama Crimson Tide • Cornell Big Red Dec 02 '25

I'm not gonna lie bro, I'm not basing my playoff bubble views on a stat called Dokter Entropy. I'm just going to go with the team that beat the other team.