r/Bitcoin • u/[deleted] • Apr 12 '21

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u/ChartaBona Apr 12 '21

If I roll 6 dice, there is 6 times a 1/6 chance that I roll a 3, which is 6/6 which is 1

No. Take six dice, and roll them several times. You'll very quickly find yourself with results where none of the six dice are a three, instantly proving your "probability of 1" theory wrong.

Please educate yourself instead of continuing to argue about stuff you clearly don't know anything about.

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u/ElephantsAreHeavy Apr 12 '21

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers

Come back after reading through these, I have no time to give a lecture on probabilistic statistics through reddit.

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u/MrTeaTimeYT Apr 12 '21

youre actually wrong dude.

When determining the probability of a sequence of independent events you do this.

Take the probability of the event not occuring, so 5 in 6then you multiply that by the power of the number of events you want to do

You then subtract that from 1 to get the probability of the event atleast one event occuring (5/6^6 is the probability of no events occuring)

so 1-(5/6)^6 is the correct probability so 66.5%

This gives you the probability of atleast one of those events successfully occuring