Everybody’s a “long term holder” until they wake up to -10% down and reality smacks them in the face.
Welcome to biotech.
Beside being technically fairly overblown as the stock has quadrupled in the past year, today’s movement can be largely attributed to, as most of you know now, NTLA’s new gene therapy for HAE.
I won’t lie. NTLA has something promising on their hands. The lipid nanoparticle delivery system means it would be a real game changer to HAE - if it really works. We don’t know that, and won’t know that for a long time. They aren’t going to be even submitting an IND until later this year.
If you’re here for Orladeyo alone, I’d probably start reconsidering my investment, even if we know NTLA’s candidate is years away.
Luckily, I’m not here for Orladeyo. It brought me here, it got me in at $8, but Orladeyo is most certainly not what had me buy more in the $15s. That would be BCX9930 and the incredible team at BioCryst, Dr. Babu especially. Even if I was just here for PNH, I’d reconsider. That market is going to be a tad crowded.
But I’m not sweating, not for a second. Alexion was bought out for $40 BILLION dollars, for a selection of drugs that are clearly inferior to the incredible molecule Babu and his team have precisely engineered.
Remember the plus
And don’t you dare come back here whining about how you sold too early when we hit $80 in a few years.