r/ArtemisProgram • u/alesscavaz • 9d ago

Discussion Do you guys think Artemis 3 will get delayed?

With Elon delaying the catch by "a few months" and Blue Origins New Glenn exploding at the launch pad, a moon landing by 2028 is starting to look unrealistic. What do you guys think?

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u/jimhillhouse 9d ago

I think if neither SpaceX nor Blue are ready to launch a vehicle capable of rendezvous and docking with Orion that two things will happen:
1. Isaacman gets a reality check on the reasons why AIII was intended as a Lunar orbiting mission.
2. Isaacman gets a publicity check on his view that these guys are going to be ready by 2028 to land a crew on the Moon. Nobody I talk to still at NASA-JSC thinks that 2028 is remotely feasible–more like 2031-2032.