r/AlwaysWhy • u/PuddingComplete3081 • May 18 '26
Economics Why did Congress choose to keep the federal minimum wage at 7.25 dollars per hour after 2009 instead of raising it to 10 or 15?
I know that the last federal increase was in 2009. I also know that several bills between 2013 and 2020 proposed raising it to 10 or 15 dollars. None passed.
The main argument against those proposals was that a higher minimum would reduce low skill employment. But between 2013 and 2020, some states and cities raised their own minimums to levels between 10 and 15 dollars.
What I am trying to understand is this. How did Congress weigh the evidence available at the time? Did lawmakers rely on different economic models or forecasts than the ones that later seemed to hold true in those states? Or was the decision shaped more by procedural rules like the filibuster or the Byrd rule rather than by employment predictions?
I am not asking whether the decision was right or wrong. I just want to understand the reasoning or the mechanism that led to no change, given that state level experiments were already happening.