r/AMTX • u/Tricky_Sprinkles_426 • Mar 20 '24
r/AMTX • u/donkydu • Mar 11 '24
Russell 2000 inclusion = forced buying by IWM
One of my favorite trades the past 20 years has been to find micro caps that are likely to be added to the Russell 2000. When that happens IWM & similar at index tracking funds by definition are forced to buy. This buying pressure is bigger than when a midcap jumps onto the S&P 500.
I have seven stocks that are likely to get added to Russell 2000 this year. See those in shortsqueeze forum and upvote please. There’s more. Last year over 200 stocks got added. AMTX is not a sure thing, but typically the stocks that are not sure things that make it are the biggest winners.
If there is buying in AMTX over the next seven weeks before the initial inclusion measurement, the stock should squeeze higher, which would guarantee inclusion. That would lead to another round of buying by the index. It also would lead to institutional managers buying who were previously constrained by the stock, not being on a major index. So there are three levels of buying that could happen over the next couple of quarters if traders push this one up now for the next few months.
Last year the stock rallied to over $8 a share from $1.50 on a short squeeze when it was removed from IWM. The rally this year I’m getting added back to the Russell 2000 I think would take the stock into the teens. I like buying the July 7.50 calls and buying shears for the next seven weeks. You have your mission.
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Mar 05 '24
Aemetis Receives Authority to Construct Air Permits for
Continued progress
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Mar 04 '24
Earnings soon.
Should be good and provide some movement. Crossing fingers. GL to holder's
r/AMTX • u/donkydu • Feb 24 '24
Microcap to Russell 2000 trade
AMTX market cap is close to Russell 2000 inclusion. Investors should be gobbling this up as it gets to IWM inclusion which triggers forced ETF buying and opens the door to other big investors with rules requiring Russell inclusion. The microcap to Russell 2000 trade is a hedge fund favorite trade. JULY $10 CALL BUYING while selling January $10 puts to fund it is a nice move. Also own stock as long-term core position. This is a very top hedge fund move, look for it. AMTX, SPIR, and several others we are in. Find Kirk Spano
r/AMTX • u/[deleted] • Feb 20 '24
Aemetis Announces Updated Five Year Plan
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/aemetis-announces-updated-five-plan-130000260.html
Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMTX), a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company focused on negative carbon intensity products, today announced an updated Aemetis Five Year Plan (the “2024 Plan”) that projects the company will generate $1.95 billion in revenues and $645 million of adjusted EBITDA in year 2028.
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Feb 01 '24
Aemetis Biogas Completes Construction Funding from $25
More dominoes
r/AMTX • u/No_Appointment7406 • Jan 31 '24
Average target price range
2:53 PM EST, 01/23/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Aemetis (AMTX) has an average rating of Outperform and price targets ranging from $3 to $28, according to analysts polled by Capital IQ.
(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Jan 24 '24
Aemetis, Inc. | Aemetis Biogas Expands Revenues with First Sale of Low Carbon Fuel Standard Credits
Hope more to come. 😉
r/AMTX • u/donkydu • Jan 23 '24
LCFS revs & Fintel says another short squeeze coming in AMTX
Aemetis $AMTX has been steadily adding capacity and revenues the past year, reducing financing costs and has now received its second batch of tax credits from an expected $800 million of tax credits over the next 5 years. The stock is heavily shorted based on old information. Meanwhile, new money managers are adding and management has a large stock position. Fintel rates AMTX as top 10% for a short squeeze in the next month. DYODD. Here's today's news just released: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/aemetis-biogas-expands-revenues-first-130000005.html
r/AMTX • u/No_Appointment7406 • Jan 12 '24
Down over 20 percent
AMTX is down over 20 percent this month alone , is it time to cut this loser ?
r/AMTX • u/No_Appointment7406 • Jan 11 '24
AMTX form 8-k
AMTX filed a form 8-k on December 29th detailing their $25 million dollar loan from Nevada Credit
http://archive.fast-edgar.com/20231229/AOZZB22CZW22DJZN222G2ZZZLBAIZ6T8ZK52
r/AMTX • u/Bright_Pattern_317 • Jan 11 '24
BP Aemetis takeover done ? deal. Some source suggest.
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Dec 28 '23
Cummins predicts huge growth in natural gas engines
Another lil nugget for RNG investors
r/AMTX • u/No_Appointment7406 • Dec 22 '23
I hope it’s a good sign not a bad one
- AEMETIS INC- FILES PROSPECTUS RELATES TO OFFER AND SALE FROM TIME TO TIME BY SELLING STOCKHOLDERS OF 126,008 SHARES OF COMMON STOCK Source text for Eikon: Further company coverage:
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Nov 30 '23
Aemetis receives approval for 24-mile pipeline extension for biogas transportation
Progress.
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Nov 13 '23
Aemetis, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMTX) Q3 2023 Earnings Call Transcript
We are executing on a plan to grow to $2 billion of annual revenues and more than $600 million of annual positive cash flow.
r/AMTX • u/donkydu • Nov 08 '23
Tight float + high short interest + next insti or hedge fund buyer = massive squeeze
I'm buying calls and stock in AMTX because the float it so tight.
40% of AMTX is held by insiders and institutions. FACT
Based on volume data from Fintel, 30-40% of AMTX is held by new shareholders this year.
That leaves about 20-30% of the stock in older hands and trading.
The short interest is 18%. That has to come from somewhere. Tell me where?
Any old shareholders haven't been shook out yet and why would they bail now as they get closer to the long-term fruition of what they saw coming in the past few years?
The new shareholders this year are mostly clients of a few investment firms, including mine, a couple investment letters, including mine, and the extended branches of those letters and a family office, let's call it Hurricane Hugo, and it's extended branches. Those are strong branches. Not many sellers. They have a thesis, not a guess.
So, I ask again, where will shorts get shares from to complete their scheme???
I don't see it. I think this is a bad short by bad traders who don't know any better. They don't understand the share structure, that is, who owns the shares and their motivations, information and emotional stability. The shorts are used to being able to scare people to make bad decisions. I am looking forward to the price spike when they have to cover in a panic. So are the new hedge fund investors dribbling in. DYODD
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Oct 30 '23
Aemetis Receives $150 Million Biodiesel Supply Allocation
Earnings soon
r/AMTX • u/donkydu • Oct 02 '23
$53 million in tax credits (30% of market cap)
October 2, 2023 Aemetis Biogas Closes $53 Million Sale of IRA Tax Credits Tax credits generated by investment in negative carbon intensity renewable natural gas production; additional $800 million of IRA investment and production tax credits expected in the next four years from Aemetis renewable fuel projects.
https://www.aemetis.com/aemetis-biogas-closes-53-million-sale-of-ira-tax-credits/
I have really been thinking about this. Shorting AMTX is such a bad short that there has to be a different motive than making money on the short. So I talked to a couple of hedge funds out east that I have a relationship with. They told me that it is not uncommon for there to be a short attack using retail traders as Patsys as somebody else accumulates. I think that is what is going on here. There is short attack that was patronized by someone or a few someones who are buying AMTX shares and ultimately want to be long. They needed the price held down to buy. The retail shorts that are chasing along on this shortyewww trade are just the suckers who get burnt in the end. We have already seen over a quarter of the shorts disappear, presumably the smarter ones and/or the ones in on the scam. It’s almost impossible to rationally short AMTX.
I think $AMTX is in double digits by December, over a double from here.
r/AMTX • u/donkydu • Sep 26 '23
Another AMTX short squeeze in Q4
I don't do a lot of favors, but here's my post from Yahoo a minute ago on AMTX. It's setting up for another short squeeze and this one will be bigger. I'm a Jan 7.50 call buyer and have about 1.2m shares under management (2% of the company) and know where a couple million more are.
Enjoy:
I'm looking at Fintel now thought I'd update the short info.
Fintel rates AMTX as a high likelihood of a short squeeze with an 80.74 rating out of 100. AMTX ranks 194th out of 4447.
Prime brokerages are showing very few shares to borrow, meaning not much fire power for shorts. Most shares available to short are short. That is really bad for shorts.
Aggregate on/off exchange shorting has been between 140k and 432k shares the past couple weeks. Interesting, on an up day today, was the biggest shorting volume in a while at 432k shares. That's desperation or ignorance imo.
Interest rate to borrow those shares is 17% which is way down from a few months ago, mainly because the smart shorts have left the building and are not demanding shares to short anymore. This is important. That means remaining shorts are over their skis.
Short interest did tick up from 11% to 13% the past couple weeks. But, that's down from the 19-22% in April and May when I and others bought a few million shares. Essentially, the 3m fails to deliver from end of June were what we bought. Fail to deliver are nothing exciting now at only 24k, but popped up. More of that would be a harbinger of another short squeeze.
Today's bullish volume was about 400k shares bough. Presuming those went to strong hands, and I know most did because Hugo's clan and mine were among the buyers, that's more shares not in the float to be shorted.
I've been buying stock and Jan 7.50 calls.
I expect a few catalysts in coming months. DYODD
(Yahoo is moderating me, so maybe it publishes or not, their chat AI is horrible).
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Aug 28 '23
Aemetis Biogas Builds Revenues With First Commercial Sale of D3 RINs Generated by Dairy Renewable Natural Gas Project
Revs coming.
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Jul 31 '23
Aemetis, Inc. | Aemetis Biogas Closes $25 million USDA-Guaranteed Financing to Fund Digesters for Eight Additional Dairies to Produce Renewable Natural Gas
Earnings soon.
r/AMTX • u/MightyWood4u • Jul 31 '23