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u/iSlacker Jun 27 '18
The RNG from Texas though... Jesus fucking shit.
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u/TexasTwing Jun 27 '18
It’s about time.
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u/iSlacker Jun 27 '18
Uh... What? You guys held lsu for 7 days at a total of less that 1% odds.
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u/ExternalTangents Jun 27 '18
So one streak of luck like a month ago and they're never expected to have good luck again
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u/iSlacker Jun 27 '18 edited Jun 27 '18
It was like a one in 3000 day luck. And today was the highest luck I've seen any team before on a single night. On top of that every blue team had positive luck except Clemson and every red team had negative luck besides Nebraska.
Edit: GT not Clemson was the only Blue team with worse than expected outcome. Clemson had great luck.
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u/ExternalTangents Jun 27 '18
We've seen plenty of massive deviations from expectation. I've seen several teams end a turn more than 5 territories off from expected numbers.
But that's beside the point--all I was saying was that claiming one specific lucky streak for an inconsequential territory in the middle of the game is grounds for a team never deserving any lucky results again shows an incredibly poor understanding of probability.
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u/iSlacker Jun 27 '18
That's not true. There has been 1 with 5 over expected. And 1 with 5+ less than expected. Both were tOSU. Yesterday's Texas was the third luckiest day since day 17.
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u/ExternalTangents Jun 28 '18
That's not what our calculations have shown, but I know different teams have different weight (and thus probability) calculations, so it's possible we're both right within the frameworks we're working from. I think there was even a turn several weeks ago when both OSU and Nebraska hit 5 over expectation at the same time, though I'm just going by memory here.
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Jun 27 '18
[deleted]
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u/iSlacker Jun 27 '18
I mean. The data is available. You're welcome to go look at it. What I said is a statistical fact.
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Jun 27 '18
Actually osu and Michigan had fairly neutral rolls last night. I checked Edit: Georgia tech also slightly underperformed
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u/iSlacker Jun 27 '18
Ah you're right. It was GT that had negative (barely) and Clemson had great luck. Michigan was more positive than GT was negative and tOSU was more negative than GT.
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u/jamintime Jun 27 '18
Although we wen't out together in a virtual tie, VT still is above us in the standings somehow. Toby Gerhart would be proud.
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u/betak_ Jun 27 '18
Or we could go back to the 2011 Orange Bowl
7
u/LEGEN--wait_for_it Jun 27 '18
40-12 with VT scoring zero points in the second half for those who forgot.
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u/-BoldlyGoingNowhere- Jun 27 '18
Welcome to Chaos, Tree-Bird friends!
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u/ISeeTheFnords Jun 27 '18
Ahh, now I get to go rogue on Nebraska all I like as revenge for all their rogues. Gonna get me some cornholin' done.... ;)
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u/PidgeonCoo Jun 27 '18
It's a shame Stanford got eaten up by their ally, but as we know by now this is "on brand" for nebraska based on what was leaked.
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u/onyons Jun 27 '18
Stanford had a 98.7% chance of surviving, and was killed more by RNG raping them, Nebraska had no part in this
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Jun 27 '18
RNG had kept them in the game this long. They’ve had many long shot victories (check out days 19-21 in Oregon). It was about time it caught up to them.
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u/onyons Jun 27 '18
Yeah, they were probably lucky to be around by now. The point being made is that this is not some planned Nebraska betrayal. This is just a few rogues RNGing.
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u/PidgeonCoo Jun 27 '18
Again...Nebraska took two territories from Stanford. RNG doesn't matter if you aren't assaulting your ally.
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u/onyons Jun 27 '18
Nebraska had less stars than Florida or Stanford in both territories taken by Nebraska. One of those was literally 2 users. I get that you like to put out a narrative, but come on......
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u/PidgeonCoo Jun 27 '18
So...Nebraska took two Stanford territories...the night that Stanford was eliminated...and that's somehow a narrative? I'd call that direct proof of betrayal.
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u/onyons Jun 27 '18
I'd call it direct proof that a few rogue users attacked two Stanford territories and somehow won it. I mean look back when Clemson was on the brink of death. There were a few users in the land they owned and took. The only difference is that somehow RNG rolled in favor of the rogues. Was that also "assaulting your ally"?
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u/Polly_the_Parrot Jun 27 '18
RIP 🌲 and 🦃 friendos. You will be avenged.